GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅15’ order block created
✅15’ wick rejections via order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅1’ break of structure
✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill
✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.329.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.342 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD... 4H CHART PATTERNI am suggesting a **GBP/USD short (sell) position** from **1.3299**, targeting **1.3160**. Here's a quick breakdown of that idea from a technical and risk management perspective:
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### 📊 **Trade Summary**
- **Pair**: GBP/USD
- **Position**: Sell
- **Entry**: 1.3299
- **Target**: 1.3160
- **Potential Profit**: 139 pips
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### ⚠️ Key Considerations:
1. **Technical Analysis**:
- Are you basing this on a break of support, resistance rejection, or a larger trend (e.g., D1 or H4)?
- Any key indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages) giving confirmation?
2. **Fundamentals**:
- Any upcoming UK or US economic data? (GDP, interest rate announcements, Fed or BoE speeches?)
- Market sentiment toward USD (safe haven) or GBP (risk currency)?
3. **Stop Loss**:
- Are you using one? Placing it above recent highs could protect you—e.g., SL at 1.3350 (risk of ~50 pips).
- Risk-to-reward ratio: approx. 1:2.8 (Good).
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### 🛠 Example Trade Setup (MetaTrader Style)
| Type | Sell (Short) |
|------------|-------------------|
| Entry | 1.3299 |
| TP (Target)| 1.3160 |
| SL (Stop) | 1.3350 (example) |
| R:R | ~1:2.8 |
---
If you’re live trading this, be cautious of:
- **Volatility spikes** from news.
- **Support levels** near 1.3200 that could slow down the move.
- **Dollar strength/weakness** (watch the DXY).
GBPUSD LONG/SWING UPDATESHello folks, its been a long time no post.
Here is my Long/swing trades for Swing traders. This idea base on weekly and monthly.
Buyside liquidity over 1.42600 this is my highest Swing. wait for a retracements we might test this high or break. wait always below.
This is only my view. this is not a financial advice.
lets swing it.
Follow for more.
GBPUSD - bottom out pattern going on? What's next??#GBPUSD - perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding #GBPUSD
and now in current situation we have 1.3220 as immediate supporting and below that 1.3140
If market holds that supporting areas then we can expect further bounce towards 1.3500 and after that 1.3700 , 1.3900 n upto 1.4200
So stay sharp and don't be lazy here..
Good luck
Trade wisley
UK retail sales beat forecast, pound edges lowerThe British pound has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3214, down 0.17% on the day.
UK retail sales were a ray of sunshine in March. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.4%, beating the market estimate of -0.4% but below the revised 0.7% increase in February. Clothing sales showed strong growth as shoppers took advantage of the sunny weather.
Annualized, retail sales rose 2.6% from a revised 1.8% gain in February and above the market estimate of 1.8%. This was the strongest gain in three months.
The strong retail sales was a pleasant surprise but the consumer economy remains fragile. The GfK consumer confidence index deteriorated in April to -23 from -19 and below the market estimate of -22. This was the lowest level since November 2023.
Consumers are concerned over the rising cost of living and worsening global trade tensions which has been fuelled by President Trump's tariffs. The GfK survey found that consumers are anxious that inflation will continue to rise due to the US tariffs.
The Bank of England is following trade tensions carefully as well. On Thursday, Governor Andrew Bailey said that the BoE was "quite focused on the growth shock" for the UK from the tariffs, although he said the UK was not close to a recession. If the global trade war intensifies, it will weigh on UK growth but will also push inflation lower.
President Trump's tariff policy is expected to raise inflation and consumers are anxious that inflation will rise sharply. The UoM consumer inflation expectations index jumped to 6.7% in the initial April release, up from 5.0% in March. Today's final release is expected to confirm this figure, which would mark the highest level since Nov. 1981.
Analysis of GBPUSD 4 - hour ChartAnalysis of GBPUSD 4H Chart
Trend Analysis
From the 4 - hour chart, GBPUSD is generally in an uptrend. The price fluctuations have formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the bulls are in control 🐂.
Key Levels
Support Area: The range of 1.3200 - 1.3240 is clearly marked as an important support area in the chart. Previously, the price has rebounded near this area multiple times, suggesting that there is strong buying pressure in this area. If the price retraces to this area again, it may present a potential opportunity to go long 💰.
Target Area: 1.3420 is marked as the target area. If the price breaks through the current consolidation range and continues its upward trend, it is expected to move towards this target price level 🎯.
Trading Strategy
Long - position Strategy: When the price retraces to the 1.3200 - 1.3240 support area and a bullish candlestick pattern appears, one may consider entering a long position. Set the stop - loss just below the support area, and target the 1.3420 target area 📈.
⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@1.32000 - 1.32400
🚀 TP 1.33500 - 1.34000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
UK Inflation Eases, But Pound StrengthensThe British Pound rose above $1.34 on Tuesday, its highest level in seven months, supported by broad dollar weakness. This gain came despite UK inflation softening more than expected, with headline CPI at 2.6% and services inflation down to 4.7%. Easing price pressures led markets to raise expectations for Bank of England rate cuts, now pricing in 86 basis points of easing by year-end, with a fourth cut increasingly likely.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3300, followed by 1.3200 and 1.3050.
Weekly Forex Market Analysis:GBPUSD–Issue 207(FreeThe analyst predicts that the GBP/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
GBP/USD | Quarterly Outlook Zooming out on the 3M chart, the structure speaks volumes.
After years of downward pressure, the pair found footing at a major low (2021), forming a rounded base. Now we’re seeing a potential macro shift in momentum with confluence from the 0.786 Fibonacci and price edging toward that psychological 1.42 zone.
📍 Previous high? Marked.
📍 Psychological resistance? Noted.
📍 Next checkpoint? 1.4250 retest.
Patience is power when you're analyzing legacy structure. Let the candles tell the story. 🔁
#GBPUSD #ForexMacroView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #QuarterlyChart #SmartMoneyPlay #TrendReversal
British PMIs fall, Trump says won't fire PowellThe British pound dropped as much as 0.7% earlier today and is under pressure. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3265, down 0.45% on the day.
The pound has taken advantage of broad US dollar weakness recently, rising 3% in the month of April. On Tuesday, the pound climbed as high as 1.3423, its highest level since September 2024.
UK PMIs reports softened in April, another reminder that that the UK economy is struggling. The Services PMI fell to 48.9 from 52.5 in March, below the market estimate of 51.3. There are growing fears that the UK will fall into recession and global economic uncertainty has led to decreased business activity.
The Manufacturing PMI eased to 44.0, matching the market estimate but lower than the March reading of 44.9. This was the lowest reading since August 2023 as the deteriorating global market outook has reduced demand for UK exports. The increase in employer tax contributions has hurt employment and lowered confidence.
The International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8, down from 3.3% in January. The downgrade was in response to US tariffs and the IMF warned that an escalation of trade tensions between the US and other countries would create further market volatility and lead to even lower growth.
US stock markets are sharply higher on Wednesday after President Trump said that he had no intention to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump had intensified his attacks on Powell in recent days, resulting in sharp slides in US equity markets and the US dollar.
Trump also said that China tariffs would drop "substantially" and investors hope this signals a de-escalation in the nasty trade war between the US and China.
GBPUSD: UK Data Back in FocusGBPUSD traded to an 8-month high on Tuesday at 1.3424, as a new wave of dollar selling swept across FX markets at the start of the week. This time driven by fresh uncertainty surrounding US economic growth and by a barrage of social media comments across the Easter Holiday period from President Trump that seemed to challenge the independence of the Federal Reserve.
Now, as we look ahead to the remainder of the week, UK economic data is in focus, with the latest April Preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services readings released at 0930 BST on Wednesday. These are potentially the first survey updates that will start to show the impact of US tariffs on UK economic growth, business sentiment and inflation, making them potentially important drivers for the future direction of GBPUSD.
They could also shed some light on whether the Bank of England may be able to cut interest rates, as many traders hope, at their next interest rate meeting at the start of May.
Then, on Friday, UK Retail Sales are released at 0700 BST. This release will be important in showing if UK consumers are still spending despite rising unemployment and stubbornly high prices. If they are, this may be taken as a positive for the UK economy and for GBPUSD, while any disappointment could lead to GBPUSD retesting lower levels again.
Technical Update: September 2024 Highs a Key Resistance Focus
So far during 2025, GBPUSD has seen a price recovery of nearly 11%, although as already discussed, this may be due more to broad based USD weakness, rather than outright GBP strength.
Even so, latest upside has neared 1.3434, the September 2024 failure level, which may prove something of a line in the sand this week. Closing defense of 1.3434 may help determine where next directional risks lie.
Much appears to depend on this week’s UK data and reaction to it, but traders may also be focusing on how the 1.3433 failure high is defended on a closing basis. Successful breaks may lead to a more sustained phase of price strength, but without such moves, risks could turn lower again.
However, what are the levels we may need to monitor over coming sessions?
Possible Resistance Levels:
As we have established, traders after what has already been a strong recovery, may view the 1.3433 high as important, with closing breaks required to suggest risks to continue attempts to push to higher price levels.
If closing breaks of 1.3433 do now materialise, it might be an indication of potential to challenge 1.3640, the February 2022 high, even towards 1.3748, equal to the January 10th 2022 rejection level.
Possible Support Levels:
With the 1.3433 price high remaining intact, Tuesday’s weakness from this area could now see focus shift back to support. If these give way, it might in turn point to possibilities of a deeper retracement of April strength.
The first support may now prove to be 1.3313, equal to half the April 17th to April 22nd strength, with closing breaks perhaps suggesting further downside pressure. This could suggest possibilities towards 1.3148/1.3203, a combination of the April 7th low and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April phase of price strength.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.