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GBP/USD_SPT - GBP/USD

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GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for May 8, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay attention today: 15:30 EET. USD - Number of Initial Jobless Claims 14:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Key Interest Rate Decision GBPUSD: GBP/USD was down six-tenths of a per cent on Wednesday as markets continued to hold on to the safe-haven US dollar. The Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as markets had expected, but Fed policymakers, still adopting a wait-and-see stance, curbed risk appetite during the midweek market session. The Bank of England (BoE) will hold its own rate meeting on Thursday and is expected to cut rates by another quarter point. Forex Today: All eyes on the Bank of England Market sentiment declined after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. He said that US trade tariffs could hamper the Fed's inflation and employment targets this year. Powell warned that continued policy instability could force the Fed to take a ‘wait-and-see’ approach to interest rates. While the Trump administration's tariffs have weighed heavily on consumer and business sentiment, the lack of significant negative economic data makes it difficult for the Fed to justify an immediate change in interest rates. Powell: The right thing to do is to wait for further clarity The Bank of England is expected to cut the rate by a further quarter point at its upcoming meeting on Thursday, marking the fourth rate cut since it peaked in 2023. The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to vote nine to one in favour of another rate cut in an attempt to support the faltering UK economy. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3330, SL 1.3350, TP 1.3230
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?The GBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend since early 2025, rallying from around 1.2100 to a recent peak near 1.3450. The daily chart shows a pullback from this high, indicating consolidation or a corrective phase. Despite short-term bearish pressure, the broader trend remains intact above key support at 1.3200 and 1.3000. On the hourly chart, price action reveals a consolidation range between 1.3260 and 1.3400, forming lower highs and signaling potential bearish continuation if support at 1.3320 breaks. Conversely, repeated rejections below 1.3400 without major selloffs suggest buyers may still be present. The 15-minute chart highlights tight intraday consolidation between 1.3335 and 1.3355, forming a potential bear flag or ascending triangle. A break below 1.3320 could target 1.3280–1.3250. A breakout above 1.3380–1.3400 may resume the uptrend toward 1.3450–1.3500. The higher-probability scenario is a bullish continuation, but caution is advised given decreasing momentum.
by BlackCandleTrader
GBP/USD holds within trend line and awaits FOMC🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news: ➡️ The GBP/USD pair rose on Tuesday, gaining 0.4% on the day and testing the 1.3400 level amid reports of a potential trade agreement between the U.S. and the UK, which would allow Britain to avoid the heavy trade tariffs being actively pursued by the Trump administration. However, the U.S. dollar later found support, limiting the pair's upward momentum as markets reacted to U.S. economic data. Personal opinion: ➡️ The very important news today is the FOMC, so the market will move sideways and wait for this economic data. Therefore, GBP/USD will maintain within the trend line ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Personal Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy GBP/USD 1.3340 - 1.3330 ❌SL: 1.3300 | ✅TP: 1.3380 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
GBPUSD INTRADAY consolidation range supported at 1.3210GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area. Key Support: 1.3210 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point. Upside Targets: 1.3435 – initial resistance level 1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets If price finds support at 1.3210 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels. However, a break and daily close below 1.3210 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3120, with further support at 1.3015 and 1.2980. Conclusion GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3210. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3210 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead - Fed Rate Decision US: March consumer credit slowed → weaker demand → supports lower rate expectations. UK: April construction PMI below 50 → contraction → bearish for GBP. Eurozone (Germany, France, Italy, Euro-wide): Factory orders, construction PMIs, retail sales weak → signs of economic slowdown → bearish for EUR. China: April foreign reserves slightly down → limited impact. France (details): Widening trade deficit, mild wage growth → mixed outlook. Italy: March retail sales down → weak consumer demand. Federal Reserve (May decision): Held rates at 5.25–5.50%. Slowed pace of balance sheet reduction (QT). Powell ruled out further hikes for now. Fed remains data-dependent. Trading Relevance: Rates/Bonds: Bullish – lower yields likely. USD: Slightly weaker – dovish Fed tone. Stocks: Positive – QT slowdown supports equities. EUR/GBP: Bearish – weak data, dovish central bank expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBP/USD: Is the Bullish Impulse Over?The daily chart shows a significant bullish impulse that encountered strong resistance in the 1.3350 - 1.3400 area, where multiple supply levels and an important institutional selling zone are located. The bearish structure remains intact below this level, suggesting a potential decline towards the key support at 1.3100 - 1.3150. The short bias strengthens with the confirmation of resistance and the formation of a potential reversal. COT Report (USD Index and GBP/USD) USD Index: Non-commercial traders are slightly increasing long positions (+397) while reducing short positions (-128). This suggests a potential recovery of dollar strength, supporting a bearish move on GBP/USD. GBP/USD: Non-commercials have significantly increased short positions (+6,426) and reduced long positions (-2,957), indicating a bearish sentiment. Commercials also show a slight increase in short positions (+5,070), confirming potential weakness in the pound. Retail Sentiment 57% of retail traders are short on GBP/USD, with an average price of 1.2916, while 43% are long at 1.3343. This imbalance could indicate a market attempt to capture stops above recent highs before a reversal. Seasonality Historically, the month of May shows a negative performance for GBP/USD. The 5, 10, and 15-year seasonal data indicate a consistent decline during this period, supporting the hypothesis of bearish pressure.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
GBP/USD Analysis – Resistance Zone and Possible CorrectionThe GBP/USD pair is currently trading at a significant resistance zone. This level is noteworthy because it has historically been a point of strong selling and because technical indicators are approaching the overbought region. Additionally, considering the likelihood of the DXY reacting from support, a strengthening of the dollar could lead to a corrective move in GBP/USD. If the pair struggles to break through this resistance zone, an initial correction towards lower support levels may be observed.
Short
by celilADIGUZEL