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GBPUSD trade ideas

Market next move Bearish Disruption to GBP/USD Analysis: 1. Support Weakness: The price action within the red box shows multiple bearish candles, suggesting the zone is under pressure. A break and close below this box could invalidate the bullish thesis. 2. Exhaustion Signals: After a sharp rally, the market often consolidates or corrects. The current stall near 1.3400–1.3420 could indicate buying exhaustion. The latest candle shows a strong bearish push into the support, hinting at potential for deeper decline. 3. Decreasing Volume: Recent green candles had falling volume, which shows lack of conviction by buyers. Meanwhile, red (bearish) candles show rising volume, signaling increased selling pressure. 4. Failed Breakout Setup: If this bounce fails and price closes below 1.3380, this will form a false breakout or bull trap, triggering stop hunts and aggressive shorting. 5. Macroeconomic Headwinds: GBP is sensitive to UK data and BoE policy. Any hawkish Fed or weak UK numbers may lead to a USD rebound, pushing GBP/USD lower.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 Target opposing rangeHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. snapshot ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. snapshot 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. snapshot 📍Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. snapshot 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
31
Market Structure Shift Meaning and Use in ICT TradingMarket Structure Shift Meaning and Use in ICT Trading In ICT (Inner Circle Trader) trading, understanding Market Structure Shifts (MSS) is crucial for accurately interpreting market trends and making informed trading decisions. This article delves into the significance of MSS, its distinct indicators, and how it integrates with other trading elements like Breaks of Structure and Changes of Character. Understanding Breaks of Structure and Change of Character Comprehending the dynamics of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) can be crucial for analysing market trends. A Break of Structure occurs when price levels move beyond established support or resistance areas, indicating a potential continuation or acceleration of the current trend. For example, in an uptrend, a BOS is identified when prices break above a previous resistance level, suggesting further upward movement. Conversely, a Change of Character signifies a possible shift in the market's direction. This occurs when the price action breaks against the prevailing trend, challenging the recent high or low points that served as market barriers. A CHoCH often raises a red flag about the sustainability of the current trend. For instance, in a sustained uptrend, a CHoCH would be marked by a significant downward breach that violates a previous low point, hinting at a weakening of bullish momentum. Both BOS and CHoCH are pivotal in the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology, where they are used to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in trend dynamics. Traders monitor these patterns to adjust their strategies, whether to capitalise on the continuation signalled by a BOS or prepare for a trend reversal suggested by a CHoCH. What Is a Market Structure Shift? MSS, meaning a Market Structure Shift, is an indicator of a significant change in the prevailing trend, marked by a series of patterns that suggest a reversal is imminent. An ICT MSS is more than a simple Change of Character (CHoCH); it includes additional signals that strengthen the case for a directional change. The process begins with a shift in market structure that fails to sustain the ongoing trend. For example, during an uptrend, the market might fail to make a new higher high, instead forming a lower high. This initial deviation raises a caution flag about the trend’s strength. The confirmation of an MSS in trading occurs when there is a decisive break of a significant swing point, accompanied by a strong impulse move that deeply penetrates through this point, known as a displacement. This displacement is critical—it’s not merely a slight breach but a robust move that clearly indicates a shift. In essence, an MSS signals that the current market momentum has not only paused but is likely reversing. For traders, this is a pivotal moment: the lower highs in an uptrend or the higher lows in a downtrend prior to the break suggest that a new opposite trend is starting to take shape. How to Use a Market Structure Shift in Trading An MSS ultimately serves as a directional tool. It helps traders understand when a potential trend reversal is underway, enabling them to align their strategies with the new market direction. To effectively use an MSS in trading, traders often follow these steps: - Observing Current Market Structure: They start by analysing the existing trend direction and key price levels. Understand whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement