long 1h chartsACCUMULATION FORMED, then this was broken by some momentum, accumulation again, break of structure of this trend, and respected the first low. AREA TO BUY DURING ASIA. AND HOLD UNTIL HALF OF OG ACCUMULATION
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield
The UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.68% to 4.73% on May 23, 2025.
This yield is near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation at 3.8%, and services inflation at 5.4%) which reduced market expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts.
2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield
The US 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.54% on May 21–22, 2025.
US yields remain elevated due to ongoing fiscal concerns and inflation expectations, though slightly below the UK yields.
3. Interest Rate Differential (UK vs. US)
The interest rate differential between UK and US 10-year yields is:
4.68% (UK)−4.54% (US)=+0.14%
This small positive differential favors the GBP slightly, suggesting UK bonds offer marginally higher returns than US Treasuries.
4. Bond Price Implications
Bond prices move inversely to yields. Given yields have risen in both the UK and US, bond prices have declined correspondingly.
The slightly higher UK yields imply UK bond prices have fallen a bit more relative to US Treasuries.
Rising yields reflect market concerns about inflation persistence and monetary policy tightening.
5. Impact on GBP/USD
The modest yield advantage for the UK supports some GBP strength versus USD.
However, broader market moves in GBP/USD on May 23 were influenced more by a weakening USD than a strong GBP.
Inflation data and BoE’s cautious rate cut expectations underpin gilt yields and provide some support for GBP.
Summary Table
Metric UK (GBP) US (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield (%) ~4.68% - 4.73% (May 23, 2025) ~4.54% (May 21-22, 2025)
Interest Rate Differential +0.14% (UK over US) —
Bond Price Trend Declining (due to rising yields) Declining (rising yields)
Inflation (UK CPI YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) Higher but easing in US
GBP/USD Exchange Rate Supported by yield spread and weaker USD —
Conclusion
On May 23, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was slightly higher than the US 10-year Treasury yield by about 14 basis points, reflecting stronger UK inflation and reduced expectations of BoE rate cuts. This small interest rate differential provides modest support for the GBP against the USD. Rising yields in both markets have pushed bond prices lower. However, the GBP/USD exchange rate movement on that day was influenced more by USD weakness amid geopolitical and economic factors than by the yield differential alone.
traders should pay attention to monthly chart for clear directional bias.
WXYXZ complete new structure beginning!!!!
hey people looking at this a little differently from my last post after i zoomed out. this could turn into anything but the structure wxyxz has now been completed and a new one is forming. THis could either be a larger timeframe correction or a potential reversal
GBP/USD About to Explode?GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone after testing the key weekly resistance area between 1.3400 and 1.3450. The bullish momentum remains strong, supported by speculative positioning still favoring the pound, while the dollar shows signs of softening. On the macro side, the interest rate differential between the UK and the US may narrow in the coming months, but for now, it continues to support upward pressure on the pair.
From a technical standpoint, price has broken out of an ascending triangle on the daily chart, showing strong momentum and confirmation with multiple closes above 1.3300. Market sentiment remains skewed to the short side, adding contrarian fuel to the bullish bias. The key short-term support lies between 1.3270 and 1.3300. As long as this area holds, the base case favors a continuation toward 1.3520 and potentially 1.3600. A break below 1.3170 would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door for a deeper pullback toward 1.3000.
From an execution standpoint, a confirmed breakout above 1.3415 could offer a long entry opportunity with active management. Still, caution is advised around the weekly supply zone due to its historical responsiveness. Eyes remain on upcoming macro data and potential volatility from central bank statements.
"GBPUSD Ready for the Kill After Premium Zone Reaction!"⚡ GBPUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📈 What's Happening:
GBPUSD just tapped deep into the Premium Zone while simultaneously reacting off a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Signs of bearish rejection are stacking up — Smart Money might be preparing for the kill shot! 🎯
🚨 Key Levels Highlighted:
Strong High = Major invalidation (~1.34317).
