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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

Potential bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.2963 1st Support: 1.3870 1st Resistance: 1.3007 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBP/USD: Reached the targetThe shorting strategy we provided at 1.3000 this week has now reached the first target position. If the profit is sufficient, you can close the order in advance. Wait for it to rise again and then you can continue to short. Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $800,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6
GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Fails to Hold Above Psychological LevelGBP/USD Analysis: Pair Fails to Hold Above Psychological Level As shown in today’s GBP/USD chart, the pair failed to maintain its position above the psychological level of 1.3000 USD per pound, where it had reached its highest point since early 2025. The decline followed recent central bank decisions and statements, with both the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged. On one side, the Bank of England: → Warned of inflation risks, partly driven by external factors such as US trade tariffs. → Indicated a potential rate cut in the coming months. On the other hand, the US dollar strengthened on Thursday after the Federal Reserve signalled reluctance to rush further rate cuts this year, despite uncertainties surrounding US tariffs. These statements highlighted the challenges market participants face in assessing the risks posed by tariffs on global trade. Technical Analysis of GBP/USD In March, the pound followed an upward trend against the US dollar, forming an ascending channel (marked in blue). However, once the price moved above the key 1.3000 level, the upper boundary of the channel appeared out of reach—possibly signalling weakening buying momentum. As a result, the price broke below the lower boundary of the channel, which has now shown signs of resistance (indicated by an arrow). If bearish pressure persists, the price could fall towards the dotted trendline below the channel, at a distance equal to its height. Additionally, a test of the previous local low around 1.2911 cannot be ruled out. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
GBP/USD DAY1 analysis • The chart shows the GBP/USD price action from early 2024 to March 2025. • The price experienced a significant uptrend from around May 2024 (near 1.26000) to a peak in September 2024 (around 1.32000). • After hitting this peak, the price entered a consolidation phase, followed by a downtrend starting in late 2024, bringing it to the current level of 1.29634. • The recent price action shows a decline, as indicated by the 0.30% drop. 2. Key Levels (Support and Resistance) • Resistance Zone: The chart highlights a resistance zone between approximately 1.29634 and 1.30655 (shaded in green). This zone acted as a ceiling for the price in late 2024 and early 2025, where the price struggled to break through and reversed downward. • Support Zone: A support zone is marked around 1.22829 (shaded in red). This level appears to be a historical low from early 2024, suggesting it could act as a strong support if the price continues to decline. • The price is currently near the lower boundary of the resistance zone (1.29634), which may now act as support after being tested as resistance previously. 3. Projected Price Range (Right Side) • The chart includes a projected price range for the future, shown on the right side in USD values: • Upper Bound: 1.30655 (top of the resistance zone) • Lower Bound: 1.22829 (support level) • Current Price in Range: 1.29634, which is closer to the lower end of the resistance zone. • This range suggests that the price could either bounce back toward the upper resistance at 1.30655 or continue its decline toward the support at 1.22829. 4. Volume and Volatility • The chart does not explicitly show volume, but the candlestick patterns indicate periods of higher volatility (larger candles) during the uptrend and downtrend phases, with smaller candles during consolidation. • The recent price action shows smaller candles, suggesting a potential decrease in momentum or indecision in the market. 5. Potential Scenarios • Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the current level of 1.29634 (which aligns with the lower boundary of the resistance zone), it could act as support, and the price might attempt to retest the upper resistance at 1.30655. A breakout above this level could signal a continuation of the longer-term uptrend. • Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold 1.29634 and breaks below this level, it could signal further downside. The next significant support is at 1.22829, a substantial drop from the current price. Intermediate support levels (e.g., around 1.26000, based on previous price action) might provide temporary pauses in the decline. • Consolidation: The price might also consolidate between 1.29634 and 1.30655 for a while if market participants remain indecisive, especially given the recent lack of strong momentum.
Short
by Stockhut_xc
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price may make a bearish reversal off our sell entry level at 1.2976, an overlap resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.2933, a swing low support. The stop loss is set at 1.3013, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
UPDATED ANALYSIS ON GBP/USDGBP/USD 1H - With this pair we have very similar thoughts to what we have on the EU pair. Rightly so with the USD being quote on both pairs, we want to see a breakdown in price. Now that price has broken structure to the downside breaking the last structural fractal low, it gives us some confluence that price is ready for a down move and the balance is in favour of Supply. In order for us to have confirmation however to short this market we must see price trade into the Supply Zone given, rejecting well and breaking structure for the second time but on the lower timeframes. This will confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next impulse lower. This giving us enough confluence to short this market longer term, setting our TP just above the last higher timeframe low.
