GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
Overall we can see strong bullish sentiment in the COT.
and price will most likely continue higher- in the longterm.
Longs 91K, Short 67K We can see longs decreasing = profit taking and pullback needed
to rebuild. There is no heavy shorting = market is still Bullish , but long will be rebuild in lower
prices.
Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
As of this week, the current exchange rate of the GBPUSD is 1.3268, which has decreased by 0.0858% compared to yesterday. From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, the British pound against the US dollar has held firm above the support level of 1.3240. The bullish momentum of the MACD continues, and the RSI value is 65.85, which has not reached the overbought level. In terms of trading operations, it is mainly advisable to go long on pullbacks. Attention should be paid to the policy meeting of the Bank of England on May 8th, as well as news regarding economic data of the UK and the US, trade policies, and other relevant information.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.3240-1.32500
TP:1.3380-1.3420
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GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
GBPUSD TIME TO FALL HELLO TRADERS
GBPUSD has tested a strong resistence level zone and failed to break 1.34100 its also created a Cypher Harmonic pattren on daily chart the important level to break 1.32000 as soon as we will see the breakout forr this zone it will drop more till design levels chart is simple to read and we are look for ur comments and support Stay Tuned for more updates ....
GBP-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is making a local
Correction but the pair will
Soon hit a horizontal support
Level of 1.3204 and as the pair
Is in the uptrend we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Scenario Failure at 1.33298 – Is a Correction Coming?FX:GBPUSD We are about to complete the fifth wave, but the scenario may fail if the fourth wave is broken at 1.33298. This could indicate the beginning of a correction or a reassessment of price movement, requiring close monitoring of the next support levels to determine the market's direction.
GBPUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 Price Forecast (Main Scenarios)
📈 Bullish Scenario (if price reacts from current level):
Price may bounce from the current 1H LQ Close zone (gray).
It could rally toward the upper 1H LQ Close zone (purple) to retest it and potentially trigger Phase 2 Inducement.
🎯 First target: 1.33150
🎯 Second target: 1.33450 (just below the 4H LQ Close)
📉 Bearish Scenario (if the current zone breaks):
A clean close below 1.32500 could open the path toward the 4H LQ Close zone.
🧲 Expect potential reversal around 1.31600–1.31800 (major buy zone).
GBPUSD BUY IDEAI see a push to the down side in order to create the head then i push up to create the neck formation which is also a resistance. price will then push back down to the 1.33444 area, to create a shoulders. we should then start to see the formation of an upside down head and soulders pattern at the 1.32600 area , followed by a nice push up tp the green line.
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate Differential and Trade Directional Bias for May 2025
Bank of England (BoE): Expected to cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25% on May 8, with further cuts forecasted (Barclays: 3.5% by September; Morgan Stanley: 2.75% by mid-2026).
Federal Reserve (Fed): Maintained rates at 4.25–4.50% in March 2025, projecting two cuts (50 bps total) in 2025.
Current Differential: ~0.75–1.00 percentage points in favor of the USD, widening as BoE eases faster than the Fed.
Trade Directional Bias
Short-Term Outlook (May): Bearish for GBP/USD due to BoE’s dovish trajectory vs. Fed’s cautious stance.
Key Upcoming Fundamental Data (May 2025)
Date Event Expected Impact on GBP/USD
May 2 US NFP (April) Weak data (<130K jobs) could pressure USD, boosting GBP. Strong data (>150K) may delay Fed cuts, strengthening USD.
May 8 BoE Rate Decision A 25 bps cut (priced in) may cause GBP selling; hawkish hold unlikely but would spike GBP.
May 15 UK CPI (April) Services inflation above 3.5% could limit BoE cuts, supporting GBP. Below 3.0% would reinforce bearish bias.
May 30 US Core PCE Inflation Sticky inflation (>2.7%) may delay Fed cuts, boosting USD. Sub-2.5% could revive rate-cut bets, weakening USD.
Factors That Could Shift Directional Bias
Bullish GBP/USD Scenarios
BoE Surprise Hold: Unlikely, but no cut on May 8 would trigger a sharp GBP rally.
UK CPI Surprise: Services inflation above 3.8% or headline CPI >3.0% could reduce BoE cut expectations.
Weak US Data: NFP <100K or Core PCE <2.5% would pressure USD via accelerated Fed cut bets.
Bearish GBP/USD Scenarios
BoE Dovish Guidance: Signals for consecutive cuts (e.g., June + August) would extend GBP weakness.
Strong US Data: NFP >150K or Core PCE >2.8% reinforces Fed’s "higher for longer" stance, lifting USD.
Trade War Escalation: Renewed US-China/EU tariffs would strengthen USD as a safe haven.
Conclusion:
GBP/USD is poised for downside pressure in May, driven by BoE rate cuts and a resilient USD. . Upcoming US jobs data (May 2) and UK inflation (May 15) are critical for near-term volatility. A hawkish BoE surprise or weak US data could temporarily reverse the bearish trend, but the interest rate differential favors USD strength.
