GBPUSD(20250604)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3521
Support and resistance levels:
1.3588
1.3563
1.3547
1.3496
1.3480
1.3455
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3547, consider buying, with the first target price at 1.3563
If the price breaks through 1.3521, consider selling, with the first target price at 1.3496
GBPUSD trade ideas
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3536
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3590
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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GBP-USD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 1.3590 and we are already
Seeing a local pullback so
Despite a counter-trend
Direction of the trade
We will be expecting a
Local move down
Sell!
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Can it break through 1.36?The GBP/USD exchange rate continued to trade in a high-range consolidation during the North American session, currently hovering near the 1.353 level with a slight intraday rebound. The US Dollar Index turned lower following the release of weak ADP employment data, providing some support for the British Pound. The US added only 37,000 jobs in the private sector in May, far below the market expectation of 115,000, reinforcing market bets on future Federal Reserve rate cuts. In the short term, the exchange rate may continue to consolidate within the range of 1.3450 to 1.3600. If the US non-farm payroll data remains weak, the exchange rate is expected to break above the 1.3600 level, opening up further upside potential.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
GBP/USD: Ttrading Plan for the U.S Session Sell Below 1.3591In my morning forecast. I focused on the 1.3536 level and planned to make trading decisions based on it. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and see what happened. A rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.3536.
On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also showed a downward movement, although the decline and the day's volatility were relatively weak. Once again, the market effectively ignored the macroeconomic background, The minimal reaction from traders was prompted by the jolts report in the U.S., which showed job openings exceeding forecasts, leading to a slight strengthening of the dollar.
Overall, everything remains the same. If the British pound falls, it does so very weakly and for a short time. Whenever there's too much, "chaos," and the dollar grows longer than expected, Trump steps in and puts everything back in its place. Thus, expecting a sustained rise in the dollar remains extremely difficult. Technically, The pair remains above the indicator lines, so the uptrend is intact despite the price breaking out of the ascending channel.
As the global trade war situation continues to worsen, the dollar lacks medium-term growth prospects. For the market, the trade war factor is currently the only thing that matters; practically all other factors are being ignored.
London Take 1 - 4/6/2025Initial comments and what I SEE ...you have to see, before it plays-out and then the confirmations I SEEN gives the confidence to get involved and take a trade.
I = Identify (see)
P = Predict (watch)
D = Decide (based on what you have seen)
E = Execute (after you SEE)
Updates will follow as usual
GBP/USD : Ready for Fall (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading within the 1.35 supply zone. If a strong rejection occurs from this level, we can expect further downside movement. The potential bearish targets are 1.34915 and 1.34500. Other key supply zones are located at 1.35520, 1.35730, and 1.35930.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
First GU analysis, GU is heading towards resistanceGBPUSD has hit the old breakout support zone and is bouncing in today's US session. When GU closed above 1.351 on h1, it confirmed a nice BUY signal. Target is towards 1.355. In case it closes below 1.351, we have to wait for further confirmation to have a trading strategy.
Do you agree with me?
EURUSD and GBPUSD Breakout?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GU Bulls Raise "Flag" Eyeing Higher PricesFX:GBPUSD has formed a Bull Flag and we could be getting ready to see the Bulls take the spotlight!
After Price broke through the Previous Level of Structure, Price retraces the High of 1.35589 to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ 1.35022 and is supported pushing Price back up from the Previous Level of Structure.
-The 50% retracement signals the end of the Consolidation Phase of the Pattern.
Now with a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can suspect that Price will give us a Bullish Breakout of the Descending Channel and Retest before moving higher Confirming the Pattern and once the Breakout is Validated!
Based off the "Flagpole" of the Pattern, if a Bullish Breakout is Validated and the Retest is Successful, the extension of the Set-up would place the Price Target @ 1.3640 which is at the next big level of Resistance.
POST NEWS (EUR/USD) - 2this is post news trading, while I'm opening this trade I'm waiting in gas station to fuel my car ...
the sl is equal to one hour atr and tp is 1.5 times that ...
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now the trade is on loosing side but we stick to the plan ...
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these ideas that I'm doing like this is a real journal of my live trades with real account. documenting these datas to give a more disciplined route to my journy of trading ...
good luck !
GU-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-Not easy zone to mess with GU!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Today's focus: Trading Psychology
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with a loss instead of good profits?
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I've been all these situations mentioned above!
Each of this three steps are crucial to
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What's your ideal solution to improve
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Comment down below!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSDGBP/USD Analysis: June 1–10, 2025
Key Drivers: Economic Data, Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Carry Trade Dynamics
1. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–10)
US Data:
June 4;1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
June 6: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) – Strong jobs growth (>200k) could revive USD strength.
June 6: Average Hourly Earnings – Wage growth impacts Fed policy expectations.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of May 21, 2025) .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.46% (as of June 2, 2025) .
4.77% (UK)−4.46% (US)=+0.31%
The UK’s higher bond yield provides a modest carry advantage for GBP.
Policy Rates:
BoE Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
Fed Rate: 4.25–4.50% (steady since May 2025).
Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
3. Carry Trade Advantage
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in GBP assets (higher bond yields), exploiting the +0.31% yield spread.
Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish for GBP, supported by bond yield spreads but tempered by BoE’s dovish stance.
Risks:
Weak UK PMI/GDP data could narrow yield spreads.
Strong US NFP may widen the policy rate gap, boosting USD.
Bullish Catalysts:
UK CPI >3.5% delays BoE cuts.
Weak US jobs data (<150k) weakens USD.
Bearish Catalysts:
BoE signals further cuts.
Strong US wage growth (>0.4% MoM).
Summary Table
Metric UK (GBP) US (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.46%
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
Yield Spread +0.31% (GBP over USD) —
Key Data Focus CPI, GDP, PMIs NFP, Wage Growth
Carry Trade Implication Modest GBP advantage USD strength on policy rate
Conclusion
GBP/USD’s near-term direction hinges on UK inflation and US jobs data. The UK’s higher bond yields offer a carry trade edge, but BoE dovishness and USD resilience may cap gains.
#GBPUSD#
Skeptic | GBP/USD Analysis: Breakout Triggers in the Box!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! FX:GBPUSD has been killing it with a solid uptrend but now it’s chilling in a correction phase, trapped in a box range. A break above or below this box could light up some epic triggers, so let’s dive into a multi-timeframe analysis to get the full picture.
🧠 Starting with the Daily Timeframe
we’re riding a powerful upward channel where price has been dancing perfectly with the ceiling, floor, and midline. We’ve nabbed some sweet trades from this setup before! After hitting resistance at 1.35576 , we slipped into a time-based correction.
Here’s the daily breakdown:
If the box floor at 1.35002 cracks, we could slide to 1.34173 , hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement— a legit first support zone. 🎯
If we bust through the ceiling, the channel’s midline is our next target. But with lower highs forming, I’m betting on a deeper correction for now. 📉
With that intel, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for our main long and short triggers. 🔥
For longs, a break above 1.35576 is our golden ticket, with a stop loss below the box. Want a quicker R/R and early profits? Set a tighter stop below the 1H or 15-minute floor that forms. 💸 For shorts, we can play with a smaller stop loss. I’d jump in after breaking support at 1.35002 , with a stop loss at 1.35464 if we go bearish from here. If we test the box ceiling again before breaking the floor, the stop loss sits above the box. 🚨 Heads-up: longs are riskier based on the daily clues. As always, do your own research, steer clear of FOMO, and never forget—capital management and stop losses are your market lifelines. Nobody shouts about those enough! A single trade, good or bad, won’t make or break your long-term game, so skip the emotional drama and grind on your strategy and psychology.
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If this recap got your gears turning, smash that boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️