Idea on a ChartGBP/USD found a slight rebound to muscle back above 1.3450 on Thursday.
Despite near-term Greenback strength on geopolitical concerns, markets took a break during the midweek US holiday session.
Israel-Iran tensions continue to rise, and the Trump administration is drawing out a decision on getting involved directly.
GBP/USD found some room on the high side on Thursday, climbing back above the 1.3450 level after catching an early technical bounce from the 1.3400 handle. Broad-market flows have favored the US Dollar recently as Middle East tensions continue to rise, but US markets were dark for a national holiday on Thursday, giving Cable some room to breathe and easing off of USD bidding.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GU-Fri-20/06/25 TDA-DR 1.34921 hit, potential bearish continue!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I trade from level to level and see how price
reacts to interest zone. I adapt my sl and tp
based on market conditions and as well the
risk per trade but generally 1% max risk or
lower.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Market next target
🔻 Bearish Disruption Analysis
1. Overbought Conditions / RSI Exhaustion
The recent bullish momentum appears strong, but it could be entering overbought territory, especially on the 1-hour chart.
A correction may follow if technical indicators like RSI or MACD start diverging.
2. Resistance Zone at 1.35000 - 1.35500
The price is nearing a historical resistance area around 1.3500–1.3550, where sellers have previously stepped in.
Without strong volume or a news catalyst, this zone may reject further upside movement.
3. Low Volume Breakout
The breakout visible before the arrows is accompanied by relatively moderate volume, which can indicate a false breakout or bull trap.
4. Fundamental Uncertainty
Upcoming U.S. or UK economic data (indicated by the flags on the chart) could disrupt the expected bullish move.
Example: A strong USD labor report or hawkish Fed comment could reverse the GBP/USD rally.
GBPUSD(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3439
Support and resistance levels:
1.3526
1.3494
1.3473
1.3406
1.3385
1.3353
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 1.3473, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3494
If it breaks through 1.3439, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3406
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Off the Fib confluence Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.3502, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement and the 127.2% Fib extension, providing a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
Our take profit is set at 1.3427, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3587, a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Cable bounces from $1.34 for nowCable’s established uptrend seems to have paused for now after a slight decline in British inflation and caution from the Bank of England. The BoE highlighted risks in both directions for inflation in its statement and press conference on 19 June while the Fed seemed more concerned about the possibility of rising inflation after its meeting the day before. There seems to have been some demand for the dollar as a haven in recent days as Israel’s war on Iran continues.
The intersection of $1.34 and the 50 SMA from Bands looks like an obvious static-dynamic support which might resist further testing unless there’s a significant change in narratives. The slow stochastic had been flirting with overbought at the start of the week but has now declined strongly, close to the zone of selling saturation.
Resistance is less of an obvious area. A new high seems possible in the near future but trading in the belief that the uptrend will continue seems to be risky in this situation; the risk of a false breakout looks quite high. A range might develop between approximately $1.34 and $1.363. Flash British PMIs on 23 June probably won’t have a strong impact here but a surprise from American final GDP on 26 June might bring a clearer direction.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
GBPUSD(20250619)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed's June meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth time in a row, and the dot plot showed two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expected no rate cuts this year rose to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year were cut to 1. Powell continued to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3432
Support and resistance levels:
1.3507
1.3479
1.3461
1.3403
1.3385
1.3357
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3432, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3461
If the price breaks through 1.3403, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3385
GBPUSD Bullish continuation pattern supported at 1.3380The GBPUSD currency pair maintains a bullish price action structure, supported by the ongoing rising trend. Current intraday movement appears to be a corrective pullback within a consolidation phase, potentially offering a buying opportunity within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support (Key Trading Level): 1.3380 (prior consolidation zone)
Additional Support: 1.3340 and 1.3300
Upside Resistance Targets:
1.3480
1.3550
1.3600 (longer-term target)
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from the 1.3380 support would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. Sustained upside momentum could then target 1.3480, with further extensions toward 1.3550 and 1.3600 over the medium term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed daily close below 1.3380 would invalidate the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside retracement. In that case, the next support levels to monitor would be 1.3340 and 1.3300.
Conclusion:
The bias remains bullish while GBPUSD holds above 1.3380. A rebound from this level supports long positions toward higher resistance zones. However, a break and close below 1.3380 would shift the outlook to neutral-to-bearish, favouring further downside correction. Traders should watch price action around 1.3380 for directional confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD SHORTThe GBP/USD pair has been showing signs of exhaustion after a recent rally, and I'm looking for a potential pullback to enter a short position.
While GBP/USD has shown resilience, the technical and fundamental setup suggests a potential short opportunity on a pullback. Confirmation through price action (e.g., bearish engulfing patterns, break of structure) will be crucial before entering.
GBP/USD Buy Setup – SMC Break of Structure + Demand Zone RetestGBP/USD – Buy Signal Alert 🚀
📈 Trade Idea:
Pair: GBP/USD
Direction: Buy
Entry: 1.34245
Stop Loss: 1.33831
Take Profit: 1.36246
🔍 Analysis Summary:
Price has reacted strongly at a key demand zone, forming bullish confirmation on lower timeframes. The market structure supports a continuation to the upside, targeting the next major resistance area.
