GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSDOn monthly char, we saw the pattern from the supply roof which brings us to monthly close today ,GBPUSD short could be the next bias based on the economic data and structure, however if uk economy show strong resilience and the 10 bond yield continues to rise and interest rate stay steady ,British pounds could up swing on demand, if buy condition favors carry traders.
#gbpusd #dollar #gbp
GBP/USD Correction Potentially Complete – Key Breakout LevelsHi everyone,
GBP/USD has been undergoing a short-term correction since the start of the week. Our view is that this correction may now be complete, with the bullish trend potentially resuming.
For confirmation, we’re watching for a break above the 1.35195 level, followed by a move through 1.35934.
If these levels are cleared, we anticipate further upside. We’ll continue to share updates on the projected path for GBP/USD should price action reach our key zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend further from the 1.20991 January low.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
GBP/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.334.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Heading into Fibonacci confluence?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3640
1st Support: 1.3459
1st Resistance: 1.3747
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/USD Got the Breakout - Can Bulls Hold the Higher-Low? GBP/USD has broken out to a fresh three-year-high, finally pushing above the Fibonacci level of 1.3414. That pushed directly into a test above the 1.3500 handle, and prices have since pulled back.
Given dynamics in the USD, that bullish trend in Cable remains of attraction if we do see USD-weakness continue. But, if strength remains in DXY and USD, there's greater pullback potential for GBP/USD, with supports at 1.3250 and 1.3000 of interest for longer-term strategies. And if looking for that USD-strength backdrop, EUR/USD can be a more attractive venue given the context of a lower-high there even as GBP/USD has ripped up to a three-year-high.
For short-term pullback scenarios, traders would likely want to see support retained at prior Fibonacci resistance, around 1.3414. - js
GBPUSD: Will DXY Bounce Back? |GBPUSD Swing Sell|The GBPUSD pair is currently rallying towards a potential selling zone, where sellers could push the price down. However, the main concern is the current state of the DXY, which clearly indicates another sell-off and could lead to another lower low. Please remember to use risk management while trading forex pairs.
There are three take-profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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GU-Wed-28/05/25 TDA-Heavy pump and dump pre FOMC minutes!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Multitasking is good once you have mastered
each single task because you have practiced,
trained your subconscious mind so much that
your brain subconsciously automatically act
accordingly.
And this is where developing good
pattern recognition on how price is moving will
help you enhance your trading skills!
It requires time, a lot but a lot of dedication,
accepting the fact that your not good enough yet.
Trick your mind by thinking you are always two
steps behind. (even if you see good results!)
And learn from your mistakes: Journaling!
Do before, during, after trade analysis!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GU-Mon-26/05/25 TDA-WR 1.35790 hit, some pullback now?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I can't, you can't. Nobody can catch every single
move on the chart. Knowing when there are higher
probabilities to win, it's a key to your long term edge.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which serves as pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3315
1st Support: 1.3159
1st Resistance: 1.3586
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of recent data, driven by strong UK retail sales and elevated long-term yields).
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025, reflecting fiscal concerns and Fed rate cut expectations).
2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The yield spread between UK and US 10-year bonds is:4.77%(GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23%
4.77% (GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23%
This modest differential favors the British pound, as UK bonds offer a slightly higher return than US Treasuries.
3. Carry Trade Advantage
The +0.23% yield spread makes it marginally attractive for investors to borrow in USD (lower yield) and invest in GBP-denominated assets (higher yield).
However, the narrow spread limits significant carry trade profits compared to higher-yielding currency pairs.
GBP strength is further supported by strong UK economic data (e.g., April retail sales up 1.2% MoM) and easing UK-EU trade barriers.
4. Key Factors Influencing the Differential
Bank of England Policy: The BoE cut rates to 4.25% in May 2025 but maintains a cautious stance. Further cuts could pressure gilt yields lower.
Federal Reserve Outlook: Markets price in two Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which may reduce the US yield advantage.
