GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas
GBPUSD: A- tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
• Strong trend in place, but early signs of exhaustion. No clear sell signal yet.
• Wait for confirmation bar or fail test of new high before shorting.
• Long side is extended, so better to wait than chase.
GBPUSD: Eyeing a Bullish Structure Shift - A Wyckoffian ApproachGBPUSD 🚦 Technical Analysis & Trade Plan
📊 Current Market Structure
The GBPUSD 4-hour chart is currently consolidating just below a set of equal highs, indicating a potential liquidity pool above. Price action has shown a series of higher lows, suggesting underlying bullish pressure. The market is in a range, with buyers and sellers in equilibrium, but the clustering of highs signals a likely stop-hunt or breakout scenario.
🧠 Wyckoff Perspective
From a Wyckoff standpoint, the market appears to be in the late stages of accumulation. The equal highs represent a classic “creek” or resistance, where smart money may engineer a breakout to trigger stops and induce breakout traders. A successful breakout, followed by a retrace to retest the broken highs (now support), and a subsequent bullish structure break, would confirm the presence of strong demand and the start of a mark-up phase.
🌍 Fundamental Backdrop
Fundamentally, GBP has been supported by resilient UK economic data and a slightly hawkish tone from the Bank of England, while the USD faces headwinds from softer inflation prints and dovish Fed rhetoric. However, geopolitical risks and global risk sentiment remain key drivers, so any sudden shifts could impact the pair.
📰 Current Sentiment
Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic for GBPUSD. CFTC positioning shows a reduction in net GBP shorts, and recent price action reflects a willingness to buy dips. However, the presence of equal highs suggests that many traders are watching for a breakout, increasing the likelihood of a stop-run before a genuine move higher.
🏦 Trade Idea
Entry: Buy on a confirmed break above the current equal highs (around 1.3340), wait for a retrace to retest the broken highs, and enter long on a bullish structure break (e.g., a higher low and bullish engulfing candle).
Stop Loss: Place stops below the retracement low (e.g., below 1.3300).
Take Profit: Target the next significant resistance zone (e.g., 1.3400–1.3450), scaling out as price approaches these levels.
Risk Management: Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital on this setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The analysis and trade idea provided are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📈 GBP/USD – Buy-Side Trade
🗓 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🕕 Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 1.32709
Take Profit: 1.34232 (+1.15%)
Stop Loss: 1.32511 (–0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.69
Reasoning Narrative
This GBP/USD trade was built on a clear short-term bullish structure, observed into the New York close, where price respected a key demand zone from earlier in the day.
GBPUSDKey Central Banks and Interest Rate Outlook
Bank of England (BoE) Governor: Andrew Bailey Expected to maintain a cautious stance; markets price in a 25 bps rate cut in May 2025 and possibly three cuts by year-end, reflecting downgraded UK growth forecasts and inflation concerns. Rate cuts tend to weaken GBP, but cautious BoE tone and market overpricing of easing provide some support to GBP.
Federal Reserve (Fed)Chair: Jerome Powell Under political pressure; markets expect Fed rate cuts if U.S. inflation cools amid trade war fears and recession risks. Fed easing weakens USD, supporting GBP/USD upside.
Summary of Influences on GBP/USD Direction
US Dollar Weakness: Political turmoil, trade tensions, and recession fears are driving USD lower, benefiting GBP/USD.
UK Economic Outlook: Slower growth and inflation uncertainties prompt expected BoE easing, which could limit GBP gains.
Trade War Impact: US tariffs and global trade tensions add uncertainty but have limited direct impact on the UK economy so far.
Technical Factors: Bullish patterns and strong support levels favor further GBP/USD appreciation in the near term.
Conclusion
GBP/USD’s directional bias is bullish for the short to medium term, supported by a weakening USD amid political and economic uncertainties in the U.S., and technical signals favoring upward momentum. However, expected monetary easing by the Bank of England may cap gains, so traders should watch BoE’s May meeting and U.S. inflation data closely for shifts in interest rate expectations that could influence the pair’s trajectory.
Weekly Forex Market Analysis:GBPUSD– Issue 208(Free access)The analyst predicts that the GBP/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
GBPUSD trade setup.This chart shows a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bearish outlook.
📊 Chart Analysis
Trend: Recently bearish after a previous uptrend.
Entry Zone: Area between approximately 1.33233 and 1.33317.
Setup Type: Sell/Short Trade Setup
🔍 Key Zones
Entry Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
Marked as "entry zone".
This is the expected area where price might retrace to before dropping again.
Target Zone:
Arrow points down towards 1.32377, suggesting this is the Take Profit (TP) level.
