GBPUSD – Classic FRL setup unfoldingWe have a clear descending channel (wedge) on H1, with the price testing the neckline level after a corrective consolidation.
According to Fractal Reversal Law (FRL):
The neckline is drawn horizontally at the start of the last impulse, not on the top of the candle wicks.
The price has retested the neckline multiple times, forming a clean structure before potential continuation.
The 100 SMA is above the price, confirming the bearish structure and scale alignment.
Trade Plan:
🔻 Entry: Below the neckline on confirmation of breakout.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL): Above the upper boundary of the channel and last swing high (clearly marked on the chart).
🔻 Take Profit (TP): At the intersection of the lower channel line with the long-term ascending trendline (green support), around 1.34 area.
Confirmation:
• The MACD shows momentum fading, indicating a potential downside move aligning with the FRL setup.
• We expect a clean impulse downward after a tight consolidation, providing a high-probability entry.
Following the FRL principles, we wait for a clean breakout below the neckline to confirm the structure shift before entering.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD I Daily CLS I KL - FVG I Model 1Yo Market Warriors ⚔️
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📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
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GBPUSD Bullish continuation pattern breakout?The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3770 – initial resistance
1.3830 – psychological and structural level
1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3500 – minor support
1.3440 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3544. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day AheadEconomic Data Overview:
United States – Initial Jobless Claims:
This weekly indicator will offer a timely snapshot of US labor market conditions. A rise could signal softening employment dynamics, potentially supporting a dovish bias from the Fed. Conversely, sustained low claims would reaffirm resilience in the jobs market, complicating rate-cut timing.
United Kingdom – June RICS House Price Balance:
This measure of sentiment among surveyors regarding house prices will provide insight into the UK housing market. A negative reading would suggest downward pressure from higher mortgage rates, while stability or improvement may reflect increased buyer demand amid easing inflation.
Japan – June Producer Price Index (PPI):
Key for tracking upstream price pressures. Slowing PPI growth would suggest disinflationary momentum, reducing the urgency for further BoJ tightening. Any upside surprise may reinforce speculation of policy normalization beyond the recent rate hike.
Italy – May Industrial Production:
A barometer of Eurozone manufacturing health. Weak output would highlight the region's ongoing industrial stagnation, potentially reinforcing the ECB’s dovish tilt. Resilience could challenge expectations of sustained easing.
Scandinavia – CPI & GDP Indicators:
Denmark & Norway June CPI:
Will test disinflation progress. Norway, in particular, could see market repricing of Norges Bank's stance if inflation proves stickier than expected.
Sweden May GDP Indicator:
Offers a snapshot of economic momentum. Weakness could justify the Riksbank’s cautious stance despite persistent inflation concerns.
Central Bank Speakers:
Federal Reserve – Musalem and Daly:
Markets will be looking for clarity on rate cut timing. If comments lean dovish, they could reinforce market pricing for a September cut. Any resistance to easing amid still-strong activity data would introduce volatility.
European Central Bank – Cipollone and Villeroy:
Focus will be on signaling around September policy. Villeroy, in particular, is seen as a policy bellwether—any firm commitment to a second rate cut could steepen the EUR yield curve and weigh on the euro. Hawkish caution, however, may reflect concerns about lingering service inflation.
Takeaway:
Thursday’s data and central bank commentary will refine expectations for H2 policy shifts. Jobless claims and CPI prints across Europe remain pivotal for gauging the pace of disinflation, while central bank rhetoric may hint at how aggressively easing cycles might proceed amid mixed economic signals.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.360.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.364 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GU-Thu-10/07/25 TDA-GU resuming bullish trend?Analysis done directly on the chart
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For every trade I take, no matter if it's a loss or win, I always
do post trade analysis. It really helps to understand and
improve. You get to know or try to figure out why price
at this time specifically moved this way or that way.
Premise:
A simple idea plan (like Tradingview public posts) won't describe everything.
No one can predict how market will move, it's always good to react to how it moves.
It gives an idea of how price might move, but no one come from FUTURE.
So I always encourage people to openly and actively discuss in real time.
For example discussing on Tradingview public chat (and more).
I don't give signals blindly, people should learn
and understand the skill.
Following blindly signals you won't know how to
manage the trade, where precisely put sl and tp,
lot size and replicate the move over time.
That's why you need active real time discussions.
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Active in London session!
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Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair appears strongly bullish based on multiple technical indicators and fundamental considerations. Currently trading at 1.2700, the pair exhibits a robust uptrend, reinforced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding above 45.00, indicating significant buying momentum.
Anticipation of the Bank of England's rate decision further fuels expectations of substantial market movement. Initial targets for the pair lie at 1.2735-1.2760, supported by key resistance levels and technical patterns suggesting further upside potential.
