GBPUSD trade ideas
PLAN FOR GU Price spiked into supply zone during NY open.
🟡 Now sitting around 1.3360+
We’ve got both LONG and SHORT zones marked.
📌 Two Plans
🔻 SHORT Setup
📍 Entry: 1.33998
🎯 TP: 1.33645
🛑 SL: 1.34099
🎯 R:R ≈ 3.5:1 (High-Risk Reversal)
🔼 LONG Setup
📍 Entry: 1.32839
🎯 TP: 1.33294
🛑 SL: 1.32738
🎯 R:R ≈ 4.5:1
⚠️ NY just opened — wait for confirmation before re-entering.
Let 15M candle show direction after spike.
🔥 High volatility zone — don’t chase.
DON'T MISS OUT ON GBPUSD SHORTS IN W21 OF Q2 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
DON'T MISS OUT ON GBPUSD SHORTS IN W21 OF Q2 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD Short Trade📉 Trade Type: Short
Entry Point: Around 1.3270–1.3280, near the breakout of the triangle pattern (highlighted by the yellow circle).
Chart Pattern: Symmetrical triangle breakdown with lower highs forming resistance.
Current Price: ~1.32696 at the time of screenshot.
🎯 Targets & Stop Loss
Stop-Loss (SL): Above triangle resistance / recent high → around 1.32889
Take-Profit (TP):
TP1: 1.32464 (local support)
TP2: 1.32168 (major support zone)
Extended TP zone: Below 1.31744 if breakdown continues.
🔍 Technical Confluence
Price rejected from strong resistance near 1.33049–1.33233.
Red candles forming below trendline.
Breakdown retest in progress at the triangle apex.
✅ Trade Idea Summary
Risk-Reward Ratio: Looks favorable (R:R approx. 2:1 or more).
Bias: Bearish due to triangle breakdown, retest confirmation, and lower high structure.
GBPUSD Week 21 Swing Zone/LevelsNot Always.
Not always will price conform to hypothesis, but in following good RRR success is assured.
We setup week 21 levels and zone as shown with the predicted pathways.
Trade Parameters: Entry on 5 mins chart
Sl 10-15pips
TP usually dynamic but typically 5x
Follow on for trade updates.
As Always PRICE determines trades
ORB✅ Your Execution Plan
Set Your Indicator Before Session Opens
Use the ORB indicator on TradingView to auto-mark the high/low range
Adjust time settings to match session window (1 or 2 hour range)
Wait for a Candle to Close Outside the ORB Box
Buy: Candle closes above the ORB high
Sell: Candle closes below the ORB low
Confirm With Structure
Higher timeframe (4H/1H) aligns with breakout direction
Candle should show strong body (no wick entry if using Heikin Ashi)
Enter at Close or Retest
Enter at the candle close or a retest of the ORB zone
Set SL and TP
Stop Loss: Inside opposite end of the range box
Take Profit: Size of the ORB box or nearest clean level
GBPUSD Trend Analysis On The 4H Chart Profit SurgingThe GBPUSD currency pair, as observed on the 4-hour timeframe, is currently exhibiting signs of a potential bullish reversal, with a suggested entry near the 1.32696 price level. This analysis outlines retracement considerations, key target levels, and invalidation criteria based on technical structure and price behavior.
✦ Current Market Overview
As of May 18, 2025, GBPUSD is priced at 1.32696. The market has formed a recent consolidation structure, showing attempts to hold above key support. The setup presented encourages buying opportunities based on the expectation of a bullish continuation or breakout from the current price zone.
✦ Retracement Zone and Entry Strategy
The green highlighted area on the chart represents the **retracement or demand zone**. If price dips into this area, it is seen as a potential accumulation point for buyers. Key takeaways include:
• **Retracement Zone Range**: Approximated between **1.31394** (low) and the lower edge of the green zone.
• **Candle Close Below Green Zone**: If price closes below this zone, the bullish setup becomes invalid.
• **Stop Loss (SL)**: Set at 20 pips below entry to minimize downside risk.
GBPUSD Holds Rebound Above 1.32On the back of softer U.S. inflation data and stronger-than-expected UK figures (with GDP at 0.2% vs. 0% expected and claimant count change at 5.2k vs. 22.3k), GBPUSD held above 1.32.
Bullish scenario: A clean hold above 1.3350 could push the pair toward 1.3450, with potential for new 2025 highs at 1.3750 and 1.4210, aligning with the highs of 2021.
Bearish scenario: A break below 1.32 may bring support levels at 1.3150, 1.3070, and 1.2980 into view. In extreme cases, 1.27 could be tested, aligning with overbought RSI levels last seen in July 2023 and September 2024, and the long-term trendline from 2014–2021.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
GBPUSD(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3291
Support and resistance levels:
1.3356
1.3332
1.3316
1.3267
1.3251
1.3227
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3316, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3332
If the price breaks through 1.3291, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3267
Pound Gains on Strong UK GDPThe British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum.
GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.
GU-Fri-16/05/25 TDA-Daily closure above DR for continuation!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trade updates!
No structure, harder to get good trades. Sometimes
all you need to do is wait for more clarity, more
structure and let the price and candles indicate
the move.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 16, 2025 GBPUSDU.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in April as the cost of services fell the most since 2009. The Bureau of Labour Statistics on Thursday released data that the
US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 2.4 per cent in April, down from 2.7 per cent previously. This figure was weaker than market expectations of 2.5%. In addition, initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending 10 May were 229 thousand, compared to the previous week's 229 thousand (revised from 228 thousand). This value was in line with initial estimates.
Swap markets priced in the first Fed rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) at the September meeting and expect two more rate cuts before the end of the year. Some analysts believe policymakers may wait until December.
Favourable UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data suggests the UK's economic health is robust, dampening hopes of aggressive monetary policy easing by the Bank of England (BoE). This, in turn, provides some support for the British pound against the US dollar.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3350, SL 1.3250, TP 1.3550
GBP/USD: Bull Flag Watch as Momentum Builds for Topside BreakGBP/USD traders should be on alert for a potential topside break, with price action resembling a bull flag formation.
Downtrend resistance comes in near 1.3340 today—a key level to watch for those considering bullish setups.
A break above that trendline would shift focus to the April 29 high at 1.3444. If cleared, there's not much standing in the way until 1.3644.
Momentum signals are also starting to turn more constructive, with the 14-day RSI breaking its recent downtrend and MACD curling back towards the signal line above zero. Taken together, the setup favours buying dips and trading in line with any upside break.
Good luck!
DS
GbpUsd Trade IdeaWith GU pushing back above the range between 1.34155 and 1.32325 we could expect price to continue with bullish structures. Price ended up breaking below 1.32325 before pushing back above with a solid retest and structure flip. I'll be looking to go long on the pair for a 1:3rr after price can retest from the small range it was in before pushing back above. If all goes well we should expect the highs to tapped into and maybe even create a new high where 1.34155 could get hit again. We'll see what happens.
Cable holds above $1.32The pound has generally performed well in recent weeks amid overall economic positivity, especially a positive surprise from preliminary GDP for the first quarter, and minimal political intrigue between Britain and America relative to various other countries. While tension between China and the USA has been lower since the announcement of a 90-day pause for most new tariffs, there’s no firm deal yet and trade between the world’s two largest economies remains disrupted. The latest British job report was somewhat weaker but it comes in the context of a long period of overall strong wage growth.
Although volatility has remained fairly high in May so far, there’s been no clear direction since the middle of last month. The 50 SMA from Bands around $1.313 is a possible dynamic support while the latest high near $1.345 is likely to be a strong resistance. While volume hasn’t dropped so much since early April here compared to euro-dollar, the price also isn’t as close to the oversold zone based on the slow stochastic.
Depending on sentiment and political and trade news, any consolidation might be fairly short because British inflation on 21 May is likely to drive movement one way or the other. Some estimates point to an annual headline figure as high as 3.3%, which would be a significant increase and the highest since February 2024.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
UK Data in Focus as Pound Tests 1.3300GBP/USD trades near 1.3280 early Thursday, recovering recent losses as the dollar softens with ongoing trade policy discussions. Optimism over reduced U.S. tariffs on British goods like cars and steel helps strengthen the appeal of the Pound.
However, weaker UK employment data and slow wage growth may increase pressure on the BoE to consider further easing. Traders now await UK Q1 GDP and U.S. CPI data. Despite global uncertainties, improving trade conditions have reduced bets on aggressive Fed cuts, with markets now pricing a 74% chance of a 25 bp cut in September instead of July.
The pair faces resistance at 1.3320, with higher levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support sits at 1.3160, then 1.3000 and 1.2960.
The Day Ahead Thursday May 15
Data: US April PPI, retail sales, industrial production, capacity utilisation, May Philadelphia Fed business outlook, Empire manufacturing index, NAHB housing market index, March business inventories, initial jobless claims, UK Q1 GDP, Japan April machine tool orders, Germany April wholesale price index, Italy March general government debt, Eurozone Q1 employment, March industrial production, Canada April housing starts, existing home sales, March manufacturing sales, Australia April labour report, Norway Q1 GDP
Central banks:
Fed's Chair Powell and Barr speak,
ECB's Cipollone, Elderson, Guindos and Villeroy speak,
BoE's Dhingra speaks
Earnings: Walmart, Alibaba, Siemens, Deutsche Telekom, Allianz, Mitsubishi UFJ, Deere, Applied Materials, National Grid, 3i Group, Engie, Take-Two, RWE, Cava
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