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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? Watch for Technical Pullback Ahead of NFP The GBPUSD pair has recently rebounded impressively from the 1.3427 key support zone, reflecting short-term USD weakness and growing speculation of rate cuts by the Fed. However, after the strong bullish move, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion and potential profit-taking—especially with high-impact US employment data just around the corner. 🔍 Macro & Fundamental Overview: United States: All eyes are on this week’s JOLTS and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Weak jobs data could strengthen the case for rate cuts by the Fed in Q3, weighing on the US Dollar. On the flip side, a solid print would revive “higher for longer” rate expectations and likely support USD strength. United Kingdom: Although inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, political uncertainty ahead of July’s general election may keep GBP on the defensive, especially if BoE signals a dovish turn. Bond Yield Spread (UK vs US): A widening spread in favor of the USD is exerting downward pressure on GBPUSD in the medium term. 📈 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Structure: Price has formed a double-top pattern at 1.35598 and 1.35322, with multiple rejections—signaling a weakening bullish momentum after a sustained rally. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 Setup: Price is currently testing the EMA89 zone (~1.34854). A clean break below this moving average could accelerate the downside correction. FVG Zone (Liquidity Pool): The 1.3427 – 1.3457 area offers a potential liquidity sweep and may serve as a springboard for the next bullish leg. 📊 Trade Scenarios: 🔻 Short-Term SELL SCALP: Entry: 1.3532 – 1.3545 Stop Loss: 1.3565 Take Profit: 1.3485 → 1.3457 → 1.3427 → Ideal if price fails to hold above recent highs and forms bearish rejection candles. 🔵 BUY ZONE Setup: Entry: 1.3427 – 1.3440 Stop Loss: 1.3400 Take Profit: 1.3475 → 1.3505 → 1.3535 → 1.3555 → High-probability entry if price reacts positively to the FVG zone and maintains bullish structure. 📌 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD is currently in a delicate zone where both technical and macro forces are converging. While the broader trend remains bullish, momentum is slowing. With critical US jobs data due, traders should stay cautious and rely on clear confirmations around key price levels. Maintain strict risk management and look for liquidity-driven moves around FVG zones.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD Weekly overview Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025We are approaching a strong HTF reversal level from lower prices. It means we might have some unexpectable strong bearish players in the market. I'll take a little less than normal for the bullish trades. While the mid-term overview indicates us a bullish trend some bearish move won't surprise me. ******************************************************* The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
by AliSignals
2
GBPUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
2
GBPUSD Is Bearish! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.353. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.341 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBP/USD – Major Rejection Incoming? Smart Money Zone in Play!GBP/USD has tapped into a key weekly supply zone (1.3510 – 1.3550) where we previously saw heavy institutional selling. Price has shown signs of stalling after a strong bullish run. 🔹 We're sitting at a high-volume node with diminishing bullish momentum. 🔹 Upcoming USD news events (3 red icons below) could bring the volatility needed for a sharp reaction. --- 🔥 Key Price Levels 🔵 Supply Zone: 1.3510 – 1.3550 → Currently reacting 🔵 First Support: 1.2845 → Previous demand, now a possible bounce zone 🟠 Major Demand Zone: 1.2332 – 1.2470 → Where the March rally started Red arrows show possible path of a deeper correction if the bulls lose control. --- 🧠 Smart Money POV This could be a classic distribution zone before a deeper retracement. Price swept liquidity above previous highs — a typical trap before a reversal. If this level holds, expect a potential bearish drop toward 1.2845 and beyond. --- 💡 Trade Setup (For Study/Backtesting) > Scenario 1: Bearish Reversal Play 📍 Entry: 1.3530 – 1.3550 🎯 TP1: 1.2845 🎯 TP2: 1.2470 ❌ SL: 1.3585+ > Scenario 2: Breakout Play 🔁 Wait for strong 4H close above 1.3560 🎯 Target: 1.3700+ ❌ SL: Below 1.3510 --- 🧨 Event Risk Alert Heavy USD news ahead. Be prepared for fakeouts or aggressive moves during high-impact announcements. --- 💬 Do you think GBPUSD has topped out or is this just a pause before the next leg up? 🧠 Comment below & let’s discuss setups. 👍 Like & Follow for more Smart Money price action charts!
