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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

Cable H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.3290 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 1.3192 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support. Take profit is at 1.3515 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
GBPUSDCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August. Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence. US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies. Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven. Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD. Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD Conclusion Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold. Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected. Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise. According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year. The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March. In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%. Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.” On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels. At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs. UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets. UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
Long
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 11:22amJust FYI i entered my last trade too early. Ill make sure all the signals align next time. I took my losses and kept it moving. GBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity & Price Action Setup Over the past few weeks, GBP/USD has been in a steady uptrend, posting higher highs and higher lows. However, 1.34234 remains a critical resistance level, and price is showing signs of absorption, suggesting institutions may be stepping in. Technical Overview Recent Highs & Lows: Price peaked at 1.34234, with recent support around 1.33750. Momentum Indicators: The daily RSI remains elevated near 67.8, signaling strong buying interest, but MACD and stochastic fast readings indicate fluctuations. ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 72.4 confirms trend strength, but a fading Aroon Oscillator hints that past bullish waves might be losing steam. Price Action Insights Higher Highs Forming: The past few days show price continuously pushing up, but rejection wicks near 1.33895–1.34234 suggest sell-side pressure building. Potential Lower High Formation: If institutions are absorbing liquidity here, they could be preparing to push price down—meaning a short trade setup is forming. Key Levels to Watch: A break below 1.33750 would confirm bearish momentum, while a clean move above 1.34234 with volume would signal continuation. Volume Profile & Institutional Activity Liquidity Absorption at Resistance: Institutions may be letting retail traders push price up while absorbing their buy orders. If volume clusters at the highs without a breakout, this suggests a reversal could be incoming. Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching order flow, if sell-side aggression picks up near resistance, it strengthens the bearish case. Volume Spikes & Clustered Activity: If liquidity at 1.33895–1.34234 shows tapering buy-side volume without a breakout, institutions may be trapping longs before driving price down. Trade Plan Given all of this data, my best entry setup is a sell near 1.33895–1.34234, waiting for confirmation: Hourly Rejection Candles: A long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle near resistance would confirm sellers stepping in. Target: A downside move toward 1.33200, where prior liquidity sits, would be a strong take-profit zone. On the flip side, if price breaks above 1.34234 with strong bullish volume, I’ll reassess and look for a buy on a retest, confirming institutional accumulation. This analysis helps me stay disciplined, tracking institutional positioning and liquidity traps rather than chasing impulsive moves. For now, I’m watching hourly candles and volume behavior at resistance before executing my next trade.
by Sel_Ali
Master Forex Trading with ICT Kill Zones (2024 Guide)The forex market runs 24/5, but not all hours are equally profitable. ICT Kill Zones highlight the 4 most volatile trading windows where institutional activity creates prime opportunities. ICT Kill Zones Timetable (GMT/EST) Asian: 8PM - 10PM EST / 12AM - 2AM GMT London: 2AM - 5AM EST / 6AM - 9AM GMT New York: 7AM - 9AM EST / 11AM - 1PM GMT London Close: 10AM - 12PM EST / 2PM - 4PM GMT Key Characteristics: Asian Session Best for AUD, NZD, JPY pairs Low volatility; ideal for 15-20 pip scalps London Session Highest liquidity (trade EUR/GBP) Often sets daily highs/lows New York Session Overlap with London creates high volatility Focus on USD pairs (e.g., USD/CAD) London Close Price retracements to daily range Quick 15-20 pip reversal plays
Education
by InnerCircleAnalysis
