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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD Will Move Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.371. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.359. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
GU-Wed-25/06/25 TDA-GU consolidating now!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! Market is fractal, what happens in higher timeframe. It repeats on lower timeframe but with more noise. The lower timeframe we go the more technical analysis is required as price in general is not subjected to fundamental news as the higher timeframe does. (Even though fundamental analysis, is essential no matter what timeframe you trade) Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
4
GU Bearish Friday ForecastHi everyone, hope we've all had a good week. Here is my forecast for GBPUSD for today. After a fairly bullish week, I'm expecting some bearish price action to give us that top wick on the weekly candle close. I'm looking at 2 price points, a pivot from 1.375 towards key level 1.37. I'll post an update at the end of the day on how price ended up unfolding. Regards, Aman | SMC Wolf FX 1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Short
by SMCWolfFX
4
GBP/USD – Uptrend Channel Analysis!GBP/USD is trading inside a strong uptrend channel on the 4-hour chart. Recent price action confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS), signaling solid bullish control. Buyers have pushed price firmly above previous resistance zones. Price is now near the upper boundary of the channel. Signs of short-term exhaustion suggest a likely retracement ahead. A pullback into the retracement level or channel midline would offer better risk-reward. Key Levels to Watch: Channel support for potential bounce. Retracement zone as a buy opportunity. Trade Plan: Wait for a clean retracement toward support. Look for bullish confirmation before entering long. Avoid chasing highs – focus on discounted entries. Bias: Bullish while price holds the uptrend channel structure. Expect continuation after healthy correction. Patience is critical – let the market set up a quality entry. Traders should align with the dominant trend and manage risk carefully. Like, comment, share, and follow for more trading ideas.
Long
by JosProfessionalTrader
4
High-Reward GBPUSD Setup: Entry 1.3598, TP 1.3867, SL 1.3478The GBP/USD pair has recently shown a clean bullish breakout from a short-term consolidation zone. Price has decisively moved above the 1.3478–1.3480 support-turned-resistance level, which previously acted as a ceiling within a rising channel. This breakout is meaningful—it comes after a retracement toward the lower boundary of the ascending structure, suggesting that buyers are once again gaining control. The recent bullish candle has closed strong and full-bodied, indicating momentum. Historically, as you mentioned, GBPUSD tends to follow through for a few sessions once a bullish breakout begins. This is visible in prior moves throughout March and April, where an initial spike was often followed by two or three additional bullish candles. That behavior adds confluence to this setup. Moreover, there is a clear path for price to move toward the long-term resistance near 1.3867, which aligns well with prior supply zones and the upper boundary of historical price reactions. 📈 Trade Idea • Entry: 1.3598 (current price after breakout confirmation) • Stop Loss: 1.3478 (just below the support flip and last swing low) • Take Profit: 1.3867 (next major resistance level) • Risk–Reward Ratio: ~2.24:1 This setup offers a clean bullish continuation pattern with room to run. If the pair maintains its current momentum, reaching the target in the next few trading days is entirely plausible. Any daily close above 1.3600 with volume would further validate the trend.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
1
Riding the Wave or Facing a Pullback? Key Levels to WatchGBPUSD: Riding the Wave or Facing a Pullback? Key Levels to Watch! Hello TradingView Community! The GBPUSD pair is currently under the spotlight, experiencing significant movements driven by a mix of market sentiment and economic indicators. 🌍 Fundamental Snapshot: GBP's Lift vs. Underlying Pressures The British Pound has seen a notable surge, climbing near 1.3765 against the US Dollar. This uplift is primarily fueled by market hopes for an imminent announcement of Fed Chair Powell's successor by President Trump, hinting at potential future dovish shifts in Fed policy. Such speculation could dampen USD's strength, benefiting GBPUSD. However, the outlook isn't entirely clear-cut for the Pound. Fed Chair Powell has cautioned that tariff-induced inflation might prove persistent, adding a layer of complexity to the broader USD sentiment. Domestically, UK employers are reportedly planning workforce reductions to offset rising social security contributions, which could weigh on the GBP. In essence, GBPUSD is benefiting from potential USD weakness linked to Fed policy expectations, but traders should remain vigilant about internal economic pressures within the UK. 📊 GBPUSD Technical Analysis (H4/M30 Chart): Our technical analysis of the GBPUSD chart (image_b6d4de.png) reveals a clear uptrend, marked by consistent higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are also in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward momentum. Key Resistance (Potential Sell Zone): We identify significant resistance at 1.38366. This level could attract selling pressure, suggesting a potential price reversal or consolidation after hitting this mark. Key Support Levels (Potential Buy Zones): Initial support lies at 1.36648. A stronger support area is at 1.36158. These levels could act as bounce points after any corrective moves. 