The Day Ahead Economic Data Highlights (US & Europe):
A busy day for economic indicators, particularly out of the US.
Durable Goods Orders (May): Markets will watch for signs of resilience or weakness in US manufacturing, with core capital goods orders acting as a proxy for business investment.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Could offer a broader snapshot of US economic momentum ahead of the July FOMC.
Pending Home Sales: Will shed light on housing market trends amid fluctuating mortgage rates.
Advance Goods Trade Balance & Wholesale Inventories: These will feed into Q2 GDP tracking estimates.
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity (June): Regional data may add color to the broader ISM picture.
Initial Jobless Claims: As always, a key gauge of labor market tightness.
Germany GfK Consumer Confidence (July): Expected to reflect persistent economic pessimism, weighing on EUR sentiment.
Central Bank Speakers:
A full slate of Fed, ECB, and BoE commentary may offer insight into diverging policy paths.
Fed’s Barkin, Hammack, and Barr could provide updates on inflation dynamics and balance sheet strategy.
ECB’s Schnabel and Guindos may hint at the pace of further policy easing amid eurozone stagnation.
BoE’s Governor Bailey and Deputy Governor Breeden speak following recent UK inflation and growth data, with focus on the rate outlook into Q3.
Corporate Earnings:
Nike (NKE): Focus will be on forward guidance and China recovery amid margin pressure and inventory management.
H&M: May offer cues on European consumer demand and retail sector performance.
Other Key Events:
European Council Summit (Brussels, through June 27): Leaders gather to discuss key policy areas including fiscal rules, Ukraine aid, and EU top jobs. Potential EUR sensitivity depending on political developments.
US 7-Year Note Auction: Watch for demand and yield levels, as Treasury issuance remains in focus amid deficit concerns.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GU-Thu-26/06/25 TDA-GU rallying higher in NY-Asian session!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Losses are part of the game. We are risk takers,
we take losses but it's important to know how to
manage them properly. Not every day, every session
is good to trade. Being a good trader means valuing
more risk management over profits.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Could the price reverse from here?The Cable (GBP?USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3710
1st Support: 1.3620
1st Resistance: 1.3799
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GBPUSD.UK 10-Year Gilt Yield and Interest Rate
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: The yield stands at 4.48% as of June 25, 2025, after touching a recent high of 4.73%. This elevated yield reflects persistent inflation and cautious market expectations for Bank of England policy.
Bank of England Interest Rate: The current policy rate is 4.25%. Markets expect potential cuts in August and November, possibly bringing the rate to 3.75% by year-end, but the BoE remains cautious due to inflation still above target.
The US dollar is at multi-year lows, pressured by political uncertainty around the Fed, rising expectations for rate cuts, and a broad shift in global risk sentiment away from the dollar
Investors remain cautious due to fiscal policy worries, including the impact of US government spending and debt levels, as well as geopolitical risks.
The market currently prices in two 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cuts by the end of 2025, likely in September and December, which influences bond yields.
The 10-year yield is a key benchmark for mortgage rates, corporate borrowing costs, and is often considered the "risk-free rate" in financial valuations
The US10Y stands at 4.29%-4.33%
and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5%
The 10-year yield remains a critical indicator of US economic health, inflation expectations, and monetary policy stance.
#GBPUSD
GBPUSD InsightHello to all subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe.
Key Points
- NATO’s 32 member countries have agreed to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, as requested by U.S. President Trump.
- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, speaking before the Senate, stated that the Fed is "in a position to wait" and noted it is difficult to predict how tariffs will impact inflation.
- The Fed has decided to ease the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) regulation that applied to major banks. With the regulatory easing, large banks are expected to increase their purchases of U.S. Treasuries, which could lead to lower bond yields.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ June 27: U.S. May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
Although the pair pulled back after encountering resistance from the trendline, it successfully rebounded from the 1.34000 level and climbed to 1.37000. After breaking through the resistance this time, it is now likely to rise toward the upper trendline. The projected high is expected to be around the 1.40000 level.
