BEARISH BIASGbpUsd is set up for long term sell.
Looking at daily time frame you will observe price formed BOS while on a downward trend the previous week. That triggered a bullish liquidity sweep to previous supply region, which also was a resistance zone.
Upper liquidity have been fully filled, expect long term bearish trend which will get to daily demand zone, which was previously a support.
Below previous break of structure before upper liquidity movement, daily printed equal low liquidity zones which will likely not hold as demand zones.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBP This Week: Dollar - Fueled Rise & OutlookThis week, the British pound performed steadily in the foreign exchange market. The GBP/USD rose moderately, starting at 1.29800 on Monday and closing at 1.30540 on Friday, up 0.67% for the week and about 0.9% in total.
The slump of the US dollar index gave the GBP/USD room to rise. With the weakening of the US dollar globally and shaken investor confidence in dollar assets, the market's expectations for the UK economy remained relatively stable.
Despite rising global market volatility due to tariff talks, the pound, a non - safe - haven currency, wasn't significantly impacted, showing stable market confidence.
The pound's rise this week was mainly due to the weak dollar. In the short term, GBP/USD is expected to fluctuate between 1.30000 and 1.31000, with low volatility and stable trading expectations.
If the US dollar continues to decline in the future, the GBP/USD may further test the resistance level of 1.31500. Once this key resistance level is broken through, the GBP/USD is expected to start a new round of upward movement. The supporting factors behind this will mainly come from the continuous decline in the market's confidence in the US dollar and the further optimism about the prospects of the UK's economic recovery.
However, if the US dollar rebounds in the future, the GBP/USD may also face certain downward adjustment pressure. Nevertheless, given the relative stability of the UK economy, the extent of the downward adjustment is likely to be limited.
GBPUSD
buy@1.30000-1.30500
tp:1.31000-1.31500
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Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
GBP/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP/USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.287.
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GBP/USD Short Setup – Rejection from Resistance Zone with High REMA 30 (red line)
EMA 200 (blue line)
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Key Levels:
Entry Point: 1.31324
Stop Loss: 1.32303
Target (TP): 1.28102
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Analysis:
1. Trend Context:
The market shows a recent bullish move approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple).
The price is now reacting to that resistance zone and potentially forming a reversal.
2. EMA Insight:
Price is currently trading slightly above the EMA 200 and EMA 30, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, the suggested trade setup appears to be short (sell), anticipating a reversal from resista
CHECK GBP/USD SIGNAL ANALYSIS | GO AND READ CAPTIONHello traders!
I’m watching a potential SELL setup on GBP/USD.
Let’s break it down:
Technical Analysis:
• Price respecting the descending channel structure ✅
• Strong rejection from the 1.3318 – 1.3330 resistance zone ✅
• Bearish momentum building with lower highs ✅
Trade Setup:
📊 • Entry Zone: 1.3318 – 1.3330
🎯 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.3280
🎯 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.3250
🎯 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 1.3200
⛔ • Stop Loss (SL): 1.3340
PLAN:
Waiting for bearish confirmation within the entry zone.
Will execute upon clear rejection.
Patience and risk management are key!
NOTE: Trade at your own risk and do proper risk management.
GBPUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3311
Support and resistance levels:
1.3411
1.3374
1.3350
1.3274
1.3248
1.3211
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3350, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3374
If the price breaks through 1.3311, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3274
GBPUSD 1H Analysis – ForexCity SignalWe’ve entered a critical zone on GBPUSD.
Price formed a Higher High (HH) and later shifted structure with a bearish CHoCH
A new Lower High (LH) was printed, confirming bearish intent
But recently, bulls stepped in to create a Higher Low (HL)
Now price is compressed between LH & HL, meaning:
❗ One side is about to get liquidated. The next move will be impulsive.
🟢 Buy Scenario (If Bulls Win)
🔔 BUY STOP @ 1.33480
TP1: 1.33680
TP2: 1.33980
TP3: 1.34480
SL: 1.33080 (max 40 pips)
Reason:
Break of LH confirms buyers are back in control. This would be a bullish CHoCH reclaim.
🔴 Sell Scenario (If Bears Continue)
🔔 SELL STOP @ 1.32800
TP1: 1.32600
TP2: 1.32300
TP3: 1.31800
SL: 1.33300 (max 50 pips)
Reason:
A break below HL confirms bearish continuation after structure shift. This is the safer Smart Money entry.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic SMC compression zone.
Let the market break the range—then ride with conviction.
No guessing. Just precision.
Wait. Watch. Execute.
→ Patience = Power.