Short
by Lukegforex
Short-selling strategy for GBPUSDThe one - hour chart of GBPUSD indicates that the current price is 1.29750, with the market showing potential bearish sentiment. The 1.30000 level acts as a key resistance zone, with multiple support levels below. If the price fails to break through this resistance, a decline is likely. GBPUSD sell@1.29600-1.30000 tp:1.28500 Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear. For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
Short
by JohnGonzalez7
GBP/USD Trend in US Session🔔🔔 🔔GBP/USD news: 👉According to the CME FedWatch tool, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is almost certain to keep interest rates unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range for the second consecutive time. As a result, the key driver for the US dollar will be the Fed's dot plot, which reflects' expectations for the federal funds rate in the medium and long term, along with the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). 👉Analysts at Fitch estimate that the tariff shock could “increase inflationary pressure by one percentage point” in the near term. This scenario would likely prevent Fed officials from cutting interest rates before the final quarter of the year. However, the CME FedWatch tool still indicates that the Fed may implement a rate cut in its June meeting. 👉Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to maintain its interest rate at 4.5%, with a voting split of 7-2. BoE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members Catherine Mann and Swati Dhingra are likely to support a rate cut, while the other seven policymakers are expected to vote to keep rates unchanged. Investors will also closely monitor comments from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey regarding the UK’s economic outlook, particularly in light of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. Personal opinion: 👉GBP/USD will trade in a range while awaiting the FOMC 👉Currently, the pair’s RSI is approaching oversold territory and strong support at 1.2942, so a rebound is likely. Everyone pay attention to trading to be able to buy at a bargain price for yourself Analysis: 👉Based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with trend lines and SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy GBP/USD 1.2945 – 1.2930 ❌SL: 1.2895 | ✅TP: 1.2990 – 1.3020 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
GBP/USD Analysis – March 20, 2025Technical Analysis Chart Timeframe: 2-hour chart Trend Structure: The price was in a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. A breakdown has occurred, violating the ascending trendline (orange line). The bearish engulfing pattern and aggressive sell-off confirm a shift in momentum. Key Levels: Support: 1.2770 – 1.2717 (target zone) Resistance: 1.2996 (previous swing high) Trade Setup: A short (sell) entry was likely taken after price broke the structure and retested the support-turned-resistance zone. Stop-loss above the retest area (~1.2996) Take-profit targeting 1.2770 or lower Indicators & Confirmation: Trendline Break: Signals a potential reversal. Support Retest: Price tested and rejected the key level. Momentum: Strong bearish candles confirm seller strength. Fundamental Analysis Recent Events Impacting GBP/USD UK Inflation & Interest Rates: The Bank of England (BoE) has been cautious about rate cuts, but inflation is cooling down. If the BoE signals rate cuts, GBP could weaken, pushing GBP/USD lower. US Dollar Strength: The Federal Reserve (Fed) has kept a hawkish tone, supporting the USD. Stronger US economic data (jobs, inflation) makes the dollar more attractive. Market Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off): If market sentiment shifts to risk-off, USD strengthens, adding downward pressure to GBP/USD. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook Technicals confirm a breakdown, with a short target around 1.2770 – 1.2717. Fundamentals favor USD strength, supporting a bearish move. Watch for: US data releases (GDP, employment) BoE statements on future interest rates A potential pullback to the broken trendline before further downside
Short
by aziezieam
Bank of England Rate Decision – UK Assets in FocusFollowing hot on the heels of yesterday’s important Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, today sees the Swiss National Bank and Bank of England announcements in focus. While the outcome of the SNB meeting will still be relevant for FX markets, in today’s post we will be taking a deeper look at the potential impact of the BoE decision on the direction of GBPUSD, which hit 5 month highs at 1.3015 earlier this morning, and the UK 100, which has recovered well from its dip to 8464 on March 11th . Bank of England Meeting: First up, market expectations are for the UK central bank to remain unchanged at this meeting due to the current uncomfortable levels of inflation and strong wage growth, however, with growth in the UK economy hard to come by, this could be a closer decision than anticipated. With that in mind, based on a no change decision later today at 1200 GMT, traders may decide to focus on the breakdown of the MPC committee vote to determine how close to a rate cut at this meeting they were, and to help inform whether the expectation of cuts later in the year is closer to becoming a reality. Market pricing is currently indicating around 2 25bps (0.25%) cuts across the rest