British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD I caught that, again people saying I’m nuts for being short, long etc, remember to try see everyone’s point of view. It swept Asia highs and reversed

GBPUSD
GBPUSD Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – 31 March 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 1.29613

🗝️ Critical Price Framework

Below DCMP (Support):

🟢 1.29346 (Swing Low Confluence)
🟢 1.28883 (High-Liquidity Zone)

Above DCMP (Resistance):

🔴 1.29809 (Immediate Swing High)
🔴 1.30149 (Multi-Session Barrier)

🌐 Market Context

Swing Levels:

◼ Structural Swing High: 1.30149
◼ Structural Swing Low: 1.28710

Fibonacci Framework:

▫ 61.8% Retracement Cluster: 1.29154–1.29438 (Reversal Zone)
▫ 127.2% Extension Threshold: 1.29723 (Breakout Catalyst)

📊 Technical Momentum Snapshot

✅ RSI Divergence: Neutral at 49.8 (4H bearish divergence fading)
✅ MACD Signal: Histogram nearing zero line crossover
✅ Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity at 1.29263–1.29614

💡 Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup

Entry: 🎯1.29346 (Confluence of Weekly Pivot & Fib Support)
Stop Loss: ⚠️1.28978 (Below Swing Low Anchor)
Take Profit 1: 🏁1.29723 (Immediate Resistance)
Take Profit 2: 🚩1.30149 (Structural High Retest)

Rationale:

Bullish hidden divergence on 4H chart
Oversold conditions on hourly timeframe

💡 Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup

Entry: 🎯1.29809 (Confluence of Swing High & Fib Extension)
Stop Loss: ⚠️1.30558 (Above Multi-Session High)
Take Profit 1: 🏁1.29438 (Retracement Base)
Take Profit 2: 🚩1.28883 (Liquidity Pool)

Rationale:

Bearish rejection at 1.29898 resistance cluster
Negative correlation with USD strength resurgence

📉 Strategic Observations

Price Magnetism:

Institutional orders clustered at 1.29438 (200-period EMA)

Sentiment Shift:

Rising Brexit-related hedging activity

Event Risk:

Thursday’s BoE policy decision may amplify volatility

🔭 Forward Guidance

Monitor:

◼ Sustained close above 1.29809 → Targets 1.30149
◼ Breakdown below 1.29346 → Opens 1.28883 retest

Note: Implement 1:2.5 risk-reward ratios with trailing stops. Confirm trades with closing price confirmation beyond key levels.

📌 Key Insight:

GBPUSD consolidates between 1.29346–1.29809. Prioritize range-bound strategies at tested technical boundaries with 0.75% risk tolerance, aligning with liquidity pool dynamics.


GBPUSD up again 1.3 come on i am waiting


GBPUSD Accumulated price zone before tariff pressure, dollar strength, pay attention to resistance entry SELL GBPUSD
Snapshot