Premium Zone = Where sellers ideally step in.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Where price imbalance triggered a reaction.
Weak Low = Major liquidity target (~1.32036).
🧠 Key Observations:
Price filled the FVG and immediately showed a reaction = sign of Smart Money stepping in.
Strong High untouched = still valid for bearish play.
Weak Low + Sell Side Liquidity = magnets below.
🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN:
Plan A — Short Setup (Primary Bias):
✅ Look for bearish confirmation via M15 or M5 structure shift.
✅ Ideal entry around Premium/FVG zone.
✅ TP1 = Minor structure lows around 1.33000. TP2 = Full Weak Low sweep (~1.32036).
✅ SL = Above Strong High (~1.34317).
Plan B — Invalidated if:
✅ Strong High is broken impulsively = setup failed. No chasing!
📊 Risk Management Tip:
"Fair Value Gap reactions inside Premium = sniper-level setups. Focus on confirmations, not assumptions."
🧘♂️ Summary:
✅ Premium Tap ✅ FVG Fill ✅ Bearish Reaction ✅ Weak Low Target
Patience = Power.
This could be the sniper setup you've been waiting for! 🔥
➡️ Save this playbook.
➡️ Comment "SNIPE THE GAP" if you're setting the trap! 🎯
GBPUSD 4H Bearish OutlookGBPUSD Analysis
I don’t see any reason for an upside move here.
Price is expected to continue lower.
Bearish targets:
• 1.3226
• 1.3180
• 1.3153
Only a breakout and hold above 1.3293 will invalidate this analysis.
GBPUSD Hits Institutional Supply – Bearish Rejection Loading…⚠️ GBPUSD Smart Money Setup – Premium Price, Weak Low, Juicy Liquidity Below!
We’ve officially entered Smart Money playground territory on GBPUSD.
Here's what's happening:
🧠 Market Structure Narrative:
🔹 Price ran straight into a premium OB
🔹 Internal structure shift already played out
🔹 Now in distribution territory, prepping for a dump
Price has tapped into a high-probability sell zone (purple OB zone) between 1.34500–1.35000, where Smart Money is most likely positioned to unload shorts.
🟪 Order Block Confluence:
📌 OB Range:
Base: 1.34500
Cap: 1.35000
This zone caused the previous bearish impulse – unmitigated until now
Price reacted sharply upon entry = signs of institutional interest
💡 Clean, unmitigated supply = chef’s kiss setup.
🔻 Liquidity Engineering:
🧊 Below current price sits a “Weak Low” marked around 1.32400
💰 Below that: massive Sell-Side Liquidity at 1.31400
📌 This = high-probability magnet for Smart Money to drive price lower
🔁 Fibonacci Confluence (if applied):
Entry zone aligns with 70.5–79% retracement of previous impulse leg = premium risk zone for pro sellers.
💣 Entry Strategy:
🎯 Sell Zone: 1.34500–1.35000
📍 SL: Above 1.35100 (above OB + liquidity grab buffer)
📍 TP1: 1.32400 (Weak Low)
📍 TP2: 1.31400 (Sell-side Liquidity)
📍 RRR: Up to 1:5+ depending on entry precision
This is a swing trader’s dream — premium risk, maximum reward.
💡 Confirmation Tools:
✅ Bearish engulfing candle on LTF
✅ Internal BOS on M15-H1
✅ Rejection wick from OB or candle body stall = sniper entry
Be the sniper — not the FOMO chaser. 🎯
🧠 Key Lesson:
"Weak lows exist to be broken. OBs exist to be respected. Combine both = Smart Money sniper mode."
Let the trap trigger and ride the liquidity wave down.
🗣️ Drop a 💀 if you’re watching this setup play out!
📌 Save this chart — it’s a Smart Money blueprint.
