GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.355.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.336.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Double Top Alert: Key Resistance at 1.3570 Before US PCE DataGBPUSD PLAN – MAY 27 | Double Top Alert: Key Resistance at 1.3570 Before US PCE Data
GBPUSD is currently testing a critical resistance zone near 1.3570, forming a potential Double Top pattern. As markets await this week’s US Core PCE inflation release, the pair may be at risk of a short-term pullback.
🌍 MACRO FUNDAMENTALS
USD Rebounds Slightly ahead of April’s PCE inflation report – a key Fed inflation gauge due this Friday.
GBP Under Pressure as dovish tones from Bank of England (BoE) officials signal a potential pause in rate hikes.
UK Political Uncertainty and sluggish EU-UK trade talks continue to dampen investor confidence in the pound.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Price Structure: GBPUSD surged from 1.3446 support but is now facing resistance near 1.3570, where a Double Top formation is emerging.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3570 – 1.3580 (previous high and psychological barrier)
Support 1: 1.3496 (confluence of EMA89 and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement)
Support 2: 1.3446
Indicators:
EMA13, EMA34 show early signs of bearish crossover on the 30-minute chart.
RSI approaches overbought territory, hinting at potential bearish divergence.
🎯 TRADE SETUP (IF PRICE REJECTS 1.3570)
🔻 SELL SETUP
Entry: 1.3570 – 1.3550
Stop-Loss: 1.3595
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.3496
TP2: 1.3446
📌 A bullish breakout only becomes valid if price closes strongly above 1.3590 on the H1 chart.
🧠 STRATEGIC NOTES
Wait for a clear reaction or bearish confirmation near 1.3570 before entering trades.
Avoid chasing trades mid-range; focus on clean breakouts or rejections.
PCE data may trigger volatility — manage risk tightly and prepare for directional momentum.
👉 What do you think of this Double Top scenario? Will GBPUSD reject or break through resistance? Drop your analysis below and follow for daily structured plans!
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD has played out exactly as forecasted, completing a clean bullish leg from the Fibonacci confluence zones and breaking through the key 1.3430 resistance level. The structure remains strongly bullish, and after this minor retest, I’m anticipating another impulsive wave to the upside, with the next target sitting firmly at the 1.3900 level. The pair continues to respect both structure and momentum, showing consistent demand on dips.
Fundamentally, the British pound continues to gain strength backed by sticky inflation data and hawkish tone from the Bank of England. With UK CPI remaining elevated and core services inflation running hot, the BoE is being forced to hold its tightening bias. This contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve, where recent data shows signs of softening labor markets and cooling price pressure, bringing rate cut expectations back on the table for the second half of 2025.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleanly respected all key fib levels from the previous correction. The breakout above 1.3430 has flipped structure into bullish continuation, and the market has already begun forming higher highs and higher lows on both daily and 4H timeframes. As long as price holds above the 1.3430–1.3450 retest zone, the bullish outlook remains intact with high-probability momentum toward 1.3900.
In current market sentiment, GBPUSD remains one of the strongest trending pairs, with institutions adding to long exposure as the dollar index weakens. As a professional trader, I remain long-biased and look to scale in on lower timeframe retracements. This is a textbook continuation play backed by both technicals and macro momentum. Let the trend work—bulls remain in full control.
Pound Tops $1.357 on Solid DataGBP/USD advanced above $1.357, hitting its highest level since February 2022, as Trump’s delay of the 50% EU tariff boosted global sentiment. The pound also gained from promising April data, with retail sales rising 1.2%, marking the fourth monthly gain. Inflation stayed high at 3.5%, adding uncertainty over the BoE’s next move. Markets now price in a 50% chance of a rate cut by August, with another possible by year-end.
Support lies at 1.3425, with resistance at 1.3600. Other key levels are 1.3850 and 1.3750 above, and 1.3165 and 1.2890 below.
GBPUSD SHORT IDEAGBPUSD has been rally up for a while. Currently, there's a divergence signal from the awesome oscillator on the daily timeframe. Switching to 4 hours timeframe, there's a clearer view of what's going on. Based on the 4 hours chart, rising wedge has been formed and there's also a bearish divergence signal from the awesome oscillator. In addition to these, price has mitigated a daily supply zone after taking out a significant high as a liquidity. Then, a bearish engulfing candlestick was formed, signifying potential reversal. On 1 hour timeframe, price has broken out of a rising wedge and retested it.
As a retail trader, one can enter a short position after the bearish engulfing candlestick confirmation. This aligns with the 1 hour breakout and retest. While one can wait for price to break out of the 4 hours rising wedge.
As a smart money trader, one can wait for a change of character and break of structure on the 4 hours timeframe to confirm that price has really changed its trend ready for a reversal.
Either way, one can take advantage of the potential short opportunity on GBPUSD.