Looking ahead, extended projections suggest the pair could aim for 1.2800 in the near term, with potential extensions towards 1.2870-1.2900. These levels are identified through Fibonacci extensions and historical price action, aligning with current market sentiment and technical analysis.
Traders are advised to monitor any developments in central bank policy, economic data releases, and geopolitical events that could influence the pair's trajectory. Risk management strategies should be carefully implemented to navigate potential volatility associated with high-impact events.
GBPUSD BUILDING TARGET GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe (July 9, 2025)
This chart shows a technical analysis of the British Pound (GBP) versus the US Dollar (USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. The market is currently trading within a well-defined range, with a strong support zone (highlighted in purple) and a clear resistance level (marked in blue).
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.33700 – 1.34400
This zone has been tested multiple times and has acted as a strong demand area, where price has often reversed to the upside.
Current Price: 1.35991
The price is currently above the support zone but showing signs of bearish pressure.
Resistance / Target Point: 1.37921
This level has acted as a strong resistance in the past. If the price reverses from the support zone, this is the likely target point.
Analysis Summary:
The price is expected to drop down toward the support zone around 1.34000.
A bullish reversal is anticipated from this area.
If the reversal happens, the price may rally toward the target level at 1.37921.
Trading Perspective:
Buy Zone: Around 1.34000 (within the purple support box)
Target Zone: Around 1.37921
Suggested Stop-loss: Just below the support zone (e.g., around 1.33500)
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 10, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims
GBPUSD:
The British pound remains under pressure amid increased risk-off sentiment linked to new White House statements about additional tariffs from August 1. This is boosting demand for the US dollar as a safe haven and prompts investors to take profits on long GBP positions.
Domestic factors in the UK also have a negative impact: revisions to social spending programs and weak manufacturing PMI and retail sales data signal a slowdown in economic activity. The Bank of England is expected to keep the rate at 5.50% until year-end, which limits the pound’s attractiveness for investors.
The current GBP/USD rate is 1.35900. In the absence of positive drivers from the UK economy and persistent demand for the dollar, the pair remains vulnerable to further declines toward 1.3520.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.36000, SL 1.36300, TP 1.35200
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost button and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump revealed letters sent via Truth Social to the leaders of seven countries, including the Philippines and Algeria. Notably, he warned of a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil.
- The June FOMC minutes confirmed that key Fed members are divided on the outlook for rate cuts within the year.
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reversed course and fell for the first time in six sessions, following strong demand in the latest bond auction.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ July 10: Germany – June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 11: United Kingdom – May Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
While the pair recently faced resistance near the 1.38000 level and experienced a pullback, it appears to be regaining momentum, supported by the trendline near 1.36000.
If this support holds and the price moves as expected, a rally toward the 1.40000 level could be anticipated.
However, if the current support fails, the pair could retreat toward the 1.34000 level. Therefore, it is important to closely monitor the price action in the current zone.
$GU (GBPUSD) 1HPrice has been consolidating after a previous sell-off and is now showing signs of accumulation above a defined demand zone (1.35600–1.35800).
The price has respected the ascending internal trendline, forming higher lows — an early sign of bullish intent.
Strong bullish rejection from this area confirms interest from smart money. Price tested it and immediately rebounded, signaling absorption of sell-side liquidity.
The internal ascending trendline continues to act as dynamic support. As long as price respects this trendline, bullish bias remains intact.
Multiple highs around 1.36300 remain untouched — a magnet for price.That area overlaps with an Order Block (OB), making it a high-probability target for institutional interest.
The tight consolidation before the expansion (highlighted in blue) suggests price is loading for a sharp move.
As long as price remains above the demand zone and trendline A bullish expansion toward the OB zone (1.36300–1.36400) Or A potential liquidity sweep above the highs, aligning with external liquidity targets.
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3632
1st Support: 1.3503
1st Resistance: 1.3693
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short for gbpusdLooking at the daily time frame for gbpusd, I am bearish and belive we will attack that sellside this week or next week. Lets break this down.1st PDAY array- We have a breaker that is failing to hold price, we could see that breaker act an an inversion. The second PD array that is failing is that discount daily fvg, we are hovering on it, but it has provided no bounce, indicating weakness. DXY also looks solid, and out of eurusd pr gbpusd, pound is the one to be shorting right now. If you look at the eurgbp chart, eur has been stronger that gbp.
GBPUSDPrice reached a major weekly resistance and started selling with the daily giving a strong bearish engulfing last week. H4 formed a double top and started creating lower highs. H1 has formed a third bearish wedge. Waiting for clear breakout to look for shorts. Watch out for fundamentals this week.