AMD trade ideas
AMD: Has Reached a Critical Resistance Level!In our last analysis on AMD, we correctly identified the persistent uptrend, and set our target at $162, which today, exactly two weeks later, has been reached. The link to our previous public analysis on AMD (from Sep 11) is below this post.
This is now a critical point for AMD.
Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance Test: The price has rallied from the lows and is now it hit the $162 resistance level. This level is critical as it marks a prior high from August. A break above this level could open the way for further upside toward the next resistance near $187.28.
21-Day EMA: The price has consistently remained above the 21-day EMA, confirming the bullish trend. This dynamic support has helped the stock maintain upward momentum.
Upward Trend: The overall structure shows a clear series of higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Pivot Point: On the weekly chart, the $162 area aligns with a key pivot point, making this a crucial zone to watch. If AMD can break and close above this level, it could signify a larger trend continuation toward the $187 resistance, at least.
Trendline Support: The long-term ascending trendline from the $132.83 support remains intact. The price has bounced off this trendline recently, adding further confidence to the upward movement. This trendline will continue to act as a key support level in the broader timeframe.
Conclusion:
AMD is trading near the $162 resistance, which serves as a key area for further price action. A successful break above this level could push the stock toward its next resistance at $187.28. However, failure to break this level may result in a pullback toward the $150 area, where the 21-day EMA provides support. Keep an eye on the $162 pivot point as the immediate hurdle.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
AMD: Close to giving the signal for mega buy to $295.Advanced Micro Devices is about to test the 1D MA200 on very healthy bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.924, MACD = 3.070, ADX = 28.078). This chart is on the 1W timeframe which is still neutral (RSI = 52.205, MACD = -1.400, ADX = 23.295), meaning that if the 1D MA200 breaks, the market would still be significantly undervalued with strong upside potential. As shown the long term pattern is a Channel Up, with the Fibonacci levels explaining pressure zones. The two bullish waves of the Channel have remarkably been of the exact same rise (+143.89%). If the once that will be validated by the 1D MA200 crossing posts the same rally, we expect the 0.786 Fib Channel level to be reached and we will set our target accordingly.(TP = 295.00).
Perhaps the strongest reason to buy for the long term right now is the Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD (seen on the pane below the chart). This has been formed exactly on the two prior bottoms of the Channel on November 6th 2023 and November 14th 2022. Combined with the 1D MA200 breakout, this MACD formation is the mega buy signal we've been waiting for.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
AMD "Honey Trap" Trade IdeaThe Fibonacci levels from the last 3 "major" swings are all converging at the 147 level. I like a "Honey Trap" Style trade that calls for a minor move lower while providing a credit
(if I'm wrong). The strike levels for my PUTs are 149/147/145/141, where I'm buying the 149 and 141 and selling the inner strikes. Only going out 9 DTE (quick win/loss).
AMD... Is it time to BUY?? YESSIR!!What are we looking at technically?
- The market is in an obvious uptrend
- A bullish BOS (break of structure)
- A retracement to the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) fib levels between .705 - .786
- The bullish FVG is also aligned with the OTE levels for a confluence of support
- Price has formed a fractal low on the +FVG as price completed the External to Internal run on liquidity. Now comes the IRL back to the ERL move. The swing high at 227.30 is the target, as that is where the buy side liquidity is.
Fundamentally, the recent Amazon partnership is the latest move that will give AMD a huge boost. Not mention the AMD may become a buyer of INTEL's AI Fabric Chip.
Things are looking up for the organization.
What do you think?
It's a BUY for me.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short AMD via optionsWhat I did: Long Oct 4 vertical 145/135 AMD put spread @ 2.06, as a swing trade.
The rationale:
NASDAQ:AMD seems to struggle with the 3-month VWMA (white line), while in the context of a declining 3-month and 1-month trend.
