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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on GBP/USD with you. Based on the current market structure, I anticipate further bearish movement in GBP/USD. I expect it to reach the zone between 1.22014 and 1.21685 . However, if GBP/USD breaks above 1.24721 on the 1H timeframe, I expect it to push higher towards the zone between 1.25770 and 1.25669. 📉 Expectation: Bearish continuation towards 1.22014–1.21685, unless the 1.24721 level is broken. In that case, a bullish move towards 1.25770–1.25669 is expected. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.24721 (breakout), 1.25770–1.25669 Support: 1.22014–1.21685 💬 What’s your view on the GBP/USD this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below! Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
UPDATE ON GBP/USD ANALYSISGBP/USD 1H - I think its time to rinse the cable as much as we can again, as you can see price has recently traded into a FVG and has gone on to break structure to the downside. This giving us the confluence to suggest that price is now trading us in a bearish way and we can look to short this market yet again. We just need to wait for price to give us the entry. This will come by price pulling back up to where we broke the structure, price will do this as it needs to set a new lower high within this bearish structure, once it does we can look to capitalise. I feel price will pullback up to the neckline, clearing any liquidity before the down move, once price trades up I will be keeping a close eye for any fractal breaks in structure to the downside so we can jump on.
Short
by Lukegforex
$GBPUSD DOLLAR EDGES UP, STERLING DIPS & YEN STEADIESDOLLAR EDGES UP, STERLING DIPS & YEN STEADIES 1/7 Dollar’s on a slight uptick today but still near recent lows. 💵🔎 All eyes are on upcoming U.S. economic data—could it shake the greenback out of its range? 2/7 Sterling falls as traders brace for a possible Bank of England rate cut. 💷❓ Recent economic signals point toward a policy adjustment—markets are watching closely! 3/7 The yen hit an 8-week high overnight after a BoJ board member hinted at further rate increases. ⬆️🇯🇵 But it pulled back in European trade, settling into a steady groove. 4/7 Why the mild dollar strength? 1️⃣ Easing trade war fears 2️⃣ Anticipation of Friday’s big U.S. data drop Investors remain cautious, but a surprise on the data front could shift sentiment fast. 5/7 Sterling’s dip reflects the BoE’s potential pivot. 👀💼 A rate cut could lower borrowing costs, but also typically pressures a currency downward. 6/7 Which currency do you think will see the biggest move after the BoE decision? 1️⃣ Dollar 2️⃣ Sterling 3️⃣ Yen 4️⃣ Something else? Vote below! 🗳️👇 7/7 Uncertain times call for tight risk management! ⚠️💹 Currency markets hinge on central bank signals—stay vigilant and nimble with your trades.
Long
by DCAChampion
1
Keep an eye on the BoE interest rate decisionDo not miss the BoE interest rate decision, where the Bank is expected to go for another 25bps cut. Can the BoE afford it? Let's see. MARKETSCOM:GBPUSD FX_IDC:GBPUSD 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
GBPUSD - Will the dollar return to the bullish trajectory?!US President Donald Trump has once again shown his mastery of political bluffs. He pushed negotiations with Mexico and Canada to the brink of crisis, there were numerous reports of increased tariffs and tougher measures, but in the end, he canceled everything. Instead, only a few symbolic measures were announced at the border, many of which had been discussed before. Now it seems that this scenario will be repeated again in the next 30 days. That this was a bluff was predictable from the beginning, but it was a challenging experience for analysts and markets. If you didn’t have a moment of doubt during this process, you probably weren’t paying close enough attention. But that’s the Trump strategy: in the market you have to have a strong belief that you are on the right track. When everyone is panicking, you have to stay calm and watch the process from the outside. The trade war has caused significant volatility in financial markets, and it’s not easy to make a profit in this environment. One of the main challenges was the timing. Last week, Trump announced that Mexico and Canada could do nothing to prevent the tariffs. But just days later, the two countries made almost no concessions and no tariffs were imposed. The signs of a shift in direction were already clear. The most important sign was the comments of Kevin Hassett, the White House economic adviser, who indicated that the talks were changing direction. He shifted the focus of the discussion to the problem of drugs and fentanyl, a shift that indicated that the Trump administration was looking to declare a victory in the negotiations. When even CNBC analysts noticed the change, it was clear that the direction of the talks had changed. “It doesn’t seem like you believe that these