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GBPUSD trade ideas

Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3336 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3296 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3419 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD BIG MOVE COMING?Structure Overview: The market has been ranging within a clear horizontal consolidation zone, with two key zones: Support Zone: 1.32600 - 1.33000 (gray box at the bottom) Resistance Zone : 1.33500 - 1.33800 (gray box at the top) Price recently broke above the upper consolidation range, suggesting bullish momentum. 🔍 Analysis: The pair has broken out of the consolidation range after multiple rejections from the support zone. We now look for a potential retest of the previous resistance (1.33500 area) as new support. Two potential bullish continuation scenarios are highlighted: 📌 Trade Plan: Scenario 1 – Immediate Continuation: If price holds above 1.33500, look for bullish continuation toward: TP1: 1.34026 TP2: 1.34208 Scenario 2 – Retest Setup: Wait for a pullback to the 1.33000–1.33500 zone. Confirmation of bullish rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) could provide a high-probability long setup. Entry: After bullish confirmation in retest zone SL: Below 1.33000 (invalidates breakout) TP: 1.34026 / 1.34208 📉 Invalidations: A clean break and close below 1.33000 may suggest a failed breakout, putting 1.32600 back into play. 🧠 Bias: Bullish (as long as 1.33000 holds) 🕒 Timeframe: 4H
Long
by naumanfx_
GBP/USD Analysis – Resistance Zone and Possible CorrectionThe GBP/USD pair is currently trading at a significant resistance zone. This level is noteworthy because it has historically been a point of strong selling and because technical indicators are approaching the overbought region. Additionally, considering the likelihood of the DXY reacting from support, a strengthening of the dollar could lead to a corrective move in GBP/USD. If the pair struggles to break through this resistance zone, an initial correction towards lower support levels may be observed.
Short
by celilADIGUZEL
GBPUSD Sell Insight Last week cleared the previous week's high 1.34232 and closed below it. This signifies more push to the downside from the weekly perspectives I'm anticipating the previous weekly low to be the first draw on Liquidity 🧲 On the daily timeframe we have a break of structure from 1.33044 to the downside and the QML level 1.33784 whic6also aligns within an imbalance on the H4 would be used for sell continuation after the short reversal that happens. Look for entry on the H4 and sell to the draw on Liquidity zone Kindly share if you find this insightful. It's been a while here. I'm more active on X (Twitter) now
Short
by HallowAdept
GBPUSD triple top forming? Big move coming after BoE rate cut?GBPUSD is forming a triple top with a smaller rectangle near key resistance at 1.34, with a potential breakout targeting 1.4780. Next up are the BoE and Fed rate meetings, which could easily trigger the move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by ThinkMarkets
GBPUSDInterest Rate Differential The Bank of England (BoE) is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4.25% in early May 2025, with further cuts anticipated later in the year due to a downgraded UK economic outlook and weak growth forecasts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has kept rates steady around 4.50%, with only modest rate cuts priced in for the remainder of 2025, reflecting a relatively stronger US economy. This creates a widening interest rate differential favoring the US dollar, which tends to weigh on GBP/USD. Directional Bias for May 2025 The GBP/USD pair faces downside pressure due to the BoE’s dovish stance and expected rate cuts versus the Fed’s more hawkish or steady policy.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading around 1.33400 and is displaying a promising bullish setup. The price action is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, which typically signals a potential breakout. A clear bullish structure has already formed following the recent impulse wave, and with the consolidation tightening, we are now closely watching for a breakout to the upside. The expected bullish breakout aligns with the projected target of 1.36000, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity for trend-following traders. From a fundamental standpoint, the British pound is showing resilience despite broader dollar strength. Recent comments from the Bank of England have maintained a cautious yet firm tone regarding inflation control, hinting at the potential for rates to stay elevated longer than markets previously priced in. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index has seen some pressure amid mixed economic data and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady in the upcoming sessions. Technically, GBPUSD remains well-supported above the 1.32500 level, with buyers defending key horizontal and trendline support areas. The recent compression in price suggests that volatility is about to expand, typically favoring the direction of the initial trend, which in this case remains bullish. Momentum indicators are beginning to curl higher, further supporting a breakout scenario. In summary, GBPUSD is setting up for a high-probability bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout from the triangle could ignite a fresh rally toward 1.36000, especially if supported by dovish Fed rhetoric and firm UK economic sentiment. This setup is one to watch closely as it aligns both technically and fundamentally, positioning it as a favorable opportunity for medium-term swing trades.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
14
UPDATE ON GBP/USD ANALYSISGBP/USD 1D - With this pair, I am looking to see price go short, trading us down and into the Demand Zone before taking us higher in this marker longer term. This is because this market is a bullish one longer term. By price trading down and into the Demand Zone below we are seeing price correct itself, this gives price the chance to offload Supply and introduce Demand. Now before price does go on to trade us lower I am expecting price to trade us higher, setting a lower high as it begins distributing, this giving us the opportunity to take the market short whilst it corrects. We will close those short positions once price trades down and into the Demand Zone and then look to take the market long once we are delivered with the relevant entry confirmation.