Fundamentally, AMD competes with NASDAQ:INTC on CPUs and with NASDAQ:NVDA on graphics cards. Of the three, NVDA is the most profitable by far, with a 10-yr median FCF margin of 27.5% (INTC 19.3%, AMD 2.1%).
In terms of 10-yr revenue CAGR, NVDA is also the most compelling with 30.9% (INTC 0.3% ,AMD 15.6%).
Despite this, AMD does not offer a significant valuation discount relative to NVDA. AMD's next-twelve-month estimated PE multiple is 35, just as NVDA's. And in terms of forward EV/EBITDA, AMD is currently currently MORE expensive, with a 33.1 multiple vs. 29.4 for NVDA. INTC is at this point unprofitable, and at best a turnaround candidate, so I am excluding it from further consideration.
I do understand that NVDA's large exposure to the AI infrastructure build-out presents unique downside potential once that wave will have run its course. But a temporary benefit is still preferable to no benefit at all, so I think as long as NVDA grows faster and operates more profitably than AMD, its valuation multiples should present an upper bound to AMD's. In other words, unless NVDA can progress to new highs, I don't see AMD going up. And, as we have seen today, NVDA is struggling to recapture its past highs.
I believe that AMD is susceptible here to significant volatility from its association to NVDA. A full reversal of trailing 10-day swing back towards 133+/- seems quite possible, especially since I see the market anticipate a lot of good news from inflation/Fed direction. While I do believe that the Fed will come through with a 50bp cut on Wednesday, I think that cut will be justified with a long discussion of poor recent economic data, casting doubt on the feasibility of a "soft landing".
My trade is simply a swing with the intent of hedging some of my long exposures. But it also exists in a larger context: For the last couple of years the argument has been made that semiconductors are no longer cyclical stocks, but rather idiosyncratic growth machines, like software. If that narrative gets challenged by reality, then I think AMD has a long way down. Its current multiples are one third above trough valuations, and if analysts were to revise down their estimates, then the downside grows in proportion.
Good Opportunity to Open AMD positions at these price ranges Simply I am buying NASDAQ:AMD at 133 and waiting to sell my positions with about 35% up and expecting to rise up from the current price ranges which is 132
The company is making a good growth QoQ and YoY and now it is in a good Demand zone
My Target is 187$
Stop loss is any daily close below 122$
This is my personal trades and it is NOT a financial advise
Leave a comment about what you think
AMD In The Buy Zone $$$Traders! Home gamers! Yes, even you gamblers! AMD once in trend motion should come up to 177.31 area and close that gap.
Looks like a opportunity to have a grab at some cash with some help from the Bulls buying this up in the buy zone.
Best of luck in all your trades and may the Bulls be by your side $$$
AMD: The most important support level! (D&W charts)Looking at the daily chart of AMD, we can observe a Bullish Harami pattern emerging just above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This formation, often seen as a reversal signal, indicates that the recent downtrend might be coming to a halt. The price bounced off the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which suggests this area is a strong support. The next significant resistance is located at the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which is slightly above the 21-day EMA.
On the weekly chart, the long-term uptrend remains intact, supported by a well-defined ascending trendline. This trendline, along with the support at $132.83, has held through recent pullbacks, indicating that this level will be critical for maintaining the bullish structure. The 21-week EMA is still above the current price, acting as potential resistance, but if the daily bullish reversal holds, we may see a further move up towards $162.00.
In summary, the daily chart suggests a potential bullish reversal from a significant Fibonacci level, while the weekly chart reinforces the importance of the trendline and support at $132.83 to maintain the bullish momentum. AMD's price would need to lose its trend line on the weekly char in order to reject the bull trend. As long as it stays above it, the bullish bias will persist.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
AMD - HTF AnalysisNo trades clear to me on AMD as of now - I need to see some HTF algorithms proving themselves without any expectations. We do have a strong HTF buying continuation approaching but I would like to see some further tapering on the buy & sell side before expecting this to hold.
Happy Trading :)