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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD Will Move Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.360. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.333. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Market next target 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bullish Alternative Scenario While the current chart outlines a bearish scenario after a short-term bullish correction, leading to a drop toward the target near 1.36600, here’s how a bullish disruption could unfold instead: --- 🟢 Bullish Disruption Possibility: 1. False Breakdown / Bear Trap: The market may dip slightly below recent lows to trigger sell stops and liquidity grab, then reverse upward. If price finds strong buying interest around 1.3690–1.3700, it could spark a bullish reversal. 2. Strong Rejection Candles: Watch for bullish engulfing or pin bar formations on lower timeframes (15m or 30m) near the dip area. These would signal loss of bearish momentum. 3. Break of Lower High Structure: A break above 1.3720 would shift short-term market structure to bullish. It could lead to a move toward 1.3750–1.3780. 4. Macro Fundamentals: Hawkish BOE comments or weak U.S. data could reverse USD strength, lifting GBP/USD.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
The Day Ahead Economic Data Highlights (US & Europe): A busy day for economic indicators, particularly out of the US. Durable Goods Orders (May): Markets will watch for signs of resilience or weakness in US manufacturing, with core capital goods orders acting as a proxy for business investment. Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Could offer a broader snapshot of US economic momentum ahead of the July FOMC. Pending Home Sales: Will shed light on housing market trends amid fluctuating mortgage rates. Advance Goods Trade Balance & Wholesale Inventories: These will feed into Q2 GDP tracking estimates. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity (June): Regional data may add color to the broader ISM picture. Initial Jobless Claims: As always, a key gauge of labor market tightness. Germany GfK Consumer Confidence (July): Expected to reflect persistent economic pessimism, weighing on EUR sentiment. Central Bank Speakers: A full slate of Fed, ECB, and BoE commentary may offer insight into diverging policy paths. Fed’s Barkin, Hammack, and Barr could provide updates on inflation dynamics and balance sheet strategy. ECB’s Schnabel and Guindos may hint at the pace of further policy easing amid eurozone stagnation. BoE’s Governor Bailey and Deputy Governor Breeden speak following recent UK inflation and growth data, with focus on the rate outlook into Q3. Corporate Earnings: Nike (NKE): Focus will be on forward guidance and China recovery amid margin pressure and inventory management. H&M: May offer cues on European consumer demand and retail sector performance. Other Key Events: European Council Summit (Brussels, through June 27): Leaders gather to discuss key policy areas including fiscal rules, Ukraine aid, and EU top jobs. Potential EUR sensitivity depending on political developments. US 7-Year Note Auction: Watch for demand and yield levels, as Treasury issuance remains in focus amid deficit concerns. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
1
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption Analysis of the Chart 1. False Breakout Risk The price is currently within an ascending channel, which is often seen as bullish. However, the recent candlesticks show smaller bodies with wicks on top, indicating buyer exhaustion. A false breakout above the upper trendline or support around 1.3632 could trap buyers before a sharp reversal. 2. Low Volume Confirmation Volume peaked earlier but has significantly decreased in the last few candles. Weak volume during a price rise signals a lack of conviction, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. 3. Resistance Flip Not Confirmed The level around 1.3600 is marked as resistance-turned-support, but there is no strong retest confirmation yet. If price revisits this zone and fails to bounce, this support could break, leading to a downside reversal. 4. Divergence Watch While not visible in this static image, if you overlay RSI or MACD, there could be signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while momentum indicators make lower highs). This is often a leading indicator of trend weakening.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3559, a pullback resistance that aligns with the127.2Fib extension. Our take profit is set at 1.3503, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.3622, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
GBPUSD - Technical Outlook (Long + Short Term)In this article, I’ll share my current outlook on GBPUSD, highlighting both higher time frame (HTF) and intraday considerations. Higher Time Frame Analysis The overall trend remains bearish. Price is still trading within the previous structural leg, with the key level at 1.42500. Unless we see a decisive break above this level, my bias will remain bearish for this pair. Recently, we’ve witnessed what looks like institutional manipulation to the upside, followed by a sharp bearish reaction from the weekly supply zone. This price action aligns with a classic Wyckoff distribution cycle, which often signals that the prevailing trend is likely to continue. Intraday Advice For short-term traders, it’s best to wait for lower time frame (LTF) pullbacks and signs of manipulation before considering short positions. If price continues to push lower, there should be opportunities to ride the trend down over the coming weeks, with multiple entry points along the way. Trading Considerations If this analysis plays out, there’s potential to maximize gains through both swing and intraday trades. However, patience and risk management are key. Losses are inevitable - what matters is managing risk and staying disciplined. Key Points to Remember: Wait for clear pullbacks before entering trades. Stick to your risk management plan. Stay patient and let the market come to you. This is an exciting time to trade FX:GBPUSD , but always assess if the risk is worth the reward before entering any position. Happy hunting predators... Apex out!