Short
by Lukegforex
GBP/USD - watch out for a possible rejection This is a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) 2-hour chart with technical analysis annotations likely focused on a potential bullish reversal setup. Here's a breakdown of the chart: 1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at Bottom ~1.3240): This is a key demand zone where price has bounced multiple times. The latest price action shows a potential double bottom, suggesting bullish pressure. 2. Mid-Resistance/Neckline (~1.3320–1.3340 Orange Box): This zone has acted as resistance and potential neckline for the double bottom pattern. A breakout above this could confirm bullish continuation. 3. Target Zone (Upper Orange Box ~1.3470–1.3490): This is likely the projected target based on the pattern, where price previously faced strong selling pressure. 4. Risk Management (Green and Red Zones): Entry Point: Around current levels (~1.3311). Stop Loss: Slightly below the support (~1.3240). Take Profit: At the top resistance zone (~1.3480). This provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Volume and Momentum Indicators: There's an uptick in volume near support, reinforcing the bullish case. In summary, the chart illustrates a bullish trade setup based on a double bottom and breakout strategy, with a clear entry, stop, and target defined. Would you like help analyzing the potential success probability or backtesting similar setups?
Short
by Mr_Zakrii
Gbp/Usd Consolidation 06-May-25Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
GBP Falls Ahead of Fed and BOE MeetingsSterling fell 0.24% to $1.3265 on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar firmed ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to remain unchanged. While the dollar recovered slightly, doubts over its safe-haven appeal and Trump’s tariff stance persist. Markets also await the Bank of England’s meeting, where a 25 bps rate cut is expected. Dovish signals or dollar softness may support GBP/USD. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
by ChartMage
Bearish Shark Pattern with a Massive Profit FactorThis is how trading should be done . I've just spotted a Bearish Shark Pattern on the Weekly Chart and while it's not perfect, it's still a great trade worth keeping on the radar. The market has been hovering around the entry price for weeks, which tells me something is brewing. The Smart Approach: Now, I’m not entering based on the Weekly Chart alone , that would require a stop-loss that’s way too wide. Instead, I look for an execution timeframe within three levels down. That means the lowest timeframe I’d engage from this setup is the 4-hourly chart . But here’s the twist... The Trade Setup: I spotted another Bearish Shark Pattern on the 15-minute chart. What did I do? > I traded what I saw. Simple as that. It’s not always about having the "perfect" timeframe. It’s about: Seeing a valid setup Knowing your structure And having a clear trade management plan. Key Rule: Once the market reaches a certain level, I’ll shift my stop to entry, securing a risk-free trade. That’s always the goal. Golden Rule in Trading: “Don’t lose your capital.” The Reward: If this trade hits my final target, I’ll walk away with a Profit Factor of 27.45 . That means for every dollar I risk, the projected return is $27.45. Let that sink in. So now the question is - how much of your equity would you be risking on a trade like this? Would you go big, or stick to your usual risk percentage? Let me know in the comments, how would you manage this kind of high-reward setup? Stay sharp and happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Short
by RaynLim
Understanding the Inverted Cup and Handle Chart PatternUnderstanding the Inverted Cup and Handle Chart Pattern Understanding chart patterns is fundamental for market participants. This article delves into the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal indicating a potential downward movement. Explore its identification, trading strategies, psychological underpinnings, common pitfalls, and more to boost your trading knowledge. What Is the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern? The inverted cup and handle, sometimes called an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that may appear during up- and downtrends. It is the opposite of the traditional cup and handle pattern, which is bullish. The inverse formation consists of two main parts: the "cup," which is an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup. Identifying the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern Identifying the inverse cup and handle pattern involves recognising a specific sequence of market movements that signal a potential bearish move. Here's a step-by-step overview of identifying this formation: Cup Formation - Shape: The pattern begins with an inverted U-shaped "cup." The price gradually rises, consolidates, and then begins to decline, reflecting a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. - Depth: The cup should have a rounded top, not a sharp V-shape, indicating a gradual reversal. The depth of the cup can vary but typically represents a significant portion of the preceding movement. Handle Formation - Upward Retracement: After the cup's formation, prices usually experience a minor upward retracement or consolidation, forming the "handle." This movement should be relatively short and not exceed the initial high of the cup​. - Shape and Duration: The handle often appears as a small flag or pennant and should be brief in duration compared to the cup. An optimal handle retraces no more than half of the cup’s depth​. Breakout Confirmation - Neckline Break: The pattern is confirmed when prices break below the neckline, the lowest point of the handle. This breakout often leads to a significant decline in prices, signalling a bearish trend​. - Volume Surge: Volume typically decreases during the formation of the cup and increases as prices decline, especially during the handle formation. A substantial increase in volume during the breakout can validate the pattern and minimise the risk of false signals​. The Psychology of the Inverted Cup and Handle The psychology behind the inverse cup and handle pattern is rooted in market sentiment and behavioural finance. This bearish pattern reflects a shift from optimism to pessimism among traders. - Initial Uptrend: The formation starts with an upward movement, where traders are generally bullish, driving prices higher. This phase is marked by growing confidence and increasing demand. - Formation of the Cup: As prices peak, consolidate, and start to decline, some traders begin to take profits, leading to reduced buying pressure. The rounded decline of the cup signifies a gradual shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish as traders become cautious and selling pressure mounts. - Handle Formation: The minor upward retracement forming the handle indicates a brief period of consolidation where the market tests the resolve of buyers. It can be considered a dead cat bounce. This phase often traps optimistic traders who expect the uptrend to resume, but the overall sentiment remains fragile and cautious​. - Breakout and Decline: The decisive break below the neckline represents a culmination of bearish sentiment. At this point, selling pressure overwhelms any remaining bullishness, leading to a sharp decline. The volume surge during this breakout confirms the shift in market psychology from hopeful to bearish as traders rush to exit their positions or initiate short sales​. Trading the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern Trading the inverted cup and handle pattern involves careful identification and strategic decision-making to maximise potential returns. This pattern presents two primary entry points for traders: during the handle formation or after the neckline break. Entry on the Break of the Handle - Risk-Reward Advantage: Entering on the breakout of the handle’s lower boundary offers a better risk-to-reward ratio but requires more skill and confidence in pattern recognition. - Technical Tools: Traders often use a medium-term moving average (like 21 periods) to confirm the downward leg of the handle. A decisive close below the moving average indicates a continuation of the downward handle leg. - Momentum Indicators: Using momentum indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or stochastic oscillator helps confirm downward movement. Bearish divergence suggests that the bearish trend is likely to continue. - Volume Analysis: Increasing volume during the handle's breakout indicates strengthening seller control. High volume often validates the pattern and potentially reduces the risk of false signals​. Note that volume data may be less reliable in a decentralised forex market. - Stop Loss and Profit Target: Traders typically place a stop loss above the handle's high to potentially protect against upward spikes. The reverse cup and handle pattern target is usually set at a distance equal to the cup's height, projected downward from the handle's breakout point, although it can be greater if the retracement is particularly shallow. Entry After the Neckline Break - Confirmation Advantage: Waiting for the neckline break offers greater confirmation of the formation but may provide a less favourable risk-to-reward ratio. - Price Action: A decisive close below the pattern's low, ideally with a strong candlestick and minimal wicks, indicates a reliable breakout. This typically confirms the bearish trend and provides a clear entry signal. - Volume Confirmation: Higher volume during the neckline