GBP/USD Pullback PotentialIt took awhile for Cable to finally mount a rally above the 1.3000 handle. That price was resistance multiple times in March, but it wasn't until the next month that prices were able to finally sustain a push above the big figure. It wasn't exactly a clean trend, especially considering the sell-off on April 4th, which broke through a number of supports; but the response that was intense as GBP/USD jumped back-above 1.3000 and ran all the way into 1.3250. Which presents us with the current scenario... Wednesday brought an indecision candle right at that psychological level and so far today on Thursday, there's more indecision showing. This doesn't necessarily portend reversal but it does highlight that bulls may want to try to be patient here and look for a pullback. For support, both the Fibonacci level at 1.3105 and the psychological level at 1.3000 were resistance on the way up but have yet to show support after the breakout. Bulls holding higher-lows at either of those spots keeps the door open for continuation into longer-term resistance around Fibonacci levels at 1.3328 and 1.3414. - js
by FOREXcom
GBP/USD + Fair Value GAPOn GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.30160. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
GBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Reversal from Demand ZoneGBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis Current Price: 1.27883 Timeframe: 4H (OANDA) Key Zones: 🟦 Demand Zone (Support Area): 📍 Between 1.26873 (🔻 Stop Loss) and current price This is where buyers are expected to step in and push the price higher. 🚀 Expected Move: The price is consolidating in the demand zone and might breakout upward. ➡️ Possible path: 1. Small pullback within demand zone 2. 📈 Breakout up to 1.29162 (🔵 First Resistance) 3. 📈 Continuation up to 1.31083 (🎯 Target Point) Important Levels: 🔻 Stop Loss: 1.26873 (If price drops below this, setup is invalid) 🛑 Mid-Resistance Level: 1.29162 (Might face temporary selling pressure here) 🎯 Target Point: 1.31083 (Take-profit zone) Conclusion: 📉 If price breaks below 1.26873 → trade invalid ❌ 📈 If price holds and breaks above resistance → bullish potential ✅ Risk/Reward setup looks favorable from demand zone to target
Long
by Jameshead007
3
GBP/USD Short Setup – Rejection from Resistance Zone with High REMA 30 (red line) EMA 200 (blue line) --- Key Levels: Entry Point: 1.31324 Stop Loss: 1.32303 Target (TP): 1.28102 --- Analysis: 1. Trend Context: The market shows a recent bullish move approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple). The price is now reacting to that resistance zone and potentially forming a reversal. 2. EMA Insight: Price is currently trading slightly above the EMA 200 and EMA 30, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the suggested trade setup appears to be short (sell), anticipating a reversal from resista
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
1
UPDATE ON GU TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Price has recently traded us lower to correct itself, pick up more Demand before taking a move higher. I have gone ahead and marked out the area in which price trade down and into. With price breaking structure fractally on the 15M timeframes, we could look to add to our positions as this gives us enough confluence to suggest that price is now ready to continue with the higher timeframe bullish move. This trade is currently running + 125 pips. (+ 5.4%) 5.4RR A big well done to those of you who are still in on this trade, I have actually gone ahead and taken a full close on this but will continue to monitor the original position for those still in. Those of you who are looking for another entry, as soon as I have something for you I will let you know, as I am also looking to get re-introduced. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
Long
by Lukegforex
GBPUSD BEARISH FOR 90PIPSGBP/USD Bearish 90-Pip Forecast: Analysis & Strategy Current Market Context: As of the latest data, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3800. A 90-pip bearish target would place the pair near 1.3710. Below is the rationale and actionable plan: Key Drivers for a Bearish Outlook Fundamental Factors: UK Weakness: Dovish Bank of England (BoE) rhetoric, soft UK GDP/CPI data, or rising unemployment could weaken the Pound. USD Strength: Hawkish Fed signals (e.g., rate hike talks, tapering) or strong U.S. jobs/inflation data may boost the dollar. Geopolitical Risks: Brexit uncertainties, UK-EU trade tensions, or global risk-off sentiment favoring the USD. Technical Analysis: Resistance Levels: Failure to break above 1.3850 (a key resistance) or bearish patterns (e.g., double top, descending channel). Momentum Indicators: RSI divergence or MACD crossover signaling bearish momentum. Moving Averages: Price below the 50/200-day EMA, suggesting a downtrend. Trade Strategy Entry Zone: 1.3800–1.3830 (post-retest of resistance). Target: 1.3710 (90 pips). Stop-Loss: 1.3870 (above recent swing high). Risk Management: Use 1:2 risk-reward ratio (e.g., risk 30 pips to gain 90 pips). Adjust position size to limit exposure (e.g., 1–2% of account capital). Critical Events to Monitor UK Data: BoE interest rate decisions, CPI (July 19), Retail Sales. U.S. Data: Fed meetings, Non-Farm Payrolls (August 4), CPI. Global Catalysts: Brexit updates, geopolitical tensions. Contingency Plan Upside Risk: A BoE rate hike surprise or weak U.S. data could reverse the trend. Tighten stops if price breaks above 1.3870. Alternative Scenario: If the drop stalls near 1.3750 (support), secure partial profits and trail stops.
Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS