Get started

British Pound / Japanese Yen

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

GBPJPY trade ideas

GBP/JPY Breakdown: Massive Short Opportunity or Bear Trap?Overview: GBP/JPY has been a strong focus, and for those following along, we’ve been anticipating short opportunities as the market structure continues to favor downside momentum. Recent price action has set up another potential short entry, aligning with our long-term bearish bias. Weekly Timeframe: Major Rejection & Momentum Shift • Double Top Formation: GBP/JPY formed a classic M pattern around 198.89, rejecting that level twice before reversing. • Break of Key Support: The critical support level at 189.94 has been tested multiple times, acting as a floor before it finally broke last week with strong momentum. • Volume Confirmation: The breakdown occurred with increased volume, signaling real selling pressure and further validating bearish sentiment. Daily Timeframe: Retracement & Liquidity Grab • Impulse Move Lower: After breaking support, GBP/JPY dropped aggressively, marking a fresh lower low. • Pullback to Trap Buyers: The market retraced back up, but this was more than just a normal correction—it was a liquidity grab. • Traders who went short too early had stop losses at key resistance levels, and price wicked up to stop them out before resuming downward. • Instead of a smooth retracement, we saw sharp moves up, which is a telltale sign of liquidity collection before continuation. H1 Timeframe: Entry & Trade Execution • Structure Shift: • Initially, price was making higher highs and higher lows within the pullback phase. • However, we broke that bullish structure, confirming the reversal. • Retest Confirmation: • Price tested the breakdown level, creating a strong entry opportunity for shorts. • Entry Execution: • First Entry: Placed a small short position as price retested. • Second Entry: Increased position size once the breakdown was confirmed with a bearish close. Key Invalidations & Targets ✅ Bearish Scenario (Primary Outlook): • As long as price stays below 192.32, shorts remain valid. • If momentum continues downward, targets include: • First target: 189.94 (previous key support, now resistance). • Next levels: 187.50, then possibly 185.00 if momentum follows through. ❌ Invalidation (Bullish Breakout Scenario): • If GBP/JPY pushes above 192.32, holds, and breaks 192.98, the bearish thesis is invalid. • In that case, we may see a continuation higher, forcing a cut on shorts and a reevaluation of market conditions. • Stop Loss: Set above 192.98 at 193.06 to protect against a breakout reversal. Conclusion: GBP/JPY remains in a high-probability short zone, with technical confirmations aligning on multiple timeframes. If price remains under key levels, we expect further downside, with liquidity already being grabbed from early sellers. However, as always, if price invalidates the setup by reclaiming resistance levels, risk management is key. 📉 Short bias remains intact unless 192.32 is broken and held. 🔹 If you found this breakdown useful, make sure to like, share, and let us know your thoughts. If you see an alternative setup, drop your analysis—always open to different perspectives! 🚀
Short
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
2
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 194.65 1st Support: 190.64 1st Resistance: 197.23 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Gbpjpy long idealooking for this entry on longs for GJ , waiting for the LQ to be taken below and then tp continue upwards. reason being weekly hasnt been taken yet so theres no need for it to reverse this is just a pullback to inuduce sellers. Also on the 5min TF theres a falling wedge whic has prevously played out for me. my first TP will be at the weekly high then my next target will be at the top as you can see on the monthly also it has taken the lower LQ so next level is the higher LQ at 198.250 but thats overall target this isnt a signal just my own analysis and idea what do you guys think ?
Long
by TheRogueChef
5
Probability Analysis:Probability Analysis: Given the market structure and liquidity considerations, we can assign percentage probabilities to different scenarios: Bullish Scenario (Price moves up to PDH - 189.700 or Premium Zone - 191.000) Probability: 55% Reason: The market recently showed a ChOCH to the upside. If price maintains above the equilibrium zone, it may target PDH or even higher into the premium zone. Liquidity above equal highs (EQH) might act as a magnet. Bearish Scenario (Price moves down to PDL - 188.200 or Demand Zone) Probability: 45% Reason: There’s a weak low that could be grabbed before a reversal. Market has seen BOS downward, showing some bearish intent. If price rejects the current resistance and moves below equilibrium, the next stop is the discount zone (188.200-187.900).Slightly higher probability of a bullish move (55%), as price is currently attempting to establish higher lows and break towards PDH. Key Confirmation Needed: If price remains above 188.900, bullish continuation is more likely. If price breaks below 188.500, bearish pressure may take over.
by wizzywise1
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
Long
by syomking76418
GBPJPY EXPECTED SELL SETUP ! GBPJPY is showing bearish signs, indicating a potential sell setup. The price is facing strong resistance and struggling to maintain bullish momentum, suggesting a possible downside move. If sellers take control, we could see a drop toward key support zones. Confirmation signals such as bearish candlestick patterns, trendline rejection, or a breakdown of structure will strengthen the sell setup. Traders should wait for clear entry confirmations and manage risk wisely. This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity! 📉🔥 Technical Analysis by Ali Khan
Short
by Itsalikhaan