Stop Loss (SL):
Slightly above the entry zone, near 1.33476, indicating risk management in case price continues upward.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Type: Short/Sell
Entry: Wait for price to re-enter the marked "entry zone" (~1.33233 - 1.33317).
Stop Loss: Above 1.33476.
Take Profit: Around 1.32377.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential profit zone (green area) is larger than the risk (red area).
GU Liquidity Game—Institutional Absorption vs. Breakout MomentumGBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Trade Execution
I’ve been closely tracking GBP/USD, and now price is sitting at 1.34208, testing the critical resistance zone at 1.34250. Bulls have maintained control, but I’m watching closely for institutional absorption or signs of exhaustion.
Market Structure & Key Zones
Major Resistance: 1.34250-1.34500 → If buyers hold, price could extend toward 1.34500.
Support at 1.33800-1.33950 → A possible demand zone if price pulls back before pushing higher.
Liquidity Trap Below 1.33650 → A quick dip below 1.33800, followed by aggressive buying, would indicate institutional positioning.
Momentum & Trend Confirmation
RSI (1-hour): 66.38 → Bullish, but nearing exhaustion territory.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 61.27 → Buyers are in control but watching for signs of slowing momentum.
Stochastic Fast (1-hour): 60.54 → Trend is intact, but reversal signals could emerge near resistance.
Trade Management Strategy
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price is testing 1.34250, I’ll hold my long position if buyers show sustained strength.
Entry: Holding long if price stabilizes above 1.34250.
Stop Loss: Adjusted to 1.33950 to lock in gains.
Target 1: 1.34500, strong resistance level.
Target 2: 1.34650, extended play if volume supports the breakout.
Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price rejects 1.34250, I’ll look for a pullback setup before re-entering long.
Entry: If price dips below 1.33800 but aggressively reclaims 1.34000, re-enter long.
Stop Loss: Below 1.33650, ensuring tight risk control.
Target 1: 1.34150, reclaiming previous resistance.
Target 2: 1.34350, profit zone if buyers remain strong.
Institutional Activity & Order Flow Considerations
Liquidity Sweeps Below 1.33850 → If price dips but quickly recovers, it could be a stop-hunt before continuation.
Absorption Near 1.34250 → If price holds steady here without sharp rejection, buyers may be absorbing sell-side liquidity.
Volume Confirmation at 1.34150 → If volume remains strong, further upside toward 1.34500 is likely.
Final Execution Adjustments
Monitoring order flow to assess whether institutions are accumulating or distributing positions near resistance.
Watching volume absorption and candle behavior near 1.34250.
Right now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal level—if buyers sustain above 1.34250, the trend continuation toward 1.34500-1.34650 is in play. However, failure to hold may signal institutional selling, triggering a pullback before another bullish attempt.
Liquidity drag, potential upsideA very slow and surprising Tuesday given easter break is finished. Liquidity was flowing through from Monday up until the close. Today we have seen a very slow climb to the downside - not much of a reaction from our recent political news with Trump & the Jerome Powells thoughts on cutting rates.
Personal opinion - markets were very reactionary on the tarrifs. There is some consensus for bad news to come out in the UK which are labelled "high importance" - price action could be factoring in this for today, however, we must consider the fact of how slow bears did today technically both in European & US markets sessions.
Swing to the upside & knock off to knock off 1.34 before anything further. However, we can still see a potential short term continuation to the mid 50s in 1.32 , where I will slowly take away positions.
No stop loss, swing trade, opened positions ranging from 1.3345-1.3375 areas. Just wanted to share an idea in the midst of now of a good speculative entry.
GBPUSD I Daily CLS I KL - IFVG /OB - Model 1 Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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GBPUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD Analysis 10:37am 4/28. Happy Monday! GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Day Trading Perspective
I’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is now sitting at 1.339, confirming strong bullish momentum after breaking past key resistance. Here's how I'm approaching today's trading plan:
Market Structure & Key Levels
Resistance at 1.33850-1.34000 – Price is testing this level, and volume confirmation will determine whether we continue upward.
Support at 1.33650-1.33700 – If we see a pullback, this zone could act as a strong bounce area.
Institutional Interest at 1.33250-1.33300 – A liquidity zone where major players may absorb sell-side pressure.
Momentum & Trend Strength
RSI (1-hour): 88.88 → Overbought, meaning we might see consolidation or a retrace before another leg up.
CCI (1-hour): 81.81 → Still bullish, but exhaustion signs are creeping in.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 83.32 → Buyers are still in control, but reversals become more likely at extreme readings.
Directional Strength & Trend Confirmation
ADX (1-hour): 13.38 → Weak trend strength, suggesting that price could start ranging.
