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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBP/USD Cable Launch from Fibo SupportThe Fibonacci level at 1.3414 has put in some work on GBP/USD over the past year. In Q3 of 2024 it held the highs over a two week period, leading into the sell-off in Q4. And then in April of this year, it once again held the highs, but this time, the pullback was brief and buyers were able to power through a month later. And now, over the past two weeks, this has been support for the pair, coming into play after the FOMC rate decision last week and now leading to a push up to fresh multi-year highs. The currently weekly candle is showing as a bullish engulf and this highlights a market that's tough to chase. But, shorter-term, there's higher-low support potential at both 1.3593 and 1.3500, which could function as support on shorter-term approaches in the pair. - js
by FOREXcom
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption Analysis of the Chart 1. False Breakout Risk The price is currently within an ascending channel, which is often seen as bullish. However, the recent candlesticks show smaller bodies with wicks on top, indicating buyer exhaustion. A false breakout above the upper trendline or support around 1.3632 could trap buyers before a sharp reversal. 2. Low Volume Confirmation Volume peaked earlier but has significantly decreased in the last few candles. Weak volume during a price rise signals a lack of conviction, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. 3. Resistance Flip Not Confirmed The level around 1.3600 is marked as resistance-turned-support, but there is no strong retest confirmation yet. If price revisits this zone and fails to bounce, this support could break, leading to a downside reversal. 4. Divergence Watch While not visible in this static image, if you overlay RSI or MACD, there could be signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while momentum indicators make lower highs). This is often a leading indicator of trend weakening.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.3622 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.3558 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3653 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
GBPUSD - Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPUSD has been hovering within a big range marked in red and blue. This week, GBPUSD is retesting the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance. As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
11
Technical + Fundamental Alignment: GBPUSD Short in PlayGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($1.354-$1,350) and has managed to break the Support line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that GBPUSD has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , we can expect the next five bearish waves . -------------------------------------------------------- Fundamental Analysis 1-Weak UK Economic Data: Recent reports including Retail Sales, Industrial Output, and PMIs have come in below expectations. Labour market is softening, and wage growth is decelerating. 2-Dovish Expectations for BoE: With inflation cooling down, the Bank of England is expected to hold or even cut rates soon, reducing support for the pound. 3-Stronger USD Outlook Despite some weaker U.S. data, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. U.S. retail sales and inflation still support the dollar overall. 4-UK Political Risk Upcoming UK elections on July 4 are adding uncertainty and downside risk to GBP. -------------------------------------------------------- I expect GBPUSD to attack at least the Support lines based on the above explanation. Targets: 1.3 1)1.3353 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 1.51 2)1.3315 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 2.00 Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3549 USD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound / U.S Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
GBPUSD– Rejection at Resistance: Technical and Macro PullbackGBPUSD has climbed back into a strong multi-week resistance zone just beneath 1.3670. While the recent rally was sharp, it now confronts both structural resistance and weakening UK fundamentals. The British economy is losing steam—GDP contracted more than expected, manufacturing output is weak, and the latest CBI survey paints a grim industrial outlook. Meanwhile, Fed officials continue to push back on early rate cut expectations, lending resilience to the USD. Technically, this aligns with a potential top forming near 1.3630–1.3670, offering a compelling risk-reward for sellers. 🔻 Bias: Bearish • Favoring short setups from resistance, backed by weak UK data and a sticky Fed narrative. 🔑 Key Fundamentals 🇬🇧 UK: May GDP: –0.3% m/m (worse than forecast) CBI Industrial Trends: Output volumes and orders well below long-run average Inflation slowing, but BoE hesitant amid stagnant growth – classic stagflation 🇺🇸 US: Fed officials (Barkin, Collins, Cook) emphasize caution Core services inflation still elevated Fed rate cuts now expected in September, not July ⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View Hawkish surprise from the BoE (if they hike or signal tightening) U.S. Core PCE comes in soft, pressuring the USD Sustained global risk-on rally pulling GBP higher via equities 📅 Important Events to Watch June 25–26: Fed Chair Powell testimony to Congress June 28: U.S. Core PCE inflation report UK CPI revisions, retail sales, and BoE commentary U.S. jobs and consumer confidence (early July) 📉 Technical Setup – Short from Key Supply Zone Chart Structure: Major confluence resistance at 1.3625–1.3665 (blue zone) Multiple rejection wicks + ascending wedge structure Bearish divergence building on momentum (not shown) 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 🔹 Sell between 1.3625 and 1.3665, ideally after a bearish engulfing/pin bar or 4H rejection Take Profits: TP1: 1.3535 – local support TP2: 1.3465 – fib and horizontal confluence TP3: 1.3390 – wedge breakdown target Stop Loss / Invalidation: 🔸 SL above 1.3685** A 4H/1D candle close above invalidates the setup and opens the door to new highs. Risk-Reward: RR to TP1: ~1.8 RR to TP3: 3.5+ 🧭 Summary: GBPUSD is technically stretched and facing key resistance. With UK macro data deteriorating and Fed members holding the line, this rally looks increasingly vulnerable. As long as 1.3685 holds, sellers may dominate with clear downside targets over the next 1–2 weeks.