Confluences for the short signal:
1. Bearish divergence signal from awesome oscillator on daily and 4 hours timeframe.
2. Rising wedge on 4 hours timeframe.
3. Price mitigating daily supply zone.
4. Price has taken out a significant high as a liquidity.
5. Bearish engulfing candlestick formation on 4 hours timeframe.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
GBP/USD – Rejection at Key Supply Zone | Bearish Momentum The GBP/USD pair just got rejected from a strong supply zone at 1.3575, which has acted as resistance several times. After tapping this zone, we've seen a clear shift in momentum, with price breaking below the immediate structure.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.3575 (Supply)
Mid-Level Support: 1.3465 – price could retest this as the next key decision area.
Major Demand Zone: 1.3346 – previously respected with strong bullish reaction.
Trade Idea:
If price fails to reclaim the 1.3575 zone, we could see a deeper retracement:
Short Setup Trigger: Break and retest below 1.3540
Target 1: 1.3465 (structure support)
Target 2: 1.3346 (major demand)
Fundamentals to Watch:
US Dollar events (highlighted on the chart) could add volatility—stay sharp during news releases.
Be mindful of liquidity grabs and fakeouts around these zones.
Bias:
Short-term bearish as long as price stays below 1.3575. Look for entries on lower timeframe confirmations.
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What are your thoughts?
Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD this week? Drop your analysis and let’s discuss!
#GBPUSD #Forex #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Idea for GBPUSD📉 GBP/USD SHORT SETUP
🟢 Entry: 1.36005
❌ Stop Loss: 1.36114 (↕️ 11 pips)
✅ Take Profit: 1.35697 (↕️ 30pips)
🎯 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.80R
🧠 Reason: Price rejected from supply zone, clean bearish structure, SL above last liquidity grab. Clean risk-defined short.
📈 GBP/USD LONG SETUP
🟢 Entry: 1.35011
❌ Stop Loss: 1.34904 (↕️ 11pips)
✅ Take Profit: 1.35417 (↕️ 40 pips)
🎯 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.8R
🧠 Reason: Demand zone bounce, stop hunt confirmed. Targeting previous imbalance above. Risky entry, aggressive sizing – use only if confident.
GBPUSD SHORTFollowing on from my idea I posted on May 14th.
GBPUSD Short aiming for the demand zone at 1.28000
We've had a break of structure to the downside on the 1H chart at 8:00am BST inside a clear 1D supply zone.
There is still the risk of EQL high liquidity that could send this trade past my stop loss but there is a big rejection candle on the 1H which broke the structure to the downside.
First demand zone to tackle would be the zone at 1.34400 but if this gets blown through there is a lot of open price action back down to 1.28
GU-Tue-27/05/25 TDA-Great pullback, good structure is forming!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Consistency, show up daily is not easy. Many
in fact will quit. If you want to really get good
at something you need to put into hard work.
Short cuts will benefit short term, but long term
it will cost you!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD pair is showing a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. However, the price currently looks overextended. This suggests the market may be due for a corrective pullback.
I’m watching for a pullback into a discounted zone near the fair value gap.
If the price moves back into this zone, I’ll look for a bullish break of market structure as a signal to enter long.
This plan emphasizes patience and the importance of waiting for a favorable entry rather than chasing an extended move. As always, this is my personal strategy and not financial advice. Proper risk management and discretion are essential.
GBPUSD TECHNICAL REVERSAL SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D27 Y25GBPUSD TECHNICAL REVERSAL SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D27 Y25
🔥👀TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBP/USD – Pullback Buy from Key Support Zone | Strong Trend Back📌 Fundamental Summary:
GBP (British Pound):
Slightly weakened – Bank of England is turning dovish, signaling potential rate cuts.
Retail Sales and GDP indicate slowing growth.
Inflation remains above target, but is gradually declining.
USD (US Dollar):
Strong fundamental backdrop – Fed maintains high interest rates, inflation is still elevated.
US labor market is solid (low unemployment, strong NFP numbers).
➡️ Overall: Strong USD, Weak GBP → Fundamentals support short-term bearish pressure on GBP/USD.
However, technical structure remains bullish → continuation is likely after a corrective pullback.
🧭 Technical Analysis – H1 Confluence:
✅ 1. Trend:
Clear uptrend (HH + HL) confirmed on all major timeframes.
✅ 2. Trendline Support:
Rising trendline structure supports the entire move.
✅ 3. Fibonacci Retracement:
38.2–50% retracement zone at 1.3440–1.3480 offers ideal entry.
✅ 4. EMAs:
Price is above all EMAs (20/50/100/200) – strong bullish signal.
✅ 5. Support/Resistance Levels:
Daily close from April 28th and H1 structure confirm this zone as valid support.
📈 Conclusion:
This setup combines a strong multi-timeframe uptrend with fundamental awareness of GBP's weakness. If the pullback confirms, the potential for a trend continuation is high.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is not financial advice. It is for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading carries risk and can lead to capital loss. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a licensed professional.