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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

Cable turns south after weaker British dataBritish data on Friday 13 December were pretty roundly disappointing: monthly GDP for October, industry and manufacturing all contracted against expectations for growth. Current estimates suggest that the Bank of England (‘the BoE’) will hold rates on 19 December and cut only three times in 2025, so it’s moderately likely that the BoE will remain at least one step higher than the Fed until next summer. It’s possibly questionable whether 13 December’s reaction to the data was justified, since overall fundamentals for cable seem to be stronger than for euro-dollar. The volume of selling hasn’t increased significantly in recent days, so the price might need to bounce slightly before another serious attempt on $1.25 or lower. The upside seems to be limited, though: $1.28 looks like an important resistance and the price is very close to overbought based on the slow stochastic. Volatility and volume will probably remain subdued until the central bank’s meetings, but from 18 December they’re likely to increase sharply. The next direction might become clearer then as the dust settles after banks’ news on consecutive days.
by Exness_Official
Cable turns south after weaker British dataBritish data on Friday 13 December were pretty roundly disappointing: monthly GDP for October, industry and manufacturing all contracted against expectations for growth. Current estimates suggest that the Bank of England (‘the BoE’) will hold rates on 19 December and cut only three times in 2025, so it’s moderately likely that the BoE will remain at least one step higher than the Fed until next summer. It’s possibly questionable whether 13 December’s reaction to the data was justified, since overall fundamentals for cable seem to be stronger than for euro-dollar. The volume of selling hasn’t increased significantly in recent days, so the price might need to bounce slightly before another serious attempt on $1.25 or lower. The upside seems to be limited, though: $1.28 looks like an important resistance and the price is very close to overbought based on the slow stochastic. Volatility and volume will probably remain subdued until the central bank’s meetings, but from 18 December they’re likely to increase sharply. The next direction might become clearer then as the dust settles after banks’ news on consecutive days. This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
GBP/USD Declines Following UK GDP Data ReleaseGBP/USD Declines Following UK GDP Data Release Today, the UK GDP changes for October were published, as reported by Forex Factory (month-on-month): → Actual = -0.1%; → Forecast = +0.1%; → Previous = -0.1%. The data revealed a slowing UK economy, defying analysts’ optimistic expectations. According to Reuters and other outlets, the latest GDP figures: → Could strengthen traders’ expectations of a more rapid interest rate cut by the Bank of England in 2025; → Undermine the target announced last week by Prime Minister Keir Starmer to make the UK the fastest-growing economy among G7 nations. Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart → From its December high (when a false breakout of the psychological 1.29 level occurred), the pound has weakened by approximately 1.4%, with the RSI indicator dipping into oversold territory for the first time this month. → The bullish trajectory (highlighted in blue), formed since late November, has lost its relevance after a breakout, suggesting bears are attempting to resume the downtrend within the red-shaded channel. → The 1.2615 level, which has repeatedly influenced the price (marked with arrows), may continue to act as support. Looking ahead, the Bank of England’s meeting next Thursday is likely to trigger heightened volatility. While interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, any surprises could significantly impact the current bearish momentum. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
GBPUSD GOING TO THE SKYGBP/USD is showing bullish momentum, supported by a decisive breakout above a key resistance level, accompanied by strong bullish candles and increased volume, signaling robust buying interest. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a major support level likely triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp reversal, indicating accumulation by smart money. The pair has also respected a rising intraday trendline, bouncing off it and reinforcing the upward trajectory. Technical indicators, such as bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD, further confirm weakening bearish momentum and potential for continuation higher. Additionally, the 50- and 200-period moving averages on lower timeframes are sloping upward, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. This setup, combined with low-volume pullbacks, suggests a strong environment for further intraday gains. + was going down in response to the previous liquidity levels, is now answering this by reaching the higher K levels
Long
by edl75
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 12 December 2024 - GBPUSD reversed from resistance level 1.2780 - Likely to fall to support level 1.2635 GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed down sharply from the resistance level 1.2780 (which reversed the price for the last 5 consecutive trading sessions) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November. The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.2780 started the active minor impulse wave 1, which belongs to the higher impulse wave (1). Given the multi-month downtrend, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 1.2635 (low of the previous wave (B) from the end of November and the target for the completion of wave 1).
Short
by FxProGlobal