of 2025, but could that move closer to 3 25bps cuts? This all will have implications for the direction of GBPUSD and the UK 100, and below we look at what the technical backdrop looks like. Technical Outlook for GBPUSD: GBPUSD has seen a strong advance since the January 13th 2025 session low at 1.2100, a move that has reflected positive sentiment, as an uptrend pattern of higher highs and higher lows has formed. This price strength has seen immediate resistance levels give way, including the December 6th 2024 failure high at 1.2811, the break of which has been the catalyst for this latest extension of price strength. Going into today's BoE decision, GBPUSD prices have moved close (1.3015 today's high so far) to the next potential resistance level at 1.3048, which marks the November 6th 2024 session high, and a level that traders may now be focusing on. While much will continue to depend on future price trends and sentiment, breaks of this 1.3048 level may open potential for a move towards the October 15th 2024 high at 1.3103, possibly further. What If 1.3048 Resistance Holds Current Price Strength? Failure to breach the 1.3048 high could reflect an inability of recent buyers to maintain the positive trend to higher levels, and could even suggest a price correction back to the downside is possible. In this situation, a support focus may be 1.2938 (half recent upside move from 1.2861), with breaks below this level skewing the potential towards a more extended setback towards 1.2836, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the February 28th to March 20th 2025 advance. Technical Outlook for FTSE 100 Index: Early March 2025 saw the FTSE 100 index retreat 5% in just 7 trading sessions (between 8911 March 3rd high to 8464 March 11th low) as a possible unwinding of over-extended upside price extremes developed. However, buyers were again found above 8424, the January 27th 2025 low, from which the latest price strength has been seen. This upside move is now nearing what might prove to be an important resistance level at 8741, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the March price sell-off. How this level is defended on a closing basis might suggest the next directional themes, with successful closing breaks higher opening the possibility for a more extended phase of price strength towards 8911, the March 3rd 2025 high. What if 8741 Resistance Holds This Price Strength? While the 61.8% retracement at 8741 isn’t a guaranteed area where sellers might be found, if it does manage to cap the upside then traders may start to watch how well support at 8629, which is the 38.2% retracement of March strength, holds any sell off. Closing breaks below this level may suggest a deeper phase of weakness. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
GBPUSD InsightHello, dear subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged while lowering this year’s growth forecast from 2.1% to 1.7%. The FOMC’s dot plot suggests an additional 50bps rate cut in total for the year. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the impact of tariffs on inflation would be temporary. While the likelihood of a recession has slightly increased, he does not see it as highly probable. - U.S. President Donald Trump mentioned that he had a very good call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and stated that Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are progressing smoothly. - In Turkey, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, a key rival to President Erdoğan, was arrested on charges of corruption and supporting terrorist organizations, raising concerns about Erdoğan’s prolonged rule. Key Economic Events This Week + March 20 – Bank of England Interest Rate Decision GBPUSD Chart Analysis After breaking above the 1.27000 level, GBPUSD has shown a sharp uptrend and is currently forming around the 1.30000 level. While the upward momentum has slightly slowed, this appears to be due to entering a resistance zone. Further gains could extend to 1.31000, where a new direction will be determined. If the price faces resistance at this level, a pullback to 1.28000 is expected. On the other hand, if the resistance is broken, the pair could rally toward 1.35000.
Long
by shawntime_academy
The peak is so close IMO... thoughts?So I've been tracking this idea for a couple of weeks. I think based on fractal pattern theory, that this is about to start dropping out, and really fast? Have a look at my previous GPBUSD idea, and you'll get an idea of what I've been thinking. I might be wrong, but I post because I want to hear alternative ideas, so fire away. As it stands, it looks like we need a big drop out/correction, and so have been holding a short position from 1.9557 as it's hard to truly predict when a drop out might happen. I've highlighted key support areas with circles - I'll update my idea as it hits each one, but I would'nt be surprised it we eventually got down to 1.7000 range (pink circle). I'd like to see a drop back to the green arrow/blue trend line, then we break further to the downside. The chart to the top left is a BTC chart which I use as a template to track where in the uptrends/downtrends. If you look at my last idea, you'll get an idea of what I'm on about and why I think we are where we are. We've got UK unemployment rate coming up Thursday + UK interest rates which could be the catalyst I'm looking for to the down side.
Short
by ash4zeker