Short trade
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 1.36148
Profit Level 1.34186 (−1.44%)
Stop Loss 1.36356 (+0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 9.43 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4HR OB Rejection in Premium Zone:
Entry taken off a confirmed bearish order block after price tapped into a premium zone at the top of the internal range.
London Session Liquidity Sweep:
Trade captured the classic London stop-hunt above a short-term high, initiating a sell-off and confirming smart money movement.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD| - Riding the Bullish Wave with Precision📌 Pair: GBPUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Major external structure (HH) broken to the upside — clear bullish intent from smart money. Strong momentum confirms continued interest in pushing price higher.
🧭 MTF View (30M → 2H clarity):
Refined bullish structure forming on 30M. Using the 2H to filter noise and spot deeper liquidity. Watching closely for a sell-side sweep into OB for cleaner, higher-probability LTF entries.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
CHoCH flip → Liquidity sweep → OB mitigation
Perfect sequence = greenlight for execution.
🎯 Target: Structure highs above
🧠 Mindset Note:
Sometimes the best entries come after everyone else gets taken out. Be the one who waits, confirms, then strikes with intention.
Bless Trading!
GBPUSD Selling From Bearish Order Block At 1.36200GBPUSD Technical Breakdown
Timeframe: 1H
Price has officially broken out of the descending channel and is now reacting from the bearish Order Block around 1.36200. We're looking for short opportunities as momentum shifts.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
🔻 1st Target: 1.35500 – Key Demand Zone
🔻 2nd Target: 1.34700 – Deeper Demand Zone
🔻 3rd Target: 1.34000 – Bullish Order Block
📉 Setup looks clean – watching PA confirmation on each level.
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Trade smart. Trade safe. 💼✨
— Livia 😜
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Labeling Error – "Bullish" in a Bearish Trend:
The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend starting after the peak on June 28.
Despite this, the word "Bullish" is used alongside a downward zigzag, which is misleading. This is not a bullish structure — it's a bearish continuation pattern or possibly a bear flag, which suggests further downside.
Using “Bullish” here may confuse traders into thinking a reversal is expected, while the actual trend favors further decline.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern:
There's no double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, or any bullish candlestick formation (e.g., engulfing or hammer) to indicate a likely bullish reversal.
Without strong reversal signals, expecting a bullish move here lacks technical support.
3. Target Box Ambiguity:
The “Target” box is not clearly justified. There are no Fibonacci levels, previous support zones, or measured move explanations backing it.
A target should be based on a technical level — such as the bottom of a previous range, a support zone, or a projection from a pattern.
GBPUSD.UK 10-Year Gilt Yield and Interest Rate
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: The yield stands at 4.48% as of June 25, 2025, after touching a recent high of 4.73%. This elevated yield reflects persistent inflation and cautious market expectations for Bank of England policy.
Bank of England Interest Rate: The current policy rate is 4.25%. Markets expect potential cuts in August and November, possibly bringing the rate to 3.75% by year-end, but the BoE remains cautious due to inflation still above target.
The US dollar is at multi-year lows, pressured by political uncertainty around the Fed, rising expectations for rate cuts, and a broad shift in global risk sentiment away from the dollar
Investors remain cautious due to fiscal policy worries, including the impact of US government spending and debt levels, as well as geopolitical risks.
The market currently prices in two 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cuts by the end of 2025, likely in September and December, which influences bond yields.
The 10-year yield is a key benchmark for mortgage rates, corporate borrowing costs, and is often considered the "risk-free rate" in financial valuations
The US10Y stands at 4.29%-4.33%
and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5%
The 10-year yield remains a critical indicator of US economic health, inflation expectations, and monetary policy stance.
#GBPUSD
GBPUSD📌 GBPUSD – Scenario-Based Plan
The first level I’ve marked is a short-term zone.
If we get a strong buy signal there with good R/R, I’ll enter and trail aggressively.
The second level is a stronger demand zone and a better area for potential long setups.
❗️Remember: These are just scenarios — not predictions.
We stay ready for whatever the market delivers.
GBPUSD's strong uptrend continuesGBPUSD is in a strong uptrend, Price has just broken the resistance zone of 1.37500.
All the bullish momentum is heading towards the resistance zone of 1.388.
If there is a close of the h4 candle below the resistance zone of 1.375, there will likely be a Pullback to 1.363 to find more buying momentum towards the target at the resistance zone of 1.388
📈 Key Levels
Support: 1.375-1.363
Resistance: 1.388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY GBPUSD 1.375-1.373 Stoploss 1.37000
BUY GBPUSD 1.363-1.361 Stoploss 1.35800
SELL GBPUSD 1.388-1.390 Stoploss 1.39300
Exclusive: GBP/USD Swing Heist – Limited-Time Opportunity!🏴☠️ GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Grab Before the Cops Arrive! 🚨💰
🌟 Attention, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
"The vault is unlocked—time to swipe those pips!"
🔥 THIEF TRADING STRATEGY (Swing/Day) 🔥
Based on high-risk, high-reward technical & fundamental analysis, here’s the master plan to plunder GBP/USD ("The Cable")!
📈 ENTRY (Bullish Heist Zone)
"The vault is OPEN!" – Long at any price, but for precision:
Buy Limit orders preferred (15m-30m timeframe).
Pullback entries from recent swing lows/highs = sneakiest loot grab!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route)
Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H chart).
Adjust based on: Risk tolerance, lot size, & number of orders.
"A good thief always has an exit plan!"
🎯 TARGETS
1.37500 (or escape early if the cops 🚓 (bearish traps) show up!).