Short
by FrankFx14
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD has successfully completed its retest of the 1.34300–1.34500 support zone and is now showing strong signs of resuming its bullish momentum. The recent structure confirms a classic bullish continuation pattern, as price bounced cleanly off a critical support level that previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into a solid demand zone, giving buyers confidence to push toward the 1.40000 psychological target. Price action continues to respect the uptrend with higher lows forming since mid-April, suggesting strength and institutional accumulation. From a macroeconomic perspective, the British pound remains fundamentally supported. Recent UK inflation data surprised to the upside, causing the market to delay rate cut expectations from the Bank of England. In contrast, the US dollar is weakening due to rising expectations that the Federal Reserve could initiate rate cuts later this year as inflation cools and labor market data softens. This divergence in policy outlooks between the BoE and the Fed is fueling bullish pressure on GBPUSD, making the 1.40000 level a realistic and high-probability target. Technical confluence also supports this bullish wave. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to the high align closely with the support zone at 1.34300, which acted as a perfect retest before the next leg higher. Additionally, the bullish engulfing candles and consistent daily closes above the support level add further confirmation to the upside bias. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the structure favors bulls with strong momentum to test and potentially break the 1.38000 intermediate level on the way to 1.40000. GBPUSD remains a high-confidence bullish opportunity, aligning both technically and fundamentally. The recent breakout and retest phase is complete, and the pair now appears poised for a sustained rally. With bullish market sentiment, favorable UK data, and USD softness across the board, this setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for medium-term swing traders targeting the 1.40000 zone.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
GBP/USD Shorts from the daily supplyI’m anticipating a potential retracement as price has been heavily bullish and is now beginning to show signs of being overbought. After recently breaking major structure to the upside, there’s room for a temporary sell-off as price corrects before continuing higher. I’ll be watching for possible reactions from the 59-minute demand zone for a minor bounce, but the more ideal long opportunity would be at the 12H demand zone around 1.3300, where structure is cleaner and confluences align. Confluences for Short-Term Sells: - A recent change of character (CHOCH) to the downside signals a shift in momentum - A clean daily supply zone has been left behind that could initiate a deeper pullback - Significant liquidity below, including the Asia low, ready to be swept - For price to maintain long-term bullish movement, it must first correct, fill imbalances, and mitigate valid demand levels P.S. If price drops further and breaks structure, we’ll likely see a new supply zone form. This will provide a closer and more refined opportunity to participate in the move. Stay sharp and trade safe! 📉📈
Short
by Hassan_fx
4
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: While the Bank of England has rate-cut expectations, markets are divided on the magnitude of the cut, and the UK economy faces uncertainties such as trade risks. Uncertainties persist regarding the impact of U.S. economic data on the U.S. dollar’s strength, and the effects of Trump’s policies on the economic and monetary policies of both countries remain to be seen. Technical Analysis: Short-term momentum is weak, with MACD histogram continuing to show negative values, indicating strong bearish pressure. A failure to break above overhead resistance may extend the downward trend. Key support lies near 1.13378, while resistance is seen around 1.13533. Trading Recommendations: Aggressive traders may initiate light short positions near the resistance zone. Trading Strategy: Sell@1.14000-1.13500 TP:1.13300 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
Short
by MonicaLongman
2
Sterling headed towards 1.40 in coming days.Cable been on a uptrend since the Liz Truss low. Latest bout of dollar weakness obviously helping whilst long term monthly chart is very constructive indicating new uptrend is fully intact. Other supporting narrative is the new "growth" aware labour government that has begun to forge something of a return to Europe along with new trade deals with India and the USA. Many traders and PMs also aware that the British Pound has a long relatively stable history whilst the Bank of England has not defaulted on its Gilts which have been reliably paid for more than 400 years. recent previous resistance on light blue line now acting as support. Sit tight cable has plenty of upside from here.