Sterling Keeps Flat Amid Trade WatchThe British pound held steady near 1.3290 on Friday morning, maintaining levels seen in the previous session. The currency remained flat in recent days, supported by optimistic comments from Donald Trump and largely neutral PMI data. Upcoming economic releases and developments in the US-China trade dispute are expected to play a key role in shaping the pair’s direction next week.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 25, 2025 GBPUSDAn event to watch out for today:
11:00 EET. CHF - The head of the SNB Martin Schlegel will deliver a speech
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is pulling back from its recent gains, hovering around 1.3290 during the Asian session on Friday. The pullback comes amid a strengthening US Dollar (USD), helped by a Bloomberg report that China may suspend a 125% tariff on some US imports, including medical equipment, ethane and aircraft leasing.
Sources familiar with the matter said officials are particularly scrutinising the possibility of removing tariffs on aircraft leasing. China's Ministry of Finance and General Administration of Customs have not yet commented. Further support for the dollar comes from optimism around trade talks with the US. Reuters reports progress in preliminary talks with key Asian allies, including South Korea and Japan.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, is recovering previous losses and is trading near 99.80. However, the dollar faced headwinds after mixed labour market data. The US Department of Labour reported that initial jobless claims rose to 222,000 for the week ended April 19, slightly above expectations, while jobless claims fell 37,000 to 1.841 million for the week ended April 12.
In the United Kingdom (UK), the GfK consumer confidence index fell to -23 in April - its lowest level since November 2023 - amid rising living costs and growing concerns about global trade, missing forecasts of -22. Traders now await UK retail sales data and a final reading of the US consumer sentiment index from Michigan later in the North American session.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3270, SL 1.3300, TP 1.3170
GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Scalping Perspective 4/24 10:37pmI’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is currently hovering around 1.33074, showing mild volatility but respecting key levels. Here’s what I see:
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Resistance at 1.33350-1.33490 has been holding firm, with multiple failed breakout attempts. If buyers can finally push through, we might see momentum extend toward 1.33700.
Support at 1.32850-1.32900 has been a demand zone, where price has reacted in the past—this could be an area of institutional absorption before a reversal.
Price is consolidating between 1.33050-1.33350, suggesting indecision and potential liquidity traps.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 21.69 → Deep in oversold territory, which suggests price could be setting up for a reversal.
CCI (1-hour): -184.71 → Extreme bearish pressure—sellers are in control, but exhaustion may come soon.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 0.0 → Completely oversold, signaling a possible bottom formation.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 26.10 → Moderate trend strength, meaning price isn’t ranging but also isn’t aggressively trending.
DX (1-hour): 69.10 → Strong directional push, supporting the current bearish move.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Breakout: If price successfully breaks 1.33490, the next upside target is 1.33700, potentially 1.34000 if buyers hold control.
Bearish Play: If price fails 1.33050, sellers could take control and push it toward 1.32850-1.32900.
Liquidity Trap Setup: A sweep below 1.32850, followed by a sharp reclaim, could signal a fakeout before a reversal.
Right now, I’m closely watching how price reacts around 1.33050—if buyers step in aggressively, a scalp toward 1.33350 could be viable. However, if momentum stays weak and price fails to hold above 1.33050, it’s likely we’re heading into deeper support zones near 1.32850 before institutions re-enter the market.
I’d like to check order flow and volume profile next to see if liquidity is building up at these key zones. That would help confirm whether buyers are genuinely absorbing sell pressure or if we’re in for another wave down before a reversal.
GBPUSD AnalysisGBP could potentially start its next bearish leg from the current level.
Price has reacted off a lower timeframe IFVG, which is currently acting as support.
If we get a clean close below this IFVG, along with proper short confirmation,
I'll be looking for bearish setups to target lower levels
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📈 GBP/USD – Buy-Side Trade
🗓 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🕕 Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 1.32709
Take Profit: 1.34232 (+1.15%)
Stop Loss: 1.32511 (–0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.69
Reasoning Narrative
This GBP/USD trade was built on a clear short-term bullish structure, observed into the New York close, where price respected a key demand zone from earlier in the day.
The Day AheadThursday, April 24 – Market Focus
US Economic Data:
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (March)
Durable Goods Orders
Existing Home Sales
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing (April)
Initial Jobless Claims
International Data:
Japan PPI Services (March)
Germany Ifo Business Climate (April)
France Consumer Confidence (April)
EU New Car Registrations (March)
Central Bank Speakers:
Fed: Kashkari
ECB: Nagel, Simkus, Rehn, Lane
BoE: Lombardelli
Earnings Highlights:
Alphabet, P&G, T-Mobile, Merck, PepsiCo, Gilead, Union Pacific, Comcast
Sanofi, BNP Paribas, SK Hynix, Intel, Dassault Systèmes
Bristol-Myers, Fiserv, Digital Realty, Freeport-McMoRan, Keurig Dr Pepper
Eni, Nasdaq, L3Harris, Vale, PG&E, Orange, Valero, Nokia, Dow
US Treasury Auction:
7-Year Note
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