GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD InsightHello to all subscribers,
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Key Points
- According to the ADP National Employment Report, U.S. private employment in June decreased by 33,000 compared to the previous month — the first negative figure since March 2023. This has strengthened expectations for interest rate cuts.
- U.S. President Donald Trump announced that a trade agreement has been reached with Vietnam. Reportedly, Vietnam has agreed to significantly lower its tariffs to 20% in exchange for opening its market. This has raised hopes for progress in ongoing trade negotiations with other countries.
- The EU trade team is currently in Washington, D.C., negotiating with the U.S. side and is reportedly requesting preemptive tariff exemptions in certain sectors.
- In the U.K., the welfare reform plan proposed by the Labour government has been significantly scaled back. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has not confirmed his confidence in Chancellor Rachel Reeves, leading to growing speculation that she may be replaced. If Reeves — who has emphasized fiscal discipline — is replaced, there are concerns that fiscal control could loosen.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ July 3: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (June), U.S. Unemployment Rate (June)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
After maintaining an upward trend, GBPUSD experienced a sharp drop. However, the pair appears to have regained its bullish momentum with support from the trendline. The upward view will be maintained toward the resistance level of 1.40000, the trend’s previous high.
That said, caution is advised near the 1.38000 level, where the previous sharp decline occurred, as this zone could introduce volatility.
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GBPUSD opportunity to go SHORTThe pair has been showing weakness for some time through RSI divergence.
On hourly chart it printed the indecision candle followed by two red candles. This gives us the cue for bearish momentum.
Since we need multiple reasons to short sell so we identify the recent low and if the price goes lower than this than we initiate a short trade.
For ready reference the TPs have been marked on chart.
wishing you a PROFIT-able trading.
GBPUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.370.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.378 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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#GBPUSD: Bulls are in control, DXY Dropping Sharply!Hello Team,
We have identified a promising opportunity with a favourable price movement. The Pound Sterling to US Dollar (GBPUSD) pair has exhibited strong bullish volume, indicating potential further appreciation.
The current geopolitical tensions, particularly the involvement of the United States in the Iran-Israel conflict, are expected to negatively impact the US Dollar. This decline could potentially lead to an appreciation of the GBPUSD pair and other USD-denominated currencies.
It is advisable to closely monitor the price behaviour of the GBPUSD pair and consider potential investment opportunities based on its current trend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
GU: Asian highs > Previous Day Low?Hi everyone,
Here is my forecast this morning for GBPUSD. Overall I'm thinking bearish, but I reckon that price could take out the Asian range highs first and then give us a bearish leg towards the previous day low.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
GBPUSD's strong uptrend continuesGBPUSD is in a strong uptrend, Price has just broken the resistance zone of 1.37500.
All the bullish momentum is heading towards the resistance zone of 1.388.
If there is a close of the h4 candle below the resistance zone of 1.375, there will likely be a Pullback to 1.363 to find more buying momentum towards the target at the resistance zone of 1.388
📈 Key Levels
Support: 1.375-1.363
Resistance: 1.388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY GBPUSD 1.375-1.373 Stoploss 1.37000
BUY GBPUSD 1.363-1.361 Stoploss 1.35800
SELL GBPUSD 1.388-1.390 Stoploss 1.39300
$GU (GBPUSD) 1H AnalysisPrice swept internal liquidity before dropping into a clear 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as a draw on liquidity. Following the mitigation, GBPUSD is now retracing toward a high-probability supply zone.
Expect potential rejection as price rebalances inefficiency and seeks sell-side liquidity.
Watch for bearish confirmation inside the supply zone — ideal for intraday shorts if the structure shifts.
Pullbacks = short opportunities.
GBPUSD - Bullish Channel (TCB Strategy)📈 GBPUSD – Falling Wedge Breakout Within Bullish Channel (TCB Strategy)
Type: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout
Timeframe: 1H
Status: Trade Running
🔍 Analysis Summary:
GBPUSD is respecting a strong ascending channel, with a recent correction forming a textbook falling wedge pattern. Price has now broken out of the wedge with bullish momentum during the NY session, signaling a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
This setup aligns perfectly with my TCB Strategy:
Trend: Bullish market structure intact
Countertrend: Falling wedge correction
Breakout: Clean bullish breakout above wedge resistance
🧠 Trade Plan:
Entry (EP1): 1.37350 (Breakout entry)
SL: 1.36850 (below wedge low)
TP1: 1.37600
TP2: 1.38200 (channel top)
🛠️ Checklist Score: ✅ 100%
All criteria met, including session timing, structure confluence, breakout candle quality, and risk-reward profile.
📌 Watching how price reacts around 1.37600. Clean break above that could open the path to 1.38200+.
Follow for updates.
#GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #TCBStrategy #BreakoutSetup #FallingWedge #PriceAction
GBPUSD Long, 1 JulyPrice is reacting from a Daily bearish OB, but this setup aims to catch the pullback — making a long valid here despite HTF structure.
LTF gave a clean 15m BOS, followed by reaction from the extreme 15m OB.
Entry was taken after a confirmed 1m BOS + OB retrace, in alignment with structure and location.
🎯 Target: 30 pips (1:3 RR)
⚠️ No clear Asia target, but structure favors this move
📍Entry: 1m OB after BOS
📉 Risk: 0.5%
High-probability pullback play, executed with confirmation and clean structure.
GU-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Strong resistance area approaching 1.37500Analysis done directly on the chart
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Timing!
You might ask yourself why sometimes your
trade idea was good but still ended up hitting your sl before it moves to your direction.
The reason is simple: Timing.
price is just not ready to push at that time
and needed extra liquidity and structure before it finally has the force to push.
Understanding when the market is ready is one of the most difficult thing for a trader to do but with experience you start to understand better and improve.
If you like the way I present and analyze, make sure to boost,
share and follow me for more future posts, ideas and useful informations.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USDPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
GBPUSD sideways consolidation support at 1.3550The GBPUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Level: 1.3600
This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.3600 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at:
1.3825 – Near-term resistance
1.3865 – Minor swing high
1.3900 – Longer-term bullish objective
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.3600 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward:
1.3550 – Initial support
1.3500 – Key downside target
Conclusion:
As long as 1.3600 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase.
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