by identifying patterns of higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows. - Watching for a Break in Key Levels: The core of an MSS is the break of an important high or low, combined with a sharp price movement that breaches a significant swing point (displacement). - Confirming with News Releases: MSS often coincides with major economic announcements or news releases that can affect market sentiment significantly. For example, if there's a report indicating unexpectedly high US inflation rates, and this correlates with a sharp downward movement in EURUSD, it provides additional confirmation of the MSS. A stronger dollar against the euro, in this case, would signal a clear shift in market direction towards favouring the dollar. By recognising these elements, traders can more confidently anticipate and adapt to changes in market direction. A well-identified MSS not only indicates a pause in the current trend but also the establishment of a new trend. Using Market Structure Shifts With Other ICT Components Using Market Structure Shifts with other Inner Circle Trader methodology components like break of structure, order blocks, and fair value gaps may enhance a trader's ability to interpret and react to market dynamics. Integrating MSS with ICT Market Structure An MSS identifies a potential reversal in the market’s direction. When an MSS occurs, it often leads to the formation of a new high-low range in the direction of the new trend. For example, if a bearish MSS results in a new lower high and lower low, traders can watch for a BOS of this range. A retracement back inside of the new range can signal a decent area to search for an entry to ride the trend that’s just beginning. Utilising Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps However, there are scenarios where the price doesn’t establish a new high-low range but instead returns to the area where the original displacement occurred. This displacement often leaves behind a fair value gap and an order block. - Fair Value Gap: This is a price range that the market skips over quickly during a displacement, leaving it untested by typical market trading. It often acts like a vacuum, drawing the price back to fill in the gap at a later stage. - Order Block: An order block is typically a consolidation area that precedes a strong price move and is considered a footprint left by institutional traders. It represents levels where significant buying or selling occurred, potentially acting as support or resistance in future price movements. If the price returns to fill a fair value gap and enters the order block, this scenario can provide a potent setup for a reversal. Traders might look for confirmatory signals at these levels to enter trades that anticipate the market returning to its previous course or extending the reversal initiated by the MSS. The Bottom Line The insights provided on MSS and its application within the ICT trading framework can be instrumental for any trader seeking to navigate the complexities of the market effectively. To put these strategies into practice and potentially improve your trading outcomes, practice a lot and learn more about ICT trading. FAQs What Is a Market Structure Shift? A Market Structure Shift (MSS) indicates a potential reversal in market trends, marked initially by a lower high in an uptrend or a higher low in a downtrend, followed by a displacement—a significant and rapid price movement that decisively breaks through a key market level. How to Identify Market Structure Shift? Identifying an MSS involves observing for early signs of trend weakening (lower highs or higher lows) and waiting for a subsequent displacement that confirms the shift. This displacement should significantly penetrate a key swing point, clearly indicating a new direction in market momentum. What Is the ICT Method of Trading? The ICT (Inner Circle Trader) method of trading is a comprehensive approach that utilises various trading concepts such as market structure, order blocks, and fair value gaps, focusing on how institutional traders influence the market. It emphasises understanding and leveraging these components to align trading strategies with probable market movements. What Is the Difference Between MSS and BOS in ICT? In ICT, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) refers to a potential trend reversal, confirmed by a lower high/higher low followed by a displacement. A Break of Structure (BOS), however, simply indicates the continuation or acceleration of the current trend without necessarily suggesting a reversal, marked by the breach of a key high or low point within the ongoing trend direction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
GBPUSD breakout looks to fail… or is another move coming?UK inflation just shocked the market, and GBPUSD reacted fast. We explain the setup, the risk-reward if this year's high is breached, and how seasonal effects may be distorting the inflation data. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
