The Day Ahead
Key Economic Data Releases
🇺🇸 U.S.
• March Retail Sales – Consumer spending trend, high market impact.
• Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization – Signals strength of the manufacturing sector.
• April NY Fed Services Index – Regional business activity snapshot.
• NAHB Housing Market Index – Homebuilder sentiment.
• Feb Business Inventories – Impacts GDP revisions.
• Total Net TIC Flows – Foreign capital flows into U.S. assets.
🇨🇳 China
• Q1 GDP – Key for global growth outlook.
• March Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Home Prices, Property Investment – Domestic demand & real estate health.
🇬🇧 UK
• March CPI & RPI, Feb House Price Index – Inflation indicators ahead of BoE moves.
🇯🇵 Japan
• Feb Core Machine Orders – Business capex proxy.
🇮🇹 Italy / 🇪🇺 Eurozone
• Feb Current Account Balances – External demand & capital flow indicators.
🇳🇿 New Zealand
• Q1 CPI – Inflation print crucial for RBNZ rate expectations.
________________________________________
Central Banks
• 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada Rate Decision – Watch for policy tone amid inflation shifts.
• 🇺🇸 Fed Speakers: Powell, Cook, Hammack – Any hints on rate cuts or economic outlook closely watched.
________________________________________
Earnings to Watch
• Tech & Industrials: ASML, Sandvik, Sartorius
• Healthcare: Abbott Laboratories
• Transport & Real Estate: Prologis, CSX
• Financials: US Bancorp, Nordea
• Consumer: Heineken
• Materials: Alcoa
High-impact guidance or surprises could trigger sector moves.
________________________________________
Bond Auctions
• 🇺🇸 US 20-Year Bond Auction – Monitor for demand; impacts yields and USD.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Thoughts- It's not if, it's WHEN !
All longs are null until the weekly order block has been breached or price drops considerably. In the here and now the short seems to be closing in.
It is as always important to stack confluences in favour of the short prior risking capital.
15' break of structure is an absolute requirement as this point of price action.
Within the higher time frame order block- looking for a lower time frame order block is not enough to short from therefore scrolling back months to find is pointless in our opinion.
We will let price show us, we will reaction with price.
What are your thoughts...
Are we dropping today?
FRGNT X
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.3260, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3166, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3368, above the 127.2% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD: So the highest high would break soon?So strong bullish that keeps everyone out of the trade except the big sharks :) 2 scenarios ready for entry, but I'm skeptical if the sharks would let me tag along...
by the way congrats to anyone catch that big bullish move. look at the volume and I'm so jealous :D
GBPUSD Analysis – Bearish Setup From Premium ZoneAfter a strong bullish rally, GBPUSD is now tapping into a premium zone just below 1.32800–1.33000, an area aligned with an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and potential liquidity grab. The pair looks set for a short-term correction before any further continuation.
🔍 Key Elements of This Analysis:
Premium Price Zone: Price has entered a high-probability reversal zone after a sustained bullish move, reacting within a supply/FVG area.
Liquidity Consideration: Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is likely to be swept before any downside move gains momentum.
Bearish Bias: My short bias is based on exhaustion near premium levels and the potential for a correction into previous demand zones.
🎯 Target Levels:
TP1: 1.3050 (first structure break zone)
TP2: 1.2957 (imbalance fill level)
TP3: 1.2846 (golden retracement zone / higher timeframe demand)
🛡️ Risk Management:
The stop-loss is placed above the previous high at 1.3374, protecting against unexpected breakouts. Entry is based on confirmation of price rejection inside the FVG area.
This trade idea follows my model combining liquidity sweeps, FVGs, and price action within premium zones — staying aligned with macro structure and clean execution.
— Emerson Massawe
GBPUSD Will it continue to rise?Today, GBP/USD rose to 1.3238, reaching its highest level since October 3, 2024. In the early London market, it briefly touched a low of 1.3184 and then rebounded quickly.
The UK's inflation data for March will be released tomorrow. If the actual data meets or exceeds expectations, it will further enhance the market's expectations that the Bank of England will maintain its current monetary policy or adopt a tightening policy. As a result, the British pound will be supported, and the GBP/USD will be driven to rise.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.31900-1.32100
sl 1.31300
tp 1.32550-1.32750
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. 👉👉👉
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy.
Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely.
The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Gbpusd support sell signal GBP/USD could face immediate resistance at 1.3200 (static level) ahead of 1.3270 (static level) and 1.3300 (round level). On the downside, first support could be spotted at 1.3150 (static level) before 1.3100 (round level, static level) and 1.3040 (static level).
GBP/USD rose three-quarters of one percent on Monday, climbing for a fifth straight trading session as the Pound Sterling continues to reclaim ground against the softening Greenback.
GBPUSD - Longs - Fundamental Analysis My trade idea for GBPUSD:
DXY (USD) News:
On 2nd April 2025, US president Donald Trump announced tariffs of 10% on most imports and up to 145% on Chinese goods. This has led to significant market volatility. Investors are increasingly concerned about the U.S.'s economic direction, prompting a shift away from dollar-denominated assets. This sentiment has been exacerbated by fears of a potential recession, as highlighted by JPMorgan Chase's forecast.
Major foreign investors, including those from China and Japan, are reportedly reducing their holdings in U.S. Treasury bonds. This retreat diminishes demand for the dollar, contributing to its depreciation.
Conclusion: We can expect a further decline in DXY price. Possible opportunity to long XXX/USD pairs.
BXY (GBP) News:
The UK economy grew by a faster-than-expected 0.5% in February, official figures showed.
Conclusion: With US placing tariffs globally, we can expect USD weakness over the next 2-3 weeks. GBP holds its ground with strong economic figures from Q1.
My trade position:
Between 14 - 18 Apr, I will be monitoring price action. Looking to buy below 1.32 with the first target being 1.35. 1.29 offers strong support.
GBPUSD - its breakout? what's next??#GBPUSD.. as you know guys our area was 1.3035 and in first go market boke that area but then drop towards bottom due to tariff implantation.
now market again break our area in today so if that is clear breakout then we can expect a further bounce towards 3400 and 1.3500
good luck
trade wisely
GBP/USD ANALYSISGBP/USD 15M - As you can see price has traded down and into the Demand Zone we have marked out above, this is after price has cleared and absorbed a level of Supply in the market.
This tells me that there is more Demand in the market than there is Supply and price is still showing clear signs of bullish structure with it not breaking any protected lows.
This trade is currently running + 17 pips. (+ 0.77%) 0.77RR
Based on this I have gone ahead and placed a long position with my SL below the zone I have gone ahead and got involved from and my TP is set at a higher timeframe area of Supply where I feel it may shake price once it trades in.
Well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself drop me a message or comment below!
GBP/USD At Interesting Area To Sell , Should We Sell Now ?Here is my Opinion About GBP/USD , I Have an old res and the price respect it 100% and gave us a very good bearish P.A , So i think we have 2 places to sell it , first one if the price back to retest my res level 1.31750 and if the price give us a good bearish price action we can enter and targeting 200 pips . if the price didn`t back to retest the res level we can wait he price to close below support with 4h candle and then we can enter a sell trade with the same target .