Long
by behr100
london break out strategy (my strategy) back test :2025 mayto learn is to share... hello traders! this is back test of london breakout strategy for gbp usd pair for month of the may. i hope u read this see the idea that i had give me your comments and ideas ,maybe help me fix my mistakes, maybe it gives you some lead and etc. no more talking straight to the strategy ... strategy summary the Strat focuses on breaking the range market of the asian session, first u got to mark the high and low of the price between 4 am to 6 am utc then you have range that in the chart i showed like box , next we wait till 7 am utc , if price was out of the box zone we open a trade toward the trend( if it broke above you open a long and vise versa) or if it wasn't u simply wait for price to close above or below, then you open a trade with sl put on the opposite side of the box and profit set to 1.5 times of the sl. only one trade per day is acceptable . there are some exception that you don't have to trade: 1.when there is bank holiday 2.when your sl would exceed 50 pip (that's high of a risk) 3. further effect of the news shall be studied that i didn't consider in this back test I've put the results in an ai and asked it to analyze the results: Summary Statistics Total Trades: 19 Total Profit: +152.3 pips Average Profit per Trade: +8.02 pips Max Profit in a Trade: +49.0 pips Max Loss in a Trade: -30.2 pips Winning Trades: 10 Losing Trades: 9 Win Rate: 52.6% Profit Factor: 1.74 (total gain / total loss)
Education
by alisardari
GBP/USD Testing Resistance- Battle Lines Drawn into June OpenOne of the cleaner setups into the start of the week / month- Sterling opens the session with a test of confluent resistance into the yearly high-day close (HDC) at 1.3564- looking for a reaction there today with a breach / close above needed to fuel the next leg of the advance towards 1.3671-1.3705. Initial support rests with the 2019 high at 1.3515 backed closely by the 78.6% retracement / 2024 high at 1.3414/34- note that the median-line converges on this threshold over the next few days and a break / close below would suggest a more significant high was registered last month / a larger reversal is underway. -MB
by FOREXcom
GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Trap?🌟 Hey! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Calling all Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!💸💰 🔥 Thief Trading Intel: Our crew’s latest heist targets GBP/USD "The Cable"—bullish breakout incoming! Long entry only. High-risk Red Zone ahead: overbought, consolidating, and ripe for a reversal. Don’t get caught in the bear trap! 🏴‍☠️ "Take your loot and run, trader—you’ve earned this steal!" 💪🎯 🚪 ENTRY: The Heist Begins! 📈 "Wait for MA breakout (1.36000) then STRIKE—bullish profits await!" Option 1: Buy Stop above Pink Resistance (breakout confirmation). Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low/high (15-30 min TF). 📌 Pro Tip: SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route 🔊 "Yo, listen up! 🗣️ Buy Stop orders? NO SL until after breakout! 🚀 Rebels: Place SL wherever—but you’ve been warned! ⚠️🔥 📍 Thief SL (Smart Crew): Recent/swing low (1.35000, 4H TF). 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and orders. 🎯 TARGET: Loot & Exit! 🎯 1.37500 (or escape early if the market turns!) ⚡ SCALPERS’ QUICK GRAB 👀 Long scalps ONLY! Big wallets? Raid now. Small stacks? Join swing traders. Trailing SL = Your Money Shield! 🛡️💰 📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (GBP/USD Bullish Momentum) "The Cable" is heating up! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Future Targets & Score Outlook 🔗 Full intel? Bio links below! 👉👉 ⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone! 📰🚨 News = Volatility Spikes! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Trailing SL = Profit Lock. 💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW! 💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥 More boosts = easier money grabs! Stronger crew = bigger heists! Profit daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Next heist coming soon—stay tuned! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
SHORT IT !! - GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D2 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D2 Y25 🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD SHORTCurrently in a supply zone whihc has remained unmitigated since Aug 22. Waiting on 1h break of structure to the downside from current position. We have had a double top on the 4H chart as shown on image. Once price action has broken structure to the downside on the 1H chart, I will look to take a short. Depending on length of hold I will look first to target the demand marked around the 1.33 zone but there is potential to ride this all the way down to 1.28607 depending on the market. Will be trailing my stop so that we can take as much of this as is possible within risk parameters. TRADE - SHORT : Entry TBC SL : 1.35936 TP : 1.28607 (managed)
Short
by craiguu1z1
GBP/USD – Where the real game beginsMost traders keep refreshing the chart, waiting for something obvious to happen. But here’s the thing... The obvious move is never the most profitable one. The market rewards those who understand context, not just candlestick shapes. Take a deeper look at this pair right now. You’ll notice something subtle — but powerful. 📍 We’ve been consolidating right above a demand zone that’s been respected multiple times. 📉 Sellers tried to break it... failed. 📈 Buyers stepped in... quietly. No fireworks. Just clean defense. This isn’t your average support line. This is where liquidity gets trapped, where retail gets impatient, and where smart money fills up before liftoff. It’s the type of setup that doesn’t scream — it whispers. And if you’re listening, you know this isn’t random. 🔎 While most are distracted by noise, the structure is forming beneath the surface. A slow coil of price, compression of volatility — and then... expansion. And no, I won’t drop the entry, stop or TP here. Because real traders don’t chase numbers — they read the narrative. 📚 #gbpusd #forexstrategy #institutionaltrading #smartmoneyflow #supplyanddemand #priceaction #marketpsychology #liquiditytrap #notforbeginners #telegramonly
Long
by cdsolta