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GBP/USD_SPT - GBP/USD

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GBPUSD 4HRSCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August. Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence. US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies. Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven. Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD. Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD Conclusion Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold. Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected. Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias. #SHVAYFXHUB
Short
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSDCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August. Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence. US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies. Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven. Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD. Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD Conclusion Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold. Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected. Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.3266 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.3106 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3336 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 1.33Hello traders. On GBPUSD, I'm watching this 1.33 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. It can be a solid bounce spot if it shows signs. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
29
Anybody in for a reversal with me?Well, starting with the downtrend structure we had from the 1.34xx seems broken. Apparently, our beloved cable had to take all those early bulls out before it could go back reclaiming money it left at supply. There are multiple evidences why I think we should be buying GBPUSD. Amongst the most prominent ones, we have: 1- Price being protected (twice) at the demand area 2- BOE held the rates, it does not mean UK is doing great at other variables such as inflation, trade balance, debt, job market etc., it just means they plan to maintain the burden on businesses and public with relatively higher mark ups on public lending. It might be a double edged sword but that is pretty much how capitalist economies maintain and control their inflation rates. 3- Market has not claimed the liquidity at marked supply area ever since it started dropping, so this might be a good start 4- This one might not have matured just yet, but it is diverging bullish here This is my idea for adding small long positions starting Monday post intraday pullback, if you think I might be wrong, please let me know in the comments with proper reasoning. (saying because I need a reason to reconsider which I might be unable to see lol) Cheers!
Long
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
3
#GBPUSD: Massive Swing Sell Is In Making 1200+ Pips Worth? **FX:GBPUSD Price Analysis** GBPUSD price has recently experienced an overbought condition, primarily due to the significant decline of the DXY index. This decline can be attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has resulted in a drop in the DXY index to its lowest point in the past eighteen months. Conversely, the GBP has gained strength due to positive economic indicators indicating robust growth in the United Kingdom. This has made the GBP more attractive to investors. The FX:GBPUSD price is expected to continue its upward trend and potentially reach the 1.35 level. However, it is also possible for the price to reverse its direction from this point. **Targets:** If the trade is activated, three targets have been set for the FX:GBPUSD price. These targets can be adjusted based on your own analysis and trading strategy. We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support and well wishes. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
21
GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended. On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction. Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further. Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance. That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens .. Have a great weekend! BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!
Short
by Sel_Ali
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Update for those of you who are still in on this trade, as you can see price did in-fact go on to set a new bullish leg after breaking structure to the upside. A big well done to anyone who jumped in on some additional trades from the previous analysis, I will now be leaving this pair to go on to take profit and once it does, reassess the market and see how we can tackle it moving forward. This trade is currently running + 144 pips. (+ 6%) 6RR A big well done to those of you who got involved in this market originally and those of you who may still be in it or got involved with a re-entry. If you have any questions with regards to the analysis for this trade or the trade itself then drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
Long
by Lukegforex
Master Forex Trading with ICT Kill Zones (2024 Guide)The forex market runs 24/5, but not all hours are equally profitable. ICT Kill Zones highlight the 4 most volatile trading windows where institutional activity creates prime opportunities. ICT Kill Zones Timetable (GMT/EST) Asian: 8PM - 10PM EST / 12AM - 2AM GMT London: 2AM - 5AM EST / 6AM - 9AM GMT New York: 7AM - 9AM EST / 11AM - 1PM GMT London Close: 10AM - 12PM EST / 2PM - 4PM GMT Key Characteristics: Asian Session Best for AUD, NZD, JPY pairs Low volatility; ideal for 15-20 pip scalps London Session Highest liquidity (trade EUR/GBP) Often sets daily highs/lows New York Session Overlap with London creates high volatility Focus on USD pairs (e.g., USD/CAD) London Close Price retracements to daily range Quick 15-20 pip reversal plays
Education
by InnerCircleAnalysis
GBPUSD(20250418)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the seventh rate cut in the past year, and this decision was unanimous. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3246 Support and resistance levels: 1.3316 1.3290 1.3273 1.3219 1.3202 1.3176 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3273, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3290 If the price breaks through 1.3246, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3219
Long
by Toml1314