GBPNZD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2.182.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2.171 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPNZD trade ideas
GBPNZD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GBPNZD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPNZD
Entry Point - 2.1703
Stop Loss - 2.1759
Take Profit - 2.1602
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Bullish momentum before the Interest Rate decision by RBNZTomorrow the 26th of November we have the RBNZ Interest Rate decision which it is 90% secure that they will decrease the interest rate from RBNZ with 0.25% , these twenty five basis points should be enough for us to see a Bullish swing trade generated on the GBP/NZD
Current Position would be with two Take profits
First level - 2.15400
Second level - 2.16100
GBPNZD - The pound, in relative peace!The GBPNZD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and has left its downward channel. In case of a downward correction, we can see demand zone and buy this currency pair in that zone with a suitable risk reward.
According to recent data, the UK’s economic indicators have shown various changes. M4 money supply, a key economic measure, has declined by 0.1%, compared to the previous figure of 0.6%. This drop may reflect reduced liquidity in the economy.
In the area of consumer credit, the Bank of England reported that this metric reached £1.098 billion, lower than the forecast of £1.3 billion and the previous figure of £1.231 billion. This may indicate a decline in consumer demand for credit.
Meanwhile, significant growth has been observed in the mortgage sector. Mortgage lending rose to £3.435 billion, surpassing the forecast of £2.7 billion and the previous figure of £2.541 billion. This increase suggests an improvement in the housing market and growing demand for mortgages.
Additionally, the number of approved mortgages reached 68,303, exceeding the forecast of 64,500 and the previous figure of 65,647. This growth further highlights increased confidence and momentum in the housing market.
Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, has addressed the financial and economic state of the UK, highlighting key concerns. He warned that price corrections could disrupt financing but expressed confidence that households and businesses would remain resilient against economic challenges.
He also predicted that the UK’s economic growth would continue “sustainably.” Bailey pointed to heightened global risks and uncertainties while emphasizing that there is no conflict between financial stability and economic growth. Additionally, he noted that geopolitical risks remain elevated.
According to Bloomberg and a CBI survey, tax pressures on UK businesses have caused a significant decline in the private sector. For the first time in two years, the budget has been identified as the main reason for reduced business activity.
Companies have warned that hiring plans are at their weakest level since the COVID pandemic. Business activity in the UK has been declining for the first time in over two years as firms reduced jobs and limited investments following the October budget. According to the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) monthly growth index, a £26 billion ($33 billion) increase in payroll taxes and prolonged uncertainty caused by a three-month wait for the next budget after the Labour Party’s decisive victory in the July 4 election have significantly impacted private sector sentiment.
The UK plans to review the design of its new labor survey in the spring. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that overall employment levels are now 313,000 higher than before the COVID pandemic. The economic inactivity rate has decreased by 0.1% to 22.1%, while the unemployment rate has remained steady at around 4.2%. Employment rates for the period from April to June 2024 increased by 0.1%, reaching 74.6%.
Daily-chart reveals 1,000,000 different ideas for profit. GBPNZD
It's been a big bullish day in Asia for GBPNZD Longs, up over 0.5% today but I think so long as GBP financial news today is not disruptive for the pound, then I think we can be sure that this is the one to breakout and retest those highs 2.1880, we are only about 1% below that level.
GBPNZD MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTION Based on analysis. GBPNZD has finished consolidation at the institutional renegotiation zone.
Decision taken in favor of the Bulls. Upward movement is the game. it will retrace a little to mitigate the broken renegotiation block to give the Bulls a perfect entry.
Entry , take profit and stop loss are clearly stated on the chat.
Good Luck Guys!
GBPNZD BullishFundamental Analysis for GBPNZD
1. Exogenous Factors:
GBP Strength:
UK's economic data (e.g., GDP growth, interest rate policy, and BoE decisions).
Favorable economic conditions like inflation control and rising bond yields boost GBP.
NZD Weakness:
Weak performance in New Zealand's trade balance.
RBNZ's dovish monetary policy or slower GDP growth compared to the UK.
2. Endogenous Factors:
GBP Endogenous:
Bullish sentiment as per seasonal and historical data (e.g., increased activity in Q4 for GBP-related pairs).
Positive investor confidence driven by high employment data or policy clarity.
NZD Endogenous:
Seasonal trends show NZD might weaken during this period.
Export-driven economy potentially impacted by lower commodity demand globally.
3. Sentiment and Scoring:
Net positioning (e.g., COT report) shows GBP long positions dominating over NZD shorts.
Seasonality factors favor GBP strength over NZD during Q4 and early December.
4. Key Observations:
GBP's domestic resilience, alongside NZD's external vulnerabilities (e.g., trade dependencies), creates a bearish environment for GBPNZD.
Conditional scoring favors GBP over NZD as the dominant currency.
Technical Analysis for GBPNZD
The pair is respecting a descending channel. A potential breakout could signify bullish momentum if GBP strengthens further.
Support: Around 2.1420 (previous swing low).
Resistance: 2.1650 (upper channel line).
RSI: Close to 59, indicating bullish momentum but not overbought. Look for divergence at key levels.
Moving Averages: Identify whether SMA/EMA aligns with the trend for confirmation of the setup.
GBPNZD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.1547
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.1496
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPNZD- Short IdeaThe Leading economic indicators and endogenous factors are decreasing for the pair GBPNZD, while exogenous factors are increasing. Both currencies are decreasing interest rates almost at the same pace. COT report shows that net non-commercial positions are decreasing in both currencies. But the NZD has the edge over GBP as seasonality supports the bearish trend of GBPNZD as December is the risk-on month and NZD is a risk-on currency.
However, If we look technically GBPNZD is in a bearish trend but currently, it is playing a range. So, according to our bias, we will only look for the sell setups.
GBP/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2.138 area.
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GBPNZD is in Selling Direction Hello Traders
In This Chart GBPNZD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPNZD analysis 👆
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GBPNZD BULLISH BIAS 1/12/2024Prices have pulled back to the 50 EMA on the daily chart, where there are numerous long lower wicks. This indicates that buyers have reacted and are preventing prices from falling below the 50 EMA.
This area aligns as a confluence point since it represents former resistance turned new support and coincides with the Fibonacci 0.382 level.
The Anchored Volume Profile also highlights this price level as the "Point of Control."
If a bullish engulfing candle forms, it would indicate positive momentum and could provide an opportunity to enter a trade.