NVDA Rallying After Trump Roundtable – Will the Momentum Hold? 💥Today’s rally in NASDAQ:NVDA got a little extra fuel after CEO Jensen Huang spoke at Trump’s investor roundtable. From what I’m seeing on the chart, the market liked it—at least in the short term.
Let me walk you through what I’m thinking as I line up the Daily vs. 1H timeframes and weigh that against options sentiment from the GEX chart.
🕰 Daily Chart View:
Price is trying to recover inside a downtrend channel, and today’s candle is testing the breakdown zone around $110–113. Momentum is definitely building, with MACD ticking higher and Stoch RSI pushing into bullish territory. But... we’re still technically below a key breakdown trendline (starting from the $150+ level), so bulls need continuation soon or it risks another fade.
⏱ 1H Chart Analysis:
The 1-hour chart looks a lot more bullish than the daily. After breaking through $107, NVDA exploded through key levels and is now pressing against $113.96 (GEX Gamma Wall) below. That’s also the highest net positive GEX level, so we could be entering a zone of dealer hedging that resists more upside unless flows get really aggressive.
You’ll also notice IVX is elevated (58.2), IVR is low (34.8), and GEX is neutral to slightly green. There’s a CALL-heavy structure forming up to $115, with the market currently coiling beneath it.
🔁 My Thought Process:
I think the CEO's participation in the Trump investor meeting gave institutions some reassurance, and that may explain the sharp bounce from $107. However, unless we can hold above $114 and squeeze into $115–$117, I see this as more of a trader’s move than a longer-term breakout just yet.
🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
* For Calls: Wait for a clean break above $114 → potential target zone: $117–120. Stops below $110.
* For Puts: If price fails again near $113.50–114 and we see weakness into the afternoon, watch for $110 → $107 retrace.
* Neutral: If we chop under the Gamma Wall and IV remains high, premiums may decay fast — sit out unless a clean direction emerges.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
I’ll stay flexible. GEX shows us $113.96 is the tug-of-war zone right now, and if bulls can reclaim and hold above it with volume, we could shift toward a gamma squeeze. But I’m also aware it might be a fade if the momentum stalls now that the Trump headline is digested.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NVD trade ideas
Chart Pattern Analysis Of NVDA
The recent several candles is a consolidation along the resistance.
And the supply pressure keeps at low level.
K1 is a bullish candle and it is also a potential right shoulder of a larger scale bullish head-shoulder pattern.
If the following candles close upon K2,
It is likely that another bull run will start here to test 125USD area.
On the other hand,
If K3 close below the bull gap at K2,
The risk will increase.
Long-110.5/Stop-109/Target-125
NVDA – Losing Steam After Hitting ResistanceNVDA had been steadily climbing in a rising channel for the past few days, bouncing neatly off that lower trendline and giving bulls a reason to stay engaged. But today it finally lost that trendline — and to me, that’s a subtle but important shift in control. Buyers didn’t defend like they had before.
The rejection from the $111–$112 zone wasn’t random either. That area has been a sticky level on the daily chart — a prior swing high and also where a heavy Gamma Call Wall sits based on options data. Price tapped it, hesitated, and rolled over. Now with this break of structure on the 1-hour timeframe, I’m starting to lean cautious.
Momentum is fading. MACD is curling down and looks ready to cross bearish. Stoch RSI is already bottomed out, but there’s no bounce signal yet — just drifting in oversold. It feels like bulls are waiting, but not stepping in aggressively anymore.
On the daily chart, this entire push still looks like a lower high within a broader downtrend. And with price now back near $106.70, it’s hanging just above that key $105 level — which is not only a horizontal support zone but also lines up with a High Volume Level and a major GEX magnet. If that breaks, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price gravitate toward $102 or even the $100 level where the Put Wall sits heavy.
🔧 Trade Setup Ideas
* Short Bias below $108: If NVDA stays below the broken channel, I’m leaning bearish. A clean rejection near $108–$109 offers a good risk/reward for short entries.
