GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD TECHNICAL & ORDER FLOW ANALYSISOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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GBPUSD: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed a bullish high range candle with a long lower wick going
below a key horizontal demand zone on a 4H.
A consequent recovery and a bullish London session opening suggest
a highly probable rise today.
Goal - 1.363
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GBPUSD"My current expectation is that the price will continue to move within the descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. I'm waiting for the price to retest the upper boundary of the channel. If a valid bearish confirmation signal (such as a reversal candlestick pattern) forms at that level, I plan to enter a short position."
GBPUSD BUY TRADEBuy Opportunity on GBPUSD
ENTRY: 1.35900
STOPLOSS: 1.35600
TAKEPROFIT: 1.37000
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GU breaker block analysisSo as GU broke 1.3600 with strong impulse on 25th June, price left behind an OB at that same 1.3600 level. I see price has come back to that OB with a very strong drop on 2nd July and completely gone through the OB. As that OB or 1.36000 level has acted as support, it has been tested multiple times but price has now broken through couple of times, turning the 25 June OB into a breaker block, which now acts as resistance and I expect price to drop lower towards the next 4h OB at 1.34000 level.
I'm now waiting for price to reach the 4h OB left at 1.36190 on 8th July to short down towards 1.34000 level. For entry I'm going lower to 15min chart to see the Choch for extra entry confirmation.
GBPUSD Bank of England (BoE) Bank Rate
Current Rate: 4.25% ,the 10 year bond yield GB10Y =4.632%
The BoE reduced its base rate from 4.50% to 4.25% in May 2025 and has maintained it at 4.25% since then (including the June 19, 2025 meeting).
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has signaled a likely gradual easing path with expectations of a 25 basis point cut possibly at the August 7, 2025 meeting, potentially bringing the rate down to around 4.00%.
The BoE’s decision reflects easing inflation pressures as inflation stands at 3.4% but remains cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and inflation still above target.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Funds Rate
Current Rate: Approximately 4.50%-4.25% (mid-2025 consensus)
The united state 10 year government bond yield US10Y=4.407%
The Fed has held rates steady at around 4.50% -4.25%, with markets expecting a cautious approach to rate cuts amid inflation concerns and economic data.
The Fed’s policy remains more restrictive compared to the BoE, though some easing is anticipated later in 2025 depending on inflation and growth.
Context
bond yield differential
GB10Y-US10Y=4.632%-4.407%= 0.225% advantage for carry traders in favour GBP.
Interest rate differential
GBP IRT-USD IRT= 4.25%-4.5%=-0.25% ,The Fed rate is about 0.25 percentage points higher than the BoE rate, giving a slight interest rate advantage to the USD over GBP at the short-term policy rate level.
Carry Trade Impact
The carry trade involves borrowing in a currency with a lower interest rate and investing in a currency with a higher rate to earn the spread.
Despite the Fed’s slightly higher policy rate, the BoE’s historically higher rates earlier in 2025 and expectations of a slower pace of Fed cuts have supported GBP carry trades.
The interest rate differential is relatively narrow, so carry trade flows are moderate but still contribute to demand for GBP assets.
The bond yield differential slightly favors GBP at 4.632% gb10y as against USD 4.407% , attracting fixed-income capital to uk treasury giving gbp short term advantage.
#GBPUSD
Intraday Drop into Support Zone — Can GBP/USD Bounce?Hi everyone,
GBP/USD continues to consolidate below the 1.36850 level. Price failed to break above and moved lower into the 1.35300–1.34600 zone, providing us with a clean intraday trade setup.
A drop into this area was highlighted as the more probable short‑term path, and we’re now looking for GBP/USD to find support in this region; and more importantly, to hold above the 1.33800 level to form the base for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.360.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.370 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD - 2 potential selling opportunitiesLooking at GBPUSD
We have 2 potential selling POI's.
The first one being a point in which we will need to sit on our hands for a little bit to see what price does at there is no inducement in the push down in the impulse leg. With that being the case we will need to see some sort of inducement built before we enter that POI
IF we clear the first POI I think I will take a more aggressive entry on the secondary POI that sits a little bit higher. This is due to us having already put in some sort of liquidity in and around that POI before pushing lower.
Will wait and see what happens.
Tomorrow could be a very good trading day
GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis
The GBP/USD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, with the market forming lower lows, a clear indication of sustained selling pressure. This downward momentum suggests that traders are favoring short positions, and the bearish sentiment may continue in the upcoming trading sessions.
Bearish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Downside
Adding to the bearish outlook, the price action is forming a bearish flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. This pattern consists of a sharp decline (the flagpole) followed by a slight upward or sideways consolidation (the flag). A breakdown below the flag’s support could trigger another wave of selling, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Support Levels to Watch
If the downtrend continues, the market could target the following support levels:
- 1.35850 – The initial downside target, likely to act as a short-term support zone.
- 1.35100 – A deeper support level that may come into play if selling pressure intensifies.
A break below these levels could open the door for further declines, potentially extending toward 1.34500 or lower, depending on market momentum.
