GBPNZD at a Crossroads📈The GBPNZD currency pair has been in a strong long-term bullish trend but now faces a critical level that could shift the entire market direction. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll explore key scenarios and highlight strategic entry points for both long and short positions. Let’s dive in!
🧵On the daily timeframe, the bullish momentum is clear. After breaking out of a descending channel, GBPNZD surged higher. Currently, it’s in a corrective phase, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement—indicating potential weakness. Compared to the last correction, this pullback shows weaker bullish candles and stronger selling pressure.
Despite this, valid long setups remain possible if our strategy confirms them. The 2.23 daily resistance is crucial; a breakout and consolidation above it could trigger long positions. On the flip side, a break below 2.18 support may confirm a bearish trend, opening short opportunities.
📍 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis 🕒
On the 4-hour chart, GBPNZD forms a descending consolidation box within the larger bullish trend. Bullish moves have been weaker, marked by smaller green candles, while bearish drops are stronger. Price is now testing a potential downside breakout.
A confirmed break below the 2.19 support—aligned with the 50% Fibonacci level—could push the price toward 2.18. Conversely, a false breakout followed by a recovery above 2.20 resistance may offer a strong long setup.
Important Note: Given the corrective phase within the broader uptrend, it’s wise to manage risk carefully with tighter stop-losses. Fast R/R trades and quick exits are ideal due to high volatility and uncertain direction. 📊
⭐ Friendly Tip:
From my experience, win rates and R/R ratios drop during ranging or corrective markets. If your strategy relies on momentum or breakouts, patience is key, or consider other pairs. Sometimes, the smartest trade is no trade at all. Stepping back can prepare you for greater opportunities ahead.
Thank you for the amazing support on my previous Idea. Wishing you success and profits!🤍
— Skeptic :)
GBPNZD trade ideas
GBP/NZD 4H Timeframe AnalysisGBP/NZD 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis
On the 4-hour chart, GBP/NZD is in a short-term downtrend, having recently broken below the minor key support at 2.19900. After this break, the price formed several Doji candles, indicating market indecision. This suggests the price may be temporarily pausing and gathering momentum for the next move.
We expect the price to retrace upward to break the 2.19900 minor resistance, grabbing liquidity before continuing the bearish momentum.
Price Action Expectation
Our objective is to wait for the price to break above 2.19900, form liquidity, and then reverse back below this level. Once the price breaks below the minor support again, it will confirm a continuation of the downtrend, providing an opportunity for a short position.
Fundamental Correlation
Traders should be mindful of economic releases or events affecting GBP or NZD, as they could impact market volatility and influence the pair's price movement.
Trade Setup
Trade Type: Sell Stop (Breakout Trade)
Entry: 2.19770 (on confirmation of a break below support)
Stop Loss: 2.20370 (above the recent high to account for false breakouts)
Take Profit: 2.18440 (next significant support level)
Conclusion:
GBP/NZD is set for a potential bearish continuation, with the break-and-retest scenario aligning with the downtrend structure. Liquidity above 2.19900 may act as a catalyst for the next downward move. Wait for confirmation of the break below 2.19900 before entering a short position.
Risk Management
Ensure a disciplined approach with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Position sizes should be calculated to align with your account equity. Monitor real-time price action closely, especially around critical levels, to validate or invalidate the setup.
Technical Analysis and Trade Setup for GBPNZDThe forex pair GBPNZD is currently trading at a price of 2.2000, with a target price set at 2.3000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. This suggests a bullish outlook for the pair, as it is expected to appreciate in value. The analysis highlights that the pair is showing a good bounce from a key support level, which often signals a reversal or continuation of an upward trend. However, the trader is exercising caution by waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. This confirmation could involve technical indicators, price action patterns, or fundamental factors aligning with the upward movement. Such an approach helps minimize risk and improve the probability of success. The trade setup relies on the strength of the support level and market sentiment favoring the pound over the kiwi. Proper risk management and adherence to a trading plan are essential when executing this strategy.
GBP/NZD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD is trending up which is obvious from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 2.218.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBPNZD FORECASTThis pair is looking good guys, from the higher timeframe I can see that every thing is ready for the price to drop. However in the lower timeframe I still wait to see how and where the market will give us opportunity to capitalize. Let's look this guys with a close eye today, the potential is within
Why I prefer to SELL GBPNZD over GBPAUD - Explained in detail!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.2060
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 2.2191
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2.1898
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPNZD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.2036
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.2185
My Stop Loss - 2.1959
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Sell GBP/NZD Bearish FlagThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1994
2nd Support – 2.1920
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Weekly CLS, Key level - Daily FVG +Ob, Model 1, Bullish OFWeekly CLS, Key level - Daily FVG +Ob, Model 1, Bullish OF
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
What is CLS?
This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets.
CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing.
Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
GBP/NZD Analysis:
AB = 78.6% Retracement:
This indicates that the AB leg was a deep retracement, forming the basis for the harmonic pattern. A deep retracement like 78.6% usually means the likelihood of a significant reversal increases when the D point is reached.
BC = 123.6% Extension:
The BC leg is extended, meaning the BC movement is wide. This could indicate that GBP/NZD is experiencing strong momentum, but it could also be a sign of "overextension."
CD = 141.4% Extension:
The CD leg is nearing the end of the harmonic pattern. The D point, which is where a reversal is expected, will be around the 141.4% of XA. This is the critical point where a decision can be made (buy or exit).
Risk and Reward:
Reward: If the D point holds (a reversal occurs), you can gain significant returns from the reversal. For instance, you could benefit from a strong upward (buy) or downward (sell) move when the price leaves the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
Risk: If the D point is breached, GBP/NZD may continue its movement and break the harmonic pattern. This could lead to losses if you hold onto the wrong position.
Recommendations:
Wait for GBP/NZD to reach the D point (141.4% Fibonacci Extension).
Look for confirmation signals such as:
Divergence (MACD or RSI).
Candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles or pin bars).
Make sure to use a stop-loss to protect in case the D point is breached:
Set your stop-loss outside the PRZ.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Aim for a reward at least 2:1 in relation to the risk you're taking
Daily Strong BUY Level GBPNZD - 2.18565 A straightforward yet effective strategy: a strong daily level for profit-taking following a significant downward move. The first target is 2.18998, with a small runner left in place in case of a rebound to higher levels. Please let me know if you have any questions.