📌 Confirmation:
Break of structure + Retest of demand zone + Bullish candlestick confirmation
📊 Strategy Style:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
4H Structure | 15M Entry Confirmation
🕒 Use proper risk management.
✅ For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
#GBPUSD #BuySignal #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingViewIdeas #KellyWiseFX
BoE in Focus as GBP/USD Nears 1.3410GBP/USD remains under pressure for a third day, trading near 1.3410 in Thursday’s Asian session, as safe-haven demand strengthens the US Dollar amid Israel-Iran tensions. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.25% today. UK inflation eased to 3.4% in May from 3.5%, in line with forecasts but still above the 2% target. Markets still price in about 48 basis points of BoE cuts by year-end.
Resistance is seen at 1.3440, while support holds at 1.3260.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 19, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
14:00 EET. GBP - Bank of England base rate decision
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD remains down for the third consecutive session, trading around 1.34100 in Asian trading on Thursday. The pair is struggling as the US dollar (USD) strengthens amid rising demand for safe-haven assets triggered by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. In addition, the Bank of England (BoE) is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Thursday.
In the UK, consumer price index inflation fell to 3.4% year-on-year in May, as expected, from 3.5% in April. However, this figure is still well above the BoE's target of 2%. Nevertheless, markets still expect rates to fall by around 48 basis points by the end of the year.
Bloomberg reported on Thursday that ‘US officials are preparing for a possible strike on Iran in the coming days.’ ‘US plans to attack Iran continue to evolve.’ Another Wall Street Journal report suggests that US President Trump approved plans to attack Iran on Tuesday but wanted to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear programme.
In addition, the dollar was supported by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who said that inflation remains slightly above target and may rise in the future, citing the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided at its June meeting on Wednesday, as expected, to leave the base rate unchanged in the range of 4.25-4.50%. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) still forecasts interest rates to fall by about 50 basis points by the end of 2025.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34100, SL 1.34300, TP 1.33200
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish RiseBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our buy entry at1.3373 -1.13396, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3466, which is an overlap resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3320 which is a pullback support below the 61.8% Fib retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers,
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. We would appreciate your support through likes and subscriptions.
Key Points
- At the June FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve revised its 2024 U.S. economic growth forecast down from 1.7% to 1.4%. It held the benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25–4.50%. The dot plot shows a divergence in opinions among Fed officials, but the median projection suggests two rate cuts within the year.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the stance that the current interest rate level will be maintained while observing the impact of tariffs more clearly.
- U.S. President Donald Trump, speaking to reporters at the White House, said it’s “not too late” if Iran wants to return to negotiations. Regarding potential military action against Iran, he stated, “We may or may not do it,” keeping the option open.
Key Economic Event This Week
+ June 19: Bank of England (BOE) interest rate decision
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has pulled back after facing resistance from the trendline. It has now reached the 1.34000 support level—a zone where a major trend reversal occurred previously—so a bullish reversal could be expected here. However, if this support breaks, the decline could extend toward the 1.32500 level. We recommend closely monitoring the movement around this area.
Pound recovers as UK CPI edges lowerThe British pound has stabilized on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3551, up 0.28% on the day. The US dollar showed broad strength on Tuesday and GBP/USD declined 1.05% and fell to a three-week low.
UK inflation for May edged lower to 3.4% y/y, down from 3.5% in April and matching the market estimate. The driver behind the deceleration was lower airline prices and petrol prices. Services inflation, which has been persistently high, eased to 4.7% from 5.4%. Monthly, CPI gained 0.2%, much lower than the 1.2% gain in April and matching the market estimate.
Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, fell to 3.5% in May, down from 3.8% a month earlier and below the market estimate of 3.6%. Monthly, the core rate rose 0.2%, sharply lower than the 1.4% spike in April and in line with the market estimate. This marked the lowest monthly increase in four months.
The Bank of England will be pleased that core CPI moved lower but the inflation numbers are still too high for its liking. Headline CPI had been below 3% for a year but has jumped well above 3% in the past two months.
BoE policymakers won't have much time to digest today's inflation report as the central bank makes its rate announcement on Thursday. The markets are widely expecting the BoE to maintain the cash rate at 4.25%,
Investors will be keeping a close eye on the meeting, looking for hints of a rate cut later in the year. The UK economy contracted in April and with wages falling and unemployment rising, there is pressure for the BoE to lower rates, but that is risky with inflation well above the BoE's 2% inflation target.
US retail sales slumped in May, falling 0.9% m/m. This was well below the revised -0.1% reading in April and worse than the market estimate of -0.7%. Annually, retail sales fell to 3.3%, down sharply from a revised 5.0%.
Consumers are wary about the economy and anxiety over Trump's tariffs has weighed on consumer spending. If additional key US data heads lower, this will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.
GBP/US is putting pressure on resistance at 1.3480. Above, there is resistance at 1.3545
1.3364 and 1.3299 are providing support