🎯 GBPUSD Trading Plan: BUY Zone 1 (Near Current Support): Entry: Consider entries around 1.36648. SL: 1.36500 (just below support). TP: Target incremental gains towards 1.36800, 1.37000, 1.37200, 1.37400, 1.37600, 1.37800, 1.38000, and potentially 1.38300 (just shy of major resistance). BUY Zone 2 (Stronger Support): Entry: Look for entries around 1.36158. SL: 1.36000 (below strong support). TP: Target incremental gains towards 1.36300, 1.36500, 1.36700, 1.37000, 1.37300, 1.37600, 1.38000, and 1.38300. SELL Zone (At Resistance): Entry: Consider short entries around 1.38366. SL: 1.38500 (just above resistance). TP: Target incremental declines towards 1.38200, 1.38000, 1.37800, 1.37500, 1.37200, 1.37000, 1.36800, and 1.36648 (targeting support). ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Fed Leadership News: Any official announcement regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility. UK Economic Data: Upcoming reports on employment, inflation, and GDP will directly impact the Pound. BoE Statements: Monetary policy stances from the Bank of England. US Inflation/Employment Data: Continues to influence overall USD strength. Trade wisely and always prioritize robust risk management! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
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Long
by TheSayyamGroup
1
GBPUSD SOLID BEARISH OR CONTINUATION OF UPTREND ? A strong bullish trend, marked by a series of higher highs and higher lows. Price hits resistance around 1.37800 and fails to break higher. After that a range/consolidation forming with small candles between 1.37000 – 1.37800. Sellers start stepping in, and momentum shows weakens of the trend. Neutral to slightly bullish in the very short term due to the latest recovery , Resistance: 1.37400 and 1.37800 (need a break above this for bullish continuation).
Short
by MIRZA_TRADS
1
GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Trap?🌟 Hey! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Calling all Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!💸💰 🔥 Thief Trading Intel: Our crew’s latest heist targets GBP/USD "The Cable"—bullish breakout incoming! Long entry only. High-risk Red Zone ahead: overbought, consolidating, and ripe for a reversal. Don’t get caught in the bear trap! 🏴‍☠️ "Take your loot and run, trader—you’ve earned this steal!" 💪🎯 🚪 ENTRY: The Heist Begins! 📈 "Wait for MA breakout (1.36000) then STRIKE—bullish profits await!" Option 1: Buy Stop above Pink Resistance (breakout confirmation). Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low/high (15-30 min TF). 📌 Pro Tip: SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route 🔊 "Yo, listen up! 🗣️ Buy Stop orders? NO SL until after breakout! 🚀 Rebels: Place SL wherever—but you’ve been warned! ⚠️🔥 📍 Thief SL (Smart Crew): Recent/swing low (1.35000, 4H TF). 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and orders. 🎯 TARGET: Loot & Exit! 🎯 1.37500 (or escape early if the market turns!) ⚡ SCALPERS’ QUICK GRAB 👀 Long scalps ONLY! Big wallets? Raid now. Small stacks? Join swing traders. Trailing SL = Your Money Shield! 🛡️💰 📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (GBP/USD Bullish Momentum) "The Cable" is heating up! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Future Targets & Score Outlook 🔗 Full intel? Bio links below! 👉👉 ⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone! 📰🚨 News = Volatility Spikes! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Trailing SL = Profit Lock. 💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW! 💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥 More boosts = easier money grabs! Stronger crew = bigger heists! Profit daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Next heist coming soon—stay tuned! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
4
GBPUSD retracement GBP/USD 4H Short Setup – ICT Concept Price has created relative equal highs in premium, indicating a potential liquidity pool above. Following that, we’ve seen a bearish Break of Structure (BoS) on the 4H timeframe, confirming a shift in order flow. Currently, price has returned to the discount zone for sells within the previous range (between 0.5–0.79 retracement), offering a potential entry point for shorts. The setup aligns with smart money concepts: Liquidity sweep above equal highs. SMT divergence with EURUSD BoS confirming bearish intent. Price retracing into a premium zone for institutional sell interest. Targets: First target near the smaller demand zone ~1.36400. Final target toward the larger imbalance and demand block near 1.34800. Bias: Bearish below 1.37300 as long as structure and liquidity context remain intact. GBP/USD will most likely have sell offs during Asia session allowing London session to manipulate into a daily discount before making legs down in New York session on Monday
Short
by noahsargeant
1
What Is a Change of Character (CHoCH) and How Can You Trade It?What Is a Change of Character (CHoCH) and How Can You Trade It? Navigating the nuances of Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading requires a keen understanding of market signals like the Change of Character (CHoCH). This concept can help traders detect and react to potential trend reversals. Today, we’ll delve into the mechanics of CHoCHs, explaining how they manifest in different market conditions and how they can be strategically leveraged for trading decisions. Understanding Breaks of Structure Understanding Breaks of Structure (BOS) is essential for traders before delving into concepts like Change of Character (CHoCH). A BOS in trading signifies a continuation within the current trend and is marked by a clear deviation from established swing points that indicate previous highs and lows. In the