GBPUSD Long Idea – Betting Against the Buck’s Big BluffThe US dollar might talk tough, but it’s walking on shaky ground. With debt fears climbing and the Fed leaning toward cuts, the greenback’s grip is loosening — and GBPUSD looks primed to ride the wave. 🌊
I’m bullish on GBPUSD.
Here’s why I’m going long:
✅ The Fed is expected to cut rates twice in 2025 and again in 2026
📉 The Dollar Index (DXY) has already fallen 11% YTD — momentum is down
🧨 Tariff drama with the EU and Mexico is spooking markets
📊 Sentiment is clearly bearish — even big banks are forecasting more USD weakness
💬 Trump’s rhetoric is creating volatility without lasting strength
The dollar’s reputation as a safe haven is fading fast. Sure, it still gets a knee-jerk boost on scary headlines — but the deeper trend shows erosion. With the Fed stepping away from hikes and signaling multiple cuts, yields are less attractive. And when US assets aren’t pulling in investors, the dollar suffers.
Meanwhile, GBP is holding firm. UK political risk is muted, and GBP tends to benefit when the USD stumbles. The setup here isn’t just about GBP strength — it’s about USD weakness. Add in rising global risk appetite and clearer policy direction from the Bank of England, and the case for GBPUSD upside becomes compelling.
DXY is telling a story — and it’s one of slow decay. GBPUSD, in contrast, is quietly building momentum.
📌 I’m long GBPUSD with a medium-term view.
Would you take this trade or wait for more confirmation? Let me know your thoughts.
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBP-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is about to retest
The horizontal support
Level below at 1.3383
And as this is a strong
Support level we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Rebound and a move up
Buy!
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GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback.
📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System:
✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered
✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38)
✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby
✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play
🎯 Targets:
1.3500 (channel median / recent base)
1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area)
This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into.
🧠 Tools Used:
Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts
CC Trend Indicator
RSI OB/OS Scanner
MACD HPS Screener
Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.
will GBPUSD make its 3rd correction???currently price is testing marked trendline which is acting as support level for a decent time if this level price will reverse its trend from here and will hit major resistance level which also has been drawn but if price action follows what it has done twice in the past then chances are that trend will enter in correction phase which is 3rd phase. In all this movement of DXY will play major role if DXY will continue to move upward pair will follow bearish trend and vice versa
GBPUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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Bullish Momentum Builds Above $1.3475 for GBP/USDFenzoFx—GBP/USD is testing the descending trendline as resistance. The primary trend is bullish, and if bulls close and stabilize above $1.3475, the uptrend will likely resume.
If this scenario unfolds, the next bullish target could be the resistance at $1.3525. Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if GBP/USD closes and stabilizes below $1.3369.
GBPUSD deeper correction supported at 1.3430The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3430 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3430 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3600 – initial resistance
1.3670 – psychological and structural level
1.3730 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3430 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3370 – minor support
1.3300 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3430. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
$GU (GBPUSD) 4HGBPUSD is forming a potential reversal structure with liquidity resting above and below the current range.
We expect a move to grab short-term liquidity above 1.3475 followed by a sweep of lows near 1.3369.
This would complete a rounded bottom structure, setting the stage for a bullish reversal.
Once the low is swept and buyers step in, the target sits around the 1.3600 handle.
GBPUSD BUY?Market is reacting to Fib area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
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GBP/USD Daily Outlook: At a Pivotal JunctureLong-Term Trend Dynamics
The Pound-Dollar pair has largely maintained an upward trajectory since April, guided by a robust long-term rising trendline. This enduring bullish structure has consistently provided dynamic support, illustrating a sustained period of higher lows and gradual appreciation over several months.
The Immediate "Deciding Level"
GBP/USD currently finds itself at a critical confluence point, labeled the "Deciding Level." This horizontal zone of significance is being tested precisely where it intersects with the established long-term rising trendline, making the present price action absolutely pivotal for determining the pair's short-term direction.
Potential Downside Acceleration
A decisive break and sustained trading below this "Deciding Level" would signal a significant shift in market sentiment, opening the door for "More immediate Downside." Such a move would likely accelerate the existing bearish momentum (indicated by the steep red downtrend line), with the "1st Support Level" becoming the primary downside target where strong buying interest might re-emerge.
Key Resistance Zones to Watch
Should the "Deciding Level" successfully hold as support, the pair could attempt to reverse its recent decline. Any potential rebound, however, would first encounter resistance from the short-term red downtrend line, followed by the formidable "1st Resistance Level," an overhead supply zone that has historically capped bullish advances.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
GBPUSD InsightWelcome to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments.
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Key Points
- According to CBS and other U.S. media outlets, former President Trump asked Republican lawmakers during a closed-door meeting whether they supported removing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. It was reported that many lawmakers showed support for the idea. However, in a meeting with the Prime Minister of Bahrain, Trump stated that unless Powell is involved in a scandal related to renovations of the Federal Reserve building, the likelihood of his dismissal is very low.
