#GBPUSD: Two Prominent Buying Points! Will Dxy Bounce Back? Due to strong economic data supporting GBP, its price has been bullish throughout the week, especially since DXY plunged. Given ongoing trade tensions, we may see another higher high. This is risky, so please analyse it yourself.
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GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD at Key Resistance - Time to Sell?OANDA:GBPUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.30950 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB I Model 2, Target HTF OBHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
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CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
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🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
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GBP/USD Resistance Test: Will the Pound Maintain its Strength?📊 GBP/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025
Overview
The GBP/USD pair saw a notable rally on Friday, opening at 1.2970, reaching a high of 1.3046, and a low of 1.2967, before closing at 1.3007. This upward movement reflects the continuation of the bullish trend from earlier in the week, supported by positive economic data from the UK and a weakening U.S. dollar. The pair is currently moving in a strong bullish phase, with the market eyeing higher resistance levels.
📈 Current Market Structure
After a period of consolidation, the pair broke above key resistance levels, signaling strong buying momentum. This move follows positive GDP data from the UK, which showed a 0.5% growth in February 2025, the highest growth in 11 months.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
1.3046: The highest point of April 11, 2025. This is immediate resistance, and a break above it could lead to further upside.
1.3100: Psychological resistance level. A break above this could extend the rally further.
1.3200: A major resistance area, which could be a target for buyers if the bullish trend continues.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
1.2967: The low for the day, which acts as immediate support. A stay above this level reinforces the bullish outlook.
1.2900: A significant support level. A break below this could signal a short-term pullback.
1.2820: Strong support, marking the bottom of the previous price range.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The strong bullish candles in recent days indicate dominance by buyers. The breakout above previous resistance levels and the formation of higher highs support the continuation of the uptrend. However, traders should keep an eye on potential reversal patterns as the price approaches resistance.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If GBP/USD holds above 1.3046, the next targets could be 1.3100 and potentially 1.3200, driven by strong momentum from positive UK data and a weakening dollar.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If GBP/USD fails to sustain above 1.2967, a pullback to 1.2900 could occur. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards 1.2820.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by positive economic data from the UK and a weakening U.S. dollar. A sustained break above resistance levels could open the door for further gains. Traders should watch for potential pullbacks at key support levels and monitor economic developments closely.
Note: This analysis is based on data available up to April 11, 2025. Always monitor the latest developments and apply appropriate risk management when trading.
GBP/USD Short Term Trend - Bearish Rebound🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news:
➡️ GBP/USD continues to climb, approaching the 1.3100 mark during European trading, as the persistent weakness in the U.S. dollar remains a key market driver. Escalating concerns over the deepening U.S.-China trade conflict and its potential to trigger a U.S. trade conflict. recession are weighing heavily on sentiment.
➡️ Broad-based selling pressure on the U.S. dollar followed China's retaliatory move to raise tariffs on American goods from 34% to 84%, supporting further gains in the GBP/USD pair.
Although Trump has temporarily paused additional tit-for-tat tariffs, investor anxiety over the U.S. Economic outlook remains elevated, with fears that trade tensions with China will intensify. As a result, the dollar remains under fresh downward pressure, allowing GBP/USD to regain bullish momentum.
Personal opinion:
➡️ DXY is showing signs of recovery after entering the extreme oversold zone. As a result, GBP/USd will have a downward phase after entering the overbought zone.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Volume profile combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GBP/USD 1.3080 – 1.3090
❌SL: 1.3120| ✅TP: 1.3020– 1.2970
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GBP/USD.. 30M chart patren..GBP/USD short trade setup summarized clearly:
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Trade Setup:
Pair: GBP/USD
Direction: SELL
Entry: 1.32150
Resistance (Stop-Loss Area): 1.32500
Target 1: 1.31690 (approx. +46 pips)
Target 2: 1.31000 (approx. +115 pips)
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Risk/Reward Analysis (R:R):
Stop-loss: 1.32500 (−35 pips)
Target 1 R:R: ~1.3:1
Target 2 R:R: ~3.3:1
This setup has a solid R:R if price reacts from the 1.32150 level and respects 1.32500 as resistance.
Would you like a quick technical chart analysis or fundamental outlook to back the trade?
GBPUSD - Intraday Analysis: Expect a slight correctionIt is true that the order flow is bullish on the daily timeframe, but on this timeframe, the price has reached an order block. Considering the price reaching a P/D array on the 4-hour timeframe, I expect the price to move towards clearing the liquidity of the internal range on the 15-minute timeframe after clearing the liquidity of the external range.
GBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger DropGBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger Drop
Since early March 2025, GBP/USD entered an accumulation phase, trading within a 145-pip range between 1.2870 and 1.3015. The first breakout attempt was bullish, but on April 3rd, a sharp sell-off occurred, triggered by Trump’s newly imposed tariffs.
