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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for May 26, 2025 GBPUSDGBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is building on last week's strong upward movement and gaining positive momentum during Monday's Asian session. This momentum is lifting spot prices above the 1.3550 level, to the highest level since February 2022, and is supported by a combination of factors. The British Pound (GBP) continues to show relative outperformance on the back of Friday's favourable UK retail sales data, which showed that consumer spending remains a bright spot despite the gloomy economic outlook. This, along with higher-than-expected inflation in April, fuelled speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) will take a pause at its next meeting on 18 June and will not be in a rush to reduce borrowing costs further. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, continues to struggle to attract meaningful buyers amid concerns that the tax and spending bill will increase the US budget deficit at a faster pace than previously expected. Furthermore, growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further cut interest rates in 2025 has driven the Dollar to near one-month lows and is fuelling positive movement in GBP/USD. This week, investors will face the release of important US macroeconomic data, with the release of Durable Goods Orders data on Tuesday and preliminary GDP data on Thursday. These data, as well as the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index on Friday, may provide insight into the prospects of a Fed rate cut, which will have an impact on the USD and GBP/USD. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3590, SL 1.3570, TP 1.3690
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD Breaks Out – Is 1.40 Next?In my previous analysis, I highlighted that GBPUSD was trading in a strong resistance zone and warned of a potential correction toward the sub-1.31 support area. While we did see a brief correction, bears lacked follow-through, and the pair reversed from 1.3136, never quite reaching the expected support zone. 🚀 Break Confirmed – Bulls in Control After bouncing from just above the support zone at 1.3136, GBPUSD began to consolidate and build pressure right under the key resistance area. That build-up acted as a launchpad, and now we have a clean breakout, with price trading well above 1.35, currently around 1.3577. This is a genuine breakout, following a textbook sequence: rejection above support, tight consolidation, and then a decisive push higher — all favoring continuation to the upside. 🎯 W hat’s Next? The next obvious target is the psychological level at 1.40, which aligns with previous key levels and the overall momentum. 📊 Trading Plan: The strategy remains simple: buying dips is preferred. The 1.3450 area is an ideal zone to look for long opportunities, especially if the breakout is retested and confirmed as support. 📌 Don’t chase — let the market pull back, then follow the strength. Momentum is clearly with the bulls. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Market next target Original Analysis Summary: Identifies a bullish breakout above a support zone. Expects continuation upward to a target zone after minor pullback. Assumes support holds and bullish trend continues. --- Disruptive Bearish Interpretation: 1. Fakeout Risk (Bull Trap): Price broke above the support area, but this could be a false breakout designed to lure in long positions before a reversal. 2. Trendline Retest Failure: The price is testing a trendline or resistance zone. Failure to break above this area could indicate rejection and reversal. 3. Bearish Divergence: If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD, not shown here but inferred) show divergence, it may warn of weakening bullish strength despite price rising. 4. Candlestick Exhaustion: Recent candles show upper wicks and slowing momentum — a common sign of potential exhaustion.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPUSD 1H CHART PATTERNThe GBP/USD 1-hour chart shows the pair trading in a strong uptrend within an ascending channel. Price is nearing a key resistance area, where a potential reversal is anticipated. The chart highlights a possible sell opportunity as bullish momentum may be weakening near the channel's upper boundary. A clear rejection from this zone could signal the start of a bearish correction. This setup offers a high risk-to-reward ratio, especially if supported by further price action confirmation. Traders may watch for reversal patterns or signals before entering the trade to improve accuracy and minimize risk in this technical setup. Entry: 1.34500 Target: 1.31500
Short
by Trend_logic
GBPUSD H4 I A short-term bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 1.3595-1.3637, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our take profit will be at 1.3451, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.3748, above the 200% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
GBP/USD Daily Chart – Explosive Move Building in Wave 3?The GBP/USD daily chart is setting up for what could be one of the most powerful bullish phases in an Elliott Wave sequence: a third wave. 🔥 What This Means: Elliott Wave theory identifies the 3rd wave as the strongest and fastest part of a trend. Price action suggests that GBP/USD is just starting this move, which means we could see sharp momentum to the upside in the coming days and weeks. 🎯 Key Target: The first key level to watch is around 1.5315, which is the 1.618 Fibonacci projection of Wave 1. This is a common and high-probability target for a Wave 3 rally. 🧠 For Beginners: In Elliott Wave theory, markets often move in impulses of 5 waves. The 3rd wave is typically the strongest. When that third wave itself breaks down into another 5-wave structure, the middle wave of that sequence (the "3 of 3") tends to produce the most aggressive movement. 📌 Summary: GBP/USD appears to be starting the 3rd wave, a powerful bullish signal. Near-term resistance to watch is at 1.4200, with potential for further upside if momentum continues. This could be the early stages of a high-probability swing trade setup. Keep an eye on the smaller timeframes for intraday confirmation!