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
GBPUSD: The Bearish Setup Remains IntactGBPUSD: The Bearish Setup Remains Intact From our previous analysis we can see that GBPUSD remains bearish despite not having broken down yet. The war is not affecting the strength of the US dollar and may perhaps become stronger at a time when we expected the US dollar to show slight weakness given that the war could become more serious. However, as I have explained before, this is not the first time that the US has been involved in a war. You may watch the analysis for further details Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
How to trade GAPS in the market, SELL GBPUSD!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Below SupportMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Below Support GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.3620 zone. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound started another decline from the 1.3620 resistance zone. - There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.3460 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.3620 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.3550 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis. The pair even traded below 1.3500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.3380 level. There was a recovery wave above the 1.3450 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3622 swing high to the 1.3382 low. However, the bears were active near the 1.3500 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level. As a result, there was a fresh bearish reaction below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.3460. Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.3380. The next major support is at 1.3350, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.3200. Immediate resistance on the upside is near 1.3440. The first major resistance is near the 1.3500 zone. The main hurdle sits at 1.3530. A close above the 1.3530 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.3565 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.3620 resistance in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
GBPUSD DID YOU KNOW THAT YOUR COUNTRY CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ANOTHER CENTRAL BANK AND IS CALLED BIS(BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS )??? The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 at the Hague Conference, making it the world's oldest international financial institution. Its initial purpose was to facilitate the settlement of World War I reparations and to promote cooperation among central banks. The BIS trading market refers to the role of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a key intermediary and facilitator in global financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and central bank transactions BIS is a secretive institution with sovereign immunity that can move trillions without oversight. aka central bank of central banks in Basel Swissland with over 63 members in the world which are centrals banks of countries that make up 95% of world GDP. Key Points about BIS and Its Trading Market Role: Central Bank’s Central Bank: BIS acts as a bank for central banks and international organizations, providing banking services such as accounts, gold and currency transactions, asset management, and short-term collateralized loans. Market Intermediary: BIS frequently conducts large-scale transactions on behalf of central banks in the foreign exchange and gold markets. These trades are often substantial, reflecting central banks’ reserve management or monetary policy operations. Avoiding Market Misinterpretation: When BIS buys or sells currencies or assets, it is usually acting for a central bank, not itself, helping avoid markets mistaking these large trades for speculative or official government interventions. Forum for Cooperation: BIS provides a platform for central banks to exchange information, coordinate policies, and cooperate on monetary and financial stability, which indirectly influences market dynamics. Research and Statistics: BIS publishes data and analysis on global banking, FX, derivatives markets, and financial stability, supporting informed decision-making in the trading community. Summary The BIS trading market is not a public exchange but a specialized, high-level market where BIS facilitates and conducts financial transactions for central banks, particularly in foreign exchange and gold. Its activities help central banks manage reserves and implement monetary policy while fostering international financial cooperation. if you know you know because BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND ) and FED (FEDERAL RESERVE ) are members . GBPUSD 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ,INTEREST RATE ,INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE . 1. Current Rates and Yields Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Differential (UK - US) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 4.38% +0.16% (16 bps) Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% -0.25% to -0.01% UK Context: The Bank of England (BoE) held rates at 4.25% amid sticky inflation (3.4% YoY in May ) but signaled potential cuts in August. US Context: The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, prioritizing inflation control despite slowing growth . 2. Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage Yield Spread: The UK 10-year gilt yields 0.16% more than the US 10-year Treasury, creating a modest yield pickup for GBP-denominated bonds . Policy Rate Spread: The USD offers a 0.25% higher short-term rate (using the Fed’s 4.50% upper bound vs. BoE’s 4.25%) . Carry Trade Mechanics: GBP-USD Strategy: Borrow USD at 4.50% and invest in GBP assets at 4.54% (10-year gilt) for a net carry of +0.04%. USD-GBP Strategy: Borrow GBP at 4.25% and invest in USD assets at 4.38% (10-year Treasury) for a net carry of +0.13%. Key Risks: Currency Volatility: GBP/USD at 1.34–1.35 could erase gains if the dollar strengthens. Policy Shifts: BoE rate cuts (expected August 2025) may narrow the yield spread , while Fed cuts could reduce USD rate advantages . 3. Market Outlook UK Focus: Inflation persistence may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP yields near-term . US Focus: Fed’s "higher for longer" stance and tariff-related inflation risks could sustain USD yield appeal . Carry Viability: The USD-GBP strategy offers a slight edge (0.13% carry) but requires hedging against GBP appreciation risks. Summary Yield Advantage: UK 10-year gilts yield 0.16% more than US Treasuries, but USD short-term rates are 0.25% higher. Optimal Carry: Borrowing GBP to invest in USD assets (0.13% carry) is marginally favorable, though policy uncertainty warrants caution. Critical Factors: Monitor BoE/Fed rate decisions and GBP/USD trends for carry trade adjustments.
by Shavyfxhub
Potential bullish rise?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3403 1st Support: 1.3319 1st Resistance: 1.3517 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Potential bullish rise for the Cable?The price has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3399 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3337 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3505 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Lingrid | GBPUSD potential Long from the Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:GBPUSD SPREADEX:GBP has bounced off confluence support near 1.3395 where the upward trendline and horizontal structure intersect. A minor range formed after the recent corrective drop, hinting at possible accumulation. A breakout above the range and reclaiming 1.3450 would shift momentum back toward the 1.3537 resistance. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 1.3390–1.3410 Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.3390 Target: 1.35375 Buy trigger: bullish breakout from current consolidation 💡 Risks Failure to hold above the rising trendline could shift the trend short-term bearish GBP remains sensitive to macroeconomic news—any surprises could disrupt this setup Range failure and low volume may delay the expected move upward Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
by Lingrid
8
GBP/USD HOLDS NEAR 1.3400 AFTER BOE RATE HOLDGBP/USD hovers around the 1.3400 mark following the Bank of England’s decision to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%, as widely expected. The hold reflects the central bank’s cautious approach amid slowing economic data and persistent global uncertainties. Meanwhile, during the Asian session, the pair dropped sharply, hitting a one-month low of 1.3382, equivalent to a 0.24% decline on the day. The move was largely driven by a stronger U.S. dollar, which gained traction following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone on Wednesday. Additionally, investor sentiment was weighed down by growing concerns over potential U.S. military involvement in the Middle East conflict, further boosting safe haven flows into the dollar and pressuring the pound. However, a rebound was observed during the European session, as the pair regained some ground. The recovery was buoyed by positive market reaction to BoE Governor Andrew Bailey’s remarks, which, while dovish in tone, provided a sense of stability TECHNICAL VIEW From a technical perspective, the pair remains in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows confirming bearish momentum, as sellers continue to dominate amid broader risk aversion in global markets. In the face of heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar has strengthened. This macro backdrop supports continued downside pressure on the pair. If the price breaks below the 1.3382 support, it will signal renewed bearish momentum, opening the door for further declines toward 1.3334, followed by 1.3253. On the other hand, if buyers’ step and push the price above 1.3476, this would mark a break of the immediate market structure, potentially signaling a bullish reversal or short-term correction. In this scenario, the next upside targets would be 1.3579 and 1.3632, key resistance levels. Meanwhile break out of these levels are not ruled out. Conclusively, while the prevailing trend remains bearish, volatility driven by geopolitical headlines and dollar strength could result in breakouts on either side.
by CFI
GBPUSD I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GB{USD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
by BKTradingAcademy