GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday!
Summary
- Weekly order block short set up
- Awaiting clear shift in price action to downside
- C setup - Short from 5' order block with confluence of daily high wick fill prior turn over in price.
- B Setup - 15' break of structure anticipating 15' creation order block creation. Solid point of interest to short from
A Setup - Multiple 15' break of structure plus all of the above
FRGNT X
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD Analysis 10:40am 4/16Here’s my updated resistance zone analysis for GBP/USD, combining all the technical and fundamental data:
Resistance Levels & Why They Matter
1.3265 – Immediate Resistance
GBP/USD tested this level today, and it acted as a short-term barrier.
This level aligns with recent swing highs and pivot point calculations, making it a key area where sellers may step in.
1.3305 – Next Resistance Zone
If price breaks above 1.3265, the next resistance is around 1.3305, based on historical price action and pivot analysis.
This level has previously acted as a turning point, meaning traders may look to take profit or enter short positions here.
1.3430 – Stronger Resistance
This level was identified in recent market analysis as a former multi-month high.
If GBP/USD continues its bullish momentum, this could be a major resistance zone where price struggles to push higher.
1.3640 – Long-Term Resistance Target
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next major resistance sits at 1.3640, which has historically been a strong reversal point.
This level represents a significant psychological barrier, where traders may reassess the trend direction.
How I Derived These Levels
Price Action Review: I analyzed recent swing highs and lows to identify key turning points.
Pivot Point Calculations: Using the formula (High + Low + Close)/3, I confirmed resistance zones that align with historical price behavior.
Market Analysis: External sources also highlighted 1.3430 and 1.3640 as critical resistance levels2.
Moving Averages & Trendlines: These levels coincide with key moving averages, reinforcing their importance.
Final Thoughts
With GBP/USD currently at 1.32464, I’m watching 1.3265 as the immediate resistance. If price breaks above that, 1.3305 is the next target, followed by 1.3430 and 1.3640 for longer-term moves. These levels are based on a combination of technical indicators, price action, and external market analysis.
PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT THINGS CAN CHANGE..! PLEASE FOLLOW MY ANALYSIS TO OBTAIN ANY UPDATED INFO REGARDING GBPUSD.
UPDATE ON GU TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Price has recently traded us lower to correct itself, pick up more Demand before taking a move higher. I have gone ahead and marked out the area in which price trade down and into.
With price breaking structure fractally on the 15M timeframes, we could look to add to our positions as this gives us enough confluence to suggest that price is now ready to continue with the higher timeframe bullish move.
This trade is currently running + 125 pips. (+ 5.4%) 5.4RR
A big well done to those of you who are still in on this trade, I have actually gone ahead and taken a full close on this but will continue to monitor the original position for those still in.
Those of you who are looking for another entry, as soon as I have something for you I will let you know, as I am also looking to get re-introduced. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
GBPUSD BEARISH FOR 90PIPSGBP/USD Bearish 90-Pip Forecast: Analysis & Strategy
Current Market Context:
As of the latest data, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3800. A 90-pip bearish target would place the pair near 1.3710. Below is the rationale and actionable plan:
Key Drivers for a Bearish Outlook
Fundamental Factors:
UK Weakness: Dovish Bank of England (BoE) rhetoric, soft UK GDP/CPI data, or rising unemployment could weaken the Pound.
USD Strength: Hawkish Fed signals (e.g., rate hike talks, tapering) or strong U.S. jobs/inflation data may boost the dollar.
Geopolitical Risks: Brexit uncertainties, UK-EU trade tensions, or global risk-off sentiment favoring the USD.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels: Failure to break above 1.3850 (a key resistance) or bearish patterns (e.g., double top, descending channel).
Momentum Indicators: RSI divergence or MACD crossover signaling bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Price below the 50/200-day EMA, suggesting a downtrend.
Trade Strategy
Entry Zone: 1.3800–1.3830 (post-retest of resistance).
Target: 1.3710 (90 pips).
Stop-Loss: 1.3870 (above recent swing high).
Risk Management:
Use 1:2 risk-reward ratio (e.g., risk 30 pips to gain 90 pips).
Adjust position size to limit exposure (e.g., 1–2% of account capital).
Critical Events to Monitor
UK Data: BoE interest rate decisions, CPI (July 19), Retail Sales.
U.S. Data: Fed meetings, Non-Farm Payrolls (August 4), CPI.
Global Catalysts: Brexit updates, geopolitical tensions.
Contingency Plan
Upside Risk: A BoE rate hike surprise or weak U.S. data could reverse the trend. Tighten stops if price breaks above 1.3870.
Alternative Scenario: If the drop stalls near 1.3750 (support), secure partial profits and trail stops.
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Morning people, I hope you are all okay. As you can see price has played out again very well during the Asian session. I believe we will see our TP achieved by the end of todays NY.
With price setting new highs and lows above our entry I believe we safe to move our SL to breakeven to avoid taking any losses from this position. A reversal here would mean longer term bearishness anyways.
This trade is currently running + 152 pips. (+ 6.4%) 6.4RR
A big well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the position itself then please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
Ensure you are managing your trades correctly. I have gone ahead and moved my SL to Entry and I have also taken another partial to bank profits and remove any unwanted risk.
GBPUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Ahead! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
I see 2 strong intraday price action signals
on GBPUSD on an hourly time frame.
The price formed a double bottom pattern after a test of the underlined support.
Its neckline and a resistance line of a falling channel were broken
with London session opening.
We can expect a bullish continuation now.
Goal - 1.3271
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBP-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest a horizontal
Support level of 1.3181
From where we will be
Expecting a local rebound
As we are locally bullish biased
So we can enter a long trade
With the Take Profit of 1.3290
And the Stop Loss of 1.3147
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLDMASTER1| GBPUSD 15M TUTORIAL GBPUSD 15M – SMART MONEY FLOW
Price broke structure multiple times confirming bullish intent. After sweeping equal highs (EQH), it reacted strongly – classic liquidity grab.
Now watching the bullish order block (OB) at 1.32780 for a potential re-entry zone. If price holds and confirms with a shift, targeting the 1.33050 zone.
FLOW WITH THE SMART MONEY. WAIT FOR CONFIRMATIONS .
GOLDMASTER1---
GBPUSDCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence
Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey
Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August.
Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence.
US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell
Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies.
Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven.
Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD.
Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD
Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias
Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside
Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD
Conclusion
Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold.
Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected.
Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias.
GBPUSD is in the Buying Direction after Testing SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended.
On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction.
Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further.
Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance.
That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens ..
Have a great weekend!
BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!