break can further validate the pattern and indicate that the breakout is genuine and not a false signal​. - Stop Loss and Profit Target: In this scenario, the stop loss is typically set above the handle's high. The profit target remains the same, projecting the cup's height downward from the breakout point​. Common Mistakes to Avoid When trading the upside-down cup and handle pattern, avoiding common mistakes is key for maximising potential returns. Some of the more common mistakes traders make include: - Premature Entry: Entering a trade too early, before the handle completes or the neckline breaks, can lead to false signals and losses. Most traders wait for clear confirmation, such as a decisive close below the neckline with increased volume​. - Ignoring Volume: Volume is a critical component in confirming the pattern. Low volume during the breakout phase may indicate a fakeout. Traders typically look for a substantial increase in volume to validate the pattern​. - Incorrect Pattern Identification: Misidentifying the pattern is a common error. The cup should have a rounded bottom, not a sharp V-shape, and the handle should be relatively short. Accurate identification requires practice and attention to detail​. - Overlooking Market Conditions: External factors, such as news events or broader market trends, can impact the pattern’s reliability. Traders consider these conditions when planning their trades​. Advantages and Disadvantages As with all chart patterns, the inverted cup and handle pattern comes with its pros and cons. Here are some key advantages and disadvantages of using this pattern: Advantages - Clear Signal: The pattern provides a clear signal of a potential bearish movement, helping traders anticipate market declines​. - Risk Management: With defined entry and exit points (handle high for stop loss and cup depth for profit target), it aids in effective risk management. - Flexibility in Analysis: Several forms of analysis, from support/resistance and momentum indicators to volume and price action, can be used to trade the pattern. - Versatility: Applicable across various timeframes and markets, including stocks, forex, and commodities, making it a versatile tool for different trading strategies​. Disadvantages - Complex Identification: Accurately identifying the pattern can be challenging, requiring significant experience and skill​. - Rarity: The pattern doesn’t occur frequently, limiting trading opportunities. - False Breakouts: Like all chart patterns, it is susceptible to false breakouts, especially if not confirmed with volume and other technical indicators​. - Timing Sensitivity: Entering too early during the handle formation can result in premature positions, while waiting for the neckline break might reduce the risk-to-reward ratio​. The Bottom Line The inverted cup and handle pattern is one of the most popular chart patterns among traders of all levels. However, like any technical formation, it should be used alongside other indicators and sound risk management to potentially increase its effectiveness. By mastering patterns like the inverted cup and handle, traders can gain deeper insights into market psychology and price action to navigate volatile markets with greater confidence. FAQ What Is the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern in Forex? The inverse cup and handle pattern in forex is a bearish chart pattern. It features an inverted U-shaped cup followed by a small upward retracement (the handle). This pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and prices are likely to decline further once the neckline is broken. How Can You Trade the Inverse Cup and Handle? Traders can enter positions either on the break of the handle’s lower boundary or after the neckline break. Entering during the handle might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio, while waiting for the neckline break provides greater confirmation. Key tools to validate the breakout include moving averages, momentum indicators like RSI or stochastic oscillator, and volume analysis. What Happens After the Reverse Cup and Handle Pattern? After the reverse cup and handle pattern is completed, the price typically moves downward strongly. This bearish movement is often confirmed by a strong breakout below the neckline with increased volume, signalling a sustained decline in prices.​ What Is the Opposite of the Cup and Handle? The opposite of a cup and handle is the inverse cup and handle pattern. While the cup and handle indicates a bullish movement, the inverse version signals a bearish trend. Is the Inverted Cup and Handle Bullish or Bearish? The inverted cup and handle pattern is bearish. It indicates that the price will move downwards, suggesting that traders may open short trades. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1