Bearish till 1.35158.Price has created a bearish Type 1 dealing range on the 1 hour chart within a type 2 dealing range. This warrants bearish price action till 1.35158. My entry is at 1.35892 which lines up with both the equilibrium price level of the range as well as the consequent encroachment of the balanced price range. Furthermore, note the market maker sell model formation on the 1H chart. This poses a high probability sell set-up.
GBPUSD trade ideas
Sintra Signals: Central Banks Stay Cautious The ECB Forum in Sintra brought together the heads of the world’s most influential central banks—Lagarde (ECB), Powell (Fed), Bailey (BOE), Ueda (BOJ), and Rhee (BOK).
Across the board, central banks are remaining cautious and data-driven, with no firm commitments on timing for rate changes.
Fed Chair Powell said the U.S. economy is strong, with inflation manageable despite expected summer upticks. He noted tariffs have delayed potential rate cuts and confirmed the Fed is proceeding meeting by meeting.
BOE’s Bailey highlighted signs of softening in the UK economy and said policy remains restrictive but will ease over time. He sees the path of rates continuing downward.
BOJ’s Ueda noted headline inflation is above 2%. Any hikes will depend on underlying core inflation which remains below target.
#GBPUSD: Detailed View Of Next Possible Price Move! GBPUSD exhibited a favourable movement after rejecting a pivotal level previously identified. We anticipate a smooth upward trajectory, potentially reaching approximately 1.45. Conversely, the US Dollar is on the brink of collapse around 90, which will directly propel the price into our take-profit range.
During GBPUSD trading, it is imperative to adhere to precise risk management principles. Significant news is scheduled to be released later this week.
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GBPUSD – Short-Term Entry Model (Price Action Based)Education time!
This is a quick-execution on GBPUSD this London session based on a failed breakout and structure shift.
Price initially broke above the previous high but failed to sustain the breakout. The second push failed to print a higher high (HH), signaling potential exhaustion. Once the higher low (HL) that led to the failed HH was broken to the downside, a valid short setup was confirmed.
The trade targets the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the initial move that failed to hold above the high.
📉 Result: The setup played out cleanly, hitting the target with a +17 pip gain.
GBP/USD Trade Update: Re-Entry After SL Hit – Bullish Bias MaintAfter the initial stop-loss was triggered, price action has realigned with the original bullish outlook. Market structure remains intact, and the recent move appears to be a liquidity sweep rather than a full reversal. I’ve re-entered the buy position at a more favorable level, with a clear invalidation point and defined upside targets.
This re-entry reflects confidence in the broader setup and a commitment to disciplined execution. Sometimes, the best trades require patience and a second entry when the market shakes out weak hands.
📈 Follow for live trade updates, risk management insights, and GBP/USD strategy breakdowns. 💬 Let’s navigate the volatility with precision and purpose.
GBP/USD – Bullish Bias Holding Above Demand Zones (1H Chart)📈 GBP/USD – Bullish Bias Holding Above Demand Zones (1H Chart)
The pair is consolidating above key demand zones after a strong bullish move. Price structure suggests buyers are still active.
🔹 First Demand Zone: 1.36561–1.36683
🔹 Secondary Demand Zone: 1.35908–1.36226
🔹 Current Price: 1.37375
📍 As long as price holds above 1.36561, bullish continuation remains on the table. A clean rejection from demand with LTF confirmation could offer fresh long setups.
⚠️ No need to rush — let price test the zone and show intent before buying.
#GBPUSD #FXFOREVER #DemandZone #SmartMoneyTrading #PriceAction #ForexForecast #BullishScenario #StructureSupport
GBP/USD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Top Pick This WeekMacro Fundamentals (ENDO):
The UK macro backdrop remains inflationary, with solid growth data and resilient employment figures, supporting further GBP strength. Conversely, the US shows increasing deflationary signals and a softer macro pulse.
COT Positioning:
Institutional positioning is highly supportive, with a 74% long bias and strong “flip percentile.” This shows that “smart money” is increasingly positioned for further GBP/USD upside.
Z-Score (Positioning Extremes):
There are no extreme positioning imbalances in Z-Score for GBP or USD, suggesting the trend can continue without risk of a mean-reversion squeeze.
EXO Signals (Risk/Reward, Bias, Interest Rate Outlook):
Risk/reward metrics and bias signals favor the long side. The current risk-on sentiment in global markets also acts as a tailwind for GBP.
FX Sentiment:
The broader sentiment is risk-on, supporting currencies like GBP that tend to outperform in such environments.
Summary & Trading Plan:
Bias: Long GBP/USD
Conviction: High (9.5/10, all key signals aligned)
Ideal Holding Period: 1–3 weeks, as long as risk-on sentiment persists. Exit immediately if risk-off conditions emerge.
Why This Pair?
Because GBP/USD is the rare case where macro, institutional positioning, and market sentiment all support the same direction. This reduces “crosswinds” and increases the probability of a clean swing move. Watch for sustained risk-on flows and monitor for any macro or sentiment shifts.
GBP/USD Testing Resistance at 2022 HighsSterling marked an outside weekly-reversal through slope resistance last week with the rally trading just below resistance into the close of the month at the 2022 swing high at 1.3749. Look for support at the June high at 1.3633 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach / close higher exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003. Weekly support rests with the 78.6% retracement at 1.3414 with media-term bullish invalidation now raised to the April high-week close (HWC) at 1.3270.
-MB
The Day Ahead A packed data slate and central bank commentary will shape market sentiment today. Key focus will be on China’s official PMIs for June, offering the first major insight into the health of the global manufacturing cycle as Q3 begins. A soft print could amplify global growth concerns, while a surprise to the upside may support risk sentiment across Asia and commodities.
In the US, attention will turn to the June MNI Chicago PMI and the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index for further clarity on the state of US industry after mixed regional data earlier this month. The consumer credit and M4 money supply data, along with Q1 current account figures, could influence the USD via their implications for domestic demand and external balances.
The UK sees the release of the Lloyds Business Barometer, which will provide a gauge of corporate confidence amid sticky inflation and persistent BoE rate cut speculation.
In the Eurozone, eyes will be on Germany’s June CPI flash estimate, retail sales, and import prices, all feeding into inflation expectations ahead of the ECB’s July policy meeting. Italy’s CPI and Eurozone May M3 will also be watched closely for signs of disinflation and liquidity trends.
From Japan, May industrial production and housing starts will help assess whether the domestic economy is managing to maintain momentum amid a weak yen and global headwinds.
On the central bank front, the ECB Forum in Sintra kicks off, running through July 2. President Christine Lagarde is due to speak, and any remarks on the rate path or inflation outlook will be closely parsed. Markets will also hear from Fed’s Bostic and Goolsbee, potentially offering clues on the FOMC’s stance amid rising speculation around a September cut.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback.
📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System:
✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered
✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38)
✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby
✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play
🎯 Targets:
1.3500 (channel median / recent base)
1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area)
This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into.
🧠 Tools Used:
Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts
CC Trend Indicator
RSI OB/OS Scanner
MACD HPS Screener
Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.