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GBPUSD trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July. Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%. On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD GBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Upcoming Monetary Policy News (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: As of June 24, 2025, the UK 10-year government bond yield is 4.51%, having recently climbed as high as 4.73%—the highest since April—driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Markets have scaled back expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts due to persistent inflation, particularly in core and services sectors. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield ended June 20, 2025 at 4.38%. 2. Central Bank Interest Rates Bank of England (BoE) Rate: The BoE held its policy rate steady at 4.25% at its June 19 meeting, with a 6–3 vote to maintain rates. Three members favored a 0.25% cut to 4.00%. Inflation in the UK slowed to 3.4% in May (from 3.5% in April), but core and services inflation remain elevated, making policymakers cautious about cutting rates too soon. US Federal Reserve Rate: The Federal Reserve kept its key rate in a range of 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting and signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later this year, but with ongoing uncertainty about the timing. 3. Upcoming Monetary Policy News (Late June–July 2025) Bank of England: The BoE is expected to remain cautious, with markets now pricing in only 34 basis points of cuts for 2025 (down from earlier expectations of two cuts this year). Economists expect a possible rate cut in August if inflation and wage growth show clearer signs of easing. Federal Reserve: The Fed continues to signal a data-dependent approach, with two cuts still possible in 2025 if inflation moderates and growth slows as projected. Key Data to Watch: UK: Flash PMIs (Thursday) for signs of economic momentum or weakness. US: PCE inflation and labor market data for Fed policy clues. Summary Table Metric/News UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.51% (recent high: 4.73%) 4.38% Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% Next Central Bank Decision Possible cut in August Two cuts possible in 2025 Key Drivers Sticky core/services inflation Inflation, growth, Fed outlook Key Takeaways The UK 10-year gilt yield remains above the US 10-year yield, supporting GBP/USD in the near term. The BoE is holding rates steady but may cut in August if inflation data softens further. The Fed is also on hold, with possible cuts later in 2025, making upcoming inflation and labor data crucial for both currencies. Both central banks are in a wait-and-see mode, with markets closely watching economic data and policy signals for direction. #GBPUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GU-Tue-24/06/25 TDA-Strong bullish push from GU, don't FOMOing!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! It's really easy to FOMOing when price is going unilateral and I don't blame you. It's part of human psychology to instinctively react like this. But ask yourself: if you FOMOed this time and got lucky, do you think long term it's a repeatable approach? Sustainable long term? When price pushes a lot and you are not in the trade, usually good thing to do is wait for some sort of pullback or some sort of support so you can put good sl placement. So you know already your sl and tp before you enter a trade. One good or bad trading day won't define you as a trader. The consistent results will! Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Long
by Mister_Y
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3559, a pullback resistance that aligns with the127.2Fib extension. Our take profit is set at 1.3503, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.3622, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
The area above recent highs, where buy stops are likely resting.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): The area above recent highs, where buy stops are likely resting. Marked near the 1.36200–1.36400 zone. The price is projected to sweep this area. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): The area below previous lows, where sell stops are likely resting. Marked near the 1.33600–1.33800 zone. Price previously swept this level before a sharp move upward. Market Behavior Analysis: Liquidity Sweep Pattern: The price dipped below the SSL zone (stop-hunting weak longs). A strong bullish move followed, aiming toward BSL. The projected path suggests price may tap the BSL, then reverse. Bearish Outlook Post-Liquidity Grab: After hitting BSL (liquidity sweep), price is expected to reverse. A potential bearish swing may take price back to SSL or lower. Likely Strategy Indicated: Short Setup After Liquidity Sweep: Wait for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or break of structure). Entry near 1.36200 zone with target near SSL (1.33600 zone).
by King_Maker_FX
Bullish rise off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3503 1st Support: 1.3455 1st Resistance: 1.3616 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area.Chart Elements: Instrument & Timeframe: Pair: GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick = 4 hours) Key Zones Highlighted: Top Green Box (~1.36000–1.36500): This represents a resistance zone where price has previously struggled to break above. Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area or potential stop-hunt zone. Bottom Green Box (~1.33500–1.34200): This is a support zone where price has bounced before. The price is currently near this support level. Price Movement Forecast (White Zigzag Line): Indicates a bullish projection: Suggests a potential bounce from the current support zone. A possible rally back towards the resistance zone (~1.36000–1.36500), potentially to grab liquidity above the EQH. Current Price: Shown around 1.34656, which is near the bottom support zone. Candlestick Structure: Price has recently had a sharp move down into the support zone. A possible reversal setup is forming based on the projection. Interpretation: The chart suggests a bullish scenario for GBP/USD: The price is expected to hold the support zone. If buying pressure comes in, the price may rise toward the resistance level to test or sweep the equal highs.