UK Fiscal Risks: High public debt levels (30-year gilt yields >5.5%) and potential fiscal pressures could weigh on GBP if investor confidence wanes.
Summary Table
Metric UK (GBP) US (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.54%
Interest Rate Differential +0.23% (GBP over USD) —
Carry Trade Appeal Modest, supported by GBP strength —
Conclusion
The 0.23% yield advantage for GBP provides limited carry trade incentives, but stronger UK economic data and technical bullishness in GBP/USD reinforce near-term GBP strength.
UK fiscal sustainability: Elevated long-term yields pose risks to growth and currency stability.
While the carry trade offers marginal gains, GBP’s upside is primarily driven by macroeconomic outperformance and reduced trade barriers with the EU.
#GBPUSD
GBPUSD - Predictive Analysis & ForecastingGBPUSD
Scales
- S: 1.3169 activation triggers 1.3347 (unless falls to 1.3100)
- M1: 1.3426 activation triggers 1.3131 pivot
- M2: 13555 activation triggers 1.3109
- L: pending at 1.3664
Forecast & Targets
- ST: bearish risk down to 1.3100
- MT: bullish, up to 1.3664
#GBPUSD #Forex #CROW2.0
4xForecaster
------
Originally published on BlueSky
GBPUSD - SO MANY BULLISH SIGNS ! confirmed TPs HIT GBPUSD- Market is moving in a Bullish Channel since long. Market has formed Bullish continuation pattern and that's how we can predict a projection of TPs which is also well within a channel. Market has also retraced and bounced back from the FIB LEVEL of 0.382 which is also a good support level followed by the 3 white soldiers pattern.
ENTRY POINT & STOPLOSS with TPs :
we plan entry on the break out of resistance level (market has instant entry point) which is break of HH and keeping our SL below the HL / FIB 0.382 level or the resistance level.
Double Top Alert: Key Resistance at 1.3570 Before US PCE DataGBPUSD PLAN – MAY 27 | Double Top Alert: Key Resistance at 1.3570 Before US PCE Data
GBPUSD is currently testing a critical resistance zone near 1.3570, forming a potential Double Top pattern. As markets await this week’s US Core PCE inflation release, the pair may be at risk of a short-term pullback.
🌍 MACRO FUNDAMENTALS
USD Rebounds Slightly ahead of April’s PCE inflation report – a key Fed inflation gauge due this Friday.
GBP Under Pressure as dovish tones from Bank of England (BoE) officials signal a potential pause in rate hikes.
UK Political Uncertainty and sluggish EU-UK trade talks continue to dampen investor confidence in the pound.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Price Structure: GBPUSD surged from 1.3446 support but is now facing resistance near 1.3570, where a Double Top formation is emerging.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3570 – 1.3580 (previous high and psychological barrier)
Support 1: 1.3496 (confluence of EMA89 and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement)
Support 2: 1.3446
Indicators:
EMA13, EMA34 show early signs of bearish crossover on the 30-minute chart.
RSI approaches overbought territory, hinting at potential bearish divergence.
🎯 TRADE SETUP (IF PRICE REJECTS 1.3570)
🔻 SELL SETUP
Entry: 1.3570 – 1.3550
Stop-Loss: 1.3595
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.3496
TP2: 1.3446
📌 A bullish breakout only becomes valid if price closes strongly above 1.3590 on the H1 chart.
🧠 STRATEGIC NOTES
Wait for a clear reaction or bearish confirmation near 1.3570 before entering trades.
Avoid chasing trades mid-range; focus on clean breakouts or rejections.
PCE data may trigger volatility — manage risk tightly and prepare for directional momentum.
👉 What do you think of this Double Top scenario? Will GBPUSD reject or break through resistance? Drop your analysis below and follow for daily structured plans!
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3314
1st Support: 1.3159
1st Resistance: 1.3566
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅1 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25
🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X