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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3334 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3420 1.3388 1.3367 1.3301 1.3280 1.3248 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3367, consider buying, with the first target price being 1.3388. If the price breaks below 1.3334, consider selling, with the first target price being 1.3301 .
Long
by NicolaZhu
GBPUSD LONGCheck comment for multi-timeframe clean layout due to TradingViews publishing restriction. M5T screenshot also attached. Price reacting from weekly demand, as mapped out in Monday’s post. Still expecting a bullish move — unless 4H supply holds again. Today, demand showed strength across timeframes. 5M demand held firm, aligning with 4H demand. Waited for price to return to the 5M zone, then dropped to 15s for entry. Tapped out after 3RR was achieved — no more, no less. same system, same pair Data never lies.
Long
by Protecttheworld
2
The Day AheadChatGPT said: Market Summary – Wednesday, August 6 Key Data Releases: UK July Construction PMI and Eurozone July Construction PMI provide fresh insight into construction sector momentum amid rate cut hopes. Germany June Factory Orders and Italy June Industrial Production offer signals on European industrial resilience. France Q2 Private Payrolls and Eurozone June Retail Sales help gauge consumer and labor market strength. Japan June Labor Cash Earnings may influence BoJ expectations on wage-led inflation. Central Banks: Fed’s Cook and Collins are scheduled to speak—investors will listen closely for clues on the Fed’s policy stance amid rising speculation of a rate cut. Corporate Earnings: Heavy day for earnings across sectors: Tech & Consumer Platforms: Shopify, Airbnb, Duolingo, Lyft, DoorDash, Uber Media & Entertainment: Walt Disney, DraftKings Pharma & Healthcare: Novo Nordisk, Bayer, Generali Energy: Siemens Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Energy Transfer, NRG Energy Financials: Thomson Reuters, Commerzbank, Carlyle, Global Payments, Vonovia Industrials & Materials: CRH, Emerson Electric, Rockwell Automation, Glencore, Honda Motor Cybersecurity & Tech: Fortinet, AppLovin Auctions: The US 10-year Treasury auction will be closely watched for demand signals, especially as bond markets weigh the timing of potential rate cuts. Conclusion: A data-rich and earnings-heavy day with cross-sector insights, particularly in consumer trends, industrial health, and energy outlooks. Markets may remain sensitive to Fed commentary and the 10-year auction, as macro and monetary signals converge. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 6, 2025 GBPUSDSterling stays on the back foot ahead of tomorrow’s Bank of England decision: consensus expects the Bank Rate to be held at 5.25 percent, but markets price only one or two modest cuts by year-end as inflation has slowed to 2.6 percent while June retail sales fell 0.9 percent m/m. Additional pressure stems from fiscal concerns: the UK Treasury warned that GBP 4 billion of spending cuts will be needed in 2026 to keep the deficit at the 3 percent-of-GDP target, stoking stagflation fears and capping the pound’s upside. The dollar is buoyed by inflows into US yield assets: the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47 percent, widening the spread over 10-year gilts to 155 basis points—historically associated with GBPUSD weakness. Trading Recommendation: SELL 1.32850, SL 1.33050, TP 1.31800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD – Not the Time to ChaseGBPUSD – Not the Time to Chase 🛑 When trends slow down, they don’t scream — they whisper. 📉 GBPUSD has been climbing, but the rhythm is shifting. Momentum is fading, price is pushing into weekly resistance, and short-term charts are starting to blink red. This isn’t dip-buying territory. It’s caution time. 🚫 I’m bearish on GBPUSD short-term — and I’m not buying dips into support. Here’s why I’m leaning toward a short: 🔺 Overbought on higher timeframes 📍 Weekly resistance zone rejecting price 🕓 Bearish momentum shift on the 4H chart 🔻 Early signs of selling pressure in price action 📊 Fundamentals support a cautious — not bullish — stance Let’s unpack it. 🇬🇧 UK data is mixed at best. Growth is improving, yes — but monthly GDP just slipped 📉, and while business investment has picked up, the BoE is still expected to cut. Markets are pricing in a 25bps cut in August ⏳, and GBP sentiment is already softening — net longs were slashed hard last week 📉. 🇺🇸 On the USD side, it’s not strong — but it’s stronger than the positioning implies. The job market remains resilient 💼, inflation is sticky, and the Fed has room to hold. Add to that the fact that USD positioning is extremely bearish (7:1 short bias ⚠️) — and we may be due for a short squeeze or bounce. This isn’t about chasing momentum. It’s about fading exhaustion. Price is extended, bulls are crowded, and the macro picture is muddier than it looks on the surface. ❗️This is a patience play — not a panic sell or blind buy. What’s your take? Still long the Pound? Or are you seeing the cracks too? Let’s talk 👇
Short
by Wainainarobert
GBP/USD Analysis Based on Volume, Fibonacci & Stochastic This GBP/USD setup is built on: Volume Analysis to detect strong price areas Fibonacci retracement to identify key support/resistance Stochastic oscillator to find a better-timed entry 🔹 Entry: 1.3270 🔹 Stop-Loss: 1.3298 🔹 Take-Profit: 1.3239 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1.14 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and manage your risk properly before trading.
Short
by alisardari
GBPUSD(20250805)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times starting in September; if the unemployment rate rises further, a 50 basis point cut is possible. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3288 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3365 1.3336 1.3317 1.3259 1.3240 1.3211 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3288, consider buying, with the first target price at 1.3317. If the price breaks below 1.3259, consider selling, with the first target price at 1.3240
Long
by NicolaZhu
GBPUSD – Short Setup at Fibonacci Golden Pocket ZonePair: GBPUSD Timeframe: 4H Bias: Bearish retracement sell 🔍 Technical Outlook: GBPUSD has retraced sharply from its recent low (1.3137) and is now testing a major resistance zone within the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65 retracement) from the recent swing high to low: This zone aligns with prior supply, creating a high-probability short setup. 🧠 Fundamentals + Sentiment 🇬🇧 GBP – Bearish Tilt BOE's hawkish rate cut (25bps) failed to boost confidence due to internal voting splits and soft macro data. Weak retail sales and flattening Services PMI signal slowing momentum. CFTC data: Longs decreasing, net positioning weakening. 🇺🇸 USD – Defensive Strength Fed holds at restrictive 4.25–4.50%, remains data-dependent. US macro data like ISM Services and labor market stable. USD gains from risk-off flows (VIX at 20.42), especially as GBP weakens. 🌐 Confluence Points: ❄️ Risk-off mood: favors USD safe-haven appeal 📉 GBP weakening across fundamentals 💡 Golden pocket = optimal area for trend continuation sell 📊 RSI suggests momentum exhaustion ✅ Conclusion: GBPUSD is at a key sell zone, sitting within the Fibonacci golden pocket and prior supply. Unless bulls reclaim 1.3335, the path of least resistance is down. This is a textbook retracement short in line with macro and technical confluence.
Short
by wajahatarif
GBPUSD Update — July 16As shown in the pinned analysis from July 16, both of the marked zones played out beautifully and offered solid profits. I’m still holding my short, and the current level on the chart could be a great area to pyramid the position. Also, for those who missed the initial move, this might offer a fresh opportunity to join the short side. 📌 We remain open to all scenarios: If this level breaks upward, we’ll wait for a pullback to go long. If price reaches this level and offers a valid signal, we’ll enter short. Rather than trying to predict the market with rigid opinions—like many tend to do on social media—we choose to listen to the market, respond to what it shows us, and follow price action with discipline. No ego. No bias. Just clarity and flexibility. 🎯 Stay sharp. Stay prepared. Stay profitable.
by ForexCSP