GBP/USD Breakout Done , Best Place To Get 150 Pips Clear !Here is my opinion on GBP/USD On 2H T.F , We have a very good breakout now clear not as the old one and we have a very good bearish price action , so i think it will be a good entry if the price go back to retest my res with the news today and give us a good touch and go to downside , and also we might see a random move and fake wicks to take all stop losses before going down or even back to upside so be careful today and use a good risk , i`m waiting the price to back to retest the broken support and new res and then i will enter a sell trade with a very small lot size .
GBPUSD trade ideas
GU: Trading back towards 1.34 today?Hi everyone, hope you've all had a nice weekend.
Looking at GBP/USD this morning, keeping the forecast and analysis simple, but looking at a further bearish run today if we get the right lower time frame price action to confirm...
Looking at a sweep into 1.345 before trading lower, potentially towards 1.34.
Aman
GBPUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GBPUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GBPUSD
Entry Point - 1.3449
Stop Loss - 1.3413
Take Profit - 1.3520
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPUSD Trend UpdateWeekly time frame showed a bearish engulfing candle, creating double top formation, and at the daily timeframe, it broke the trend line of the ascending wedge, creating long big engulfing bearish candlestick, showing a strong bearish momentum.
We can see a Doji candle as a rejection for the AOI @1.3460, so there is a big probability that the trend will continue its downward momentum toward the next support area @ 1.3260 AOI.
Let's keep an eye on the chart at the opening of the market and look for a sell.
Good Luck!
GBPUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS UPDATE March setup played out textbook -3.5% drop straight from the overlapping fvg/imbalances into the weekly order block. Now price has reacted back with a clean 7% push right from the zone I mapped months ago.
Price is deep in premium sitting at weekly supply, distribution might be cooking or bulls could just be catching breath. Either way structure’s in control not emotions
GBPUSD Breakdown The Ascending Channel selling strong 📉 GBPUSD Breakdown Alert
– 4H Timeframe
Cable has broken down from the ascending channel with a strong bearish candle, confirming seller strength. We're now eyeing short setups from 1.34400.
🎯 Technical Targets
🔻 1st Target: 1.33500 – Demand Zone
🔻 2nd Target: 1.32700 – Demand Zone
🔻 3rd Target: 1.31800 – Major Support
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.36000 – Bearish Order Block (OB)
🔥 Bias: Bearish
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
💡 Strategy: Sell the pullback, ride the momentum.
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#GBPUSD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #LiviaTrades 😜
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3559, a pullback resistance that aligns with the127.2Fib extension.
Our take profit is set at 1.3503, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3622, a swing high resistance.
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Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area.Chart Elements:
Instrument & Timeframe:
Pair: GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick = 4 hours)
Key Zones Highlighted:
Top Green Box (~1.36000–1.36500):
This represents a resistance zone where price has previously struggled to break above.
Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area or potential stop-hunt zone.
Bottom Green Box (~1.33500–1.34200):
This is a support zone where price has bounced before.
The price is currently near this support level.
Price Movement Forecast (White Zigzag Line):
Indicates a bullish projection:
Suggests a potential bounce from the current support zone.
A possible rally back towards the resistance zone (~1.36000–1.36500), potentially to grab liquidity above the EQH.
Current Price:
Shown around 1.34656, which is near the bottom support zone.
Candlestick Structure:
Price has recently had a sharp move down into the support zone.
A possible reversal setup is forming based on the projection.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish scenario for GBP/USD:
The price is expected to hold the support zone.
If buying pressure comes in, the price may rise toward the resistance level to test or sweep the equal highs.
GBPUSD Trading Strategy for the WeekGBPUSD is reacting at the support zone of 1.34000. This is the last important support zone that the pair is facing. If this support zone is broken, the pair will enter a prolonged Downtrend phase. 1.325 could be the target for this decline.
If the 1.34000 zone is pushed up by buyers, the pair will touch the 1.35000 border zone. If this zone is broken, the pair will form a double bottom pattern and continue to increase back to the peak of last week around 1.36000. In case the buying force is not strong enough to break 1.35000, the pair will return to the sideway in the rectangular border.
Support: 1.32500
Resistance: 1.36000
Break out: 1.34000-1.35000
Recommended good trading strategy:
Trade when price confirms in Break out zone.
