Fed pleases everyone, except for one. BoE is next on the watchThe Federal Reserve came out with its rate decision and it seems that all market participants got pleased, except for one.
Today it's the BoE's turn to deliver rates.
Let's dig in!
TVC:DJI
TVC:DXY
FX_IDC:GBPUSD
MARKETSCOM:100UK
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GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D8 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D8 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD | 1H | BULLGood Morning Traders;
My target level for GBP/USD is 1.33966—just wait for this level and stay patient.
I put in a lot of effort to prepare these analyses for you, so don’t hold back on showing your support with a like! A huge thank you to everyone who supports me—every single like is a source of motivation for me to keep sharing my insights.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 8, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay attention today:
15:30 EET. USD - Number of Initial Jobless Claims
14:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Key Interest Rate Decision
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD was down six-tenths of a per cent on Wednesday as markets continued to hold on to the safe-haven US dollar. The Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as markets had expected, but Fed policymakers, still adopting a wait-and-see stance, curbed risk appetite during the midweek market session. The Bank of England (BoE) will hold its own rate meeting on Thursday and is expected to cut rates by another quarter point.
Forex Today: All eyes on the Bank of England
Market sentiment declined after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. He said that US trade tariffs could hamper the Fed's inflation and employment targets this year. Powell warned that continued policy instability could force the Fed to take a ‘wait-and-see’ approach to interest rates. While the Trump administration's tariffs have weighed heavily on consumer and business sentiment, the lack of significant negative economic data makes it difficult for the Fed to justify an immediate change in interest rates.
Powell: The right thing to do is to wait for further clarity
The Bank of England is expected to cut the rate by a further quarter point at its upcoming meeting on Thursday, marking the fourth rate cut since it peaked in 2023. The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to vote nine to one in favour of another rate cut in an attempt to support the faltering UK economy.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3330, SL 1.3350, TP 1.3230
Still Holding GBPUSD – Clean Price Action, No Reason to ExitStill holding strong on GU. Price action’s been textbook—clean structure, beautiful flow, and no signs of weakness yet.
No rush to close when the market’s moving this smooth. Eyes still locked on TP levels.
This is one of those trades where patience is profit.
Let’s see it through.
#GBPUSD #GU #Forex #SmartMoney #SMC #PatiencePays #DayTrading #PriceAction #FundedTraderGrind
Bless Trading!
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.3264
1st Support: 1.3233
1st Resistance: 1.3338
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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GPBUSD... 4H CHAT PATTERNMY considering a **GBP/USD long (buy) position** at **1.3290**, with:
* 🎯 **Target**: 1.3460 (170 pips)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss**: 1.3260 (30 pips)
* 📊 **Risk/Reward Ratio**: 30:170 ≈ **1:5.7** (excellent RR)
### Quick Evaluation:
* **Pros**:
* Solid risk/reward ratio.
* Tight stop suggests strong conviction on support.
* Upside room of 170 pips indicates a swing or trend-following play.
* **Risks**:
* Very close stop loss (30 pips) means market noise could hit it easily unless there's a very clear support zone near 1.3260.
* News events (e.g., NFP, central bank comments) can trigger volatility. Make sure no major announcements are pending.
### Tips:
* Confirm support at/near 1.3260 with technicals (e.g., previous lows, Fib levels, moving averages).
* Use proper position sizing—don’t risk more than 1–2% of your capital.
* Consider scaling out partial profits near resistance levels before 1.3460.
GBP/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?The GBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend since early 2025, rallying from around 1.2100 to a recent peak near 1.3450.
The daily chart shows a pullback from this high, indicating consolidation or a corrective phase. Despite short-term bearish pressure, the broader trend remains intact above key support at 1.3200 and 1.3000.
On the hourly chart, price action reveals a consolidation range between 1.3260 and 1.3400, forming lower highs and signaling potential bearish continuation if support at 1.3320 breaks. Conversely, repeated rejections below 1.3400 without major selloffs suggest buyers may still be present.
The 15-minute chart highlights tight intraday consolidation between 1.3335 and 1.3355, forming a potential bear flag or ascending triangle. A break below 1.3320 could target 1.3280–1.3250.
A breakout above 1.3380–1.3400 may resume the uptrend toward 1.3450–1.3500.