- President Trump is actively lobbying lawmakers to pass three stalled cryptocurrency bills in the House of Representatives. Optimism about the bills' passage has resurfaced. In particular, the potential strategic use of stablecoins to strengthen the dominance of the U.S. dollar and boost demand for U.S. Treasuries has brought renewed attention to these legislative efforts.
- The U.K.’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June came in at 3.6%, exceeding the market expectation of 3.4%. As a result, the possibility of a Bank of England rate cut in July has significantly diminished.
Key Economic Schedule This Week
+ July 17: Eurozone June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The GBPUSD pair failed to break above the 1.38000 level and fell through the trendline after facing resistance in that zone. Currently, it is testing support near the 1.34000 level. If the pair successfully rebounds from this area, we could expect another potential rally toward the 1.40000 level. However, if the support is broken, a further decline toward the 1.31500–1.32000 range is likely.
GBPUSD and EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The Day AheadEconomic Data & Central Bank Updates
US Leading Economic Index (June)
Fell by 0.1%, pointing to ongoing weakness in manufacturing, jobs, and housing. Markets may view this as a soft growth signal, potentially influencing rate cut expectations.
China Loan Prime Rates (LPR)
No change: 1-year at 3.0%, 5-year at 3.5%. This steady stance follows slightly better Q2 growth, but continued weak domestic demand leaves room for cuts later this year.
Canada Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI)
June data expected to remain weak after prior months of declining input prices—keeping inflation pressures subdued.
Bank of Canada Q2 Business Outlook Survey
Sentiment weakened slightly. Firms see stable sales but remain cautious. Inflation expectations eased, but growth outlook is soft.
Earnings Summary
Verizon: EPS ~$1.19, stable wireless trends in focus.
Roper: Strong SaaS growth, margins under watch.
NXP Semiconductors: EPS down YoY, weak chip demand.
Ryanair: Profit doubled to €820m, strong summer outlook.
Domino’s Pizza: Awaiting release; steady U.S. growth expected.
Trading Impacts
USD: Mild bearish bias from soft data.
CNY: Stable; easing risk remains.
CAD: Limited support, weak price data.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Falling towards major support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the support which is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3396
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.3318
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3503
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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GBP/USD Shorts from 3hr/5hr supply zoneMy analysis this week centers around the continuation of the bearish trend we've been observing. Recently, there was a break of structure, and a new supply zone has formed—indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.
I’ll be waiting for price to retrace back into these Points of Interest (POIs), where I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to catch potential sell entries and ride the move down.
I believe there’s still some bearish pressure left, and I expect price to continue falling until it reaches the 6-hour demand zone. Once we approach that area, I’ll begin looking for Wyckoff accumulation patterns as a signal for a potential reversal or rally to the upside.
Confluences for GBP/USD Sells:
✅ GBP/USD has been bearish over the past few weeks, and this trend may continue.
✅ Breaks of structure have occurred, forming fresh supply zones ideal for entries.
✅ Liquidity exists below current price, which may get swept before a reversal.
✅ The lower demand zone still needs to be mitigated, suggesting more downside movement first.
📌 If price fails to react properly at the 3-hour supply, I’ll be watching for a move into the 5-hour supply zone, which sits in a more premium area and may offer a cleaner reaction.
Let’s stay patient and focused — wishing everyone a profitable trading week ahead! 📉💼
USD Strengthens Against GBP With New Tariff AnnouncementsThis is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven. The previous week showed the USD Index closed pretty strong, while GBPUSD weakened.
There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week.
Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies, including the GBP.
Buy USD/xxx
Sell xxx/USD
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3375
1st Support: 1.3126
1st Resistance: 1.3758
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GBP/USD Daily AnalysisPrice is in a daily uptrend and has pulled back to the 50 moving average.
Here, price may find support and set up for another bullish impulse.
However, if price breaks the last swing low at 1.33705, we may have seen a top formed and a change in sentiment.
If you agree with this analysis. look for a trade that meets your strategy rules.
GBP/USD chart (1H timeframe)GBP/USD chart (1H timeframe), potential breakout from a descending channel, supported by the Ichimoku Cloud and marked target levels.
📈 Current Analysis Highlights:
Price is near the lower end of the descending channel.
A bullish reversal setup is forming.
I'm drawn two Target Points indicating a breakout and continuation.
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🎯 Target Levels (as per your chart):
1. First Target Point:
🔹 1.36200 — This is the initial resistance level or TP1 if price breaks above the Ichimoku cloud and mid-channel resistance.
2. Final Target Point:
🔹 1.36800 — This is the upper resistance zone and aligns with the top of the descending channel, a likely TP2 area if bullish momentum continues.
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✅ Summary:
Entry idea: After confirmation of a breakout above the cloud (~1.35600).
TP1: 1.36200
TP2: 1.36800