tariffs are going to happen, or that they will last very long,” one of the network’s hosts told Hassett in an interview. How did the financial markets react? The currency market was one of the best indicators to understand developments. While the stock markets were volatile, the trends in Forex were more transparent and occurred without random disturbances. The focus of attention on financial markets today is the Bank of England’s monetary policy decision. The Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, starting the new year. The decision will not come as a surprise, as OIS market data shows that traders have priced in a cut with a probability of around 92%. The cut will take the Bank of England’s policy rate to 4.50%, while policymakers continue to gradually reduce interest rates. However, the most important part of the decision will be the central bank’s statement and tone. The results of the December vote showed that there is a division among BoE policymakers. Dhingra, Ramsden and Taylor had voted for a 25 basis point cut earlier in the same meeting. The Bank of England continues to insist that “a gradual approach to removing monetary policy constraints remains appropriate.” This will remain the watchword for monetary policy today, even if interest rate cuts are implemented. But economic uncertainties remain. The December inflation report showed that price pressures have eased, but the trend is not sustainable. Analysts have made a few key points: • The decline in inflation has been driven largely by falling service prices. • But a closer look suggests that the decline may be temporary. Rob Wood of Pantheon Economics explained that the ONS’s calculation method has led to a drop in airline prices on December 10. The drop came before the Christmas break, when prices would normally have been expected to rise. Overall, the disinflationary trend remains unsustainable. With core inflation still above 3%, the Bank of England remains committed to keeping price pressures in check. Future Forecast: • The Bank of England will cut interest rates today as expected, but will emphasize that future actions will depend on economic data. • Traders do not expect interest rate cuts in February and March, but have forecast the next cut for May 2025. • In total, interest rate cuts for 2025 are estimated at around 83 basis points. Since the Bank of England is unlikely to make any clear commitments on the future course of its policies, the impact of this decision on the value of the pound and government bonds (Gilts) is expected to be limited. The GBPUSD currency pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be bought within the specified demand zone.
Long
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD A Clear Sell To Buy Set UPFirst I want to thank you all for the love you have showed. Much appreciated. Second, I sound groggy in this video..... just exhausted but hey, I have to do this for you guys. Anyway, this is a follow up on the last video that I did (attached here) where I mentioned that since we have already gotten a bullish break of internal structure (signaling an internal trend change) we should expect a pullback. At the time i was recording this, price is approaching a demand zone where we should expect to see a bullish reaction to take us back to where we are looking to get involved with the sells. If you are comfortable buying from the zone, you should (I will just wait for the reaction off that demand zone into my supply zone to sell). Caution to the people looking to sell. If price makes a deeper pullback, (blasting through the demand zone), cancel your sell orders and start looking for buy opportunities. If the decisional demand zone get's blasted, let's wait for the extreme to hold.
Short
by DagemFxStudio
2
GBPUSD: TP2 Hit +63 Pips (AccuTrade)The Bank Of England's trade-weighted sterling index has rallied 1.7% since the middle of January. The recovery from the gilt-triggered January sell-off has undoubtedly been helped by the rally in US Treasuries. Additionally, the recent focus on tariffs has been a EUR/GBP negative, with the UK less exposed and the UK perhaps even being granted a tariff exemption from the Trump administration – if this week's comments are to be believed. However, the external environment may sour if US Treasury yields rise again, which is the house view. And the brief reprieve in the tariff noise should allow investors to refocus on the UK's fiscal and monetary mix. Fiscal will be a story for March, but today the monetary angle reappears with the Bank of England meeting. Our UK economist, James Smith, discusses all the scenarios here. We expect an 8-1 vote to cut rates and a downward revision to growth forecasts to be a mild sterling negative. Much more negative would be a 9-0 vote, should arch-hawk Catherine Mann vote for a rate cut. We continue to favour GBP/USD topping out this quarter in the 1.25/26 area and see a strong case for it to be trading close to 1.19/20 later this year.
Short
by AccuTrade2000
4-hr GBP/USD: Trend Reversal on the RadarBetween October and January, GBP/USD experienced a significant decline, dropping by approximately 1300 pips. However, we now observe signs of a potential trend reversal. Over the past few weeks, the pair has rebounded by more than 400 pips, shifting momentum toward a bullish outlook. This upward movement is further validated by the formation of a Golden Cross, a widely recognized technical indicator that signals buying opportunities. Despite this positive shift, the market faced a temporary disruption over the weekend when newly announced tariffs caused a sharp opening gap of 200 pips on Monday. Nevertheless, this gap was quickly covered, reinforcing the notion that buyers are gaining control. Such price action suggests strong demand and growing confidence in the pair’s upside potential. However, a notable resistance level has emerged at 1.2530, where a Double Top formation has appeared. This pattern is often associated with short-term profit-taking, leading to a temporary pullback in prices. Given this setup, we anticipate further downside movement before the next leg higher. To optimize risk-to-reward, we prefer entering a long position after a deeper retracement. Our ideal entry point would be near the 38% Fibonacci level, around 1.2390, as this zone could act as a strong support level before the bullish trend resumes.
Long
by Trendsharks
Pound Hits Three-Week High as Markets Await BoE CutThe British pound rose above $1.25, its highest since January 7, as the US dollar weakened and the focus shifted to the Bank of England’s Thursday decision. Policymakers are expected to cut rates by 25bps to 4.5%, reflecting slowing growth and easing services inflation. Market sentiment remained cautious over US tariffs, with concerns about a US-China trade conflict impacting global stability. Meanwhile, UK input price inflation hit an 18-month high in January, according to the latest PMI report. The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2500. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2600 and 1.2650. On the downside 1.2340 will be the first support level. 1.2265 and 1.2100 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
by zForexcom
Breakout Trap or Trend Reversal? What the Market is Telling Us The Bank of England looks set to cut interest rates on Thursday for only the third time since 2020. During its December meeting, the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee voted 6-3 to maintain the current rates. Currently, the BoE’s benchmark bank rate stands at 4.75%, the highest among major developed economies. A widely expected cut of 25bps would bring it closer to the U.S Federal Reserve’s 4.25-4.5% range. Moreover, the market has largely priced in the possibility of a 25bps rate cut. However, the BoE remains cautious about inflationary pressures. The rate-cutting cycle is entering a more challenging stage, as a rebound in energy prices and a significant rise in labor costs could push inflation to 3.5% by April. In December, inflation was recorded at 2.5%, exceeding the BoE’s 2% target. From a technical analysis perspective, the recent price action for MARKETSCOM:GBPUSD has broken through the descending channel, forming a bullish trend as indicated by the formation of higher lows and higher highs. However, the price is currently testing the rectangular resistance zone. If the price manages to break through this resistance, it is highly likely to gain bullish momentum, driving the price higher. Conversely, if this resistance zone successfully blocks the price from moving higher, the bearish momentum may regain control, driving the price downward. RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Understanding Fibonacci ExtensionsUnderstanding Fibonacci Extensions Have you ever noticed that market movements often occur in repeatable patterns? Well, that’s where Fibonacci extensions come into play. Join us in this article as we dive into the world of Fibonacci extensions and discover how they can be a strong addition to your trading arsenal. A Primer on Fibonacci Ratios Fibonacci ratios originate from the Fibonacci sequence, where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34). The key ratio, known as the Golden Ratio, is approximately 1.618. This is calculated by dividing a number in the sequence by its immediate predecessor (e.g., 34 ÷ 21 ≈ 1.619). Conversely, dividing a number by the next number yields approximately 0.618 (e.g., 21 ÷ 34 ≈ 0.618). In trading, these ratios are used to identify potential support and resistance levels through Fibonacci retracements and extensions: - Fibonacci Retracements. These indicate where the price might pull back within an existing trend. Common retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. They are derived from the ratios between numbers in the sequence and are applied to measure potential correction points. - Fibonacci Extensions. These project potential price targets beyond the current range. Key extension levels include 100%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, and 423.6%. They are calculated by extending the Fibonacci ratios past the 100% level to anticipate where the price might move following a retracement. Note that these ratios can be expressed as either integers or percentages, e.g. 0.618 or 61.8%. What Are Fibonacci Extensions? Fibonacci extensions (also known as Fibonacci expansions or Fib extensions) are a technical analysis tool that allows traders to determine potential levels of support and resistance for an asset’s price. Like regular support and resistance levels, they are considered as areas of interest rather than where the price will turn with pinpoint precision. They’re most frequently used to set profit targets, although they can also be used to find entries. Fibonacci extensions can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, stocks, cryptocurrencies*, and more, and work across all timeframes. While not foolproof, using the Fibonacci extension tool combined with other forms of technical analysis might be an effective way to spot potential reversal points in financial markets. Fibonacci Retracements vs. Extensions Both Fibonacci retracements and extensions are based on the Fibonacci sequence and the Golden Ratio, but they are used to measure different things in the market. The former shows support and resistance levels during a pullback from a larger move. The latter measures the potential levels of support and resistance for an asset's price after a pullback has occurred. As shown in the chart above, the Fibonacci retracement tool can be applied to identify where the price may pull back to – 50% in this scenario. Then, the Fibonacci extension tool is used to plot where the price could end up beyond this pullback. The 100% and 161.8% levels posed significant resistance, causing the price to reverse. It’s easy to see how both tools can be used in conjunction to build a strategy. Generally speaking, traders tend to enter on a pullback to one of the key retracement levels, and then take potential profits at the extension levels. However, either tool can be used to find areas suitable for entries and exits. Fib Extensions: How to Use Them in a Trading Strategy If you’re wondering how to use Fib extensions in your own trading, here are the steps you need to follow. - Click to set the first point at a major swing low if expecting bullishness or swing high if expecting bearishness. - Place the second point at a swing in the opposite direction. - Put the third point at the low of the pullback if a bullish move is expected or the high if a bearish move is expected. That’s it! You now have an idea of where price may reverse as the trend progresses, allowing you to set profit targets or plan entries. You can also double-click the tool to adjust it to your preferences, like removing certain levels and changing colours. Bullish Example In this example, we have a swing low (1) followed by a swing high (2) that makes a retracement (3). These three points are all we need to plot a Fibonacci extension. Notice that the 138.2% level didn’t hold, showing that price isn’t always guaranteed to reverse in these areas. However, the wicks and sustained moves lower at the 100% and 161.8% areas gave traders confirmation that a reversal might be inbound. Bearish Example Here, we can see that each of the three areas prompted a pullback. Some traders might not consider the 138.2% area valid to trade. However, the most common way to get around this is to look for confirmation with a break of the trend, as denoted by the dotted line between extensions. Once the price gets beyond that swing high (intermittently breaking the downtrend), traders have confirmation that what they’re looking at is likely the start of a reversal. Some traders believe that if the price closes beyond a level, it’ll continue progressing to the next area. While this can sometimes be the case, it can just as easily reverse. Here, the price briefly closed below the 161.8% level before continuing much higher. How Can You Confirm Fib Extensions? While Fibonacci extensions suggest potential areas where price movements may reverse or stall, traders often seek additional confirmation to enhance their confidence in these levels. Here are some methods traders typically use to validate Fib extension levels. - Confluence with Other Fibonacci Levels. Traders can look for alignment between Fibonacci extensions and retracements from different timeframes or price swings. This overlap may indicate a more significant level where the price could react. - Support and Resistance Zones. If a Fibonacci extension level coincides with established support or resistance areas on the chart, it can reinforce the likelihood of a market response at that point. - Candlestick Patterns. Observing specific candlestick formations, such as doji, hammer, or engulfing patterns at Fibonacci extensions, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuations. - Technical Indicators. Incorporating indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD can help confirm the validity of a Fibonacci extension level. For example, if the RSI indicates overbought conditions at a key extension level, traders might anticipate a pullback. - Trendlines and Chart Patterns. Aligning Fibonacci extensions with trendlines or chart patterns like the Head and Shoulders can offer additional confirmation. Traders often find that extension levels intersecting with these tools carry more significance. - Volume Analysis. An increase in trading volume near a Fibonacci extension level may suggest stronger market interest, potentially validating the importance of that level. - Multiple Timeframe Analysis. Traders might analyse Fibonacci extensions across various timeframes to identify consistent levels of interest. A level that appears significant on both charts could be considered more reliable. - Market Sentiment and News Events. While primarily technical, acknowledging fundamental factors such as economic news or market sentiment can help traders assess whether a Fibonacci extension level might hold or be surpassed. Limitations of Fibonacci Extensions Fibonacci extensions are valuable for projecting potential price