context of an uptrend, a BOS is identified when the price exceeds a previous high without moving below the most recent higher low. This action confirms that the upward momentum is still strong and likely to continue as buyers push the market to new heights. Similarly, in a downtrend, a BOS occurs when prices drop below a previous low without breaking the prior lower high, suggesting that sellers remain in control and the downward trend is set to persist. By recognising these points where the market extends beyond its former bounds, traders can confirm that the current trend is robust and act accordingly. This foundational concept of BOS not only helps in assessing trend strength but also sets the stage for understanding more complex patterns like CHoCH, where the focus shifts from trend continuation to potential trend reversals. CHoCH Trading Meaning In trading, a Change of Character (CHoCH) signals a potential shift in market dynamics, often indicating a reversal from the prevailing trend. This concept is particularly valuable as it helps traders discern when the momentum is shifting, offering a strategic point to consider adjusting their positions. A CHoCH occurs when there's a noticeable deviation in the market's price trend. For example, in a bullish trend characterised by a series of higher highs and higher lows, a CHoCH is indicated by the price failing to set a new high and subsequently falling below a recent higher low. This suggests that buyers are losing control, and a bearish trend could be emerging. Similarly, during a bearish trend marked by lower highs and lower lows, a bullish CHoCH would occur if the price unexpectedly breaks above a recent lower high. This break indicates that sellers are losing their grip, and a bullish trend may be starting. The Significance of CHoCHs Across Timeframes The fractal nature of financial markets means that patterns and behaviours recur across various timeframes, each providing unique insights and implications for trading. Understanding CHoCHs in different timeframes is crucial for traders to effectively align their strategies with both short-term opportunities and long-term trend shifts. In intraday trading, where decisions are made on lower timeframes (like minutes or hours), a CHoCH can signal a possible short-term trend reversal. For example, if a currency pair in a downtrend on a 15-minute chart suddenly posts a higher high, this could indicate a weakening of the bearish momentum, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Traders might use this information to close short positions or to consider a long position, capitalising on the emerging upward trend. These short-term CHoCHs allow traders to respond quickly to market changes, potentially securing returns before larger market shifts occur. Conversely, CHoCHs observed on higher timeframes, such as daily or weekly charts, are particularly significant because they can indicate a shift in the broader market trend that might last days, weeks, or even months. Such changes can then be used by both long and short-term traders to adjust their positioning and directional bias. How to Identify a CHoCH The initial step to identify a CHoCH in trading involves clearly defining the existing trend on a specific timeframe. This is done by marking the significant swing highs and lows that delineate the trend's progress. These points should represent somewhat meaningful retracements in the price, providing clear markers of trend continuity or potential reversal points. According to the Smart Money Concept (SMC) theory, the integrity of an uptrend is maintained as long as the price does not trade through the most recent significant higher low. Conversely, a downtrend is considered intact if the price does not surpass the most recent significant lower high. Therefore, traders focus their attention on these critical points. To identify a CHoCH, traders watch for a break in these crucial high or low points. For instance, in an uptrend, a bearish CHoCH is indicated when the price achieves a higher high but then reverses to descend below the previous significant higher low. Similarly, in a downtrend, a bullish CHoCH occurs when the price drops to a lower low before reversing to break above the previous significant lower high, setting a new high. Both types of breaks signal a potential reversal in the trend direction. How to Trade a CHoCH When trading a CHoCH, it’s essential to recognise that it should be integrated with other aspects of the SMC framework to get the best results. This includes the use of order blocks and imbalances, which are key components in identifying potential reversals. Order Blocks and Imbalances An order block is essentially a substantial consolidation area where significant buying or selling has occurred, and prices often revisit these zones before reversing. These blocks can be seen as levels where institutional orders were previously concentrated. An imbalance, also known as a fair value gap, occurs when the price moves sharply up or down, leaving a zone that has not been traded extensively. Price often returns to these gaps to 'fill' them, establishing equilibrium before a potential reversal happens. In practice, traders can look for a sequence where the price first approaches an order block and begins to fill any existing imbalances. This setup increases confidence in a potential reversal. As the price meets these criteria and a CHoCH occurs, this indicates that the influence of the order block is likely to initiate a price reversal. Practical Example on GBP/USD Consider the 4-hour chart of the GBP/USD pair above. We see the pair encounter an order block on the left, one that’s visible on the daily chart. As the price interacts with this block, it begins to retrace, attempting to fill the imbalance