MDO trade ideas
A Low Risk Entry For MCDNYSE:MCD has been trading tight, breaking through its' pivot on 7/20. I was able to get a tidy 3.42% risk entry so I opened a full position.
She tried to follow through to all time highs early this morning but throughout the course of the day the price pulled back into the base. I didn't get a follow through but the market was knocking down most breakouts today, especially ones that were stretching into new 52 week highs.
I don't like that today's close was near the low of the day on increased volume over yesterday, but that's no reason not to be patient. I'm looking forward to seeing what Monday brings.
Cost: $297.15
Stop: $287
Risk: 3.42% on trade/.56% of portfolio
put credit spread MCDmacro: snp500 QQQ uptrend
News: inflation flattening
TA :uptrend, but not very strong due to history of deep retracement, price bounced off 100EMA and previous high, entry when it break the recent swing high
STOP: rolling till worthless options
Maccy D'sImagine all the bug Mac's you could buy if you went long McDonald's 10 years ago 🤯
Although I'm very happy for the investors making bank here, I have a sneaky suspicion people are going to ditch the dividends soon and go short.
Maccies new highsTheir commitment to growth, customer satisfaction, and strategic partnerships with delivery services position them well to tap into markets and delivery services, which could drive the company's stock to new heights. With a focus on innovation and customer-centricity. After all these years maccies still has the parking lots packed.
McDonald's stock presents a small level double top shape!McDonald's stock presents a small level double top shape!
This figure shows the weekly candle chart of McDonald's stock from the end of 2019 to the present. The graph overlays the low point of 2020 against the golden section. As shown in the figure, the high points of the past two months have been suppressed by the 2.618 position of the golden section in the figure, and the low point in early June has just stepped back on the 2.382 position of the golden section in the figure! So, in the future, we can use these two positions (280-299) as the key ranges for McDonald's stocks, with a fluctuating approach within the range and a unilateral breakthrough approach outside the range!
Buy the Dip?NYSE:MCD has reverted back to the mean. Another minor low could be expected where Dip Buyers can come in and take it to the range of 300- 305 by end of July. General markets should help NYSE:MCD once it resumes its uptrend rally.
Have Fun!!!
WillTrades
$MCD with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for NYSE:MCD after a positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 90.91%.
MCD ShortI hold a bearish view on $MCD. Our analysis indicates that the stock has been unable to break through a significant resistance level and has closed below it. With the failure to break out, I anticipate a period of consolidation for this stock, potentially leading it down to around $282.
$MCD is consolidating and ready to breakAfter two falling broadening wedges, Mc Donalds is ready to break the highest price, is consolidating in this area, with potential upside of 8% in the near time.
MCD short opportunityNot financial advice.
When price reaches $290.32, i expect to see a strong rejection. Price could reject to one of three levels
$286
$283.63
or $273.26
Nothing is guaranteed, but I've posted further analysis on the chart for those interested. This is all on a daily timeframe, so act accordingly.
It should be noted that i am not looking to see NYSE:MCD create a lower low and initiate a change of structure, this is simply an accumulation type move following the previous higher low.
mean reversion with enhancementsIm looking for mean reversion opportunities in this stock currently. My SL is bassed on time to profit ratio. i dont use stop losses but will get out if theres a 50% decline. I tested for probalistic monthly sharpe ratio outperformance of the s and p 500.
I tested for monthly normality with the kolmogrov smirnov statistic. and looked for a non-significant p-value in order to signify the distibution fitting
I measured the annual sharpe ratio outperformance. I also measured the uler,calmar,sterling and martin ratio to compare ma drawdown, avg drawdown and loss after previous loss using the ulcer index.
I used the hurst exponent to measure if the return distributions are indeed mean reverting then lastly i created a portfolio based around a basket of qualified stocks and maximized its sharpe ratio.
MCD bounce?McDonald's seems to want to reverse off of the .382 daily fib level from recent ATH.