* Target: $105 first, then $102. Stop above $109.50.
* Long only if price reclaims the trendline and closes above $111 with volume. That would negate the breakdown and could signal a squeeze back toward $115.
🧠 Options Perspective (GEX-Informed)
* Put Play Idea: Buying a $105 Put for May 3rd expiry (0–3 DTE) could work if price flushes below $106.70. IV is still elevated, but the IV crush risk is smaller on directional moves.
* Gamma Roadmap:
* $105 = High Volume Node + HVL
* $102 = Strong Put Wall (7.5% GEX support)
* $100 = Final magnet if things really unwind
* Call Side Risk: Unless NVDA cleanly reclaims $111, calls above that level are a trap. A bounce back to $110 would be a fade zone unless momentum shifts.
So in short — the trendline broke, bulls are on their heels, and $105 is the level to watch. Until something changes, I’m favoring downside plays but being patient for cleaner setups.
Not advice — just sharing my thinking as I trade what I see.
NVDA LTFLocal price action - the gap from 4/29 was filled in, but it left another gap on 4/30. During aftermarket hours, the price jumped up and approached the weekly level above but got rejected and finished the day red. We got a naked untapped pivot point below along with the range POC point of control.. not a bad week of price action.
From a range perspective price deviated to both sides and finisheded the day seemingly falling back into range. Let's see how the week ends.
Bearish Continuation in PlayAfter an extended distribution phase near the premium zone and a clear break of the ascending channel, NVDA has shifted into a bearish market structure.
Price is currently pulling back into a key supply zone and retesting the bearish trendline. If this area holds, we could see further downside movement with the following targets:
🔻 $88.47 – potential support and short-term consolidation area.
🔻 $41.79 – medium-term target if bearish momentum continues and support breaks.
This bearish outlook remains valid as long as price stays below $153.99, which marks the invalidation level and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
🔍 Market structure is showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish pressure.
$NVDA forming local higher low and above 20-Day SMA NASDAQ:NVDA has traded very poorly recently. Today we are looking at a daily price chart of NASDAQ:NVDA and we have seen many lower lows and lower highs since GTC Conference. After touching the ATH of 150 $, the price is making new lows and has recently touched the lows of 85 $ and made new higher low of 95 $. So, this marks a double higher bottom and now the at 105 $ is now above 20 Day SMA. This might mark a bullish reversal in my opinion.
So why not a trade idea on a Friday. #TGIF. I say we go long NASDAQ:NVDA here and now. Remain long if it remains over the 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day SMA. 200-Day SMA ist currently @ 125 $. If NVDA has a weekly close above 125 $ then we go all in on $NVDA.
Verdict: Long NASDAQ:NVDA here until 125 $. Keep watching this space for next levels.
Nvidia - The Chart Just Told Us So!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) might just still head a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Nvidia perfectly retested the previous rising channel resistance just a couple of months ago, it was quite expected that we'll see a retracement. The overall trend however still remains bullish and if Nvidia drops a little more, the overall bullrun continuation rally might just follow.
Levels to watch: $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ride Nvidia’s AI Wave: Long-Term Promise Amid Short-Term Risks
- Key Insights: Nvidia faces near-term bearish pressures due to U.S.–China trade
tensions, AI chip export restrictions, and tariff challenges. However, it
remains the undisputed leader in AI infrastructure and GPU innovation,
positioning it for long-term growth. Entry points near critical support
levels may offer opportunities for patient investors to capitalize on its
leadership in AI-driven industries. A bullish reversal requires a breakout
above $104.75.
