GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3311
Support and resistance levels:
1.3411
1.3374
1.3350
1.3274
1.3248
1.3211
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3350, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3374
If the price breaks through 1.3311, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3274
GBPUSD 1H Analysis – ForexCity SignalWe’ve entered a critical zone on GBPUSD.
Price formed a Higher High (HH) and later shifted structure with a bearish CHoCH
A new Lower High (LH) was printed, confirming bearish intent
But recently, bulls stepped in to create a Higher Low (HL)
Now price is compressed between LH & HL, meaning:
❗ One side is about to get liquidated. The next move will be impulsive.
🟢 Buy Scenario (If Bulls Win)
🔔 BUY STOP @ 1.33480
TP1: 1.33680
TP2: 1.33980
TP3: 1.34480
SL: 1.33080 (max 40 pips)
Reason:
Break of LH confirms buyers are back in control. This would be a bullish CHoCH reclaim.
🔴 Sell Scenario (If Bears Continue)
🔔 SELL STOP @ 1.32800
TP1: 1.32600
TP2: 1.32300
TP3: 1.31800
SL: 1.33300 (max 50 pips)
Reason:
A break below HL confirms bearish continuation after structure shift. This is the safer Smart Money entry.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic SMC compression zone.
Let the market break the range—then ride with conviction.
No guessing. Just precision.
Wait. Watch. Execute.
→ Patience = Power.
Sterling Keeps Flat Amid Trade WatchThe British pound held steady near 1.3290 on Friday morning, maintaining levels seen in the previous session. The currency remained flat in recent days, supported by optimistic comments from Donald Trump and largely neutral PMI data. Upcoming economic releases and developments in the US-China trade dispute are expected to play a key role in shaping the pair’s direction next week.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 25, 2025 GBPUSDAn event to watch out for today:
11:00 EET. CHF - The head of the SNB Martin Schlegel will deliver a speech
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is pulling back from its recent gains, hovering around 1.3290 during the Asian session on Friday. The pullback comes amid a strengthening US Dollar (USD), helped by a Bloomberg report that China may suspend a 125% tariff on some US imports, including medical equipment, ethane and aircraft leasing.
Sources familiar with the matter said officials are particularly scrutinising the possibility of removing tariffs on aircraft leasing. China's Ministry of Finance and General Administration of Customs have not yet commented. Further support for the dollar comes from optimism around trade talks with the US. Reuters reports progress in preliminary talks with key Asian allies, including South Korea and Japan.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, is recovering previous losses and is trading near 99.80. However, the dollar faced headwinds after mixed labour market data. The US Department of Labour reported that initial jobless claims rose to 222,000 for the week ended April 19, slightly above expectations, while jobless claims fell 37,000 to 1.841 million for the week ended April 12.
In the United Kingdom (UK), the GfK consumer confidence index fell to -23 in April - its lowest level since November 2023 - amid rising living costs and growing concerns about global trade, missing forecasts of -22. Traders now await UK retail sales data and a final reading of the US consumer sentiment index from Michigan later in the North American session.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3270, SL 1.3300, TP 1.3170
GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Scalping Perspective 4/24 10:37pmI’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is currently hovering around 1.33074, showing mild volatility but respecting key levels. Here’s what I see:
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Resistance at 1.33350-1.33490 has been holding firm, with multiple failed breakout attempts. If buyers can finally push through, we might see momentum extend toward 1.33700.
Support at 1.32850-1.32900 has been a demand zone, where price has reacted in the past—this could be an area of institutional absorption before a reversal.
Price is consolidating between 1.33050-1.33350, suggesting indecision and potential liquidity traps.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 21.69 → Deep in oversold territory, which suggests price could be setting up for a reversal.
CCI (1-hour): -184.71 → Extreme bearish pressure—sellers are in control, but exhaustion may come soon.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 0.0 → Completely oversold, signaling a possible bottom formation.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 26.10 → Moderate trend strength, meaning price isn’t ranging but also isn’t aggressively trending.
DX (1-hour): 69.10 → Strong directional push, supporting the current bearish move.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Breakout: If price successfully breaks 1.33490, the next upside target is 1.33700, potentially 1.34000 if buyers hold control.
Bearish Play: If price fails 1.33050, sellers could take control and push it toward 1.32850-1.32900.
Liquidity Trap Setup: A sweep below 1.32850, followed by a sharp reclaim, could signal a fakeout before a reversal.
Right now, I’m closely watching how price reacts around 1.33050—if buyers step in aggressively, a scalp toward 1.33350 could be viable. However, if momentum stays weak and price fails to hold above 1.33050, it’s likely we’re heading into deeper support zones near 1.32850 before institutions re-enter the market.
I’d like to check order flow and volume profile next to see if liquidity is building up at these key zones. That would help confirm whether buyers are genuinely absorbing sell pressure or if we’re in for another wave down before a reversal.