GBP/USD Breakout – Long Opportunity Above Key ResistanceGBP/USD has broken above the 1.3500 resistance level, confirming bullish momentum. The pair is trading at 1.35388 with a strong daily candle and volume backing the move. This breakout aligns with a bullish flag pattern formed over the past two weeks.
RSI remains below overbought levels, suggesting more upside potential. MACD is also crossing above the signal line, adding confirmation.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 1.3540 (confirmation of breakout)
Take Profit: 1.3650 (previous high from February)
Stop Loss: 1.3475 (below the breakout zone and recent consolidation)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2, aligning with my trading strategy.
GBP_USD SWING BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GBP_USD made an absolutely
EPIC breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.3426 and the breakout is
Confirmed even on a DAILY timeframe
Which combined with the strong uptrend
Makes us extremely bullish biased on
The pair and we will be expecting
Further growth in the coming weeks
After a potential local pullback
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD bullish run still going?This week’s analysis for GU is centred around the current pro-trend momentum and where we could see potential entries to continue riding it.
To begin with, there’s a refined 3D supply zone located at a premium level which could cause a short-term bearish reaction. I’ll be monitoring this area for any possible short setups — but only with strong confirmation.
However, the overall structure remains predominantly bullish, as shown by a series of higher highs and higher lows, along with significant breaks of structure. The most relevant point of interest for a bullish continuation sits around the 1.34200 level, where a clean 9H demand zone resides. This is where I’ll be looking to enter long positions if price retraces to that area.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- Clear formation of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish structure
- Strong 9H demand zone that initiated the recent break of structure
- Liquidity above still yet to be cleared
- DXY remains bearish, supporting continued bullish momentum on GBP/USD
P.S. Don’t get too caught up chasing countertrend moves. The real edge lies in identifying the nearest POI that aligns with the overall trend and waiting for your setup to unfold there.
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bearish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk GREEN MA Zone. It's a Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Neutral Level breakout then make your move at (1.32500) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 (or) 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.33400) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.31600
💰💵💸GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
Before start the heist plan read it. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GbpusdWe are clearly above the support level but our yellow bar is the 61% fib level that may bring pullback before we move to resistance level.
GBPUSD: Weekly overviewThe indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points.
* I don't trade the white zone (1.32190), the channel borders and median are so close to it and any breaks below it does not necessarily mean a potential continue in the break direction.
My most important zone is the blue one (1.34291). I'm more ready to take short from it. however, the long option is possible if confirmed.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
**************************************
Important news that could change the direction of the trade:
Wednesday: Britain CPI
GBPUSD - Longs - Fundamental Analysis My trade idea for GBPUSD:
DXY (USD) News:
On 2nd April 2025, US president Donald Trump announced tariffs of 10% on most imports and up to 145% on Chinese goods. This has led to significant market volatility. Investors are increasingly concerned about the U.S.'s economic direction, prompting a shift away from dollar-denominated assets. This sentiment has been exacerbated by fears of a potential recession, as highlighted by JPMorgan Chase's forecast.
Major foreign investors, including those from China and Japan, are reportedly reducing their holdings in U.S. Treasury bonds. This retreat diminishes demand for the dollar, contributing to its depreciation.
Conclusion: We can expect a further decline in DXY price. Possible opportunity to long XXX/USD pairs.
BXY (GBP) News:
The UK economy grew by a faster-than-expected 0.5% in February, official figures showed.
Conclusion: With US placing tariffs globally, we can expect USD weakness over the next 2-3 weeks. GBP holds its ground with strong economic figures from Q1.
My trade position:
Between 14 - 18 Apr, I will be monitoring price action. Looking to buy below 1.32 with the first target being 1.35. 1.29 offers strong support.
GBP-USD Massive Swing Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a massive
Bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 1.3444 and went
Further up which reinforces
Our bullish bias and after
A potential pullback we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Next week
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD 1.3500 Test, Weekly OverboughtGBP/USD has just done something that hasn't happened in three years, trading above the 1.3500 level. The last time this happened in the pair was before the Federal Reserve began the rate hike campaign in 2022, and over the past four months its been a strong reversal of more than 1,400 pips as USD bears have taken back over.
