GBPUSD Week 21 Swing Zone/LevelsNot Always.
Not always will price conform to hypothesis, but in following good RRR success is assured.
We setup week 21 levels and zone as shown with the predicted pathways.
Trade Parameters: Entry on 5 mins chart
Sl 10-15pips
TP usually dynamic but typically 5x
Follow on for trade updates.
As Always PRICE determines trades
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
We can see 6K drop in the longs. closed on the Tuesday highs, if they want to take prices higher, they will build a poosition on the lower prices. Hence, I think we will see a bearish week.
Hey, what up traders, another week, another COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. I'm always trying to trade with the Big players, so knowing their positions is a good thing.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again, we as retail traders have a disadvantage, but there is the possibility to read between the lines. Remember, in the report is what they want you to see; that's why prices mostly reverse on Wednesday after the report, so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However, if the trend is running, you can read it and use it to your advantage.
📍Tip: If the level has confluence with the high volume on COT, it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
Have a great trading week, see in the next report.
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
ORB✅ Your Execution Plan
Set Your Indicator Before Session Opens
Use the ORB indicator on TradingView to auto-mark the high/low range
Adjust time settings to match session window (1 or 2 hour range)
Wait for a Candle to Close Outside the ORB Box
Buy: Candle closes above the ORB high
Sell: Candle closes below the ORB low
Confirm With Structure
Higher timeframe (4H/1H) aligns with breakout direction
Candle should show strong body (no wick entry if using Heikin Ashi)
Enter at Close or Retest
Enter at the candle close or a retest of the ORB zone
Set SL and TP
Stop Loss: Inside opposite end of the range box
Take Profit: Size of the ORB box or nearest clean level
Caught her playin’ both sides but trust me, she’s loyal in sellPrice be flirtin’ with that support — but yo, don’t get cozy, it’s fakin’ love before the real drop hits!”
Breakdown:
Bearish wedge structure
Liquidity grab incoming
Two clean selling zones
Targeting that juicy demand block below
Smart money’s movin’ silent. You ready or you sleepin’ on it?
GBP/USD potential shorts back downMy analysis revolves around a possible bearish reaction from the 2‑hour supply zones. If price does respect these zones, I’ll look for a sell setup to drive price lower—though I’ll approach with caution because there’s liquidity resting just above those points of interest.
Should price push downward, my next target is the 10‑hour demand zone that triggered the recent change of character. This discounted area could spark a bullish response.
Confluences for GU sells are as follows:
- An unmitigated 4‑hour supply zone overhead.
- A “sell‑to‑buy” scenario fits: price sits closer to supply and still needs a retracement.
- Imbalance and untapped liquidity lie below, inviting a move south.
- Liquidity has just been swept above, leaving a clean supply zone behind.
P.S. If price punches through these supply zones and breaks structure to the upside, I’ll watch for the new zone that forms—there could be a nearer‑term long opportunity from there.
Trend line and CHOCH confirmation 1hrIt is currently trending down. This shown through the trend line drawn on the page plus the choch has formed. There is a LL which has taken out the HL to show the selling pressure has taken over. It has gone up and failed to create a new High. It will head down to the previous swing low. This is also an area of support.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.3290
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.3252
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Holds Rebound Above 1.32On the back of softer U.S. inflation data and stronger-than-expected UK figures (with GDP at 0.2% vs. 0% expected and claimant count change at 5.2k vs. 22.3k), GBPUSD held above 1.32.
Bullish scenario: A clean hold above 1.3350 could push the pair toward 1.3450, with potential for new 2025 highs at 1.3750 and 1.4210, aligning with the highs of 2021.
Bearish scenario: A break below 1.32 may bring support levels at 1.3150, 1.3070, and 1.2980 into view. In extreme cases, 1.27 could be tested, aligning with overbought RSI levels last seen in July 2023 and September 2024, and the long-term trendline from 2014–2021.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
GBPUSD(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3291
Support and resistance levels:
1.3356
1.3332
1.3316
1.3267
1.3251
1.3227
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3316, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3332
If the price breaks through 1.3291, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3267
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum.
As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on:
Key Technical Factors:
Rejection from a prior structure zone
Clean lower highs forming
Breakdown and retest of minor support
Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line)
This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions.
Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
Pound Gains on Strong UK GDPThe British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum.
GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.