AMD trade ideas
AMD TSX LONGTERM TRADE SETUP.Would love to hear thoughts on this idea based on macd , volume profile and solely based on a confirmation of reversal.
Not financial advice but I think there's opportunity here.
The next Intel or the next Nvidia?Neither, AMD has it's own path with destiny. The cyclical nature of semiconductors makes this an interesting stock to analyse through TA. The fundamentals remain strong, whilst they are clearly behind Nvidia and Broadcom, there's also closely following behind and have a far smaller market cap. In a risk on mode, I think this offers far better upside than a 3 trillion dollar Nvidia stock.
It looks like much of Nvidia's stock price has been baked in the revenue growth into the stock price. Not even an earnings beat was enough to satisfy investors. People are panicking, 10 year yields are dropping, the market is in freakout mode.
Meanwhile, AMD remains bearish, there is no doubt about that. The question is where is the bottom?
I have a very strong buy zone here at $91-100. I think the risk to reward here is quite compelling. Using stop losses to minimise potential capitulation, risk management would have saved a lot of headache for anyone who has purchased since 06/03/24, almost a year ago, as they are down on their position and were better taking a small calculated loss.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
$AMD - False breakoutNASDAQ:AMD false breakout. I was wrong. AMD tends to recover after a 14% to 16% drawdown. So, we could expect a recovery, even if it’s brief.
It’s way too early, but it might be starting to form an inverse head-and-shoulders bottom.👀
AMD: getting close to invalidating the macro uptrend since 2022AMD has not been able to keep up with NVDIA for about a year. The year long decline is about to approach a critical support area. $93.12 is the line in the sand to invalidate the expanding diagonal structure to complete minor wave 5. If this level breaks that will mean AMD is still on minor degree wave 4 and is in an expanding ABC correction. Unless this turns into a running flat scenario, expanding correction would take the C wave below the A wave, which was $54.57. That will not be pretty for AMD, given the chip market overall is getting very messy with the trade war situations.
With RSI braking below 30, we should expect a bounce soon. If that bounce starts to look like a V shape recovery, then there might be some hope to see higher high again. Earnings are still a few weeks away. In the meantime, price needs to head back above $130 to have any reason to long this ticker!
Quick draw upI did quick and simple T/A and in my opinion seems to be the likely outcome. EMA lines are about to cross, it has made a lower low, which has now flipped the Fibonacci and likely to get rejected at the 61.80% - 50% range. The path lines aren't placed specific to the timeframes so ignore that it stretches way into 2025.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. - Short - long failed upward candleAs of 10 April 2024, AMD PE ratio is at 334. It had a long failed upward candle on 8 March 2024.
Downside till 95 dollars.
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #5 - AMD Major Trend BreakMy personal sentiment for the market overall right now is bullish for the shorter term, which you can probably see in my ideas the last few weeks. CPI is tomorrow and there's strong potential for downside, so I'll make one bearish idea for the top 5 this week.
AMD has been the red headed step child of semis this year, kind of sad to see. Now it has a major trend break here, with this trendline starting back in 2022. Not a good look at all. This is a longer term chart, final downside target would be all the way down near $74, but there's plenty of potential supports along the way.
I think this will be a good name to short if the market turns bearish and if we rally, it could be a good short in the near future on a retest of this trendline. If it rallies back up for a retest that would be the first one and this is a major one so I'd say the probability of a fail on the first retest would be very high.
AMD LONG OpportunityIn the past, Gann angles with a daily base of 13 have identified a significant low.
Today, we have touched the 1x13 daily. A sign of a reversal for a LONG ?
Bottom in $AMDDowsing went to AMD this morning and suggested a low in the $108 vicinity, which it gapped down to and ripped higher. I expect a somewhat extended move higher & possibly to $144.
This is all based on my dowsing (as in with a pendulum) and is always interesting to see what plays out. I did get that there could be news today or tomorrow.
The consolidating at these lows has been good, and actually, I have an old target around the 103-105/6 area based on 3 alerts that never quite got hit. So this is definitely a support as my levels are often pretty good, tho maybe not exact.
AMD Shorts trade idea posted publicly, made 400% This trade idea was posted last week even before the major move started. All the narrative and confirmation behind this trade idea was posted in the previous AMD short swing trade post. Those who followed got paid heavy!
AMD LONG : 103
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis Report
Technical Analysis:
1. 200 EMA Support: On the weekly timeframe, AMD's price is currently touching and reacting near the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which historically serves as a strong dynamic support level.
2. Key Support Level: The price action is at a significant support oblique zone that has held since 2018, suggesting a potential area of accumulation.
