GBPUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3638
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3653
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas
GU| - Bullish Ride in Motion | Key Zone Hold into New WeekPair: GBPUSD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 2H, 30M
• 4H showing strong bullish momentum — price pushed aggressively, and we caught the move. Heading into next week, the bullish continuation is still valid unless price tells us otherwise.
• 30M gave a sweep from a refined OB zone — circled area shows the key move. Watching closely to see if bulls truly hold that ground.
• 2H gives a clear picture of structure — smooth directional flow confirming the bias.
🔹 Entry: After break of micro LH for confirmation
🔹 Entry Zone: Will be found within price flow — post-shift
🔹 Target: Structure highs — same continuation goal if bulls follow through
Mindset: No chasing. We wait, let price do the heavy lifting. Our job is to react with clarity, not emotion.
Bless Trading!
GBPUSD 1.3600 support retestThe GBPUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Level: 1.3600
This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.3600 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at:
1.3825 – Near-term resistance
1.3865 – Minor swing high
1.3900 – Longer-term bullish objective
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.3600 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward:
1.3550 – Initial support
1.3500 – Key downside target
Conclusion:
As long as 1.3600 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day Ahead - US Employment, NFP in focus Thursday, July 3 – Market Focus
Key Economic Data:
US:
June Jobs Report – Crucial for gauging labor market momentum and Fed rate expectations.
ISM Services PMI (June) – Offers insight into the largest sector of the economy.
May Trade Balance, Factory Orders, Initial Jobless Claims – Together provide a fuller picture of external demand, industrial health, and labor market stress.
China:
Caixin Services PMI (June) – Reflects private sector service activity and post-pandemic demand strength.
UK:
June Official Reserve Changes – Could hint at FX intervention patterns or reserve rebalancing.
Italy:
Services PMI (June) – A regional gauge of Eurozone service sector strength.
Canada:
May International Merchandise Trade – Key for assessing external demand and commodity flow impact.
Switzerland:
June CPI – Critical for SNB policy outlook, especially post recent rate cut.
Central Bank Highlights:
ECB:
June Meeting Account – May provide clarity on the timing and pace of further policy normalization.
Fed:
Bostic Speaks – Watch for clues on his stance regarding rate cuts amid mixed data signals.
BoJ:
Takata Speaks – Important for any policy tone shift as the market eyes potential tightening.
BoE:
June Decision Maker Panel (DMP), Q2 Bank Liabilities & Credit Conditions Surveys – These offer insights into business inflation expectations and credit supply constraints, key for the BoE’s future policy path.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD Slides with Fiscal WorriesGBP/USD edged lower toward 1.3625 in Asian trading, pressured by a sharp selloff in UK government bonds and growing fiscal concerns.
Gilts suffered their biggest drop since October 2022 after the government’s decision to cut welfare benefits and mounting doubts over the Chancellor’s political future.
Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, noted: “The drop isn’t limited to the British Pound, UK gilts are also under heavy selling. It seems to be a broader crisis of confidence in the Labour government.”
Resistance is at 1.3675, while support holds at 1.3570.
GU-Thu-03/07/25 TDA-UK political turmoil triggers market selloffAnalysis done directly on the chart
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GBPUSD 30m – Elliott Wave + AO ConfirmationPrice is currently testing the 1.36277 zone. I’m closely monitoring for a break of structure below this level. If it breaks, I’ll be watching for a pullback setup to short, ideally aligning with BBMA/EMA confluence.
The wave structure looks clean:
• ✅ Wave (1), (2), (3), and (4) are completed.
• ✅ AO histogram also confirms momentum waves (1) to (4), with the current move likely to complete Wave (5) to the downside.
• 🔻 Wave (4) retraced into the previous imbalance zone and respected resistance, giving further confluence for bearish continuation.
Looking to target below 1.3500 for Wave (5) completion.
Key Levels to Watch:
• 🔑 Break below 1.36277 = Bearish confirmation
• 🎯 Potential TP Zone: 1.3450 – 1.3425
• 🚫 Invalidation if price closes above 1.3700 with momentum
Let’s see how price reacts at this key level 👀
#GBPUSD #ElliottWave #AO #PriceAction #BreakOfStructure #TradingView
GBPUSD InsightHello to all subscribers,
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- According to the ADP National Employment Report, U.S. private employment in June decreased by 33,000 compared to the previous month — the first negative figure since March 2023. This has strengthened expectations for interest rate cuts.
- U.S. President Donald Trump announced that a trade agreement has been reached with Vietnam. Reportedly, Vietnam has agreed to significantly lower its tariffs to 20% in exchange for opening its market. This has raised hopes for progress in ongoing trade negotiations with other countries.
- The EU trade team is currently in Washington, D.C., negotiating with the U.S. side and is reportedly requesting preemptive tariff exemptions in certain sectors.
- In the U.K., the welfare reform plan proposed by the Labour government has been significantly scaled back. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has not confirmed his confidence in Chancellor Rachel Reeves, leading to growing speculation that she may be replaced. If Reeves — who has emphasized fiscal discipline — is replaced, there are concerns that fiscal control could loosen.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ July 3: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (June), U.S. Unemployment Rate (June)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
After maintaining an upward trend, GBPUSD experienced a sharp drop. However, the pair appears to have regained its bullish momentum with support from the trendline. The upward view will be maintained toward the resistance level of 1.40000, the trend’s previous high.
That said, caution is advised near the 1.38000 level, where the previous sharp decline occurred, as this zone could introduce volatility.
Political Uncertainty, Dollar Weakness & A Projected CorrectionDespite being a technical trader, there are some fundamental factors floating in the background of today's trading idea.
1) We saw weakness on the GBP today due to some political uncertainty & investors having concerns over the stability of the UK's leadership and economic direction.
2) We saw a drop in the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for the US Dollar today which is starting to look like a trend rather than a one-off.
Why this is important is because, despite the very bearish day that the FX:GBPUSD had today, I don't think the GBP reaction is as relevant as it's shown and I do think the USD is weaker than it's shown on this particular chart, due to the reactions that we've seen on other crosses.
All in all, that this means is that I wouldn't be shocked to see today's move corrected and price is at the perfect technical level to do just that.
If you have any questions, comments or opinions, please don't hesitate to leave them below.
Akil
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3681
1st Support: 1.3595
1st Resistance: 1.3746
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Bullish bouce off major support?GBP/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Pivot: 1.3609
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3534
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3750
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Excepting a bullish movement on GBPUSD H4GBPUSD has been on a strong bullish momentum for months now, though having some correctional moves. GBPUSD gave two demand zones, forming a rally base rally, given a buy signal (bullish pin bar) on H4,we expect a bullish run to the first resistance before any corrections.