Long
by RealWaveTrader-
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.3640 1st Support: 1.3459 1st Resistance: 1.3747 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25 Hey traders ✌️ welcome to your market analysis by FRGNT! 🙌 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 💡Trade confluences provided during the week 📝 ✅Bullish weekly close above recent highs & Orderblock ✅ Within Weekly Orderblock. Potential shorts after bearish price action. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield The UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.68% to 4.73% on May 23, 2025. This yield is near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation at 3.8%, and services inflation at 5.4%) which reduced market expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts. 2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.54% on May 21–22, 2025. US yields remain elevated due to ongoing fiscal concerns and inflation expectations, though slightly below the UK yields. 3. Interest Rate Differential (UK vs. US) The interest rate differential between UK and US 10-year yields is: 4.68% (UK)−4.54% (US)=+0.14% This small positive differential favors the GBP slightly, suggesting UK bonds offer marginally higher returns than US Treasuries. 4. Bond Price Implications Bond prices move inversely to yields. Given yields have risen in both the UK and US, bond prices have declined correspondingly. The slightly higher UK yields imply UK bond prices have fallen a bit more relative to US Treasuries. Rising yields reflect market concerns about inflation persistence and monetary policy tightening. 5. Impact on GBP/USD The modest yield advantage for the UK supports some GBP strength versus USD. However, broader market moves in GBP/USD on May 23 were influenced more by a weakening USD than a strong GBP. Inflation data and BoE’s cautious rate cut expectations underpin gilt yields and provide some support for GBP. Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield (%) ~4.68% - 4.73% (May 23, 2025) ~4.54% (May 21-22, 2025) Interest Rate Differential +0.14% (UK over US) — Bond Price Trend Declining (due to rising yields) Declining (rising yields) Inflation (UK CPI YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) Higher but easing in US GBP/USD Exchange Rate Supported by yield spread and weaker USD — Conclusion On May 23, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was slightly higher than the US 10-year Treasury yield by about 14 basis points, reflecting stronger UK inflation and reduced expectations of BoE rate cuts. This small interest rate differential provides modest support for the GBP against the USD. Rising yields in both markets have pushed bond prices lower. However, the GBP/USD exchange rate movement on that day was influenced more by USD weakness amid geopolitical and economic factors than by the yield differential alone. traders should pay attention to monthly chart for clear directional bias.
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/USD About to Explode?GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone after testing the key weekly resistance area between 1.3400 and 1.3450. The bullish momentum remains strong, supported by speculative positioning still favoring the pound, while the dollar shows signs of softening. On the macro side, the interest rate differential between the UK and the US may narrow in the coming months, but for now, it continues to support upward pressure on the pair. From a technical standpoint, price has broken out of an ascending triangle on the daily chart, showing strong momentum and confirmation with multiple closes above 1.3300. Market sentiment remains skewed to the short side, adding contrarian fuel to the bullish bias. The key short-term support lies between 1.3270 and 1.3300. As long as this area holds, the base case favors a continuation toward 1.3520 and potentially 1.3600. A break below 1.3170 would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door for a deeper pullback toward 1.3000. From an execution standpoint, a confirmed breakout above 1.3415 could offer a long entry opportunity with active management. Still, caution is advised around the weekly supply zone due to its historical responsiveness. Eyes remain on upcoming macro data and potential volatility from central bank statements.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11