3. FVG Gap Fill: On the weekly timeframe, the price correction seems to be filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from October 2023, which may provide a solid confirmation for future bullish momentum.
4. Fibonacci Level: The price is currently near the 86.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting that the ongoing correction may serve as a strong setup for a bullish reversal.
5. MACD indicator : On the weekly chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence, seems to be crossing soon. This indicate a great buying signal opportunity.
6. Ascending Triangle Formation: On the daily chart, price action appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation before a potential breakout to the upside.
7. RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe is in the oversold region (35), indicating potential buying interest from investors.
Projection: From a technical perspective, the $103 price level is identified as a key reversal point. The trade setup presents an attractive risk-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:6
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Fundamental Analysis:
1. Growth in Key Markets:
o Data Center Expansion: AMD is aggressively expanding its presence in the data center market with its EPYC server CPUs. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for high-performance computing, particularly in AI-driven workloads.
o CPU Market Leadership: AMD continues to gain market share over Intel in the CPU segment. With growing adoption for AI-powered applications, AMD’s processors are becoming an increasingly preferred choice due to their efficiency and performance advantages over competitors.
2. Competition with NVIDIA in AI GPUs:
o AMD’s MI300X series GPUs are positioned as a direct competitor to NVIDIA’s Blackwell H100 & H200 GPUs.
o The MI300X offers superior bandwidth and memory specifications, although NVIDIA continues to lead in AI training efficiency & ray tracing However, AMD's continuous innovation signals its potential to close the performance gap in the AI computing space, making it a strong contender in the long term.
3. Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions:
o AMD is strengthening its market presence through key partnerships with industry leaders such as Dell and CEA, further expanding its AI-driven solutions.
o The acquisition of Xilinx enhances AMD’s ability to innovate and capture additional market share in the AI and high-performance computing segments.
4. Future Market Potential:
o During Q3 2024, AMD CEO Lisa Su stated: “In the data center alone, we expect the AI accelerator TAM will grow at more than 60% annually to $500 billion in 2028. To put that in context, this is roughly equivalent to annual sales for the entire semiconductor industry in 2023.”
o This projection highlights AMD’s significant revenue growth potential, reinforcing its position as a key player in the AI and semiconductor industries.
5. Earning Report & clients:
o AMD's earnings reports continue to show positive results, indicating stability in the company’s growth trajectory.
o AMD is currently making business with big Ai companies like: Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, Oracle, IBM, Siemens, Advantech, etc. Companies that can be huge buys of their product and thus increase the revenue.
Risks and Challenges:
1. Underperformance in 2025: Compared to 2024, US technologies stock performance in 2025 has shown signs of underperformance, raising concerns about its short-term growth momentum continuation.
2. Economic Sentiment: The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index has been lower than expected in 2025, suggesting that consumers may be less willing to invest in the economy. This could impact AMD’s stock performance as investor confidence weakens.
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Conclusion: Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest that AMD is in a strong position for future growth. The stock is currently undergoing a healthy correction, providing a potential buying opportunity. Given the company’s increasing market share, strategic partnerships, and advancements in AI and high-performance computing, AMD remains a compelling investment prospect for the long term.
AMD Analysis: Shorting to $100 as Cup & Handle Pattern FormsHello Traders,
I'm sharing a weekly chart analysis for AMD, where I’ve identified a Cup & Handle pattern. The current price is $148, and it's retesting the broken red trend line.
I suggest considering a short position targeting $100. I've also included a back test for the two previous patterns, which support the validity of the middle red trend line.
It's important to note that if AMD reaches the $100 level, the Cup & Handle pattern above the blue trend line will become valid, potentially targeting even lower levels around $55, or possibly further down.
Additionally, pay attention to the downtrend progression channel in cyan. The current price of $148 is positioned around the resistance of this channel's middle line.
If these scenarios play out, a harmonic pattern may also form, which I will define at a later stage.
Stay cautious and manage your risk!
Yearly Review Part 2A continuation of the last idea I posted going over some of the stocks and charts I find most interesting, looking at both the recent past and present/future. Names included are: AMD, XRP, BTC, MSTR, PLTR, CVNA, GME, and Gold.
$AMD Fibonacci Pyramid SetupBuys: 78 to 109 Target 150🎯
I am in LONG with Shares and SOLD puts at 109 Do yall see how AMD held up above 109 even though the market SOLD OFF
This could be a major turning points I will alert more Just drop a like!