DX (1-hour): 79.92 → A strong push confirms market participation.
Day Trading Plan
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price has cleared 1.33650, the breakout play is already in motion. Here’s how I’m managing the setup:
Entry: Holding long as price remains above 1.33850, with strong buying pressure.
Target 1: 1.34000, a psychological barrier where liquidity may sit.
Target 2: 1.34250, next significant resistance.
Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price retraces, I’ll look for signs of institutional absorption before considering re-entry.
Entry: If price dips below 1.33650 but quickly reclaims 1.33800, I’ll look for confirmation of a reversal.
Target 1: 1.33950, previous high.
Target 2: 1.34200, extended move.
Order Flow & Volume Profile Considerations
Institutional Absorption: If price briefly drops below 1.33800 but quickly reclaims it, institutions could be absorbing liquidity.
Liquidity Trap: A sharp sell-off into 1.33650 could trigger stop losses before a potential bounce.
Volume Confirmation: If buyers remain strong at 1.33850, the move toward 1.34000-1.34250 is more likely.
Risk Management & Execution Strategy
I’ll monitor candle closures above 1.33850 before committing to further upside targets.
If volume increases, I’ll hold for 1.34000; if it slows down, I’ll consider partial profit-taking.
Watching institutional behavior near 1.33650 will be key for catching potential liquidity grabs.
Right now, GBP/USD is at a critical decision point—either continuation toward 1.34000, or a pullback to absorb liquidity before the next push. The key is watching volume flow and price absorption for confirmation before executing further moves.
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3209
2nd Support – 1.3151
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Fundamental Update :
on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices.
The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
GBPUSD(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3309
Support and resistance levels:
1.3379
1.3353
1.3336
1.3282
1.3265
1.3239
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3309, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3336
If the price breaks through 1.3282, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3265
GBP/USD 28/4/25 - Signal PrepGBP/USD Trade Setup
- Bullish Signal We are anticipating bullish momentum on GBP/USD with the following levels in focus:
Entry Price: 1.3308
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.3323
TP2: 1.3343
TP3: 1.3368
Stop Loss: 1.3254
This setup suggests a potential upside move as the pair shows signs of strength. Traders may look to enter around the specified entry point and scale out at the marked take profit levels, while maintaining a controlled risk with the stop loss in place. As always, manage your position size appropriately based on your trading plan.
#GBPUSD: Major Swing Sell Coming On GU, What's your views? OANDA:GBPUSD , as discussed in our previous analysis, where we predicted price would reach our target area and then reject it. The price has almost reached this area, and we are now waiting for it to fully complete the move so that we can take a swing sell on the GBP. Currently, the British pound is stronger and bullish due to the UK’s strong economic growth. However, this is not the case for the US dollar. The dollar is struggling to keep up with other currencies and is currently the worst-performing currency of the month of April.
While focusing on GBPUSD as a pair, it has been extremely bullish since the start of April. However, we are now at a point where there are no strong reasons for the pair to remain bullish and continue its uptrend. There are fundamental signs that will eventually reverse the bearish trend.
Our advice to all is to wait for the price to do its thing. Once it reaches our target area, it may show strong bearish dominance. However, this is not a guarantee that it will behave as we expect. There are two targets that you can focus on once you trade is activated.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPUSD SELL NOW BUY LATER!Our previous idea played out perfectly once again! Currently, GBPUSD is showing signs of a pullback within a mini bearish trend. However, I still believe the overall structure remains bullish. I'll be watching for buying opportunities once this pullback completes. Stay patient and wait for confirmation!
GBP/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.301.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD is looking extremely bullish on the daily timeframe, showing strong signs of continuation after a healthy pullback. Currently trading around 1.33000, the pair has respected key Fibonacci levels and is now building momentum to target 1.37000. The structure remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong buyer control and potential for further upside movement.
From a fundamental perspective, the British pound continues to outperform as the Bank of England maintains a relatively hawkish tone amid sticky inflation pressures, while the US dollar shows signs of weakening with softer economic data and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year. This divergence between the monetary policies is creating a favorable environment for GBPUSD buyers to dominate.
Technical analysis also supports the bullish bias as price action remains well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, holding strong support near 1.31650. If price maintains above this zone and breaks past minor resistance near 1.33500, it could ignite a fresh bullish rally toward the psychological level of 1.37000, offering excellent risk-reward opportunities for trend-following traders.
Overall, GBPUSD is positioned perfectly for a strong bullish wave. Traders should stay focused on potential breakout confirmations and capitalize on the momentum, as current market conditions and fundamentals are aligned with a profitable bullish move. This setup remains one of the most attractive trending opportunities on the board right now.