GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD downtrend continuesOANDA:GBPUSD is trading in a bearish channel heading towards the important support zone of 1.340. This is the bottom support zone of last month so there is a lot of buying pressure in this zone. Any recovery of GBPUSD is considered a good opportunity to enter a SELL signal to the target. When the price breaks 1.361, the downtrend will really break.
Support: 1.340
Resistance: 1.355-1.361
SELL Trigger: rejection 1.355 with bearish confirmation
SELL zone 1.361 (Strong Resistance zone)
Target: 1.340
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
End of trend with Head & Shoulders forming. On the monthly chart the pair has been ranging between 1.2 and 1.43 since 2016 with resistance established 2018. Currently on up leg of third cycle. Ignoring the Liz Truss blip.
Daily chart uptrend established Jan 25 and should continue up to resistance. However possible head & shoulders forming, which would indicate change of character, at most recent cycle but a good trade up to right shoulder still possible and then it will change to down trend to trend line
4H - Price at good quality demand with 4 basing candles. Ready for reversal and long to potential right shoulder at 1.355 or higher all the way to multiyear resistance.
COT Non-com and retail are increasing positions and commercials are reducing. Valuation is cheap.
Plan: waiting for US CPI data and confirmation of direction change and then long with stop at 1.33570 and TP at 1.355 to right shoulder. (I like these as worst that can happen, after up move is confirmed, is H&S doesnt form and it continues to upside increasing R:R). Followed by good short.
Let me know what you think
GBPUSD – Levels, Adjustments, and Scenario PlanningAs mentioned in our pinned analysis, we had two levels on GBPUSD —
✅ Both of them were broken.
📉 After the break of the first level, we shorted the pullback and took a great profit.
📍 Now after the second level has also broken, I’ve adjusted the level slightly —
There’s a chance price retraces to 1.35774 before continuing its drop.
🟢 Below, there’s a solid buy zone.
🔁 My Updated Scenarios:
✅ If price pulls back to the short level before hitting the buy zone → I’ll take the short.
⚠️ But if price touches the buy zone first, then any short afterward will just be partial or used for pyramiding — not a major trade.
Let’s stay patient and let the market tell us what to do.
📌 All previous scenarios are still valid.
GBPUSD - Is it Ready? Looking at GBPUSD
We have had a Market shift to the upside from a HTF Point of Interest. I am now waiting for price to come back into a 15min demand area and hopefully price will take off to the upside from here.
We have also swept liquidity before a drastic move to the upside.
Lets see how this one plays out
GBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support LevelGBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support Level
As of today, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the British pound has declined by more than 2% against the US dollar since the beginning of July. Notably, the pace of the decline accelerated on Friday and continued into Monday.
According to Reuters, the pound is under pressure due to market concerns over a potential economic slowdown amid an escalating trade war. Last week’s data confirmed a contraction in UK GDP, which could have far-reaching implications. In this context, criticism of the UK government’s failure to reduce public spending is becoming more pronounced.
What’s next for GBP/USD?
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
From a bullish perspective, it is worth noting that the pair has fallen to a significant support level around 1.3425. This level previously acted as resistance in the spring, but after a breakout, it has now turned into support (as indicated by arrows on the chart). Additionally, the RSI indicator shows strong oversold conditions, which suggests a potential short-term rebound.
From a bearish standpoint, it is concerning that the sharp rally from point A to point B has been entirely erased by the July decline. This indicates that despite significant gains by the bulls, they failed to hold them—casting doubt on GBP/USD's ability to sustain growth in the medium term.
Ongoing pressure may lead to an attempt by bears to push GBP/USD below the June low at point A. However, it is also possible that bearish momentum will weaken thereafter, potentially leading to a recovery within the developing downward channel (marked in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD H4 RISESDisruption Analysis – GBP/USD (4H)
🕯️ Candle Breakout Misleading
The marked “Candle Breakout” area is followed by weak bullish momentum, but lacks strong volume confirmation or higher timeframe reversal structure.