but moves away. Eventually, the price completes the fill of the imbalance and meets the previously established order block. Switching to a 1-hour timeframe, this scenario unfolds similarly. After reaching the order block on the 4-hour chart, another CHoCH occurs, signalling the start of a new uptrend. This lower timeframe CHoCH, following the meeting of the order block, corroborates the potential for a reversal initiated by the higher timeframe dynamics. This example illustrates how CHoCHs can be effectively utilised across different timeframes, tying back to the fractal nature of markets discussed earlier. By recognising these patterns and understanding their interaction with order blocks and imbalances, traders can strategically position themselves to capitalise on potential market reversals, aligning their trades with deeper market forces at play. CHoCH vs Market Structure Shift A Market Structure Shift (MSS) is a specific type of Change of Character that includes additional signals suggesting a potential trend reversal. Unlike a straightforward CHoCH that typically indicates a trend is shifting but may also be a false break, an MSS can be seen as a higher confluence CHoCH. An MSS occurs after the market first makes a key movement contrary to the established trend—forming a lower high in an uptrend or a higher low in a downtrend—without plotting a higher high or lower low. Following these preliminary signals, an MSS is confirmed when there is a decisive break through a significant swing point accompanied by a strong displacement (i.e. impulse) move, creating a CHoCH in the process. This sequence not only reflects that the prevailing trend has paused but also that a new trend in the opposite direction is establishing itself. Due to these additional confirmations, an MSS can offer added confirmation for traders, indicating a stronger likelihood that a new, sustainable trend has begun. This makes the MSS particularly valuable for traders looking for more substantiated signals in their trading strategy. The Bottom Line The concept of a CHoCH is instrumental in navigating the complexities of SMC trading. By identifying these crucial market signals, traders may align their strategies to capitalise on market movements efficiently. FAQs What Is CHoCH in Trading? In trading, CHoCH is a technical observation that signifies a change in the trend's character, where the price movement breaks from its established pattern of highs and lows, suggesting a potential reversal or substantial shift in the market's direction. What Is CHoCH in SMC Trading? In Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading, a Change of Character (CHoCH) refers to a clear shift in market behaviour that indicates a potential reversal of the prevailing trend. This concept is used by traders to detect early signs of a momentum shift that might lead to significant changes in price direction, enabling strategic adjustments to their trading positions. What Is a CHoCH in the Market Structure? A CHoCH in market structure is identified when there is an observable deviation from established price patterns — specifically when new highs or lows contradict the current trend. It signifies that the previous market sentiment is weakening, and a new opposite trend may be starting, prompting traders to reassess their strategies. How Do You Identify a CHoCH? Identifying a CHoCH involves monitoring significant swing highs and lows for breaks that are contrary to the existing trend. For instance, in an uptrend, a CHoCH would be indicated by a failure to reach a new high followed by a drop below the recent higher low, suggesting a shift to a bearish outlook. What Is ChoCH vs BOS in Trading? While both CHoCH and Break of Structure (BOS) are critical in assessing market dynamics, they serve different purposes. CHoCH indicates a potential trend reversal by highlighting a significant change in the price pattern. In contrast, a BOS indicates a continuation of the current trend by showing the price surpassing previous significant highs or lows, reinforcing the ongoing direction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.3622 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.3558 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3653 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
Technical + Fundamental Alignment: GBPUSD Short in PlayGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($1.354-$1,350) and has managed to break the Support line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that GBPUSD has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , we can expect the next five bearish waves . -------------------------------------------------------- Fundamental Analysis 1-Weak UK Economic Data: Recent reports including Retail Sales, Industrial Output, and PMIs have come in below expectations. Labour market is softening, and wage growth is decelerating. 2-Dovish Expectations for BoE: With inflation cooling down, the Bank of England is expected to hold or even cut rates soon, reducing support for the pound. 3-Stronger USD Outlook Despite some weaker U.S. data, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. U.S. retail sales and inflation still support the dollar overall. 4-UK Political Risk Upcoming UK elections on July 4 are adding uncertainty and downside risk to GBP. -------------------------------------------------------- I expect GBPUSD to attack at least the Support lines based on the above explanation. Targets: 1.3 1)1.3353 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 1.51 2)1.3315 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 2.00 Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3549 USD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound / U.S Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15