by King_Maker_FX
GBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its GripGBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its Grip The bearish scenario for GBPUSD remains valid, aligning with our previous analysis. Despite expectations of a softer U.S. dollar, ongoing geopolitical tensions—particularly the escalating war—have sustained dollar strength. This resilience in the dollar undermines any near-term bullish recovery for GBPUSD. Resistance zone 1.35500 / 1.36000 Support Levels 1.33500 / 1.32500 Technically, the pair continues to trade under key resistance zones, with lower highs confirming bearish momentum. Unless we see a decisive shift in the geopolitical narrative or major macroeconomic data supporting GBP recovery, the bearish bias remains intact. you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Short
by MrMartin_11
1
GBPUSD (Daily + H4) – Bullish Symmetry with Shark Execution & El Hello awesome traders! I hope your trading week has been phenomenal. Let’s close out the week strong with this GBPUSD analysis combining Daily structure with lower-timeframe execution. Main Chart: SYMMETRY (Daily) – Bullish Setup Price has completed a perfect AB=CD symmetry structure with clear legs from the May rally. We now sit inside a strong PCZ (Potential Completion Zone) between the 78.6% and 100% projections, near a prior breakout zone. This type of measured pullback often sets the base for continuation when confirmed by lower timeframes. Execution Chart: SHARK (H4) – Entry Strategy On the 4H, we have a clean SHARK pattern terminating deep within the same PCZ as the daily symmetry. Price tagged 161.8% then immediately bounced, printing a bullish engulfing structure above the 127.2% fib. That’s our signal to focus long. We define the entry above the minor high / 200 SMA retest — at 1.34450, with stops just below 1.33800 (under the wick and invalidation zone). Targets are aligned with fib retracement and extension zones, 61.8% first, 127% for the extended leg. Elliot Context (H4 + Daily Overview) On the H4, price completed a 5-leg Elliott drive with wedge structure and a sharp exhaustion push down to PRZ. On the Daily, the Elliott overview shows price respecting impulsive wave alignment and now positioning for a corrective rally that aligns with our symmetry leg expectation. Next Steps: Execution: Enter long above 1.34450 only on confirmation. First target: 1.34920 zone (61.8% fib). Extended target: 1.36083 (127.2% fib). Invalidation: Below 1.33800 — if price closes below the PRZ, setup is void. Risk Management: Clear stop placement and PRZ-based entry. Confluence from Daily + H4 structure + Elliott logic supports the long idea. No FOMO — only execute on confirmation. Let the market come to you. Hope you all have a great weekend! Let’s stay disciplined, trust the structure, and trade like the pros. —Constantino DeLa Tradechartpatternslikethepros.
Long
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Major resistance ahead?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3535 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 1.3449 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.3449 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD Trading Strategy for the WeekGBPUSD is reacting at the support zone of 1.34000. This is the last important support zone that the pair is facing. If this support zone is broken, the pair will enter a prolonged Downtrend phase. 1.325 could be the target for this decline. If the 1.34000 zone is pushed up by buyers, the pair will touch the 1.35000 border zone. If this zone is broken, the pair will form a double bottom pattern and continue to increase back to the peak of last week around 1.36000. In case the buying force is not strong enough to break 1.35000, the pair will return to the sideway in the rectangular border. Support: 1.32500 Resistance: 1.36000 Break out: 1.34000-1.35000 Recommended good trading strategy: Trade when price confirms in Break out zone. BUY 1.32600-1.32400 Stoploss 1.32000 SELL 1.35900-1.36100 Stoploss 1.36400
by VHT_Trader
1
GBP/USD Downtrend Wedge Breakout Setup – Bullish Target AheadThe GBP/USD pair is currently displaying a downtrend wedge pattern, a structure that typically signals a bullish reversal when confirmed. The pattern is formed by a descending resistance trendline (in red) and a gradually sloping support line (in green), converging to a point. Price has bounced off the wedge’s support multiple times while forming lower highs, creating pressure that often leads to a breakout. As seen in the chart, the pair recently surged toward the upper resistance line and is now attempting to break above it. A successful breakout with bullish candle confirmation could lead to a strong move upward. 📈 Breakout Scenario If the price manages to close above the resistance zone (~1.3490–1.3500), it would confirm the wedge breakout. Based on the height of the pattern, the projected breakout target is around 1.3692. This target is calculated by measuring the vertical height of the wedge and adding it to the breakout point. Confirmation of breakout should ideally include a retest of the broken resistance acting as new support. 📉 Rejection Scenario However, if the breakout attempt fails and the price gets rejected again from the red resistance line, the pair could retest the wedge’s support area around 1.3360. A breakdown below the green zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and suggest continued bearish pressure. ⚙️ Strategy Tips Buy Setup: Enter after breakout candle closes above 1.3500 with stop loss just below breakout zone. Take Profit: Use the 1.3692 level as the primary target or scale out on the way up. Confirmation: Always wait for breakout confirmation before entering; avoid false breakouts. ✅ Conclusion This wedge breakout setup offers a bullish trading opportunity if confirmed. The clear structure, repeated tests of both support and resistance, and recent momentum build a strong technical case. Still, confirmation is key before initiating any positions. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Long
by TradZoo