GBPUSD trade ideas
#GBPUSD: Massive Swing Sell Is In Making 1200+ Pips Worth? **FX:GBPUSD Price Analysis**
GBPUSD price has recently experienced an overbought condition, primarily due to the significant decline of the DXY index. This decline can be attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has resulted in a drop in the DXY index to its lowest point in the past eighteen months.
Conversely, the GBP has gained strength due to positive economic indicators indicating robust growth in the United Kingdom. This has made the GBP more attractive to investors.
The FX:GBPUSD price is expected to continue its upward trend and potentially reach the 1.35 level. However, it is also possible for the price to reverse its direction from this point.
**Targets:**
If the trade is activated, three targets have been set for the FX:GBPUSD price. These targets can be adjusted based on your own analysis and trading strategy.
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#GBPUSD: Two Prominent Buying Points! Will Dxy Bounce Back? Due to strong economic data supporting GBP, its price has been bullish throughout the week, especially since DXY plunged. Given ongoing trade tensions, we may see another higher high. This is risky, so please analyse it yourself.
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Have a great weekend! ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended.
On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction.
Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further.
Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance.
That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens ..
Have a great weekend!
BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Update for those of you who are still in on this trade, as you can see price did in-fact go on to set a new bullish leg after breaking structure to the upside.
A big well done to anyone who jumped in on some additional trades from the previous analysis, I will now be leaving this pair to go on to take profit and once it does, reassess the market and see how we can tackle it moving forward.
This trade is currently running + 144 pips. (+ 6%) 6RR
A big well done to those of you who got involved in this market originally and those of you who may still be in it or got involved with a re-entry.
If you have any questions with regards to the analysis for this trade or the trade itself then drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
Master Forex Trading with ICT Kill Zones (2024 Guide)The forex market runs 24/5, but not all hours are equally profitable. ICT Kill Zones highlight the 4 most volatile trading windows where institutional activity creates prime opportunities.
ICT Kill Zones Timetable (GMT/EST)
Asian: 8PM - 10PM EST / 12AM - 2AM GMT
London: 2AM - 5AM EST / 6AM - 9AM GMT
New York: 7AM - 9AM EST / 11AM - 1PM GMT
London Close: 10AM - 12PM EST / 2PM - 4PM GMT
Key Characteristics:
Asian Session
Best for AUD, NZD, JPY pairs
Low volatility; ideal for 15-20 pip scalps
London Session
Highest liquidity (trade EUR/GBP)
Often sets daily highs/lows
New York Session
Overlap with London creates high volatility
Focus on USD pairs (e.g., USD/CAD)
London Close
Price retracements to daily range
Quick 15-20 pip reversal plays
GBPUSD(20250418)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the seventh rate cut in the past year, and this decision was unanimous.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3246
Support and resistance levels:
1.3316
1.3290
1.3273
1.3219
1.3202
1.3176
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3273, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3290
If the price breaks through 1.3246, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3219
GBP/USD AnalysisFenzoFx—The GBP/USD pair rebounded from $1.3202 support, currently trading around $1.3277 and continuing its bullish trend.
As long as it stays above $1.3144, the next target could be $1.3435. On the flip side, a break below $1.3144 may trigger a bearish move towards $1.3030.
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GU-Fri-18/04/25 TDA-Let GU cool off, be ready for next week!Analysis done directly on the chart
If you don't know where to start, just
start focusing on yourself. Treat well yourself,
stay in shape, understand yourself before
others, build up your confidence, let go the
ego (you don't want to be your own enemy).
What you're doing outside of trading can
affect your trading performance as well.
Have you ever thought about it?
Share your experiences in the comment!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday!
Summary
- Weekly order block short set up
- Awaiting clear shift in price action to downside
- C setup - Short from 5' order block with confluence of daily high wick fill prior turn over in price.
- B Setup - 15' break of structure anticipating 15' creation order block creation. Solid point of interest to short from
A Setup - Multiple 15' break of structure plus all of the above
FRGNT X
GBP_USD WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅GBP_USD already made a
Retest of the horizontal support
Of 1.3200 and is making a bullish
Rebound so as the pair is in the
Uptrend we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting the
Pair to go further up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UPDATE ON GU TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Price has recently traded us lower to correct itself, pick up more Demand before taking a move higher. I have gone ahead and marked out the area in which price trade down and into.
With price breaking structure fractally on the 15M timeframes, we could look to add to our positions as this gives us enough confluence to suggest that price is now ready to continue with the higher timeframe bullish move.
This trade is currently running + 125 pips. (+ 5.4%) 5.4RR
A big well done to those of you who are still in on this trade, I have actually gone ahead and taken a full close on this but will continue to monitor the original position for those still in.