AMD Swing trade ideaI like the OF on the H4 time frame here in AMD and have some swing positions open. I already took off some positions on this same trade idea with target as PDL that already puts me in profit on this trade as AMD was a nice sell off in the AM session. The rest of the trade is risk free and will be managed accordingly next week. Rejection from H4 SIBI, taking out buy stops and heading towards sellside liquidity confirms bearish orderflow may be in play. Possibly MMSM here. Any displacement from this level would be further confirmation for price to trend lower.
Wedge inside a wedge with upward intentionsOn daily chart the price is inside huge downward wedge, which in the long run should reach price of 218.77.
On hourly chart we can see a local downside wedge inside the global big one. This indicates that the price is currently in correction.
Prediction A) The price continues to go up since it has bounced off the bottom of global wedge and recently tested MA200, it should break the local channel and MA200 and go up to price 120.00, then globally the price should continue to go up to 218.77 and reach the global wedge top.
Prediction B) The price will break the local channel downward and drop to level 109.93, then bounce off of it and continue up to 218.77.
It would be best to wait for price to reach level 109.78 and wait for reversal signals to ride the price up to level 218.77. Of course, this trend might continue for a few months and global politics might change the price course, but at the moment technical analysis gave me this idea.
This is not a financial advice, please do your own due diligence if you plan to trade.
Also, please feel free to comment your thoughts and predictions about the price action for the upcoming days.
$AMD trying to breakout on the daily!NASDAQ:AMD being bought heavily by institutions for past 3 days straight. It’s looking like it wants to breakout on the daily. There could be added excitement for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings coming up in the semi-conductor space. I have been accumulating NASDAQ:AMD April 17 115Calls @ 7.00
*Not financial advice
Advance Micro Devices Inc , Its ready to rock....Is this the level the big fish are at then if so we need to swim with them....
Supply and demand set and forget
AMD Near Key Resistance! Trade Setups forTechnical Analysis (TA) Overview
AMD is currently trading near 114-115, moving within an ascending channel. The stock is facing resistance at 115.55, which aligns with a gamma resistance zone. If buyers push it past this level, AMD could test 116-120, but failure to hold support could lead to a move back toward 110 or lower.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: 115.55 (key resistance), 116.11 (previous high), 120 (call wall)
* Support: 113.06, 110.37, 108-105 (strong put support)
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover—momentum is weakening.
* Stoch RSI: Near oversold (31.96), meaning downside may be limited.
* Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume around 114-115, meaning price could consolidate before its next move.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance):
* 115.55-116.11: Short-term resistance; needs momentum to break.
* 120: Highest call resistance—bulls must sustain a breakout.
🔹 Put Walls (Support):
* 110: Strong put support; if broken, could trigger downside to 108-105.
* 105: Critical support—bears need volume to push below.
🔹 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 9 (low implied volatility—potential for a breakout).
* Call Open Interest: 28.6% – Bullish positioning is growing.
Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow
✅ Bullish Setup:
* If AMD breaks above 115.55, expect a push toward 116-120.
* Ideal entry: Above 115.55, stop-loss below 114.
* Profit targets: 116, 118, 120 (extension).
❌ Bearish Setup:
* If AMD fails at 115 and breaks below 113, expect a move toward 110-108.
* Ideal entry: Below 113, stop-loss above 115.
* Profit targets: 110, 108, 105.
Probability Estimate for AMD’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 115.55 (Targets 116-120)
Scenario Probability (%): 50%
Reasoning: AMD is in an ascending channel, meaning bulls are still in control.
• Needs strong volume to break through 115.55-116 levels. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 113-115.55) | 35% | - Volume profile suggests heavy trading activity around 114-115, meaning price may consolidate.
* MACD suggests weak momentum, signaling possible chop before a breakout. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 113 (Targets 110-105) | 15% | - Bearish MACD crossover signals weakening momentum.
* If 113 fails, expect downside toward 110-105. |
Final Thoughts
* AMD needs to break 115.55 to continue higher toward 116-120.
* If 113 fails, selling pressure could increase, pushing price to 110-105.
* IVR is low, meaning options are cheap, but also suggests low volatility.
🔹 Best Trading Plan:
* Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 115.55 → target 116-120.
* Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 115.55 or a break below 113 → target 110-105.
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.
AMD: Hit rock bottom. Huge upside potential from here.Advanced Micro Devices Inc turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.032, MACD = -2.460, ADX = 22.524) signaling a potential reversal of the long term bearish trend. This month the price hit the 1M MA50 and if it managed to close the 1M candle over it, we expect to have a market bottom formed much like October 2022 and April 2018. A rally of at least +275% started following both of those bottoms. We believe the risk of buying here is low and the reward high and thus turn bullish (TP = 390.00).
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