With a close back above the 9 day EMA, i'm interested in seeing if buyers will send it back to the 292-296 supply zone and push through and touch the $300 fib retracement level.
Understanding VWMA - Accu/Dist - OBVBlue flag showed us the decline of The A/D line, before entering sideways.
Sept 30th, showed the lowest price and the lowest OBV line.
When price crossed up VWMA (black flag), there was a significant rise of OBV line, while The A/D line was still in sideways mode.
Jan 19th, when the price and VWMA are still in the sideways, the A/D line slightly rose up meaning there was an adding volume action. Even though The up-days fewer than the down-days (OBV line declined).
March 16th, price crossed up VWMA, the OBV line moved up, and The A/D line has been rising up since Jan 19th.
MCD McDonaldsbearish posture short term, just lost 50MA, vol profile favors a pull back to 275 which is also .618 Fib
MCD - 55 yr EWave Cycle Near CompletionMCD Monthly LOG Chart
This iconic American company's stock is nearing completion of an historic bull cycle.
Very few companies can compare to the consistent return MCD has provided its shareholders.
Am I recommending a short? No... There are much better candidates for that strategy out there.
I'm posting this as an example of a complete Elliot wave cycle with a textbook ending diagonal to finish the run.
A potential harbinger of things to come in the commercial real estate market???
Here is a close up of the ending-diagonal 5th wave
MCD are you rdy for short sell sell 🧨Wow, wow, after a few years, what will happen in McDonald's big company?
McDonald's company has taken enough of its profits from the stock market and Wall Street. The global economic recession will start soon. Do you think that 70% of McDonald's shares will not fall? I will tell you.
Be prepared for the fall of McDonald's shares. I think you should sell your shares today and buy and eat a McDonald's sandwich and laugh at the fall of the company's head.
The targets he will see start at $219.20, then move to the next target of $127.72, and that's where everyone says it's over, but I say he will see the third target, and that target is $91.73. Don't sell $35.
$MCD price soon moving to $298Not financial advice. I believe that the price of NYSE:MCD will very soon reach $298. I'm thinking tomorrow, but definitely by the end of this week.
MCD 298 as predicted yesterdayYesterday i predicted the price of NYSE:MCD reaching 298. Here we are.
McDonald's:A Promising Investment Option Amidst Economy DownturnThe nation's slow economic growth rate of 1.1% in the first quarter and increasing interest rates and spending cutbacks indicate that a recession may be inevitable. Nevertheless, McDonald's appears to be a resilient company that can withstand the economic downturn. Despite price hikes, the fast-food giant has demonstrated strong sales, making it a worthy addition to any investment portfolio.
McDonald's impressive same-store sales growth rate of 12.6% during Q1 2023 indicates robust demand. Even during the Great Recession, the company outperformed the S&P 500 and earned positive returns. While the company's shares are currently trading at a high earnings multiple, its cost-cutting efforts and potential future earnings growth suggest that the stock may still prove to be an excellent long-term investment option. Additionally, McDonald's dividend provides a reliable source of recurring cash flow for investors. Overall, McDonald's stock may be one of the most promising investment opportunities during a recession.
MCD, time to sell!MCD has come off a crazy rally and had slid into major upsloping resistance. In addition, MCD is also very over extended in the eyes of momentum.
I have started a short position here.
McDonald's Reaches Upwards Sloping Resistance LineHere we are looking at MCD on the Daily TF…
As you can see, MCD has run into its macro resistance, at a current price of 298.47. This is the third time MCD has tested this upwards sloping resistance line. Each of the previous two tests led to a sharp sell-off.
Not only is MCD reaching this upwards sloping resistance, but it is also very over extended. For this reason, my bias is bearish, and we can likely expect a sell-off from this level.
I will continue to monitor this chart, and will update you all as I see fit. Trade safely!
Cheers!!
Sneaky short on $MCD based on bearish exhaustionSneaky short on $MCD based on bearish exhaustion
- Close stop loss in case I am wrong
- Not a financial advice