Those of you who are looking for another entry, as soon as I have something for you I will let you know, as I am also looking to get re-introduced. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
GBPUSD BEARISH FOR 90PIPSGBP/USD Bearish 90-Pip Forecast: Analysis & Strategy
Current Market Context:
As of the latest data, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3800. A 90-pip bearish target would place the pair near 1.3710. Below is the rationale and actionable plan:
Key Drivers for a Bearish Outlook
Fundamental Factors:
UK Weakness: Dovish Bank of England (BoE) rhetoric, soft UK GDP/CPI data, or rising unemployment could weaken the Pound.
USD Strength: Hawkish Fed signals (e.g., rate hike talks, tapering) or strong U.S. jobs/inflation data may boost the dollar.
Geopolitical Risks: Brexit uncertainties, UK-EU trade tensions, or global risk-off sentiment favoring the USD.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels: Failure to break above 1.3850 (a key resistance) or bearish patterns (e.g., double top, descending channel).
Momentum Indicators: RSI divergence or MACD crossover signaling bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Price below the 50/200-day EMA, suggesting a downtrend.
Trade Strategy
Entry Zone: 1.3800–1.3830 (post-retest of resistance).
Target: 1.3710 (90 pips).
Stop-Loss: 1.3870 (above recent swing high).
Risk Management:
Use 1:2 risk-reward ratio (e.g., risk 30 pips to gain 90 pips).
Adjust position size to limit exposure (e.g., 1–2% of account capital).
Critical Events to Monitor
UK Data: BoE interest rate decisions, CPI (July 19), Retail Sales.
U.S. Data: Fed meetings, Non-Farm Payrolls (August 4), CPI.
Global Catalysts: Brexit updates, geopolitical tensions.
Contingency Plan
Upside Risk: A BoE rate hike surprise or weak U.S. data could reverse the trend. Tighten stops if price breaks above 1.3870.
Alternative Scenario: If the drop stalls near 1.3750 (support), secure partial profits and trail stops.
GBP/USD: The Bear's Ride Down the TrendAs I assess the GBP/USD market today, I see that the current price is 1.32466, and I’ve taken a sell position at 1.32480, which is moving well. Based on recent fundamentals, technical indicators, and historical weekly data, here’s my full market breakdown:
Fundamentals & Economic Outlook
Recent US economic data has provided mixed signals for the dollar:
Initial & 4-Week Jobless Claims: Came in lower than expected, signaling a stronger labor market, which supports USD strength.
Continuing Jobless Claims: Higher than expected, showing some lingering unemployment pressure.
Housing Starts: Significantly below expectations, hinting at weakness in real estate.
Building Permits: Surpassed expectations, suggesting future construction remains strong.
Looking ahead to next week, key events will shape price action:
UK S&P Global PMIs: If manufacturing and services figures improve, GBP may gain traction.
US PMIs & Home Sales: Expected to trend lower, possibly weakening USD momentum.
UK Retail Sales (Friday): Anticipated to drop significantly, which could weigh on GBP.
US Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Forecasted to decline, potentially putting USD under pressure.
With these fundamental factors, GBP/USD faces mixed conditions—potential volatility ahead.
Momentum readings show caution for bulls:
Short-term (1-minute to 15-minute) indicators suggest mild consolidation.
The 1-hour and daily charts indicate GBP/USD is overextended compared to historical averages.
Weekly and monthly averages are much lower (~1.27047 and 1.23141), signaling the risk of mean reversion.
Trading Strategy & Considerations
Since I’m already in a sell position, I’m watching support levels closely for profit-taking zones.
If price dips near 1.3100, I might secure partial profits before assessing further downside potential.
I’ll keep an eye on daily EMA (~1.25176) as a deeper support that might act as a turning point.
Technical divergences (such as the Accumulation Distribution Oscillator) hint at distribution pressure, reinforcing my bearish bias.
With all this being said, i'm looking for a new pair to dive deep into. What do you recommend and why? Im all ears! also dont hesitate to reach out id love to talk about forex! :) im in the works of creating a youtube page and maybe a X account. Hope to reach some of you there as well.
p.s i love this shit!
GBP/USD Pullback PotentialIt took awhile for Cable to finally mount a rally above the 1.3000 handle. That price was resistance multiple times in March, but it wasn't until the next month that prices were able to finally sustain a push above the big figure. It wasn't exactly a clean trend, especially considering the sell-off on April 4th, which broke through a number of supports; but the response that was intense as GBP/USD jumped back-above 1.3000 and ran all the way into 1.3250.
Which presents us with the current scenario...
Wednesday brought an indecision candle right at that psychological level and so far today on Thursday, there's more indecision showing. This doesn't necessarily portend reversal but it does highlight that bulls may want to try to be patient here and look for a pullback.
For support, both the Fibonacci level at 1.3105 and the psychological level at 1.3000 were resistance on the way up but have yet to show support after the breakout. Bulls holding higher-lows at either of those spots keeps the door open for continuation into longer-term resistance around Fibonacci levels at 1.3328 and 1.3414. - js