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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

"GBP/USD Breaks Key Support, Targeting 1.2524"GBP/USD has broken the support at the lower channel boundary around 1.2687, signaling a shift in trend towards further downside. The pair is now targeting the next support level at 1.2524. In the provided chart, the clear break of the 1.2687 support indicates a potential reversal in price movement. This level, which previously acted as strong support, is now turning into resistance. If the downward momentum continues, the pair is expected to decline further. The next key target for GBP/USD is at 1.2524, in alignment with the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level. This level may provide significant support, and if tested, we could see a market reaction at this point. If the price fails to reclaim the 1.2687 level, the bearish trend is likely to continue towards 1.2524. A sustained break below this level could indicate further downward movement in the longer term. Traders should be aware that the current market condition is primarily driven by technical analysis, and any major economic news or Federal Reserve policy decisions could also influence the price action.
Short
by arongroups
It's Make Or Break in less than 1HR for GBPUSD. Check back. If there is 1 pair that has caused some up-down-up-down crazy, frustrating, manipulated-maybe price-action, stealing the show the past month or so would be GBPUSD. Further falls over the past 16 hours or so, with USD$ rallying following CPI data for USA. Well now its Great Britain's turn with the data in less than an hour. GDP is being released in the UK. This is what it all entails for the Pound to bounce or fail further falls. I am tipping the former. au.investing.com 18:00 GBP Construction Output (MoM) (Oct) 0.2% 0.1% 18:00 GBP U.K. Construction Output (YoY) (Oct) 0.0% -0.4% 18:00 GBP GDP (MoM) (Oct) 0.1% -0.1% 18:00 GBP GDP (YoY) (Oct) 1.6% 1.0% 18:00 GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct) 0.3% -0.5% 18:00 GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (Oct) 0.2% -1.8% 18:00 GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Oct) 0.9% -0.7% 18:00 GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Oct) 0.2% -1.0% 18:00 GBP Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change (Oct) 0.2% 0.1% 18:00 GBP Trade Balance (Oct) -16.10B -16.32B 18:00 GBP Trade Balance Non-EU (Oct) -5.31B Check back and I will give my impressions of 'sides' & possible trading action to take.
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
GBPUSD H4 | Potential bounce off 61.8%?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2614, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2715, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 1.2509, which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
GBPUSD - CONTINUATION PATTERN BULLISH FLAG Analysis GBPUSD 4HR Bullish Flag: This is a consolidation phase often seen in uptrends. It typically signals a continuation of the bullish trend. Liquidity Levels: The levels at 1.27375 and 1.28111 seem to represent potential targets where price may react or reverse. Projections: The blue zig-zag lines depict the anticipated path of price action within the flag pattern, aiming for a breakout above the resistance zone. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern formed after a strong upward trend. It typically signifies that the market is taking a breather before resuming its previous bullish direction. Liquidity Levels ($$$): 1.26438 (Support): This represents the lower bound of liquidity, where buy-side interest might accumulate. Price could potentially dip to this level before reversing upward. 1.27375 (Intermediate Resistance): A liquidity zone where the price might face some hesitation or consolidation during its move upward. 1.28111 (Target Resistance): This is the higher liquidity area and potential target for the bullish breakout. These levels are marked as potential zones of price reaction or reversal based on market interest and order flow. For confirmation of the bullish breakout: Look for a strong candlestick close above the flag's upper trendline or the 1.27375 resistance level. Increased trading volume during the breakout is an additional sign of strength. If price closes above the 1.28111 level, it might signal continuation toward higher highs. Risk Management Stop Loss: A logical stop-loss can be placed slightly below the 1.26438 liquidity support level, as a break below this may invalidate the bullish flag pattern. Take Profit: Targets can be set near or above the 1.28111 level based on risk-reward preferences.
Long
by hafidzali2020
GBPUSD - Potential Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Long
by Maks_Klimenko
GBPUSD – retesting the 200dma from below .. the week of 09 DecAfter being in bullish territory (above the 200dma) for over 6 months, this pair has broken below and on Fri, it retested (bounced off) the moving average. That is my reason #1 for a bearish bias. #2 – The area around 1.2750 is a significant s/r & price has met with resistance here. #3 – The bullish move we saw over the last 2 weeks was a retracement of the down move that began on 06 Nov. #4 – This retracement of 50% coincides with the 1.2750 s/r level. #5 – The weekly and daily chart are in complete alignment with this analysis. #6 – The H4 chart shows how price has been moving in an equidistant channel during the retracement phase. Like most retracements, this move has been weak and shallow. I believe that price will break out of this channel to the downside and the bearish move will soon continue. If this happens, price will also move below the 20sma. This will complete the picture I want to see for bearish price action. I will place my stop above today’s daily pin bar and will initially target the 1.2340 region. My expectation is that this has the potential to be a prolonged bearish trend. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 12, 2024 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBPUSD: On Wednesday, GBP/USD exhibited limited movement, stalling near 1.27500 in response to the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November, which aligned with market expectations. The remainder of the week is relatively quiet in terms of UK economic data, with the US Producer Price Index (PPI) scheduled for release on Thursday. The US PPI inflation rate saw a slight increase in the year to November, with core PPI inflation rising from 2.6% to 2.7% year-on-year. Core PPI inflation remained unchanged at 3.3% year-on-year. Additionally, monthly core CPI inflation increased in November, rising from 0.2% in October to 0.3% month-on-month. Despite the overall increase in core inflation, Wednesday's CPI figures were largely in line with expectations, maintaining a moderate outlook for investors. CME's FedWatch tool indicates that there is now a 95% probability of a 25 bps rate cut when the Fed meets for its latest rate meeting on 18 December. Despite a short-term rise in CPI inflation, investors have concluded that the fluctuations in the published data are insufficient to prompt the Fed to reverse its latest quarter-point rate cut to end 2024. US PPI inflation is expected to decline on Thursday, with markets anticipating a similar outcome to this week's CPI data. Producer-level inflation is projected to increase at the front end of the curve but remain near recent levels. The core price index is forecast to rise to 3.2% y/y, up slightly from the previous reading of 3.1%. Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.27500, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD H4 | Falling from the Fibo confluence?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2834, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement and the 78.6% Fibo projection, indicating a strong level of resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.2728, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 1.2942, a pullback resistance close to the 78.6% 61.8% Fibo retracement High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBPUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Great to see you all. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The U.S. November Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, aligning with expectations. While the prospect of a 25bps rate cut at the December - - - - FOMC meeting has strengthened, there is a growing consensus that the pace of rate cuts may slow next year. - Reports suggesting that BOJ officials believe delaying a rate hike until January or slightly later would not incur significant costs have led to yen weakness. - The Bank of Canada implemented a 50bps rate cut as expected by the market. - The European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to lower its benchmark rate by 25bps. Reports from foreign media indicate that China may consider tolerating a weaker yuan next year to respond to tariff threats from Trump’s second administration. Key Economic Indicators + December 12: ECB interest rate decision, U.S. November Producer Price Index (PPI) + December 13: U.K. October GDP GBP/USD Chart Analysis It appears that the pair has maintained its upward trend, finding support around the 1.25000 level and climbing to the 1.28000 level. Further gains are expected, with the next potential resistance around the 1.30000 level. However, it remains uncertain whether the pair will reach the peak of the trend afterward. In the short term, the trend leans bullish, while the long-term direction will require further evaluation. If unexpected movements occur, strategies will be adjusted swiftly.
Long
by shawntime_academy