- Price Targets:
*Next Week Targets (Long Position)*
- T1: $103.25
- T2: $108.10
*Stop Levels*
- S1: $98.50
- S2: $94.75
- Recent Performance: Nvidia's stock has struggled within a bearish channel,
underperforming tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq, which have been
weighed down by sector-wide semiconductor weakness. The stock’s lower highs
and lower lows reinforce its short-term downside trajectory, amplified by
regulatory uncertainties and weakened demand from China. These factors have
contributed to gamma exposure-driven speculative price movements around the
$100 zone.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight Nvidia's dominant position despite export
restrictions that may cost up to $5.5 billion. Nvidia continues to drive AI
innovation through its Kyber compute architecture and Dynamo software,
targeting industries like automotive and pharmaceuticals. While bearish
sentiment persists short term, long-term growth prospects remain robust due
to strong U.S. semiconductor policy support and widespread demand for AI
applications. Nvidia’s strategic positioning makes it a desirable asset for
long-term investors despite current macroeconomic risks.
- News Impact: Geopolitical tensions, specifically the Biden administration's
restrictions on advanced AI chip exports to China, remain pivotal for
Nvidia’s stock trajectory. These restrictions are expected to impact
Nvidia’s earnings through 2024. Additionally, escalating tariffs are adding
inflationary pressures, though efforts to negotiate market access highlight
Nvidia’s proactive approach to mitigating restrictions. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s
breakthroughs in AI technology continue to drive optimism for future growth
in multiple industries. Investors should remain vigilant as any easing of
trade restrictions could act as a significant upside catalyst.
NVDIA Short to T1 2 Setups here.
- Both T1 and T2 will be hit as part of my price return to zero system (inflexion points).
- I'm shorting to T1 first and then reverse into long for T2. If it heads to T2 first I'll simply stay in my original T1 short for the duration.
It is of course easy to say that this will either go up or down :-). My system defines targets and there is no rules to say that can only produce a target in one direction. Based on what I see I know with around 95% accuracy that it will hit both with a reasonable timescale. I just don't know which one comes first :).
Either way I'm shorting to T1 in the first instance. It may hit T2 first but that doesn't bother my trading as I still expect T1. I won't go down the route of a martingale to T! if it goes to T2 first!! that's just asking for trouble regardless of confidence levels!
Most people are saying $50... I think $65 after a little bounceI am seeing put open interest and volume spike for PUTS expiring 04/25 for a strike price of $55 that were opened YESTERDAY...
There is over 60,000 contracts open and rarely do these not play out.
It has been my long term target to hit $65 - $60 even before NVDA split there shares.
Lets see tho, the tape for options expiring in late June look bullish at the moment
Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day.
First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion.
The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong.
Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
Where is the Nvidia ball bouncing?Good afternoon, at 15:48 p.m Nvidia is looking towards the up side. A sell off took place over the weekend (great deals).A swing up at least $3 in an accumulation or quick move up is likely. Decent entries to look for adding a steady 5% to 10% in a few days in this high volatile climate.
cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frameWelcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on NASDAQ:NVDA and potential trade setups.
🌐 Overview: NASDAQ:NVDA Forming a Cup with Handle Pattern
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA is currently forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. This pattern is typically bullish and could indicate a potential upward move.
🔄 Current Scenario:
NASDAQ:NVDA has formed a cup shape and is now developing the handle. The handle is a consolidation phase before a potential breakout.
The key level to watch is the resistance at the top of the handle. A breakout above this level could signal a bullish continuation.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance: Top of the Handle (Needs breakout for continuation)
🟢 Target: Measured move equal to the depth of the cup, projected from the breakout point.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
If NASDAQ:NVDA breaks and holds above the handle resistance, it could move toward the target level.
This breakout would confirm the cup with handle pattern and suggest a potential upward trend.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Failure to Breakout)
If NASDAQ:NVDA fails to break out and instead moves lower, it could retest the support levels within the cup or handle.
A failure to hold above key support levels could indicate a potential reversal or further consolidation.
📌 Conclusion
NASDAQ:NVDA is forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. A breakout above the handle resistance could signal a bullish move toward the target level. If the price fails to break out, further consolidation or a retest of support levels may be necessary.
NVDA Time For Bounce?Nvidia has been in a strict downtrend for the last few months, forming a constricting price action in the form of a falling wedge.