The quick rejection after the breakout may indicate a false breakout, not a sustainable trend reversal.
⚠️ Demand Zone Weakness
The “Support Area” (demand zone) has already been tested multiple times.
Multiple touches weaken the demand zone—buyers may be exhausted, increasing the chances of a breakdown instead of a bounce.
📉 Macro Trend Still Bearish
The recent sharp downtrend shows a strong bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows).
A few bullish candles are not enough to confirm a reversal—this could just be a retracement.
💣 Upcoming Fundamental Risks
The presence of multiple economic event icons (UK & US flags) indicates high-impact news—could result in unexpected volatility or trend reversals.
Fundamental factors may disrupt the projected bullish move entirely.
🎯 Bullish Target Overoptimistic
Target near 1.35000 lies within the Resistance Area, which has previously caused sharp rejections.
Without a strong breakout above 1.3400, this target is unrealistic in current market conditions.
GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Today ExplainedThe GBPUSD is currently consolidating at a solid intraday/daily support level.
To enter a buy position with confirmation, it's advisable to wait for a breakout on the 4-hour chart.
A breakout followed by a 4-hour candle closing above the horizontal resistance will serve as a strong bullish signal, with a target of 1.3558.
Conversely, if the price makes a new lower low on the 4-hour chart, this setup will be considered invalid.
BUY SETUP FOR GBPUSDGU is on an overall uptrend with a daily retest. When I went down to a lower timeframe from the daily retest, I found the sequenced that caused a CHOCH. Wait for retest in one of those zones before buying to my blue line. If price breaks and closes below the last lower low, that will potentially cause a continuation to the downside.
GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.342 level area with our short trade on GBP/USD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Buy idea!Hello all. market break the IHS at London session and reverse from middle of no-where. It is time to go up again. you can use first TP and you can go for a longer position, but I prefer add my position size and close on first TP. we no it is an STS and will go up whole the NY session. be happy(wink)
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D16 W29 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D16 W29 Y25
Welcome back to the watchlist GBPUSD ! Let's go long ! Alignment across all time frames.
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
📈 Risk Management Principles
🔑 Core Execution Rules
Max 1% risk per trade
Set alerts — let price come to your levels
Minimum 1:2 RR
Focus on process, not outcomes
🧠 Remember, the strategy works — you just need to let it play out.
🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day
"The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency."
Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking.
🏁 Final Words from FRGNT
📌 GBPUSD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation all check out.
Let’s approach the trade with clarity, conviction, and risk-managed execution.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short Opportunity on GBPUSD – Technical & Fundamentals AlignToday I want to look at the Short position opportunity in GBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ). So let's take a look at the GBPUSD pair from a fundamental and technical perspective.
Fundamental Analysis:
The British Pound remains under pressure due to growing expectations of a 25–50 bps rate cut by the Bank of England in early August. Markets are increasingly leaning toward easing as UK inflation hit 3.6% in June, the highest in over a year, while economic growth weakened and consumer confidence dropped to its lowest since early 2024
Ongoing fiscal concerns, including potential tax hikes and budget instability, continue to weigh on the pound. In contrast, the US Dollar( TVC:DXY ) remains relatively robust—supported by strong economic data and a safe-haven preference amid global uncertainty
Summary:
BoE easing becomes more likely due to weak UK data and inflation.
Fiscal risks and low consumer sentiment add downward pressure on GBP.
USD strength from solid data and safe-haven demand supports further GBPUSD downside.
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In terms of technical analysis , in the 1-hour timeframe , GBPUSD is approaching the Resistance zone($1.356-$1.350) , the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the 50_SMA(Daily) . Meanwhile, this return to Important Support lines could act as a pullback to these lines. Important support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) were broken last week.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , GBPUSD appears to be completing a main wave 4 . Main wave 4 is likely to have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect GBPUSD to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and reach the targets I have marked on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3575USD = Worst Stop Loss(SL)
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British Pound / U.S Dollar Analysis (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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