GBP_USD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_USD broke the key structure level of 1.3620
While trading in an local uptrend
Which makes me bullish biased
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bullish continuation will follow
LONG🚀
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GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025- GBPUSD broke resistance level 1.3590
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3880
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance level 1.3590, which is the upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the price has been moving from May.
The breakout of the resistance level 1.3590 accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the clear daily uptrend and the strong US dollar sales seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3880.
GBPUSD GBPUSD is currently exhibiting short-term bearish momentum, targeting the fresh demand zone at 1.36416.
This level aligns with a key order block that could act as a pivot for the next bullish leg.
As long as price holds above this zone, we anticipate a potential bullish reversal from 1.36416 on the 15-minute timeframe. We’ll be monitoring for confirmation and continuation to the upside from that level.
GBPUSD For A Long BuyDerived from the somewhat correlated nature of the EURUSD to the GBPUSD
Current level of resistance is 1.41993 (current buying objective)
Previous resistance 1.36318, now support. Price aiming for 1.41993.
Mid-term resistance level: 1.50186
Long-term resistance levels are 1.71051 and 1.99095
Mid-term and long-term levels will hold provided price breaks through the 1.41993 level, and the bullish bias remains the same.
GBP/USD Launch to Fresh 3-Year HighsGBP/USD had a mild pullback earlier in the morning until the 1.3593 level came in to help set the lows. I had looked at that price in yesterday's post and that's held the lows for today ahead of another strong breakout with the pair pressing into fresh three-year highs.
Chasing breakouts can be tough especially when they've already started, so at this point there's a couple of spots of support that bulls can defend to keep the door open for shorter-term trend continuation purposes.
The price of 1.3639 is an aggressive level of support potential, and below that is 1.3616. If bulls fail to hold support at those prices, the bullish momentum that's driving the current breakout would come into question and the door would open to deeper retracement potential. In that scenario, there may be more attractive options to work with USD-strength. - js
Short trade
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 1.36148
Profit Level 1.34186 (−1.44%)
Stop Loss 1.36356 (+0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 9.43 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4HR OB Rejection in Premium Zone:
Entry taken off a confirmed bearish order block after price tapped into a premium zone at the top of the internal range.
London Session Liquidity Sweep:
Trade captured the classic London stop-hunt above a short-term high, initiating a sell-off and confirming smart money movement.
High-Reward GBPUSD Setup: Entry 1.3598, TP 1.3867, SL 1.3478The GBP/USD pair has recently shown a clean bullish breakout from a short-term consolidation zone. Price has decisively moved above the 1.3478–1.3480 support-turned-resistance level, which previously acted as a ceiling within a rising channel. This breakout is meaningful—it comes after a retracement toward the lower boundary of the ascending structure, suggesting that buyers are once again gaining control.
The recent bullish candle has closed strong and full-bodied, indicating momentum. Historically, as you mentioned, GBPUSD tends to follow through for a few sessions once a bullish breakout begins. This is visible in prior moves throughout March and April, where an initial spike was often followed by two or three additional bullish candles. That behavior adds confluence to this setup.
Moreover, there is a clear path for price to move toward the long-term resistance near 1.3867, which aligns well with prior supply zones and the upper boundary of historical price reactions.
📈 Trade Idea
• Entry: 1.3598 (current price after breakout confirmation)
• Stop Loss: 1.3478 (just below the support flip and last swing low)
• Take Profit: 1.3867 (next major resistance level)
• Risk–Reward Ratio: ~2.24:1
This setup offers a clean bullish continuation pattern with room to run. If the pair maintains its current momentum, reaching the target in the next few trading days is entirely plausible. Any daily close above 1.3600 with volume would further validate the trend.