targets, but they come with limitations that traders should consider. Understanding these can lead to more informed use within a trading strategy. - Lack of Confidence in Price Movements. While based on mathematical ratios, Fibonacci extensions don't account for unexpected market events like economic news or geopolitical developments that can significantly impact prices. - Subjectivity in Point Selection. The effectiveness of extension levels hinges on correctly identifying swing highs and lows. Different traders may choose varying reference points, leading to inconsistent levels and interpretations. - Ineffectiveness in Certain Market Conditions. In sideways or highly volatile markets, prices may not respect Fib extensions, reducing their reliability as indicators of support or resistance. - Conflicting Signals Across Timeframes. Extension levels vary between different timeframes, potentially causing confusion and conflicting signals in analysis and decision-making. - Overreliance on Technicals. Focusing solely on Fib extensions might cause traders to overlook other critical technical indicators or fundamental factors influencing the market. - Unnatural Price Movements. Widespread use of Fibonacci levels can lead to price reactions simply because many traders expect them, creating artificial support or resistance that may not hold. - Psychological Biases. Traders might experience confirmation bias, seeing what they expect at Fib levels, which can lead to misguided trading decisions. Making the Most of Fibonacci Extensions By now, you may have a decent understanding of what Fib extensions are and how to use them. But how do you make the most out of Fibonacci extensions? Here are two points you may consider to improve your trading strategy. - Look for confirmation. Instead of blindly setting orders at extension levels, you can look for price action confirmation that the price is starting to reverse at the area before taking potential profits or entering a position. You could do this by looking for breaks in the trend, as discussed in the example above. - Find confluence. Similarly, you can use other technical analysis tools like trendlines, indicators like moving averages, or even multiple Fibonacci extensions, to give you a better idea of how price will likely react at a level. Your Next Steps Now, it’s time to put your understanding to the test. Spend some time practising how to use Fibonacci extensions and try backtesting a few setups to see how you could get involved in a trade. Once you feel you have a solid strategy, open an FXOpen account to start using your skills in the live market. In the meantime, why not try exploring other Fibonacci-related concepts, like Fibonacci retracements and harmonic patterns? Good luck! FAQ How Can You Use Fibonacci Extensions? Fibonacci extensions help traders identify potential future support and resistance levels beyond the current price range. To use them, traders select three points: the start of a trend, its end, and the retracement point. They then apply the Fibonacci extension tool to project where the price may move following a retracement. How Should You Draw Fibonacci Extensions? The process starts with choosing the trend-based Fib extension tool in your charting software. Then, the next step is to select the swing low/high (start of the trend), then the swing high/low (end of the trend), and finally the retracement low/high. The tool will display extension levels indicating possible future price targets. What Is the Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions? Fibonacci retracements identify potential support and resistance levels during a price pullback within an existing trend. Extensions, on the other hand, project levels beyond the current price range, indicating where the price might move after the retracement. Retracements focus on corrections; extensions focus on trend continuations. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
7
Weekly CLS, H4 OB nested in WOB, Model 2Technically, the Weekly CLS is still in play, though I must admit I'm not entirely confident with this idea at the moment. The chart looks clear, but what truly challenges me sticking to my trading plan is emotions and the external noise: ➡️The upward move was sharp. What if it reverses? ➡️I've already lost on this idea; I don't want to lose more. ➡️There’s Big GBP news today... what if that changes everything? ➡️NFP Tomorrow, what if I will be stuck in a position I do not want to be? These doubts are natural even experienced traders face them. You can’t eliminate any emotions. They still will be coming. But you can learn to recognize them and manage them. It will give you control and strength in your trading journey. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and let your strategy lead the way. Don't hesitate to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? is the smart money of all markets. This company aggregates capital from the biggest investment banks and central banks. Its daily volume is over 6.5 trillion. CLS operates in specific modes and times. By understanding their models, we get an unfair advantage against others with fantastic precision for your entries and mechanical definition of the targets. Follow me and pay attention to my model 1 and 2. It's the key to the markets. None of the strategies of the world has a 100%-win rate and I'm just a human. We make big profits, but sometimes we can miss something or make mistakes. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps you to become a better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave Hunter ⚔
by David_Perk
10