"GBPUSD Ready for the Kill After Premium Zone Reaction!"⚡ GBPUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025 📈 What's Happening: GBPUSD just tapped deep into the Premium Zone while simultaneously reacting off a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG). Signs of bearish rejection are stacking up — Smart Money might be preparing for the kill shot! 🎯 🚨 Key Levels Highlighted: Strong High = Major invalidation (~1.34317). Premium Zone = Where sellers ideally step in. Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Where price imbalance triggered a reaction. Weak Low = Major liquidity target (~1.32036). 🧠 Key Observations: Price filled the FVG and immediately showed a reaction = sign of Smart Money stepping in. Strong High untouched = still valid for bearish play. Weak Low + Sell Side Liquidity = magnets below. 🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN: Plan A — Short Setup (Primary Bias): ✅ Look for bearish confirmation via M15 or M5 structure shift. ✅ Ideal entry around Premium/FVG zone. ✅ TP1 = Minor structure lows around 1.33000. TP2 = Full Weak Low sweep (~1.32036). ✅ SL = Above Strong High (~1.34317). Plan B — Invalidated if: ✅ Strong High is broken impulsively = setup failed. No chasing! 📊 Risk Management Tip: "Fair Value Gap reactions inside Premium = sniper-level setups. Focus on confirmations, not assumptions." 🧘‍♂️ Summary: ✅ Premium Tap ✅ FVG Fill ✅ Bearish Reaction ✅ Weak Low Target Patience = Power. This could be the sniper setup you've been waiting for! 🔥 ➡️ Save this playbook. ➡️ Comment "SNIPE THE GAP" if you're setting the trap! 🎯
Short
by ChartNinjas88
GBPUSD Hits Institutional Supply – Bearish Rejection Loading…⚠️ GBPUSD Smart Money Setup – Premium Price, Weak Low, Juicy Liquidity Below! We’ve officially entered Smart Money playground territory on GBPUSD. Here's what's happening: 🧠 Market Structure Narrative: 🔹 Price ran straight into a premium OB 🔹 Internal structure shift already played out 🔹 Now in distribution territory, prepping for a dump Price has tapped into a high-probability sell zone (purple OB zone) between 1.34500–1.35000, where Smart Money is most likely positioned to unload shorts. 🟪 Order Block Confluence: 📌 OB Range: Base: 1.34500 Cap: 1.35000 This zone caused the previous bearish impulse – unmitigated until now Price reacted sharply upon entry = signs of institutional interest 💡 Clean, unmitigated supply = chef’s kiss setup. 🔻 Liquidity Engineering: 🧊 Below current price sits a “Weak Low” marked around 1.32400 💰 Below that: massive Sell-Side Liquidity at 1.31400 📌 This = high-probability magnet for Smart Money to drive price lower 🔁 Fibonacci Confluence (if applied): Entry zone aligns with 70.5–79% retracement of previous impulse leg = premium risk zone for pro sellers. 💣 Entry Strategy: 🎯 Sell Zone: 1.34500–1.35000 📍 SL: Above 1.35100 (above OB + liquidity grab buffer) 📍 TP1: 1.32400 (Weak Low) 📍 TP2: 1.31400 (Sell-side Liquidity) 📍 RRR: Up to 1:5+ depending on entry precision This is a swing trader’s dream — premium risk, maximum reward. 💡 Confirmation Tools: ✅ Bearish engulfing candle on LTF ✅ Internal BOS on M15-H1 ✅ Rejection wick from OB or candle body stall = sniper entry Be the sniper — not the FOMO chaser. 🎯 🧠 Key Lesson: "Weak lows exist to be broken. OBs exist to be respected. Combine both = Smart Money sniper mode." Let the trap trigger and ride the liquidity wave down. 🗣️ Drop a 💀 if you’re watching this setup play out! 📌 Save this chart — it’s a Smart Money blueprint.
Short
by ChartNinjas88
GBP/USD Breakout – Long Opportunity Above Key ResistanceGBP/USD has broken above the 1.3500 resistance level, confirming bullish momentum. The pair is trading at 1.35388 with a strong daily candle and volume backing the move. This breakout aligns with a bullish flag pattern formed over the past two weeks. RSI remains below overbought levels, suggesting more upside potential. MACD is also crossing above the signal line, adding confirmation. Trade Setup: Entry: 1.3540 (confirmation of breakout) Take Profit: 1.3650 (previous high from February) Stop Loss: 1.3475 (below the breakout zone and recent consolidation) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2, aligning with my trading strategy.
by sabujislam9932
2
GBP_USD SWING BREAKOUT|LONG| ✅GBP_USD made an absolutely EPIC breakout of the key horizontal Level of 1.3426 and the breakout is Confirmed even on a DAILY timeframe Which combined with the strong uptrend Makes us extremely bullish biased on The pair and we will be expecting Further growth in the coming weeks After a potential local pullback LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by ProSignalsFx
1