Generally, this can be seen as a bullish reversal pattern as "pressure" builds within the wedge before ultimately an explosive move.
I will look to take long trades here with a stop below the previous low with a 1H candle close as an invalidation.
Any potential good news can be a massive catalyst for the market, majorly Nvidia who has been a large target of trumps tariffs in relation to china.
NVDA Options GEX + Trade Forecast – April 23, 2025🔍 GEX Options Overview:
NVDA is experiencing a clear options-driven magnet toward 105–106, with notable call wall concentration and positive NET GEX at those levels:
* Highest positive GEX zone: 105–106 = bullish gamma magnet
* HVL for 3DTE anchored at 97 = strong bounce zone
* PUT walls stacked at 95, 93, 90 showing limited downside support but weakening pressure
* Options Oscillator confirms this bullish lean with green GEX dots, low IVX, and relatively low IVR (40.9)
Despite the macro softness, NVDA has gamma fuel to push up, especially with no strong call resistance until the 105–107 zone. This sets up a favorable risk/reward setup for short-term bullish trades.
📈 Technical Analysis & Trading Outlook:
From the SMC Co-Pilot chart, NVDA is rebounding after forming multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals and is now consolidating under a previous CHoCH level, near the 102–103 zone.
* Trend Bias (MTF): 30m & 15m bullish, but 1h still recovering
* HTF Structure: Bullish SMC structure forming, but caution is required
* Volume: Extreme spike (1.6x) during reversal = institutions may be stepping in
* Setup Status: No trade confirmed yet – but we are in premium zone, so shorts are risky unless structure shifts
* EMA21 is the decision zone; price reclaiming and holding above would confirm further upside
🧠 My Thoughts:
This is one of those setups where the GEX setup is leading price, and technicals are just beginning to catch up. The move from 97 to 102 was gamma-fueled, and any dip toward 100 or 98 may provide high R/R re-entry zones for CALL scalps or spreads.
No trade now unless we get either:
1. A clean pullback to 99–100 and bounce with confirmation (BOS/CHoCH + volume support)
2. Break and hold above 103.5 with strength — then scalp to 106
⚠️ Avoid chasing at highs without confirmation. Volume and structure will decide whether this is a dead cat bounce or start of a new leg up.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with a plan and proper risk management.
NVDA, CONFIRMED BAT, SWING TRADEWait for PA to pullback to VWAP after recent advance (100). VWAP may provide a good entry for a swing to TP2. Good risk to reward, stop just below lower band (light blue) loss = 1% of acct. 30% profit taking at TP1, exit at TP2 or if PA closes under TP1 after hitting TP1.
NVIDIA: From $300B to $3T – Is the Pullback a Setup?Between October 2022 and mid-2024, Nvidia's market capitalization surged from $300 billion to over $3 trillion — a tenfold increase that outpaced the GDP of entire nations such as Russia or Canada. This meteoric rise made Nvidia the largest public company in the world at one point.
A long-term investment in NVDA has dramatically outperformed the broader market. From May 2014 to May 2024, the stock gained over 22,000%, compared to 179% for the S&P 500 and 77% for gold.
However, in 2025, Nvidia stock declined by 43%, raising the question: does this mark the end of the rally or the beginning of a new accumulation phase?
Core Drivers
AI dominance: Nvidia controls 95% of the GPU market used in machine learning applications.
Strategic clients: Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet continue to deepen partnerships with NVDA.
Crypto leverage: The company holds 82% of the GPU market used for mining, benefiting from the renewed crypto upcycle.
Domestic production push: Nvidia is developing over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space in Arizona and Texas, aiming to produce $500B worth of AI infrastructure over the next four years.
Policy support: The US and EU are investing more than $240B to secure domestic chip production via the CHIPS Acts.
