gbpusdgbpusd short and long idea price has to come a retest the support zone and then continue to go up
GBPUSD trade ideas
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption Analysis of the Chart
1. False Breakout Risk
The price is currently within an ascending channel, which is often seen as bullish.
However, the recent candlesticks show smaller bodies with wicks on top, indicating buyer exhaustion.
A false breakout above the upper trendline or support around 1.3632 could trap buyers before a sharp reversal.
2. Low Volume Confirmation
Volume peaked earlier but has significantly decreased in the last few candles.
Weak volume during a price rise signals a lack of conviction, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
3. Resistance Flip Not Confirmed
The level around 1.3600 is marked as resistance-turned-support, but there is no strong retest confirmation yet.
If price revisits this zone and fails to bounce, this support could break, leading to a downside reversal.
4. Divergence Watch
While not visible in this static image, if you overlay RSI or MACD, there could be signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while momentum indicators make lower highs).
This is often a leading indicator of trend weakening.
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF.
Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman.
Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD).
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July.
Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%.
On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
GBPUSD, Possible Short trade Analysis based on CRT and Bearish order block.
CRT rejection on bearish order block should push us downside possibly targeting fvg or support level
GBPUSD GBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Upcoming Monetary Policy News (June 2025)
1. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield:
As of June 24, 2025, the UK 10-year government bond yield is 4.51%, having recently climbed as high as 4.73%—the highest since April—driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data.
Markets have scaled back expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts due to persistent inflation, particularly in core and services sectors.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield:
The US 10-year Treasury yield ended June 20, 2025 at 4.38%.
2. Central Bank Interest Rates
Bank of England (BoE) Rate:
The BoE held its policy rate steady at 4.25% at its June 19 meeting, with a 6–3 vote to maintain rates. Three members favored a 0.25% cut to 4.00%.
Inflation in the UK slowed to 3.4% in May (from 3.5% in April), but core and services inflation remain elevated, making policymakers cautious about cutting rates too soon.
US Federal Reserve Rate:
The Federal Reserve kept its key rate in a range of 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting and signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later this year, but with ongoing uncertainty about the timing.
3. Upcoming Monetary Policy News (Late June–July 2025)
Bank of England:
The BoE is expected to remain cautious, with markets now pricing in only 34 basis points of cuts for 2025 (down from earlier expectations of two cuts this year).
Economists expect a possible rate cut in August if inflation and wage growth show clearer signs of easing.
Federal Reserve:
The Fed continues to signal a data-dependent approach, with two cuts still possible in 2025 if inflation moderates and growth slows as projected.
Key Data to Watch:
UK: Flash PMIs (Thursday) for signs of economic momentum or weakness.
US: PCE inflation and labor market data for Fed policy clues.
Summary Table
Metric/News UK (GBP) US (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.51% (recent high: 4.73%) 4.38%
Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50%
Next Central Bank Decision Possible cut in August Two cuts possible in 2025
Key Drivers Sticky core/services inflation Inflation, growth, Fed outlook
Key Takeaways
The UK 10-year gilt yield remains above the US 10-year yield, supporting GBP/USD in the near term.
The BoE is holding rates steady but may cut in August if inflation data softens further.
The Fed is also on hold, with possible cuts later in 2025, making upcoming inflation and labor data crucial for both currencies.
Both central banks are in a wait-and-see mode, with markets closely watching economic data and policy signals for direction.
#GBPUSD
GU-Tue-24/06/25 TDA-Strong bullish push from GU, don't FOMOing!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
It's really easy to FOMOing when price is going
unilateral and I don't blame you. It's part of human
psychology to instinctively react like this.
But ask yourself: if you FOMOed this time and got
lucky, do you think long term it's a repeatable approach?
Sustainable long term?
When price pushes a lot and you are not in the trade,
usually good thing to do is wait for some sort of pullback
or some sort of support so you can put good sl placement.
So you know already your sl and tp before you enter a trade.
One good or bad trading day won't define you as a trader.
The consistent results will!
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3559, a pullback resistance that aligns with the127.2Fib extension.
Our take profit is set at 1.3503, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3622, a swing high resistance.
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GBP/USD 4H – Bearish Supply Zone Reaction SetupTrade Breakdown:
Price broke structure to the downside after rejecting the 4H supply zone around 1.35800, creating bearish momentum. We’ve now pulled back aggressively into that same supply zone, aligning with a clean imbalance just above 1.35577. This area is now prime for a reversal.
I’m looking for a bearish engulfing confirmation or strong rejection wick inside the zone to enter short. Once confirmed, this could be a clean swing back to the imbalance fill and potential target zone at 1.33352.
Imbalance:
Clear imbalance left just below 1.35577, sitting right inside the supply zone. Expecting price to mitigate this inefficiency before resuming bearish pressure.
Entry Criteria:
Only entering if a bearish engulfing forms within the supply zone. No confirmation = no trade. ✅
SL: 1.35868
TP: 1.33352
RR: 7.65:1
Bias: Bearish 🔻
Session: London / NY overlap preferred for execution
⸻
🖊️ Trade Simple. Live Lavish.™ – Jaquil Taylor
The area above recent highs, where buy stops are likely resting.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
The area above recent highs, where buy stops are likely resting.
Marked near the 1.36200–1.36400 zone.
