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GBPUSD trade ideas

CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25 🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅1 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout? Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week. 📊 1. Market Overview GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe. Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone? 🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows): 🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone) Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300 Targets liquidity resting below prior structure 🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation OB holds, price flips bullish Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction. 🧱 3. Key Zones 🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526 🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283 🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600 🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280 ⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have: ✅ Clean entries ✅ Clear invalidation zones ✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+) 📌 5. Watchlist Note 💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG 💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs 💬 Call to Action: 📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week 💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce 📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
by ChartNinjas88
4
GBPUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3445, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.3360, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.3550, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
GBP/USD Got the Breakout - Can Bulls Hold the Higher-Low? GBP/USD has broken out to a fresh three-year-high, finally pushing above the Fibonacci level of 1.3414. That pushed directly into a test above the 1.3500 handle, and prices have since pulled back. Given dynamics in the USD, that bullish trend in Cable remains of attraction if we do see USD-weakness continue. But, if strength remains in DXY and USD, there's greater pullback potential for GBP/USD, with supports at 1.3250 and 1.3000 of interest for longer-term strategies. And if looking for that USD-strength backdrop, EUR/USD can be a more attractive venue given the context of a lower-high there even as GBP/USD has ripped up to a three-year-high. For short-term pullback scenarios, traders would likely want to see support retained at prior Fibonacci resistance, around 1.3414. - js
by FOREXcom
GBP/USD – Fundamentals Support LONG Bias, Pound Outperforms Doll📝 Idea Description (EN): 📊 Fundamental Analysis: 🔹 🇬🇧 GBP – Strong Currency: CPI inflation at 3.5% – highest in the G7 → pressure to keep rates elevated Q1 GDP growth +0.7% – strong economic performance 2-year bond yields at 4.08% – market anticipates tight monetary policy CBI retail sales -27 – short-term consumer weakness Market expects pause or delay in rate cuts → bullish signal for GBP 🔹 🇺🇸 USD – Weak/Neutral Fundamentals: Consumer confidence rose (98 vs 87), but... Durable goods orders -6.3% → business spending is slowing Fiscal expansion: Trump proposes $3.8 trillion in new spending USD Index (DXY) down 5% since April → weakening dollar ✅ Summary: The British pound currently holds a clear fundamental advantage. The Bank of England may delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation, while the U.S. dollar faces fiscal concerns and weakening industrial data. ➡️ Mid- to Long-term Direction: LONG ➡️ Breakout target: 1.3590+ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is not financial advice. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Always consider your own risk management and trading strategy.
Long
by entony195
Bullish continuation?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3395 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3304 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3581 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points Macro & Central-Bank Divergence UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025. IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar. Technical Structure Remains Bullish Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s). 14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run. Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup. Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish. FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling. Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.
Long
by TerraBullMarkets
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3395 1st Support: 1.3317 1st Resistance: 1.3583 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Massive GBP/USD Reversal Ahead? Head & Shoulders FormationGBP/USD is at a critical technical juncture following a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the pair above the 1.34 handle, printing a strong weekly bullish engulfing candle and breaking out of a multi-week consolidation zone. This move unfolded in a macro context where the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness, with Non-Commercial net long positions dropping drastically—from around 20,000 to less than 5,000 contracts. This shift points to a fading speculative appetite for the dollar, historically a leading indicator of upcoming corrective phases or broader declines in the DXY. On the flip side, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report on the British Pound reveals that Non-Commercials (typically hedge funds and asset managers) remain net long on