GBP/USD Buy from 2hr demand zone?This week, my analysis for GU focuses on a potential buy opportunity from the 2H demand zone. Although this zone is still quite a distance from current price action, I’m patiently waiting to see which side of liquidity gets taken first — that will help highlight a more immediate area of interest.
Given the recent bearish movement, I’m anticipating a possible break of structure to the downside, targeting the underlying Asia lows. This move could create a new supply zone, which may present a more valid setup in the short term.
However, if price maintains its current trajectory, I’m also eyeing the 13H supply zone, which would offer a strong POI for future sell opportunities after a bullish correction.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- Price is approaching a 2H demand zone.
- Market has been bearish, suggesting a correction may be due.
- DXY analysis aligns with a potential GU recovery.
- Liquidity buildup points toward a possible retracement to the 13H supply zone.
P.S. If the week starts with a bullish move, that could offer a better setup for shorts later on as price approaches the higher supply zone. Stay alert and flexible with your setups — wishing everyone a strong and disciplined trading week!
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.33300 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.33300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
The pair is trading around 1.32717 (Sell) and 1.32734 (Buy).GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) currency pair,
Key Elements in the Chart:
Current Price: The pair is trading around 1.32717 (Sell) and 1.32734 (Buy).
Marked “ENTRY ZONE”: This red zone spans approximately from 1.33152 to 1.32726, indicating a potential sell entry area.
Price Action: The chart shows a recent downward trend, followed by a consolidation phase near the entry zone.
Projected Path: The chart includes a speculative forecast with arrows pointing downward, suggesting a bearish bias. The path indicates potential pullbacks within the zone followed by continued downward movement.
Target Area: The price projection ends near 1.31228, likely serving as a take-profit or support zone.
This chart seems to reflect a technical analysis-based short trade setup, anticipating further downside from the current level after potential minor retracements.
Would you like help analyzing this trade idea or setting risk/reward levels?
GBPUSD SHORT Sterling (ISO code: GBP) is the currency of the United Kingdom and nine of its associated territories. The pound (sign: £) is the main unit of sterling, and the word pound is also used to refer to the British currency generally, often qualified in international contexts as the British pound or the pound sterling.
You can see a good chart inside.I said the move I expected to make on the chart.
But what you need to do is first, do not consider my analysis without your own analysis.
Second, observe risk management.
Third, consider confirmation for entering trades.I said the move I expected to make on the chart.
But what you need to do is first, do not consider my analysis without your own analysis.
Second, observe risk management.
Third, consider confirmation for entering trades.
**GBP/USD Bullish Breakout Setup Toward 1.35000**
CANDLE MASTER UPDATE!
chart shows a bullish setup based on several technical indicators and price action:
### *Key Analysis Points:*
1. *Support Zone (Yellow Box):*
* Price has tested and bounced off a well-defined support zone around 1.32690.
* This level has acted as a strong demand zone in the past, and recent price action confirms buying interest.
2. *Resistance Zone:*
* The resistance level is marked just above the current price (around 1.33500), representing the neckline of a potential breakout.
3. *EMA Support:*
* The 50 EMA (red line at 1.33148) is currently just below the price, acting as dynamic support.
* The 200 EMA (blue line at 1.31251) is much lower, confirming an overall uptrend structure.
4. *Bullish Projection:*
* The projection suggests a breakout above resistance, with a target near 1.35000 (TARGET POINT).
* This is supported by the previous bullish move (highlighted by the black trend lines and upward impulses).
5. *Risk-to-Reward Consideration:*
* A breakout entry around 1.33500 aiming for the target of 1.35000 provides a potential reward of 150+ pips.
* Stop loss could reasonably be placed just below the support at 1.32690 for a favorable risk-reward ratio.
---
### *Conclusion:*
The chart suggests a *bullish breakout scenario* with an expected continuation towards 1.35000. If price breaks the resistance zone and holds above it, the setup favors long entries
GBP/USD Support Bounce? | Demand Zone Holding Strong GBP/USD has tested the 1.32767 demand zone and is holding steady after a strong downward move. This level aligns with high-volume support on the LuxAlgo Visible Range, suggesting potential for a bullish reversal.
If price sustains above 1.32800, we could see upside targets of:
1.33550 (First resistance)
1.34097 (Supply zone)
This is a critical area to watch — buyers may step in aggressively here, especially with key economic news on the horizon (note the calendar icons below).
Setup Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Long above 1.32850
TP1: 1.33500
TP2: 1.34050
SL: Below 1.32650
Confluence:
Price action at strong demand
Potential higher low forming
LuxAlgo S&D + volume profile match
Watch for confirmation candles and news impact!
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#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #FXSetup #BritishPound #USDollar #LuxAlgo #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #TradingView #SwingTrade #MarketAnalysis
Emojis for Engagement:
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GBPUSD crazy buy here !Im trying this crazy buy here, risk is big but reward is big aswell, todays news of USD will tell us everything , never guys do this but sometimes you gotta take the risk , try to minimize the risk before news as it can liquidate you in 1 minute . Trade safe
9.5 RRR
GL Traders
NOT ADVICE !