GBP/USD has now broken below the 1.2870 support zone, a level where the price had held firm for a month. If the pair remains below 1.2870, the likelihood of a larger downward move increases.
Based on current data, GBP/USD might retest 1.2870 before continuing downward, but this is uncertain. The pair’s movement is highly dependent on Trump's tariffs, and any new statements or policy shifts could quickly change its direction
You may find more details in the chart!
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GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar)📊 **Chart Description – GBP/USD (3H Timeframe)**
This chart illustrates a potential **short trade setup** for the GBP/USD currency pair based on price action analysis on the 3-hour timeframe.
- **Resistance Level (R.L):** Price is approaching a clearly defined resistance zone between **1.31680** and **1.32104**. This area previously acted as a supply zone, where sellers overwhelmed buyers and caused a significant drop.
- **Entry Point:** The suggested short entry is at **1.31680**, just below the resistance level, anticipating a rejection from that zone.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Positioned at **1.32080**, slightly above the resistance to account for potential volatility or a false breakout.
- **Take Profit (TP):** Set at **1.27640**, aligning with a previously tested **support zone**, which acted as a demand area in the past.
- **Price Action:** A strong bullish rally has pushed the price toward the resistance level. The expectation is for sellers to regain control near the resistance, leading to a bearish reversal.
- **Risk Management Note:** The chart includes a reminder to “Trade with Risk Management,” reinforcing the importance of using a stop loss and maintaining discipline.
- **Projected Move:** The forecast shows a potential drop from the resistance zone down to the support area, forming a bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows.
GBP/USD Faces Crucial Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 GBP/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2696, facing significant resistance near the 1.2800 level. After a recent decline from the 1.3434 peak, the pair has been consolidating, forming a range between 1.2740 and 1.2860. The market's reaction to these levels will be crucial in determining the next directional move.
📈 Current Market Structure:
The recent price action indicates a neutral to bearish trend for GBP/USD. The pair has formed lower highs and higher lows, creating a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout from this pattern, either above 1.2860 or below 1.2740, will likely set the tone for the next significant move.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
1.2800: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a potential bullish move.
1.2860: Upper boundary of the current range. A decisive break above this level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
1.2933: Significant resistance zone. If the price manages to break above this level, it could lead to further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
1.2740: Lower boundary of the current range. A break below this level could indicate a bearish reversal.
1.2720: Short-term support. Failure to hold above this level might lead to a deeper correction.
1.2580: Major support zone. A drop below this level would confirm a bearish trend.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The formation of a symmetrical triangle suggests that the market is awaiting a catalyst for the next move. Traders should watch for a breakout from this pattern, as it will likely lead to increased volatility and a clear directional bias.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 1.2860, especially with strong volume, could lead to a rally toward 1.2933 and potentially higher levels.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A break below 1.2740 could trigger a decline toward 1.2720, with further downside potential if the support at 1.2580 is breached.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is currently consolidating within a defined range, with key levels at 1.2740 and 1.2860. The next significant move will depend on a breakout from this range, providing clarity on the market's direction. Traders should monitor these levels closely and prepare for increased volatility as the pair approaches these boundaries.
💬 What’s your outlook for GBP/USD? Will the pair break above 1.2860, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
GBP/USD Short Setup – Rejection from Resistance Zone with High REMA 30 (red line)
EMA 200 (blue line)
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Key Levels:
Entry Point: 1.31324
Stop Loss: 1.32303
Target (TP): 1.28102
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Analysis:
1. Trend Context:
The market shows a recent bullish move approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple).
The price is now reacting to that resistance zone and potentially forming a reversal.
2. EMA Insight:
Price is currently trading slightly above the EMA 200 and EMA 30, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, the suggested trade setup appears to be short (sell), anticipating a reversal from resista
Explosive Breakout Setting Up on GBP/USD – Here's the Roadmap🔥 GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe | Market Poised for Breakout or Breakdown?
Key Support: 1.26888
Key Resistance: 1.28829
Market Structure: Consolidation with bullish undertones
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (pending confirmation)
🧠 Market Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined horizontal channel on the 4-hour chart, oscillating between 1.26888 (major support) and 1.28829 (key resistance). This prolonged range-bound behavior reflects a market in balance, where buyers and sellers are cautiously awaiting a catalyst to drive the next impulsive move.
The price action suggests that this consolidation phase may be coming to an end soon. A breakout or breakdown from this tight range is likely to set the tone for the next major trend. Market participants should be alert to early breakout signals and volume surges as confirmation triggers.
📊 Price Structure and Key Observations:
The market has printed a series of higher lows within the consolidation range, indicating a subtle bullish pressure beneath the surface.
Price is hovering near the mid-range zone, consolidating after multiple failed breakout attempts at 1.28829.
A squeeze in volatility is evident from narrowing candlesticks and declining ATR, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔍 Technical Indicators Breakdown:
✅ RSI (14):
Currently trading around the neutral zone at 50, showing no clear directional bias. However, higher lows on RSI suggest potential bullish divergence forming, which could be an early signal of upward momentum building up.