Resistance Level as a Key Barrier
On the upside, the 1.37900 level serves as a critical resistance. If the price retraces higher, this zone could act as a strong barrier where sellers might re-enter. A sustained break above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase.
Trading Strategy Considerations
- Bearish Scenario: Traders may look for short opportunities near resistance levels or upon a confirmed breakdown below the bearish flag.
- Risk Management: A stop-loss above 1.37900 (or a recent swing high) could help mitigate risk if the market reverses unexpectedly.
- Bullish Caution: If GBP/USD breaks above 1.37900 with strong momentum, the bearish thesis may need reevaluation.
Conclusion
The GBP/USD pair remains bearish in the short term, supported by the lower lows and the bearish flag pattern. Traders should monitor the 1.35850 and 1.35100 support levels for potential downside targets, while keeping an eye on 1.37900 as a key resistance that could determine whether the downtrend continues or reverses. Proper risk management remains essential in navigating this market structure.
GBPUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3557 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.3657
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3503
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/USD30 Mins Frame
🧠 Technical Overview:
Price is currently testing a strong resistance zone after a gradual upward movement, with signs of a potential bearish reversal.
A rising wedge pattern is forming — typically a bearish reversal pattern, especially if broken to the downside.
🧩 Key Technical Elements:
1. Supply Zone:
Defined between 1.3675 and 1.3717 — a previously strong resistance area.
Price is currently facing rejection within this zone, showing weakening bullish momentum.
2. Entry Point:
Sell at 1.36560, triggered by rejection from the resistance zone and a potential breakdown below the ascending support (blue line).
3. Stop Loss:
1.37177, placed above the supply zone — a logical level that invalidates the bearish setup if reached.
4. Targets:
First Target: 1.35602 – a clear previous support level and logical profit-taking zone.
Second Target: 1.34207 – a stronger, more significant support zone, likely to be tested if bearish momentum continues.
📉 Expected Price Action:
The chart shows a weak rising wedge pattern, indicating potential buyer exhaustion.
A break below the ascending trendline (blue) may trigger strong downside movement.
The expected move is illustrated with the red arrow on the chart, indicating a bearish trajectory.
🔥 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R):
First Target:
Potential Reward: ~95 pips
Risk (SL): ~61 pips
→ R:R ≈ 1.56:1
Second Target:
Potential Reward: ~235 pips
→ R:R ≈ 3.85:1
✅ Very favorable, especially toward the second target.
✅ Conclusion:
The short setup is technically valid and supported by price structure and resistance confirmation.
The supply zone has proven strong, and price is struggling to break above it.
A solid trade opportunity for short- to medium-term traders with clearly defined risk and reward.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD got out from the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● Price pierced the blue-labelled trend-line and is threatening to exit a month-long contracting triangle; successive higher lows since 3 Jul show demand absorbing every dip.
● A confirmed H1 close above 1.3650 completes the pattern, unlocking the 1.3700-1.3720 supply zone (June range cap) with measured-move scope toward the broader channel midpoint at 1.3770.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Post-election political clarity and an uptick in UK 2-yr gilt yields narrow the policy-gap, while Friday’s softer US NFP trims Fed-rate expectations—both favouring sterling over the dollar.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.3620-1.3650; break >1.3650 targets 1.3700 → 1.3770. Long bias void on an H1 close below 1.3590.
-------------------
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GU-Tue-08/07/25 TDA-GU stagnant ahead of tomorrow's FOMC minutesAnalysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Green flags, Red flags when you follow someone in trading:
Red flags:
-Always and only share winning trades
-No track records
-A lot of marketing campaign, offering paid courses and more but
with no proof of real trading skills
(I'm not against paid course etc... Just to keep in mind)
-Just sharing buy or sell but without explaining the confluences,
the setups, the reasons, the lot size, how risk manage the trade...
-Simply don't even know where to put sl and tp in advance
Green flags:
-Do live streaming in real time
-Keeping transparent about trade setups, ideas,
about wins and losses
-Share live track record of an account
These are just some signs (could be more green and red flag signs),
and should not be used as effective methods.
If you have more of green flags or red flags ideas, comment down below!
Premise:
A simple idea plan (like Tradingview public posts) won't describe everything.
No one can predict how market will move, it's always good to react to how it moves.
It gives an idea of how price might move, but no one come from FUTURE.
So I always encourage people to openly and actively discuss in real time.
For example discussing on Tradingview public chat (and more).
I don't give signals blindly, people should learn
and understand the skill.
Following blindly signals you won't know how to
manage the trade, where precisely put sl and tp,
lot size and replicate the move over time.
That's why you need active real time discussions.
Trading is not get rich quick scheme!
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials has been taking profits on during last 3 weeks. There for I think we need deeper pullback to reload the longs.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBP/USD: Short‑Term Pullback Likely Before Fresh Upside AttemptHi everyone,
GBP/USD continues to consolidate below the 1.36850 level. We expect a retest of this level today; should price fail to break above, we anticipate a move lower to find buying interest between the 1.35300 and 1.34600 zones. A drop into this area appears to be the more probable short‑term path and could set the stage for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX