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British Pound / New Zealand Dollar

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GBPNZD trade ideas

GBP/NZD Hits Highest Level Since 2016: Is a Move Down Ahead?The GBP/NZD is currently testing its highest price in recent years, nearing the significant resistance level of 2.1900. This area has served as a notable barrier since 2016 and often sees increased selling interest. The price action in this zone, combined with the emergence of a harmonic pattern, suggests a potential reversal or correction. Furthermore, recent price movements, particularly the candles from October 30 and 31 breaking below the low of October 29, indicate rising bearish momentum, reinforcing the possibility of selling pressure in the near term. Bat Harmonic Pattern Structure A Bat harmonic pattern is developing in the GBP/NZD chart, providing additional reversal signals near historical resistance: Point X: The starting point of the move, at a previous significant high. Point A: The bottom of the initial correction. Point B: The price retracement to the 38.2% level of the XA extension. Point C: The second correction reaching 88.2% of the AB move. Point D (Potential Reversal Zone): Near 2.1847, aligning with the 88.6% level of the XA extension and the resistance at 2.1900, indicating an optimal area for potential sell opportunities. The Bat pattern suggests a crucial resistance level where buyers might struggle, especially considering the proximity to historical highs. Price Action Analysis and Sell Signals Recent price action further highlights selling interest: Selling Pressure at Highs: The October 30 and 31 candles broke below the October 29 low, signalling possible exhaustion of the bullish trend and indicating increased seller interest. This behaviour raises warning signals for a potential short-to-medium-term reversal. Potential Move Down Ahead Given the convergence of the harmonic pattern and historical resistance, a short strategy is advisable between 2.1800 and 2.1900. Here are critical points to consider for GBP/NZD: Potential Sell Zone : The resistance between 2.1800 and 2.1900 represents a prime short zone, combining the D point of the Bat with historical resistance. Primary Target : The support around 2.1400 corresponds to the B region of the Bat formation, typically the first target when trading harmonic patterns. Secondary Target : Should a breakout continue, the next significant support is near 2.1000, coinciding with the C level of the Bat formation. Traders should remain cautious of any breaks above 2.1900, as this could indicate a breakout above a crucial resistance level on the daily chart. Conclusion The GBP/NZD pair is in a complex technical setup, presenting potential opportunities for short positions due to the confluence of the Bat harmonic pattern and the historical resistance at 2.1900. With signs of selling pressure evident in the recent price action, especially following the candles on October 30 and 31, traders should closely monitor this region as it may signal the onset of a correction. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
MY GBPNZD SHORT IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Short SL: 2.16529 - 2.16417 Indicators: 1. MA (20,50,100,200) 2. Trendline - Algo 3. Support and Resistance 4. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools Time Frame: 4h (I also use other time frames mainly 1D because I like to trade for long period of time) Technical: 1. MA 20 (Yellow) still above 100 and 200 signaling a bull bias but I think this is a pivot and it is the beginning of a bearish setup I think the MA 20 will fall below the 100 and 200 soon. 2. Green trendline was broken previously so I'm looking for a breakthrough the red trendline. 3. Price respected the resistance zone and is falling backdown to support. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE on all time frames but the 1D time frame at the moment. Fundamental and economic: 1. GBP economy has been stabilizing and mildly bullish recently but then took a small hit after the 30 year green gilt auction. 2. NZD has been struggling a lot but I think the upcoming week is in favor for NZD with their unemployment news. 2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 4 "Neutral" and it also shows me -5 "Bearish" for GBPUSD. 3. Q4 historically is bearish for this pair according to the seasonal indicator by Tradingview.
Short
by stingotho
GBPNZD 4hr BUY STOP GBPNZD 📈 4hr BUY STOP 📈 💰BUY STOP: 2.17273 💰STOP LOSS: 2.16528 TP TARGETS 🎯 TP1: 2.18024 🎯 TP2: 2.18765 🎯 TP3: 2.19507 ✅ 1. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10/50/200 EMAs. ✅ 2. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid pullback into the 10 EMA with at least 2 bearish candles. ✅ 3. Price has made a 123 Advanced Engulfing candle above the 50ema. This is a great example of the 123 Advanced Engulfing strategy. NOTE: If price does not reach my BUY STOP level and fails below the 50ema then I will cancel the buy stop order, very important we do this and not accidently leave the position on.
Long
by angelvalentinx
The Art of War for Traders: Sun Tzu's Timeless Lessons on MarketI recently revisited "The Art of War by Sun Tzu", and I was struck by how directly its timeless wisdom applies to the world of trading. Written over 2,500 years ago, this classic on strategy offers lessons every trader—from beginners to seasoned pros—can apply in the markets to improve discipline, timing, and decision-making. The Art of War is often seen as a manual for military generals, but its insights go far beyond the battlefield. Sun Tzu’s advice on strategy, patience, and self-discipline is surprisingly relevant for traders. In many ways, trading is a battle—one fought not only with the market but also with our own emotions and impulses. Here are some key takeaways from The Art of War and how they can help elevate your trading game. 1. Know Your Enemy and Know Yourself Sun Tzu’s advice, “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles,” is invaluable in trading. For traders, the “enemy” is the market itself, filled with unpredictable movements, different participants, and countless psychological traps. But perhaps the most important part is knowing yourself—your strengths, weaknesses, risk tolerance, and emotional triggers. Trading Insight: Self-awareness is crucial for consistent success. By understanding your own psychology, you can prevent impulsive decisions, recognize patterns in your behavior, and develop a trading plan that works in harmony with your strengths. The better you know yourself, the better you can handle whatever the market throws at you. 2. Strategize Rigorously, But Act Flexibly Sun Tzu stresses the need for detailed planning but also emphasizes the importance of adapting to changing conditions. In trading, a plan is essential—it gives you structure and discipline. But markets are fluid and can shift without warning, meaning flexibility is equally important. Trading Insight: Create a well-defined trading plan that includes entry and exit strategies, position sizing, and risk management. At the same time, be ready to adapt if the market changes direction. Many successful traders know that the best plan is one that’s firm yet flexible, allowing for adjustments as new data comes in. 3. Timing is Key Patience and timing are central to Sun Tzu’s teachings. He emphasizes waiting for the perfect moment to strike. In trading, this principle cannot be overstated. Good timing separates profitable trades from losses; a premature entry or exit can wipe out gains or magnify losses. Trading Insight: Success in trading often comes from waiting for high-probability setups, rather than forcing trades when conditions aren’t ideal. The best opportunities require patience. Rather than feeling pressured to trade constantly, seasoned traders know that waiting for the right conditions is a form of discipline that pays off over time. 4. Position Yourself Wisely Positioning is at the core of The Art of War. Sun Tzu advises placing troops in positions of strength, not vulnerability, which translates directly to trading. Positioning wisely means knowing where to enter and exit, as well as how much risk to take on any trade. Trading Insight: Position sizing and strategic entry/exit points are essential for managing risk. Set stop-losses to guard against heavy losses and choose setups where you have a statistical edge. Success comes from positioning yourself to gain while limiting potential losses—whether you’re a day trader or a long-term investor. 5. Discipline and Self-Control Sun Tzu repeatedly emphasizes the importance of discipline and self-restraint. A general who cannot control himself will struggle to control his troops, and the same goes for traders. Without discipline, a trading plan is just words on paper. Trading Insight: In trading, self-discipline means sticking to your plan, managing your risk, and resisting impulsive decisions driven by emotions. This is a skill that separates successful traders from those who struggle. Discipline keeps you from chasing trades, overtrading, or taking unnecessary risks. It’s the backbone of consistency. 6. Exploit Market Weaknesses and Protect Your Own Sun Tzu teaches the value of observing and exploiting the weaknesses in the enemy while concealing your own. In trading, this might mean identifying overbought or oversold conditions, weak trends, or moments of market irrationality. Trading Insight: Recognize when the market is at extremes and leverage these moments for high-probability setups. At the same time, protect your portfolio by diversifying and using stop-losses, ensuring that if a trade doesn’t work out, it doesn’t do significant damage. Trade with your strengths and protect against your weaknesses. 7. Beware of Deception and False Signals One of Sun Tzu’s core principles is the use of deception, creating the illusion of weakness or strength. Markets can often create similar illusions through false breakouts, price manipulations, and fakeouts, which can easily lead to poor decisions. Trading Insight: Avoid falling for obvious “traps” in the market. False breakouts and fake signals are common, especially in highly volatile markets. Experienced traders look beyond surface movements and analyze underlying trends to verify signals. Being cautious and vigilant can prevent costly mistakes. 8. Use Resources Efficiently Sun Tzu cautions against prolonged battles that drain resources and morale. In trading, this equates to overtrading or letting emotions lead to excessive losses. Trading Insight: Efficiently allocate your capital and avoid trading more than necessary. Protecting your capital allows you to stay in the game for the long run. If a trade setup doesn’t meet your criteria, move on. Wasting resources on low-quality trades is like fighting unnecessary battles. 9. Calculated Risk and Risk Management Sun Tzu emphasizes knowing when to engage and when to hold back. For traders, this is the heart of risk management. Taking calculated risks is essential for capturing profits, but knowing when to step away is just as important. Trading Insight: Risk management is fundamental to long-term success. Use tools like stop-losses, position sizing, and risk-to-reward ratios to control losses. Accept that not every trade will be a winner and cut your losses when needed. This protects your capital and keeps you from getting overly attached to individual trades. 10. Seize Opportunities with Confidence Sun Tzu believes in the importance of seizing opportunities when they arise. In trading, this means acting decisively when a setup aligns with your strategy and conditions are favorable. Trading Insight: Hesitating can lead to missed opportunities, while decisive action—grounded in a solid strategy—can yield significant profits. When the conditions align with your analysis, trust your instincts and execute your plan. The ability to recognize and seize opportunities is what distinguishes successful traders from the rest. The Art of War has taught me that trading, much like warfare, is a game of patience, discipline, and strategy. Sun Tzu’s principles remind us that success doesn’t come from battling the market but from managing our responses to it. Every trade is a test of how well you can plan, adapt, and stay disciplined under pressure. As you navigate the markets, remember Sun Tzu’s timeless advice. Approach trading as a strategist would approach battle—prepare thoroughly, act wisely, and remain adaptable. Success in trading is not just about making profits; it’s about managing yourself, seizing opportunities, and protecting your resources for the long run. 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Education
by TheFxAce
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