GBPUSD INTRADAY supported at 1.3400 The GBP/USD pair continues to exhibit a bullish longer-term trend, underpinned by a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action shows consolidation within a sideways trading range, suggesting a pause or potential accumulation before the next directional move. The key technical level to monitor is 1.3400, which aligns with a prior consolidation zone and serves as a critical support area. A corrective pullback towards this level could present a buying opportunity, particularly if price action forms a bullish reversal pattern around this zone. A successful rebound from 1.3400 would likely target resistance levels at 1.3470, followed by 1.3500 and 1.3550 on a longer-term basis. Conversely, a daily close below 1.3400 would invalidate the current bullish bias and suggest a shift in sentiment. This scenario opens the door for further downside towards the next support at 1.3370, with extended losses potentially reaching 1.3340. Conclusion: While the broader trend remains bullish, GBP/USD is currently range-bound. Traders should watch for a reaction around the 1.3400 level. A bounce would reinforce bullish momentum towards 1.3470 and beyond, whereas a confirmed break below this level would signal further weakness and a possible trend shift in the near term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBP/USD Cable Heist:Join the Thief Trading Style to Raid Profit!GBP/USD Cable Heist Plan - Thief Trading Style 😎💸 Greetings, wealth chasers and market bandits! 👋💰 Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, blending sharp technicals with savvy fundamentals to raid the GBP/USD "Cable" Forex Market. 📊 Follow the strategy outlined in the chart, focusing on long entries targeting the high-stakes Red Zone. 🌋 Expect an overbought market, consolidation, or trend reversal where bears might set traps. 🐻 Nail the plan, grab your profits, and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎯💵🎉 Entry 📈: The heist begins! 🚨 Wait for the MA breakout at 1.34700, then strike for bullish gains. 🐂 Set buy stop orders above the moving average or place buy limit orders within a 15/30-minute timeframe at the recent swing high/low. ⏰ Don’t miss the move—set a chart alert to catch the breakout! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑: Listen up, crew! 🗣️ For buy stop orders, hold off on setting your stop loss until after the breakout. 🚀 Place it at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (1.33300) for swing/day trades. 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Play smart, or you’re dancing with danger! 🔥😈 Target 🎯: Aim for 1.37000 or bail early if the market shifts. 🏃‍♂️ Scalpers, stick to long-side trades. 👀 Got deep pockets? Jump in now. 💪 Otherwise, join the swing traders and execute the plan with a trailing stop loss to secure your loot. 🔒💰 Market Outlook: GBP/USD is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key fundamentals. 🐃 Dive into the COT Report, macro data, sentiment, intermarket analysis, and future trend targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 🔗👉 Why This Trade?: The bullish setup on GBP/USD is backed by strong technical signals, with the MA breakout confirming upward momentum. 📈 Fundamentals, including favorable COT positioning and positive macro data, suggest sustained strength in the pound. 💪 Intermarket correlations and sentiment analysis further align with a bullish outlook, making this an ideal moment to strike the Cable for potential high rewards. 🌟 The Red Zone target at 1.37000 offers a prime risk-to-reward ratio for disciplined traders. 🤑 ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰: News releases can shake up prices and volatility. 🌪️ To stay safe: Skip new trades during news events. 🚫 Use trailing stops to lock in profits and protect open positions. 🔐 Boost the Heist! 🚀: Support our plan by hitting the Boost Button to supercharge our market raids. 💥 With the Thief Trading Style, we’re stacking profits daily. 📈 Join the crew, execute the plan, and let’s make money moves! 💪🤝😺 Stay sharp for the next heist plan. Until then, keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱‍👤
Long
by Thief_Trader
GBPUSD may correct after false breakout The currency pair has overcome a huge 0.8% or 110 points since the opening of the session, having wasted all the potential and is trying to test the resistance. The potential for breakout and continuation of growth may not be enough and the price may make a false breakout and correction before the second impulse to the intermediate high, where the scenario with correction may be repeated Scenario: Breakout of 1.3402. No possibility to continue growth, return under the level and consolidation below the level - further sales. It is possible that the price will consolidate above 1.34 and will head towards the far, strong level of 1.34425 from which a false breakout and correction can also be considered.