The price is projected to sweep this area.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
The area below previous lows, where sell stops are likely resting.
Marked near the 1.33600–1.33800 zone.
Price previously swept this level before a sharp move upward.
Market Behavior Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep Pattern:
The price dipped below the SSL zone (stop-hunting weak longs).
A strong bullish move followed, aiming toward BSL.
The projected path suggests price may tap the BSL, then reverse.
Bearish Outlook Post-Liquidity Grab:
After hitting BSL (liquidity sweep), price is expected to reverse.
A potential bearish swing may take price back to SSL or lower.
Likely Strategy Indicated:
Short Setup After Liquidity Sweep:
Wait for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or break of structure).
Entry near 1.36200 zone with target near SSL (1.33600 zone).
BUY GBPUSDFOMC moved the greenback positively yesterday by alot of pips, we anticipate a decent bullish move since price action touched an area of strong resistance basing on historical data.
GBPUSDPresident Trump claims the war is over we will observe if this will make volatility stabilize, GU is aiming a Key level which might potentially create a new LL, lets see how it goes!
Bullish rise off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3503
1st Support: 1.3455
1st Resistance: 1.3616
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Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area.Chart Elements:
Instrument & Timeframe:
Pair: GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick = 4 hours)
Key Zones Highlighted:
Top Green Box (~1.36000–1.36500):
This represents a resistance zone where price has previously struggled to break above.
Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area or potential stop-hunt zone.
Bottom Green Box (~1.33500–1.34200):
This is a support zone where price has bounced before.
The price is currently near this support level.
Price Movement Forecast (White Zigzag Line):
Indicates a bullish projection:
Suggests a potential bounce from the current support zone.
A possible rally back towards the resistance zone (~1.36000–1.36500), potentially to grab liquidity above the EQH.
Current Price:
Shown around 1.34656, which is near the bottom support zone.
Candlestick Structure:
Price has recently had a sharp move down into the support zone.
A possible reversal setup is forming based on the projection.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish scenario for GBP/USD:
The price is expected to hold the support zone.
If buying pressure comes in, the price may rise toward the resistance level to test or sweep the equal highs.
GBP USD LONG RESULT Price formed a falling closing wedge and then broke out holding Trendline and zones support, from where I took the long position and price moved even better than expected.
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
GBPUSD SHORTI'm seeing price come up towards the last point of supply I've got marked out so I'd like to see if the lower timeframes give me an entry to go as I do see some potential in this move.
GBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its GripGBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its Grip
The bearish scenario for GBPUSD remains valid, aligning with our previous analysis. Despite expectations of a softer U.S. dollar, ongoing geopolitical tensions—particularly the escalating war—have sustained dollar strength. This resilience in the dollar undermines any near-term bullish recovery for GBPUSD.
Resistance zone 1.35500 / 1.36000
Support Levels 1.33500 / 1.32500
Technically, the pair continues to trade under key resistance zones, with lower highs confirming bearish momentum. Unless we see a decisive shift in the geopolitical narrative or major macroeconomic data supporting GBP recovery, the bearish bias remains intact.
you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
GBPUSD (Daily + H4) – Bullish Symmetry with Shark Execution & El
Hello awesome traders!
I hope your trading week has been phenomenal. Let’s close out the week strong with this GBPUSD analysis combining Daily structure with lower-timeframe execution.
Main Chart: SYMMETRY (Daily) – Bullish Setup
Price has completed a perfect AB=CD symmetry structure with clear legs from the May rally. We now sit inside a strong PCZ (Potential Completion Zone) between the 78.6% and 100% projections, near a prior breakout zone. This type of measured pullback often sets the base for continuation when confirmed by lower timeframes.
Execution Chart: SHARK (H4) – Entry Strategy
On the 4H, we have a clean SHARK pattern terminating deep within the same PCZ as the daily symmetry. Price tagged 161.8% then immediately bounced, printing a bullish engulfing structure above the 127.2% fib. That’s our signal to focus long.
We define the entry above the minor high / 200 SMA retest — at 1.34450, with stops just below 1.33800 (under the wick and invalidation zone). Targets are aligned with fib retracement and extension zones, 61.8% first, 127% for the extended leg.
Elliot Context (H4 + Daily Overview)
On the H4, price completed a 5-leg Elliott drive with wedge structure and a sharp exhaustion push down to PRZ.
On the Daily, the Elliott overview shows price respecting impulsive wave alignment and now positioning for a corrective rally that aligns with our symmetry leg expectation.
Next Steps:
Execution: Enter long above 1.34450 only on confirmation.
First target: 1.34920 zone (61.8% fib).
Extended target: 1.36083 (127.2% fib).
Invalidation: Below 1.33800 — if price closes below the PRZ, setup is void.
Risk Management:
Clear stop placement and PRZ-based entry. Confluence from Daily + H4 structure + Elliott logic supports the long idea. No FOMO — only execute on confirmation. Let the market come to you.
Hope you all have a great weekend!
Let’s stay disciplined, trust the structure, and trade like the pros.
—Constantino DeLa
Tradechartpatternslikethepros.
Major resistance ahead?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3535
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD ZONE TO ZONE
Price is trading beneath the 1.35 level, which is likely to act as resistance. A downside move toward 1.33 remains the base case.