GBPUSD AnalysisGBP could potentially start its next bearish leg from the current level.
Price has reacted off a lower timeframe IFVG, which is currently acting as support.
If we get a clean close below this IFVG, along with proper short confirmation,
I'll be looking for bearish setups to target lower levels
The Day AheadThursday, April 24 – Market Focus
US Economic Data:
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (March)
Durable Goods Orders
Existing Home Sales
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing (April)
Initial Jobless Claims
International Data:
Japan PPI Services (March)
Germany Ifo Business Climate (April)
France Consumer Confidence (April)
EU New Car Registrations (March)
Central Bank Speakers:
Fed: Kashkari
ECB: Nagel, Simkus, Rehn, Lane
BoE: Lombardelli
Earnings Highlights:
Alphabet, P&G, T-Mobile, Merck, PepsiCo, Gilead, Union Pacific, Comcast
Sanofi, BNP Paribas, SK Hynix, Intel, Dassault Systèmes
Bristol-Myers, Fiserv, Digital Realty, Freeport-McMoRan, Keurig Dr Pepper
Eni, Nasdaq, L3Harris, Vale, PG&E, Orange, Valero, Nokia, Dow
US Treasury Auction:
7-Year Note
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 24, 2025📊GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 24, 2025
🔹Current Price: 1.32984
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance):
🔴1.34128–1.34346 – High-Interest Supply Zone (potential reversal area)
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢1.32026–1.32138 – Strong Demand Zone (clean rally-base-rally formation)
📈Bullish Outlook:
GBP/USD is pushing upward from the 1.32026–1.32138 demand zone with strong bullish momentum. A clean break above 1.33000 could lead price toward the major supply at 1.34128–1.34346. Look for continuation signals like bullish engulfing or break of structure.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price fails to break the 1.33000 psychological resistance and starts rejecting, we could revisit the 1.32100 zone. A break below this demand area may open room for deeper correction.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Buy on retest of demand or confirmation candle
✅Target supply zone with partial profits before 1.34128
✅Keep SL below recent swing low for proper risk control
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #FXFOREVER #BreakOfStructure #IntradaySetups #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis
GBP/USD is Bullish: This Breakout Triggers the UptrendFenzoFx—GBP/USD fell from $1.3435, testing the 50-period simple moving average near $1.3276. The Stochastic Oscillator is nearing the 20 level, suggesting the US dollar is overbought in the short term.
Support lies at $1.3202. The outlook remains bullish while above this level, though a close above $1.3295 is needed to confirm upward momentum. A retest of $1.3435 could follow.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $1.3202 would invalidate the bullish view, potentially extending the decline to $1.3144 or even $1.3030 under sustained selling pressure.
GBPUSD(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3274
Support and resistance levels:
1.3379
1.3340
1.3314
1.3234
1.3209
1.3170
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3274, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3314
If the price breaks through 1.3234, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3209
Long trade
15min TF Overview
📈 Buyside Trade – GBPUSD
Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🕘 Time: 8:55 AM (New York Time)
📊 Session: London Session AM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5 Minutes
🔹 Entry Price: 1.33029
🔹 Take Profit: 1.33829 (0.60%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.32958 (0.05%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 11.27
🧠 Trade Rationale & Execution Notes: (Market Context)
Identified a strong bullish structure in the LND session with price respecting prior demand zones.
📉 Volume & Price Spread Insight: Medium to higher volume consistency shows on the Volume spread analysis indicator, providing additional validation of buying interest to add confluence to the directional bias.
5min TF
GBPUSD Analysis 10:06AM. Are the Bear's stepping in? I’ve been watching GBP/USD closely as price continues to slide, now reaching 1.32848. The initial rejection near 1.33250 confirmed institutional sell pressure, and the breakdown below 1.32950 suggests further downside movement.
At this stage, price is sitting just above the 1.32750–1.32800 support zone, which could act as a temporary demand level. If buyers step in here, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.33050–1.33250, but only with solid confirmation. However, fundamentals remain bearish—UK Services PMI dropped to 48.9, signaling economic contraction, adding further weight to GBP downside.
Technical indicators reinforce the sell-side momentum. MACD remains weak, indicating sellers still control the market. RSI near 41.70 suggests there’s room for further declines but signals that price is approaching oversold territory. The ADX at 29.52 confirms a developing trend, though not yet fully directional.
Given these conditions, my plan remains focused on a sell setup near 1.32950, using it as a retest level. If price rejects this zone, it strengthens the short bias toward 1.32700, a key liquidity target. On the other hand, if price stabilizes at 1.32750–1.32800, I'll reassess whether institutional players are absorbing sell orders for a potential reversal.
Right now, my focus is on price reaction near support. If sellers keep control, this drop could extend further, but if signs of buy-side defense appear, a temporary bounce may develop. I'll wait for clear confirmation before executing my next position.