Scalpers: Only long-side raids! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
💥 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Momentum)
Technicals + Fundamentals align for a potential breakout.
Overbought? Risky? Yes—but the best loot is guarded!
📢 TRADING ALERT (News & Risk Mgmt)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = police sirens!).
Trailing stops = Your getaway car. Protect profits!
🚀 BOOST THE HEIST!
💖 Hit "Like" & "Boost" to fuel our next raid!
💬 Comment your loot tally below!
"Stay sharp, thieves—see you at the next heist! 🤑🔥"
GBP/USD Launch to Fresh 3-Year HighsGBP/USD had a mild pullback earlier in the morning until the 1.3593 level came in to help set the lows. I had looked at that price in yesterday's post and that's held the lows for today ahead of another strong breakout with the pair pressing into fresh three-year highs.
Chasing breakouts can be tough especially when they've already started, so at this point there's a couple of spots of support that bulls can defend to keep the door open for shorter-term trend continuation purposes.
The price of 1.3639 is an aggressive level of support potential, and below that is 1.3616. If bulls fail to hold support at those prices, the bullish momentum that's driving the current breakout would come into question and the door would open to deeper retracement potential. In that scenario, there may be more attractive options to work with USD-strength. - js
GBPUSD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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GBPUSD ShortElite Live Analysis – GBPUSD
Market Structure: Price has tapped into the Daily Market Structure zone.
Price Action: Current structure and price action indicate signs of a potential reversal.
Strategy: This setup follows a Structure-to-Structure approach.
Targets:
Lower liquidity pools below price
Main target: retest of the Daily Market Structure zone
Cable looking for a new high with Ending DiagonalCable found some support in the last 24 hours and it looks like we may still see a retest of the high, so apparently this 5th wave is still in progress but unfolding with an ending diagonal with subwave five on the way up to 1.37–1.38, which could be the key resistance for this reversal pattern. So despite some recovery that is happening right now, we still think that the impulse from January is in late stages, which is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI and overlapping price action that clearly suggests that bulls are losing strength up here.
GH
GBPUSD GBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Upcoming Monetary Policy News (June 2025)
1. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield:
As of June 24, 2025, the UK 10-year government bond yield is 4.51%, having recently climbed as high as 4.73%—the highest since April—driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data.
Markets have scaled back expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts due to persistent inflation, particularly in core and services sectors.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield:
The US 10-year Treasury yield ended June 20, 2025 at 4.38%.
2. Central Bank Interest Rates
Bank of England (BoE) Rate:
The BoE held its policy rate steady at 4.25% at its June 19 meeting, with a 6–3 vote to maintain rates. Three members favored a 0.25% cut to 4.00%.
Inflation in the UK slowed to 3.4% in May (from 3.5% in April), but core and services inflation remain elevated, making policymakers cautious about cutting rates too soon.
US Federal Reserve Rate:
The Federal Reserve kept its key rate in a range of 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting and signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later this year, but with ongoing uncertainty about the timing.
3. Upcoming Monetary Policy News (Late June–July 2025)
Bank of England:
The BoE is expected to remain cautious, with markets now pricing in only 34 basis points of cuts for 2025 (down from earlier expectations of two cuts this year).
Economists expect a possible rate cut in August if inflation and wage growth show clearer signs of easing.
Federal Reserve:
The Fed continues to signal a data-dependent approach, with two cuts still possible in 2025 if inflation moderates and growth slows as projected.
Key Data to Watch:
UK: Flash PMIs (Thursday) for signs of economic momentum or weakness.
US: PCE inflation and labor market data for Fed policy clues.
Summary Table
Metric/News UK (GBP) US (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.51% (recent high: 4.73%) 4.38%
Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50%
Next Central Bank Decision Possible cut in August Two cuts possible in 2025
Key Drivers Sticky core/services inflation Inflation, growth, Fed outlook
Key Takeaways
The UK 10-year gilt yield remains above the US 10-year yield, supporting GBP/USD in the near term.
The BoE is holding rates steady but may cut in August if inflation data softens further.
The Fed is also on hold, with possible cuts later in 2025, making upcoming inflation and labor data crucial for both currencies.
Both central banks are in a wait-and-see mode, with markets closely watching economic data and policy signals for direction.
#GBPUSD
Bullish rise off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3503
1st Support: 1.3455
1st Resistance: 1.3616
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Major resistance ahead?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3535
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3328
1st Support: 1.3133
1st Resistance: 1.3636
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3486
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3531
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3347
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD Tactical Shift: Long Closed, Short Bias ActivatedAfter successfully capturing the upside move on GBP/USD, price has now reached a key resistance zone where bullish momentum appears to be fading. The recent price action shows signs of exhaustion, with lower highs forming near the top and a noticeable slowdown in buying pressure.
This shift in structure suggests a potential reversal opportunity. I'm now positioning for a short setup, anticipating a corrective move as sellers begin to step in. The risk is clearly defined above the recent highs, with downside targets aligned with previous reaction zones and intraday support levels.
This transition from long to short reflects a dynamic response to evolving market conditions—focused, disciplined, and opportunity-driven.
GU-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Strong resistance area approaching 1.37500Analysis done directly on the chart
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Timing!
You might ask yourself why sometimes your
trade idea was good but still ended up hitting your sl before it moves to your direction.
The reason is simple: Timing.
price is just not ready to push at that time
and needed extra liquidity and structure before it finally has the force to push.
Understanding when the market is ready is one of the most difficult thing for a trader to do but with experience you start to understand better and improve.
If you like the way I present and analyze, make sure to boost,
share and follow me for more future posts, ideas and useful informations.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y