GBP, with a slight increase week-over-week. However, Commercials (generally institutions and hedgers) have aggressively built up a significant net short position—levels that in the past preceded major reversals on the pair. This divergence between speculators and institutional hedgers suggests short-term bullish potential, but with rising risk of exhaustion near current resistance levels. Adding fuel to this outlook is the retail sentiment: approximately 63% of retail traders are currently short GBP/USD, with an average entry price around 1.3021. This kind of retail crowd positioning, typically inefficient from a historical perspective, adds contrarian support for further upside, as long as price holds above the 1.3340 structure. From a seasonality perspective, June tends to be a mildly bullish-to-sideways month for GBP/USD, especially when looking at the 10- and 15-year seasonal averages. While the seasonal bias is not particularly strong, there’s also no statistical downward pressure this time of year, leaving room for technically-driven moves influenced by liquidity and sentiment rather than macro patterns alone. On the technical front, the daily chart shows a steep rally capped by a large green candle on Monday, breaking cleanly through the 1.34 resistance zone. The price is now hovering inside a key supply area between 1.3499 and 1.3550—a historically reactive zone that has triggered major rejections in previous months. How price reacts here will likely shape the next major swing. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 1.3550 would open the door for an extension toward 1.37–1.3750. Conversely, a sharp rejection followed by a break below 1.3412—and especially under 1.3340—would set the stage for a deeper correction toward 1.3170. The RSI is currently showing early signs of momentum loss, although no strong bearish divergence has emerged yet. This implies that the pair could still fuel another push higher before running out of steam—possibly forming the right shoulder of a head & shoulders pattern if the rejection scenario plays out.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
GBPUSD – Holding the Uptrend, Eyeing Resistance BreakoutThe GBPUSD pair continues to respect a well-defined ascending channel on the H4 chart. Each time price retraces to the lower boundary, buying pressure has consistently stepped in. Currently, price is hovering near the channel’s lower edge and the EMA89 – forming a technical support area around 1.35370. If this zone holds, there is a strong potential for a rebound toward the resistance zone near 1.36100–1.36300, which has rejected price twice before. From a news perspective, markets are awaiting the U.S. CPI report tomorrow. If inflation data comes in weaker, expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates will increase, putting pressure on the USD and allowing GBP to extend gains. Additionally, the Bank of England is expected to maintain a more hawkish stance due to persistent domestic inflation – which further supports the pound’s upward momentum. Watching the EMA and lower channel boundary is key. If a clear bullish signal forms at this zone, a trend-following long strategy could carry a high probability of success.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
GBP SLIDES AS UK LABOR DATA MISS FUELS DOVISH BOE BETSEarlier today, the UK’s Claimant Count Change (jobless claim) i.e. the number of people in the UK claiming unemployment related benefits for the month of May was released with a whopping 33.1k against 9.5k projection and average earnings index plus bonus witnessed a decline to 5.3% against 5.5% forecast. Today’s disappointing UK labor market report prompted a notable shift in market expectations for Bank of England policy. Following the release of the weaker-than-expected jobs data, traders are now pricing in a more dovish path ahead, anticipating around 48 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year as against 38bps before the data release. In the wake of the weak data, GBP tanked across board and GBPUSD wasn’t left out. TECHNICAL VIEW OF GBPUSD AND POTENTIAL TARGET AS PER ANALYST From the technical perceptive, the GU on the 2H closed below the 50 EMA and is seen supported around the trendline at 1.3467 as evident on the chart. With the formation of H&S pattern and a clear break of the neckline at 1.3503, it hints that sellers are still dominant. While waiting for the next catalyst. If buyers step in and GU retraces, analyst expects potential target towards 1.3562 and a break above this would usher in the next resistance around 1.3610. On the flip side, if the bearish momentum continues, analysts envisage potential target towards 1.3418 and further decline would usher in 1.3334. Meanwhile, further break out of these levels are not ruled out. UPCOMING CATALYST On the radar, markets await U.S CPI and core CPI tomorrow. On Thursday, UK GDP and U.S PPI and core PPI would be on the wire. To wrap up the week, U.S consumer sentiment and inflation expectation would be the focus on Friday. These data points have the tendency to cause market volatility in the coming days.
by CFI
GBP/USD Technical OutlookGBP/USD is exhibiting signs of bearish momentum, with clear bearish divergence observed on the oscillator, signaling potential exhaustion of the recent uptrend. A double top formation is developing near the recent highs, further supporting the bearish bias. Price action is also approaching a key trendline and the lower boundary of an ascending channel. A confirmed break below these technical structures would validate the formation of a new lower high, offering a high-probability short setup.
Short
by AnalytixEdgeByQasim