At this point weekly RSI is showing in overbought territory which makes the prospect of chasing the pair higher, particularly after the first test of a major psychological level, as a more complicated endeavor.
This doesn't rule out shorter-term momentum or trend strategies, however, and given the amount of resistance that had showed at the Fibonacci level of 1.3414, there's a very attractive spot for higher-low support to show. That level held the highs last year, and then again in April. - js
GBPUSD Trend Analysis On The 4H Chart Profit SurgingThe GBPUSD currency pair, as observed on the 4-hour timeframe, is currently exhibiting signs of a potential bullish reversal, with a suggested entry near the 1.32696 price level. This analysis outlines retracement considerations, key target levels, and invalidation criteria based on technical structure and price behavior.
✦ Current Market Overview
As of May 18, 2025, GBPUSD is priced at 1.32696. The market has formed a recent consolidation structure, showing attempts to hold above key support. The setup presented encourages buying opportunities based on the expectation of a bullish continuation or breakout from the current price zone.
✦ Retracement Zone and Entry Strategy
The green highlighted area on the chart represents the **retracement or demand zone**. If price dips into this area, it is seen as a potential accumulation point for buyers. Key takeaways include:
• **Retracement Zone Range**: Approximated between **1.31394** (low) and the lower edge of the green zone.
• **Candle Close Below Green Zone**: If price closes below this zone, the bullish setup becomes invalid.
• **Stop Loss (SL)**: Set at 20 pips below entry to minimize downside risk.
GBPUSD | 20.05.2025SELL 1.33800 | STOP 1.34800 | TAKE 1.32200 | Technically, the picture of price movement suggests the development of downward movement from a powerful pattern on the senior timeframes.
UK inflation surprise and US tax bill fuel GBPUSD breakoutGBPUSD just broke out. In this video, we explain how UK inflation and the US tax bill pushed it higher. We also look at the technical setup, the double top breakout, and the target at 1.4778. Will this rally last or is it a trap?
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GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 23 May 2025
- GBPUSD broke multi-month resistance level 1.3430
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3600
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke above the key multi-month resistance level 1.3430, which stopped the previous sharp daily uptrends in September and April.
The breakout of the resistance level 1.3430 should accelerate the active impulse wave 5 from the start of May.
Given the clear daily uptrend and strongly bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3600 (the target for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls!GBP/USD Technical Analysi s – Bullish Momentum Building
The GBP/USD pair is currently showing signs of bullish strength, having recently rebounded from a 1-hour Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This technical reaction suggests increased buying interest and provides a short-term bullish bias in the market.
Following the rejection from the FVG, price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls are gaining control. Market structure on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, further supporting the bullish narrative. Additionally, volume analysis and momentum indicators are beginning to align with the current upward move, suggesting that there may be room for continuation.
However, to confirm sustained bullish momentum, it is essential to monitor key resistance levels ahead. The next immediate resistance lies near , which has historically acted as a decision point for the market. A clean breakout and close above this level on increased volume would serve as strong confirmation for a further upside move, potentially targeting .
Conversely, traders should remain cautious of any signs of weakness or bearish divergence forming near resistance areas. Should the pair fail to break higher and instead reverse, a revisit of the bullish FVG could occur, potentially offering another entry opportunity for buyers.
In summary, the GBP/USD pair is displaying bullish intent in the short term, but confirmation from higher timeframes and key levels will be critical before committing to a directional bias. Maintain a balanced outlook and adapt to the evolving price action.
BUY GBPUSDIn todays session we are keenly monitoring CABLE for buying opportunity. Our buy entry is at 1.34258 and our target is at 1.34860 and our tight stop loss is at 1.3400. Use proper risk management. Cheers to you all.