BUY 1.32600-1.32400 Stoploss 1.32000
SELL 1.35900-1.36100 Stoploss 1.36400
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.357.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.351 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GU-Mon-23/06/25 TDA-Lots of PMI news incoming today!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Middle east tensions intensify, follow closely
what's happening as it might influence hugely
on price movement, volatility, fluctuation.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSDDID YOU KNOW THAT YOUR COUNTRY CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ANOTHER
CENTRAL BANK AND IS CALLED BIS(BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS )???
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 at the Hague Conference, making it the world's oldest international financial institution. Its initial purpose was to facilitate the settlement of World War I reparations and to promote cooperation among central banks.
The BIS trading market refers to the role of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a key intermediary and facilitator in global financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and central bank transactions
BIS is a secretive institution with sovereign immunity that can move trillions without oversight. aka central bank of central banks in Basel Swissland with over 63 members in the world which are centrals banks of countries that make up 95% of world GDP.
Key Points about BIS and Its Trading Market Role:
Central Bank’s Central Bank: BIS acts as a bank for central banks and international organizations, providing banking services such as accounts, gold and currency transactions, asset management, and short-term collateralized loans.
Market Intermediary: BIS frequently conducts large-scale transactions on behalf of central banks in the foreign exchange and gold markets. These trades are often substantial, reflecting central banks’ reserve management or monetary policy operations.
Avoiding Market Misinterpretation: When BIS buys or sells currencies or assets, it is usually acting for a central bank, not itself, helping avoid markets mistaking these large trades for speculative or official government interventions.
Forum for Cooperation: BIS provides a platform for central banks to exchange information, coordinate policies, and cooperate on monetary and financial stability, which indirectly influences market dynamics.
Research and Statistics: BIS publishes data and analysis on global banking, FX, derivatives markets, and financial stability, supporting informed decision-making in the trading community.
Summary
The BIS trading market is not a public exchange but a specialized, high-level market where BIS facilitates and conducts financial transactions for central banks, particularly in foreign exchange and gold. Its activities help central banks manage reserves and implement monetary policy while fostering international financial cooperation.
if you know you know because BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND ) and FED (FEDERAL RESERVE ) are members .
GBPUSD 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ,INTEREST RATE ,INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE .
1. Current Rates and Yields
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Differential (UK - US)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 4.38% +0.16% (16 bps)
Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% -0.25% to -0.01%
UK Context: The Bank of England (BoE) held rates at 4.25% amid sticky inflation (3.4% YoY in May ) but signaled potential cuts in August.
US Context: The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, prioritizing inflation control despite slowing growth .
2. Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage
Yield Spread: The UK 10-year gilt yields 0.16% more than the US 10-year Treasury, creating a modest yield pickup for GBP-denominated bonds .
Policy Rate Spread: The USD offers a 0.25% higher short-term rate (using the Fed’s 4.50% upper bound vs. BoE’s 4.25%) .
Carry Trade Mechanics:
GBP-USD Strategy: Borrow USD at 4.50% and invest in GBP assets at 4.54% (10-year gilt) for a net carry of +0.04%.
USD-GBP Strategy: Borrow GBP at 4.25% and invest in USD assets at 4.38% (10-year Treasury) for a net carry of +0.13%.
Key Risks:
Currency Volatility: GBP/USD at 1.34–1.35 could erase gains if the dollar strengthens.
Policy Shifts: BoE rate cuts (expected August 2025) may narrow the yield spread , while Fed cuts could reduce USD rate advantages .
3. Market Outlook
UK Focus: Inflation persistence may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP yields near-term .
US Focus: Fed’s "higher for longer" stance and tariff-related inflation risks could sustain USD yield appeal .
Carry Viability: The USD-GBP strategy offers a slight edge (0.13% carry) but requires hedging against GBP appreciation risks.
Summary
Yield Advantage: UK 10-year gilts yield 0.16% more than US Treasuries, but USD short-term rates are 0.25% higher.
Optimal Carry: Borrowing GBP to invest in USD assets (0.13% carry) is marginally favorable, though policy uncertainty warrants caution.
Critical Factors: Monitor BoE/Fed rate decisions and GBP/USD trends for carry trade adjustments.