Short
by ultreosforex
15
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF. Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman. Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
by ChartMage
GBPUSD Breakdown The Ascending Channel selling strong 📉 GBPUSD Breakdown Alert – 4H Timeframe Cable has broken down from the ascending channel with a strong bearish candle, confirming seller strength. We're now eyeing short setups from 1.34400. 🎯 Technical Targets 🔻 1st Target: 1.33500 – Demand Zone 🔻 2nd Target: 1.32700 – Demand Zone 🔻 3rd Target: 1.31800 – Major Support 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.36000 – Bearish Order Block (OB) 🔥 Bias: Bearish 🕓 Timeframe: 4H 💡 Strategy: Sell the pullback, ride the momentum. — 💬 Like, comment, and follow for more updates! 🚀 Join our trading squad and level up your analysis! #GBPUSD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #LiviaTrades 😜
Short
by experttrader04
1
GBPUSD Will Move Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.360. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.333. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July. Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%. On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD GBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Upcoming Monetary Policy News (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: As of June 24, 2025, the UK 10-year government bond yield is 4.51%, having recently climbed as high as 4.73%—the highest since April—driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Markets have scaled back expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts due to persistent inflation, particularly in core and services sectors. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield ended June 20, 2025 at 4.38%. 2. Central Bank Interest Rates Bank of England (BoE) Rate: The BoE held its policy rate steady at 4.25% at its June 19 meeting, with a 6–3 vote to maintain rates. Three members favored a 0.25% cut to 4.00%. Inflation in the UK slowed to 3.4% in May (from 3.5% in April), but core and services inflation remain elevated, making policymakers cautious about cutting rates too soon. US Federal Reserve Rate: The Federal Reserve kept its key rate in a range of 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting and signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later this year, but with ongoing uncertainty about the timing. 3. Upcoming Monetary Policy News (Late June–July 2025) Bank of England: The BoE is expected to remain cautious, with markets now pricing in only 34 basis points of cuts for 2025 (down from earlier expectations of two cuts this year). Economists expect a possible rate cut in August if inflation and wage growth show clearer signs of easing. Federal Reserve: The Fed continues to signal a data-dependent approach, with two cuts still possible in 2025 if inflation moderates and growth slows as projected. Key Data to Watch: UK: Flash PMIs (Thursday) for signs of economic momentum or weakness. US: PCE inflation and labor market data for Fed policy clues. Summary Table Metric/News UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.51% (recent high: 4.73%) 4.38% Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% Next Central Bank Decision Possible cut in August Two cuts possible in 2025 Key Drivers Sticky core/services inflation Inflation, growth, Fed outlook Key Takeaways The UK 10-year gilt yield remains above the US 10-year yield, supporting GBP/USD in the near term. The BoE is holding rates steady but may cut in August if inflation data softens further. The Fed is also on hold, with possible cuts later in 2025, making upcoming inflation and labor data crucial for both currencies. Both central banks are in a wait-and-see mode, with markets closely watching economic data and policy signals for direction. #GBPUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GU-Tue-24/06/25 TDA-Strong bullish push from GU, don't FOMOing!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! It's really easy to FOMOing when price is going unilateral and I don't blame you. It's part of human psychology to instinctively react like this. But ask yourself: if you FOMOed this time and got lucky, do you think long term it's a repeatable approach? Sustainable long term? When price pushes a lot and you are not in the trade, usually good thing to do is wait for some sort of pullback or some sort of support so you can put good sl placement. So you know already your sl and tp before you enter a trade. One good or bad trading day won't define you as a trader. The consistent results will! Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Long
by Mister_Y