✅ MACD:
A recent bullish crossover below the zero line indicates potential for a shift in momentum. Histogram bars are starting to turn positive, supporting a near-term bullish scenario if price confirms with a breakout.
✅ Moving Averages:
Price is trading above the 50-period SMA, which has acted as dynamic support on several occasions.
The 200-period SMA remains below current price levels, indicating a medium-term bullish structure remains intact unless support is broken decisively.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 1.28829 on strong bullish volume, it would represent a major breakout from the current range. This could open the door for a new impulsive leg to the upside.
Upside Targets:
🎯 1.29650 – Short-term resistance level from previous highs
🎯 1.30300 – Psychological round number and previous supply zone
🎯 1.31000 – Extended target aligned with Fibonacci 1.618 projection
Confirmation Factors:
Break + retest of 1.28829 as new support
RSI holding above 60
MACD expanding positively
❌ Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
Should the pair fail to break above 1.28829 and print a strong bearish rejection candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing), the pair could retest the lower support of 1.26888.
A clean break below 1.26888 with a decisive bearish close could signal a trend reversal, shifting sentiment toward the downside.
Downside Targets:
📉 1.26000 – Near-term psychological support
📉 1.25200 – Previous demand area and key fib level (61.8%)
📉 1.24400 – Long-term trendline support (if applicable)
⚙️ Trade Strategy & Risk Management:
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed candle close outside the range (either above 1.28829 or below 1.26888) before entering. Avoid false breakouts by validating with volume and momentum indicators.
Range Traders: Continue fading the range boundaries (buy near 1.26888, sell near 1.28829) while the channel remains intact. Use tight stop-losses just beyond the range to mitigate whipsaw risks.
Swing Traders: A successful breakout presents excellent risk-reward setups for multi-day trades, especially if accompanied by high volatility and news catalysts (e.g., NFP, BoE/Fed announcements).
🧭 Conclusion:
The GBP/USD pair is coiling tightly within a critical decision zone between 1.26888 and 1.28829. The tightening price structure, supportive indicators, and market indecision suggest that a major breakout is imminent.
Whether bulls take control or bears force a breakdown will largely depend on macroeconomic catalysts and institutional order flow. Traders are advised to stay patient, let the market reveal its hand, and execute only on high-probability setups with clear confirmations.
This is not the time to chase the market—this is the time to prepare for the move.
💬 Let me know in the comments how you're positioning yourself on GBP/USD this week!
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📈 Stay sharp, stay technical.
Would you like me to generate a matching TradingView chart snapshot with drawn zones and notes to go with this analysis for posting?
GBPUSD potential buy zone in inverted head & shoulder!GDP in GBPUSD had spike in actual value with the forecast has boost in this pair. Prior to data release this instrument had a break of structure has given strong liquidity grab as it has broken from long term trend line. As the market structure remain intact we may see the price to bounce back to the daily resistance line. 15m timeframe already has formed an inverted head & shoulder which signaling potential breakout. Any liquidity grab may give us potential entry in this lower timeframe.
GBP/USD: Bearish Divergence Flags Pullback Risk Bearish divergence between RSI (14) and price should have GBP/USD traders alert to the risk of a potential partial reversal of the recent bullish move.
Those contemplating the setup could look to sell around current levels or slightly higher, with a stop placed above the recent high of 1.3207 for protection. Bids may emerge around 1.3140—the high set last Friday—although 1.3045 screens as a more appropriate target, given the amount of price action seen either side of it over extended periods last year. While RSI (14) has diverged from price, MACD continues to generate a bullish momentum signal.
If the rally extends beyond 1.3207, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Even though price and momentum signals favour upside, signs of stability in U.S. Treasuries and stocks—two markets that likely contributed to last week’s U.S. dollar weakness—may support the greenback in the near term.
Good luck!
DS
GBP/USD - Weekly Elliott Wave Forecast | Potential B-Wave Trap!Pattern: Completed 5-Wave Impulse + ABC Zigzag Correction
Current Price: 1.3056
Forecast: Bearish B-Wave Reversal Incoming?
Technical Breakdown:
Major impulse from 2007 to 2022 marked as 1 to 5
A corrective ABC move completed at the key resistance zone
Price currently facing rejection from the C wave top
High probability of a B-Wave trap forming before a drop to the 1.14 zone
Strong confluence with historical structure and Fibonacci retracement
Next Move:
Watch for a weekly candle close below 1.28 to confirm the reversal. Bears may target the 1.14 zone in the next leg down.
Wave Structure Visualized (Top-Right Inset):
Shows possible B-Wave drop before bullish C continuation — a perfect trap zone for early bulls.
Trade Plan:
Short bias below 1.30 with SL above 1.32
Target: 1.18–1.14 zone
Re-assess price action near 1.14 for long opportunities
Stay Sharp, Stay Green!