GBPUSD trade ideas
GBP/USD Daily AnalysisPrice is bullish on the daily time frame.
After 4 consecutive bullish days, price printed a bearish inside candle on Friday.
This could potentially be the start of a correction back towards the moving averages and possibly towards the first Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2% and 50%).
If you agree with this analysis, look for a trade that meets your strategy rules.
GBPUSD Could Highly Step to MoonGBPUSD is showing strong potential for a bullish breakout, supported by the ongoing decline in the US Dollar Index. If current momentum holds, the pair could test the 1.3820 resistance level in the coming sessions.
📉 Dollar Weakness as Key Driver
The fundamental backdrop favours the British pound as the US dollar continues to weaken, influenced by: Trade wisely best of luck Buddies.
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Market next move ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Labeling Error – "Bullish" in a Bearish Trend:
The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend starting after the peak on June 28.
Despite this, the word "Bullish" is used alongside a downward zigzag, which is misleading. This is not a bullish structure — it's a bearish continuation pattern or possibly a bear flag, which suggests further downside.
Using “Bullish” here may confuse traders into thinking a reversal is expected, while the actual trend favors further decline.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern:
There's no double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, or any bullish candlestick formation (e.g., engulfing or hammer) to indicate a likely bullish reversal.
Without strong reversal signals, expecting a bullish move here lacks technical support.
3. Target Box Ambiguity:
The “Target” box is not clearly justified. There are no Fibonacci levels, previous support zones, or measured move explanations backing it.
A target should be based on a technical level — such as the bottom of a previous range, a support zone, or a projection from a pattern.
Gbpusd Daily_TF Analysis within the bearish flag GBP/USD Daily Timeframe Analysis
1. The price is still trading within a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart.
2.Currently, the price is in a significant high on the higher timeframe.
3. There has been a recent breakout of resistance on the Daily Timeframe.
4. The breakout occurred at the same spot as the trendline breakout.
Expectation: We can anticipate a potential move to the downside for a retest of the previous resistance breakout level and the broken trendline. After a successful retest, the overall bullish trend may continue.
GBPUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPUSD
Entry - 1.3710
Stop - 1.3765
Take - 1.3604
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GU Bearish Friday ForecastHi everyone, hope we've all had a good week.
Here is my forecast for GBPUSD for today. After a fairly bullish week, I'm expecting some bearish price action to give us that top wick on the weekly candle close.
I'm looking at 2 price points, a pivot from 1.375 towards key level 1.37.
I'll post an update at the end of the day on how price ended up unfolding.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 27, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair held positive momentum near 1.3735 during Asian trading on Friday.
Concerns over the Fed's future independence continue to undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for the major pair. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that he is considering selecting the next Fed chairman ahead of schedule, which has spurred fresh controversy over U.S. rate cuts. Trump said the list of potential successors to Powell had shrunk to “three or four people”, without naming any finalists.
In addition, weaker-than-expected US gross domestic product (GDP) data also sent the dollar lower. The U.S. economy contracted faster than expected in the first three months of this year, falling 0.5%, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. The figure was below the previous estimate and the market consensus of -0.2%.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned earlier this week that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. At its June meeting, the UK central bank left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, although three of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to cut interest rates.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3750, SL 1.3690, TP 1.3865
GU-Fri-27/06/25 TDA-Good resistance area 1.37500, PCE news laterAnalysis done directly on the chart
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Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured breakdown of your GBP/USD sell trade setup:
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🧾 Trade Type:
Sell (Short)
📍 Entry Point:
1.37260
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.37000
TP2: 1.36600
TP3: 1.36221
🛑 Stop Loss:
1.37695
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📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (approximate):
Target Reward (pips) Risk (pips) RR Ratio
TP1 26 43.5 ~0.60
TP2 66 43.5 ~1.52
TP3 103.9 43.5 ~2.39
> Note: The RR becomes more favorable at deeper targets.
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⚠ Things to Consider:
SL is relatively wide, so size your position accordingly based on your risk percentage (e.g., 1-2% of account).
Watch major economic events (e.g., BOE or Fed speeches, CPI, NFP) that could spike volatility.
Use a trailing stop after TP1 if you want to secure profits and ride lower.
GBP/USD Rally in Full Swing – Bullish Targets AheadHi everyone,
Price achieved the 1.36850 having found support near the 1.33800 level.
As previously noted, the clearance of these levels strengthens our expectation for further upside, with the next key level of interest around 1.38400. We'll be watching to see how price action develops from here.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD GBPUSD has completed its bullish leg, reaching our previously identified target zone.
Current price action indicates potential exhaustion, and we are now actively monitoring for a short setup, targeting the 1.37200 level, which aligns with a minor inefficiency and previous structural support turned resistance.
This move is supported by overextended intraday momentum on the 15-minute chart, along with bearish divergence forming against key price levels — suggesting a potential retracement phase.
Risk Management Strategy:
Entry: Upon confirmation of a bearish setup (e.g., rejection from a lower high or failure to break recent highs with strength).
Stop-Loss: Placed above the most recent swing high or invalidation level, ensuring protection against false breakouts.
Target: 1.37200, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
We’ll continue to monitor price behavior closely and adjust if momentum shifts or invalidation levels are breached.
Market next target 🔁 Disruption of the Current Bullish Analysis
1. Resistance Rejection Likelihood
The chart suggests a breakout above resistance will turn the red box into support.
Disruption: The price is currently at a key resistance zone, and multiple rejections in this area previously suggest selling pressure.
We could see a double top formation or a false breakout trapping bulls.
Look for wicks or long upper shadows indicating weakness.
2. Volume Divergence
Recent bullish candles show declining or inconsistent volume.
Disruption: A strong bullish breakout requires rising volume. If volume doesn't confirm price action, this move may lack conviction and reverse sharply.
3. Overbought Conditions
After a strong uptrend, RSI or Stochastic indicators (not shown, but implied) could be entering overbought territory.
Disruption: This suggests limited upside and a potential for mean reversion or correction.
4. Bearish Candlestick Pattern Watch
Watch closely for a bearish engulfing, shooting star, or evening star at this resistance zone.
Disruption: Any bearish reversal pattern here would strongly contradict the bullish breakout thesis.