The higher-probability scenario is a bullish continuation, but caution is advised given decreasing momentum.
Bullish bounce?GBP/USD is reacting of the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3299
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3402
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD: Potential Building For A Pick Up In VolatilityGBPUSD volatility has decreased recently, which has left the popular currency pair range trading at the higher end of its 2025 trading band between lows of 1.3233 seen on April 23rd and yearly highs of 1.3444 seen on April 28th, with traders delaying decisions on any significant directional commitments to account for President Trump’s 90 day tariff pause and to digest potential progress updates on a US/UK trade deal.
However, this period of relative calm may be about to face a sterner challenge across the rest of this week after President Trump outlined a plan on Sunday to place 100% tariffs on movies made overseas, which brought this topic back to the forefront of trader thinking, and Monday’s important ISM Services PMI showed the US economy to potentially be on a more solid footing, resulting in US yields pushing higher.
Scheduled events this week may also carry significance importance for the direction of GBPUSD, with the next Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision (1900 BST Wednesday) and Press Conference (1930 BST Wednesday), followed 18 hours later by the Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate Decision (1200 BST Thursday) and Press Conference (1230 BST Thursday).
The Fed are expected to defy President Trump and leave rates unchanged, while the BoE are expected to cut 25bps (0.25%), so these outcomes may not be a major surprise to FX traders. However, what may be more relevant is the update to thinking about future interest rate moves. For example, regarding the Fed, could Chairman Powell indicate a June rate cut could be a possibility, or is it still way too soon for that?
Regarding the BoE, are all policymakers aligned on a 25bps rate cut, or are some pushing for a more aggressive move to help the UK economy through the current tariff induced stress? Governor Bailey could be quizzed harder in the press conference on whether a June rate cut is now a distinct possibility.
The answer to all these outstanding issues could pave the way for a busy week of trading for GBPUSD and other key FX markets.
Technical Update: Using Bollinger Bands To Support Trading Decisions
We have previously highlighted Bollinger bands in past commentaries, showing bands widening to reflect increasing price volatility and bands contracting as price volatility decreases.
Price consolidations can be seen during periods of decreasing volatility, often after they have previously moved more actively within an up or a downtrend.
During the period between April 7th to April 28th 2025, GBPUSD enjoyed a sustained phase of price strength, which also saw increasing positive price volatility, reflected by Bollinger bands widening during this time, as can be seen in the chart below.
However, most recently, as we approach both the Fed and BoE interest rate decisions, a consolidation in price has emerged. This decrease in recent positive price volatility has been reflected by Bollinger bands contracting, as can be seen on the next chart below.
Looking forward to the remainder of this week, how may Bollinger bands aid us from a technical perspective when assessing GBPUSD price action moving into the key interest rate announcements? and perhaps more importantly, how will they aid us after what has the potential to be important market news?
Potential Signs of Uptrend Resumption Using Bollinger Bands:
It might be argued that GBPUSD is still currently trading within an uptrend, as the Bollinger mid-average is moving higher, within the current price activity. This mid-average currently stands at 1.3281 and may well be described as a possible support level within the current price consolidation.
While of course, there is no guarantee the mid-average will continue to act as a support to current price weakness, if it does remain intact, traders may feel support is holding further declines in price, which may lead to fresh attempts to resume the uptrend.
However, once both the Fed and BoE announcements are known, if a more sustained phase of price strength is to materialise, we may well need to see Bollinger bands starting to widen once more, reflecting the potential for increasing positive price volatility within an uptrend, for attempts to push to higher levels.
Within such a backdrop, potential could shift towards a more sustained phase of strength to test 1.3444, the April 28th high, possibly then even towards 1.3748, the January 2022 failure high.
Potential Signs of a Downtrend Developing Using Bollinger Bands:
As we have said, a rising Bollinger mid-average can suggest an uptrend in price and even reflect a support level to price weakness, during a consolidation. Therefore, the 1.3281 current level of the mid-average, should be monitored over coming days.
It might be suggested that a close below the mid-average, followed by it turning lower might suggest a possible downtrend is emerging, which could point to the potential for a more extended phase of price weakness.
If Bollinger bands are then seen to widen within any new possible downtrend, risks might then turn towards a deeper decline in price to 1.3163, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 2025 strength, possibly even 1.3077, the deeper 50% level.
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