Short
by AndeWave
20
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GU - GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST W21 D21 Y25 GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 BEST PRICE TO SHORT GBPUSD Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Retests Bullish Order Block – Smart Money Loading Up!📈 GBPUSD SMC Bullish Setup – Institutional Re-Entry Into Power Zone Traders, this is a prime example of how Smart Money manipulates liquidity, taps deep into premium OBs, and prepares for explosive continuation moves. Let’s break it down step-by-step… 🔍 Market Structure Insight: We’ve seen a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) after a strong impulsive move that broke past previous highs. Now price is retracing into the bullish Order Block, giving a golden opportunity for re-entry — but only if you know what to look for. 🔲 Key Confluences: 💎 Order Block: Marked between 1.3332 – 1.3290, this purple zone aligns with: Breaker candle after a liquidity sweep Prior imbalance zone Institutional volume spike 📐 Fib Retracement: From the swing low to high: 61.8% → 70.5% golden zone nested inside the OB 79% just below — great stop loss placement 📉 Weak High Above: Current price action shows the market stalling near a weak high at 1.3400 — ripe for targeting in the next expansion. 📌 Strong Low at 1.3245: Protected unless structure breaks. This helps confirm bullish bias remains intact. 🧠 Smart Money Logic: This isn't retail "support." Smart Money took out early sellers, pushed price impulsively, then returned to mitigate orders inside the OB before continuing the expansion. This retracement = institutional reloading zone. That red candle into purple? That’s the bait. 🧨 🎯 Entry Plan: ✅ Wait for bullish confirmation inside OB (engulfing, MS shift, or liquidity wick) ✅ Ideal entry at 1.3332–1.3300 ✅ Stop below 79% Fib (~1.3289) ✅ Target: TP1: 0% Fib (~1.3400) TP2: -27% Fib extension (~1.3445) TP3: Moon mission? 😏 RRR ~ 1:3.5+ — solid trade for swing traders and intraday scalpers alike! 🧘‍♂️ Psychology & Patience Reminder: Let price come to you. This setup rewards discipline and confirmation — don’t FOMO early. Watch for trap wicks and engineered fakeouts at the OB zone. You’re not chasing price. You’re sitting where Smart Money leaves footprints. 👣 ⚠️ Risk Tip: ✅ Stick to your model ✅ 1–2% risk max ✅ Scale partials at key levels ✅ Don’t revenge trade if price reacts first without you — next setup is always coming 🔁 Summary: This GBPUSD chart is a masterclass in Smart Money structure: Bullish BOS Return to Order Block Fib confluence Weak high liquidity target Perfect RRR setup 🧠 Let’s play it like a pro. If OB holds — the market flies. If not, we step out, risk-managed, and wait. 📣 Comment “GBPUSD SNIPER” if you’re ready for the OB bounce. 📈 Tag your trading fam to keep them on the money wave!
Long
by ChartNinjas88
The Week AheadWednesday May 21 Data: UK April CPI, RPI, March house price index, Japan April trade balance Central banks: Fed's Hammack, Daly, Bostic, Barkin and Bowman speak, ECB's Lane and Guindos speak Earnings: TJX, Medtronic, Snowflake, Target, Baidu, SSE, XPeng, Marks & Spencer Auctions: US 20-yr Bonds This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair rose slightly on Tuesday, rising to 1.34000 (but failed to overcome it). The price is ahead of key inflation and business outlook data: the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due out on Wednesday and a double dose of UK and US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey results on Thursday. Trade news remains the key driver for global markets this week. Investors remain hopeful of a deal with the US that will encourage the Trump administration to pull the tariff gun away from the head of its own economy, but the constant drift into the unknown is starting to limit bullish sentiment. The Trump administration is rapidly approaching its self-imposed 90-day deadline to pass a package of “retaliatory tariffs.” While some potential trade deals have been announced, nothing concrete has emerged. UK CPI inflation for April will be released early Wednesday. Mid-market forecasts expect the monthly CPI to rise to 1.1% m/m from the previous reading of 0.3%. Annual CPI is also expected to rise to 3.3% from 2.6%. UK core CPI inflation is also expected to rise, to 3.6% y/y from 3.4%. A double batch of UK and US PMIs will be released on Thursday. Markets are expecting a broad-based increase in indexed forward-looking business activity survey results, while mixed data is expected in the US. The US manufacturing PMI for May is expected to decline to 50.1 from 50.2, while the services component is expected to remain unchanged at 50.8. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.34200, SL 1.33900, TP 1.34900
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004