Financial Strength
FY2024 revenue grew 114% YoY to $130.5B
Q4 net income reached $22B
Nvidia joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average in late 2024
Announced a $50B buyback program
Executed a 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024
Trading View
After peaking in 2024, NVDA retraced to the $110 area, which now acts as a potential accumulation zone. The next major resistance lies near $150, offering a 35% upside if momentum returns.
The macro backdrop remains highly favorable — AI infrastructure investment continues to accelerate, and the recent correction may reflect short-term positioning rather than fundamental weakness.
Final Thoughts
Nvidia is no longer just a semiconductor company — it is a system-level platform powering the AI economy. With robust fundamentals, strategic expansion, and institutional demand, the current price levels could represent a key medium-term opportunity for trend-followers and long-term investors alike.
#NVDA #Nvidia #Semiconductors #AI #EquityMarkets #TradingViewIdeas
$NVDA – Going Long Long LONGTaking a long position here at $98 – yes, despite the noise.
There’s no denying the pressure across semiconductors following renewed tariff threats from the Trump administration. But I believe this is more short-term overreaction than long-term damage. Any meaningful negotiation or de-escalation could act as a slingshot for these names, especially leaders like Nvidia.
Nvidia's fundamentals remain incredibly strong. The company is still outpacing its peers in AI, data centers, and gaming hardware. Profitability remains intact, and there’s no indication of a breakdown in their competitive edge.
Technicals are giving us some strong signals:
We're seeing a long-term bullish divergence forming.
RSI is approaching oversold territory – rare for Nvidia and historically a signal for strong bounces.
Price is nearing key long-term support levels that held in previous cycles.
I'm positioning early here because I believe the broader market is mispricing geopolitical risk. If the situation improves – and it often does faster than expected – NVDA is one of the first names that will rebound aggressively.
Let’s see how this plays out, but I’m confident this is a high-conviction entry point in the 80's and 90's.
NVDA Recovery in Motion — Bullish Setup BrewingNVDA 6H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📈
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — The chart confirms an early-stage recovery from a key pivot low (April 22), with moderate confidence (4.8%). The structure is forming higher lows, and price is currently above several critical short-term MAs. Trend Score sits at +0.10.
📉RESISTANCE ZONE
🔴 153.1300 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
🔴 149.8423 — SELL ORDER 2
🔴 143.18875 — SELL ORDER 1
🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS
🎯 139.8280 — EXIT BUY & TP 4
🎯 127.7263 — BUY ORDER & TP 3
🎯 119.8750 — BUY ORDER & TP 2 | MID PIVOT
🎯 108.5705 — BUY ORDER & TP 1
📈SUPPORT ZONE
🟢 97.0121 — BUY ORDER 1
🟢 89.9455 — BUY ORDER 2
🟢 86.6200 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW
✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES
Recent bounce from 86.62 pivot low signals strong bullish interest
Key reentry occurred above 97.01, aligning with short-term moving averages
All major short-term and mid-range MAs (10–100) are BUY-rated
Oscillators mixed: MACD and Ultimate Oscillator lean bullish, while Momentum and Williams %R flash caution
Ichimoku Base Line neutral — awaiting trend confirmation
Hull MA diverges from other MAs — short-term caution on overheated price
📉TRADE OUTLOOK
📈 Bullish bias toward TP3 @ 127.72 and TP4 @ 139.82
📉 Short-term pullback likely at 108.57 or 119.87 — use dips as potential reentry
🔍 Watch for rejection near 143.18–153.13 to reassess continuation vs correction
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE TREND FOLLOW:
— Entry: 97.01
— TP: 108.57 / 119.87 / 127.72 / 139.82
— SL: Below 86.62
AGGRESSIVE REVERSAL:
— Entry: 86.62 (Pivot Low Defense)
— TP: 97.01 / 108.57
— SL: Below 83.00
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
NVDA FVG 111.90 I can see now that it has started to move up after all the fakeness in the market. Clear FVG to be filled in the 1 hour timeframe. Price needs rebalance. I am expecting a bounce to 104 in order to cap on orders and move up to close out the FVG. From there we can see what price will want to do.