GBPUSD I H4 CLS I KL - DOB I Liquidity on TOPHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
GBPUSD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Four Ways to Improve Focus When Trading“Execution is everything.” It’s a phrase you’ll hear time and again in trading circles, and for good reason. Having a solid strategy is important, but it means very little if you can’t stay focused enough to follow through. One moment of hesitation, one distracted click, and the edge you worked so hard to find can vanish in an instant.
Focus is the gateway to execution. Without it, even the best setups fall apart. Yet in a world of constant noise with live charts, endless alerts, social media and background distractions it’s never been harder to stay present and in control. Here are four ways to improve your focus while trading. Two are grounded and practical. Two are a bit more unconventional. All of them can help you sharpen your focus where it really counts in the moment of decision.
1. Start with a Written Game Plan
This is the foundation. Before you even open your trading platform, write down your trade ideas, key levels, and any news or events that could impact your market. It doesn’t have to be elaborate. A simple list of “if this, then that” scenarios is enough.
By putting your plan on paper, you free up mental space and reduce emotional interference. You’re no longer reacting to every tick or candle. You’re tracking a few clear ideas and waiting for price to confirm your bias. That alone can dramatically improve focus. When your brain knows the plan, it doesn’t need to make it up on the fly.
More importantly, a written plan acts as an anchor when the session heats up. If you get shaken by a false breakout or tempted by something that wasn’t in your prep, it’s easy to refer back and reset. The best traders are those who execute simple ideas with discipline, not those who chase every signal that flashes across the screen.
2. Silence the Noise Around You
Multitasking is the enemy of trading. One browser tab for news, another for Twitter, five charts open, notifications popping up on your phone it all adds up to mental chaos.
Clean up your digital workspace before you start trading. Close all tabs that aren’t directly relevant to your session. Mute group chats. Set your phone to silent and put it face down, or better yet, in a drawer. Keep your trading screen as clean as possible. Use one or two key charts. Turn off indicators you don’t need.
If you trade in a noisy household or shared office space, noise-cancelling headphones can be a game changer. Some traders even use ambient sound apps like brain.fm or simple white noise to drown out distractions and stay locked in. A quiet mind is a focused mind.
3. Stand Up Before You Enter a Trade
Here’s something a little unorthodox, but surprisingly effective. Before you click the buy or sell button, physically stand up.
This small physical action creates a moment of separation between your thinking and your doing. It forces you to pause, breathe, and check in with yourself. Am I acting on plan or emotion? Is this trade aligned with my prep, or am I forcing it out of boredom?
We’ve all taken impulsive trades, only to regret them seconds later. Standing up adds a layer of intentionality. It breaks the rhythm of screen-staring and puts your brain back in the driver’s seat.
Think of it as your personal circuit breaker. It gives you a chance to double-check your logic and stops you from slipping into autopilot mode. Some traders even take it a step further and stretch or roll their shoulders before re-engaging with the screen. It might sound silly, but the effect on your mindset is real.
4. Use a ‘Focus Trigger’ to Prime Your Brain
Our brains love routines. You can use that to your advantage by building a simple ritual that tells your mind, “It’s time to trade.”
This doesn’t have to be anything elaborate. It might be playing a song you only use when trading or doing a brief breathing exercise. Some traders even use the act of cleaning their desk or making a fresh cup of coffee as a cue to shift into a focused state.
Over time, these small rituals become associated with mental readiness. They condition your brain to transition from passive scrolling or chatting into active concentration. That’s powerful, especially on days when you’re feeling a bit foggy or distracted.
The goal isn’t to create a superstition. It’s to build a reliable on-ramp into a focused headspace something that centres you and sets the tone for your session.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GBPUSD – Bullish Structure Holds, Waiting for a Clean RetestGBPUSD recently bounced strongly from the ascending trendline and hit resistance at 1.36300. The price is now slightly correcting, with a high probability of retesting the 1.35000 support zone – an area of FVG and technical confluence.
The bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above this level. Positive UK Services PMI data further supports the medium-term uptrend.
Are you waiting for the pullback to jump in?
GBPUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts