GBPJPY - Look for Long (INTRADAY) 1:4.5 and Short (SWING) 1:XXGBPJPY appears to remain in a distribution phase from the supply zone, making its way toward the next demand zone on the higher time frame. We might see a potential sell opportunity during any consolidation before the price continues trending toward the demand area.
Let’s wait and see how price action develops — there’s a chance for entries in both directions, but only if a clear consolidation forms. Otherwise, it’s best to remain patient and look for setups at the next key resistance level.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPJPY H4 | Bearish Fall Based on the H4 chart, the price has just reacted off our sell entry level at 194.99, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 193.38 a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 196.42, a swing high resistance.
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GBPJPY1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of early June 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield is approximately 1.50% to 1.52%.
The yield rose by about 18 basis points in May 2025, closing near 1.50%, influenced by global yield increases, Moody’s US credit downgrade, and reduced BoJ purchases of super-long bonds.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy with a policy rate around 0.50%, and the yield curve control program continues to cap longer-term yields, though with some recent volatility.
The Bank of England’s policy rate is higher than Japan’s, around 4.5% to 5.0%, consistent with the higher gilt yields.
2. Interest Rate Differential
Using approximate yields:
UK 10-year gilt yield: ~3.75% (midpoint estimate)
Japan 10-year JGB yield: ~1.50%
The 10-year bond yield differential (UK minus Japan) is roughly:
3.75%−1.50%=2.25%
This positive differential indicates UK bonds offer significantly higher yields than Japanese bonds, reflecting the divergent monetary policies and economic conditions.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY) Differential (GBP - JPY)
10-Year Government Bond Yield ~3.5% - 4.0% ~1.50% ~2.25%
Policy Interest Rate ~4.5% - 5.0% ~0.50% ~4.0%
Implications for GBP/JPY
The higher UK bond yields relative to Japan suggest a carry advantage for GBP over JPY, encouraging investors to hold GBP assets funded by low-yielding JPY.
According to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), this yield gap implies the GBP should depreciate against JPY by about 2.25% annually to offset the higher returns, but in practice, GBP/JPY movements also depend on risk sentiment, growth outlook, and central bank policies.
The yen’s safe-haven status and BoJ’s yield curve control can dampen yield-driven moves, while the UK’s inflation and policy tightening support higher yields and GBP strength
#gbpjpy
#GBPJPY: +916 Pips Swing Buy Opportunity! Comment Down Your ViewThe FX:GBPJPY price has moved nicely from 187 to 191, almost +400 pips. I expect a small correction, but then the bullish move should continue towards the 200 region. You can set a target based on your analysis or set it at 200, whichever works for you. Good luck and trade safely.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPJPY 15-min chart setup✅ What I Like:
Liquidity Sweep at 195.000: Price ran buy-side liquidity above a clear psychological level and showed signs of rejection — classic manipulation.
FVG + Premium Retracement: The short setup aligns with an entry around the 0.618–0.75 retracement zone of the recent leg up, which is also inside a fair value gap.
Timing
🔻 Concerns:
Momentum: The bullish impulse leading to 195.000 was strong. If no displacement confirms the move down, price may consolidate or go higher.
No Strong Break of Structure Yet: To validate full bearish intent, I'd prefer to see a solid break below a recent short-term low (market structure shift).
GBPJPYI believe my analysis will help expose how the price moves in the market. It is clear that the price moves forming different patterns giving hints as to what we could expect next.
The price has been moving in an ascending channel, it got broken and retested, I believe the price will eventually fall towards my arrow head.
GBPJPY Rejected at Resistance - Bearish Move Ahead?GBPJPY Rejected at Resistance - Bearish Move Ahead?
On the 4-hour chart, GBPJPY tested a strong resistance zone near 196.40, and sellers quickly stepped in.
Over the last 12 hours, the price has moved consistently downward, confirming selling pressure in this area.
The formation of three consecutive red candles on the 4-hour timeframe adds value to the bearish outlook. GBPJPY could decline to 194.20, and possibly even further to 192.40.
⚠️PS: This trade carries high risk due to the uncertain stance of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policies.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Update GJ 1H June 3rd. Buy/SellPrice bounced around 192.50 — waited for confirmation and entered a buy (200+ pips profit). Now I'm watching the 1H. For a new buy opportunity, I’ll wait until tomorrow morning. In the meantime, I’ve placed a sell limit order at 195.15.
Knowing how the market moves, where price wants to go, and which levels it reacts to — that’s my skill. But anticipating it… that’s my true specialty.
Remember: the market is always right!
GJ-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-Money flowing out of safe have assets, YEN!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
For those who don't understand safe haven assets
like YEN-Gold, it's gonna be really difficult to trade
these pairs.
These assets are heavily influenced by global events,
global tensions, trade wars, crisis.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY Hello traders,
I'd like to share the first trade of the day with you. The setup is a Buy trade on the GBPJPY pair.
Today is the last trading day of the week and we have major economic events on the calendar, including:
🔹 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
🔹 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
🔹 Unemployment Rate
So it's wise to remain cautious while executing trades today.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1(me) /1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.054
✔️ Take Profit: 195.403
✔️ Stop Loss: 194.985
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which had been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 193.10
1st Support: 192.25
1st Resistance: 194.38
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 195.26
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 194.44
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WAITING FOR A TRIANGLE BREAKOUT Monitoring a 4H time frame on GBPJPY, we're nearing on a breakout only that we need to keep an eye whether it will be at the top or bottom.
If it happens at top, we shall have a bullish trend and if bottom, bearish.
Any idea concerning what have written hear is highly welcome.
GBPJPY UPDATE!!Good day traders, I am back again with an update and this time it's on GBP/JPY. On the 1st of June I posted a setup but I mentioned that I will explain it later because I will be able to make my point clearer and easy to understand.
When this setup was posted I had that daily order block in mind, only because I needed to see it revisit the order block for the last time before price could make a run for that internal liquidity resting inside an unfilled FVG(BISI). We can also use that thought as confluence when looking for short term reversals or partial exits. Just by taking a look on the chart I posted again I will put it in the description below, you can see in the sell side of the chart we have a lot of equal lows and ICT teaches us that price looks for relative lows/equal lows and old lows.
On the daily TF price is currently inside a bearish order block and what we do not wanna see is price going over the wick of that wick of a candle that was booked on the 29th of May. We are also inside the premium zone of the wick meaning we can expect to run from there to our objectives below. As always my first objective is always the internal liquidity and that is only because that internal liquidity are my LTF | Highs/Lows.
On the 4H price is inside a balanced price range again that's in my favour meaning I have to note it. ICT teaches that we always wanna trade towards the direction where all our PD arrays are lining up and in this case, it's in the sellside, I believe we are in the starting phase of ICT's sell model.
My name is Teboho Matla but you...you don't know me yet!!
GBP/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/JPY with the target of 192.600 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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