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NVD trade ideas

NVDA roadmap of Support / Resistance levels going into Earnings NVDA earnings soon that the entire world will be watching. Plotted are key levels mapped by its Genesis and Covid fibs. Look for the move to stop and rebound at one of these zones. $ 140.35-141.09 is the first resistance above. $ 148.64-150.04 is the All Time High resistance. $ 122.25 is a Golden Covid fib for bulls to hold. $ 111.63-113.56 is pretty much Bulls' Last Stand See "Related Publications" links to the right ----------->>>> for previous plots that played out EXACTLY. .
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EuroMotif
Nvidia (NVDA) Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Nearing Its EndThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) indicates a bullish trend unfolding as an impulse structure since the low on April 21, 2025. From that low, the stock completed wave 1 at $111.92. The stock then followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which bottomed at $104.08. The subsequent rally in wave 3 displayed strong momentum, characterized by a nested impulse structure in a lesser degree. Within wave 3, the first sub-wave, wave ((i)), peaked at $115.40, with a brief dip in wave ((ii)) to $110.82. The powerful wave ((iii)) surged to $136.89, followed by a shallow pullback in wave ((iv)) to $132.65. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $137.40, completing wave 3 on a higher degree. The corrective wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag pattern. From the wave 3 peak, wave ((a)) declined to $130.59, wave ((b)) rebounded to $134.23, and wave ((c)) completed the pullback at $127.80, finalizing wave 4. NVIDIA has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 5. As long as the pivot low at $104.08 holds, the stock is expected to extend higher in wave 5, completing the cycle from the April 21 low. Following this, a larger-degree three-wave pullback is anticipated, offering a potential pause in the bullish trend.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Elliottwave-Forecast
NVIDIA Stock Weekly Outlook: Support Holds Strong as $185 TargetThe weekly chart of NVDA shows a strong continuation pattern forming after a period of consolidation and a healthy pullback. The recent price action confirms a bullish stance, with a fresh bounce off support and momentum gradually shifting in favor of the bulls. ________________________________________ Long-Term Uptrend Confirmed The blue ascending trendline drawn from early 2023 remains intact, showing that the overall trend is still bullish. NVDA has respected this trendline multiple times, with each touch followed by a renewed upward move. This week, the price rebounded once again near this trendline, confirming its role as dynamic support and signaling renewed buying interest. ________________________________________ Resistance and Breakout Potential The key resistance level is marked at $152.98, which represents the recent weekly high and a psychological barrier. This level has acted as a ceiling in past attempts, but the current structure and momentum suggest a potential breakout if volume confirms. Above this level, there's clear air up to $185, where the next major resistance sits, and which also acts as the projected target in this trade setup. ________________________________________ Support Holding Strong A strong support zone around $93.40 is clearly defined and has already triggered multiple rejections. NVDA recently saw a sharp bounce from this zone after a downward rejection, signaling that institutional buyers may be active here. This area is the foundation of the current bullish case. ________________________________________ Momentum Turning Favorably The True Strength Index (TSI), shown at the bottom of the chart, is emerging from a low region. While not yet fully bullish, the indicator is starting to turn upward, suggesting early signs of momentum building. If TSI crosses above the midline in coming weeks, it could confirm the start of a sustained upward move. ________________________________________ Trade Setup • Entry Zone: $138 to $140 (current price range) • Stop-Loss: $110 (beneath the last significant swing low) • Target: $185 (aligns with the next major resistance and top of risk-reward box) • Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.5:1 • Setup Bias: Swing to mid-term bullish continuation ________________________________________ Conclusion NVIDIA’s weekly chart is aligning in favor of the bulls after a healthy consolidation and support retest. The price remains within a strong uptrend channel, and momentum is gradually improving. A breakout above $152.98 would likely attract more volume and set the stage for a rally toward $185. The risk-reward setup is favorable, making this a strong candidate for bullish swing positioning heading into Q3 2025.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SupertradeOfficial
NVDA Just Broke Structure – Bounce or Breakdown Incoming?📊 NVDA GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Overview) NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) closed at $135.13, down nearly 3% on Friday, and has now pulled back from the gamma resistance cluster between 140–145. GEX sentiment is cooling, and the chart shows we just lost the HVL (High Volume Level) around 137.5, putting bulls in a tricky spot. GEX Levels to Know: * 🟢 Positive gamma stack at 140 → 145 → 150, with 143.9 as the next key magnet IF price recovers. * 🟥 Heavy dealer put interest below 134 → 130 → 125; GEX sharply negative down there. * 🧊 IVR 10.2 = super cheap options → ideal setup for directional trades using debit spreads. 💡 Options Strategy: * Bullish: If NVDA reclaims 137.5, play for bounce back to 140–143. Look at Jul 19 140c or 137.5/145c spread. * Bearish: If it fails to reclaim 135 and breaks 133.25, play toward 130–131. Look at Jul 19 132p/125p vertical. Dealers may flip short under 133, increasing the chance of acceleration if support breaks. 🕵️‍♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing/Intraday View) The 1-hour chart tells a clear story: NVDA broke short-term structure with CHoCH and BOS under 135, and is now channeling downward with a falling wedge-type pattern. The SMC supply at 143–145 held strong. Key Notes: * ⚠️ Breakdown from rising structure, now forming new bearish channel. * 🟩 Short-term CHoCH support near 133.25 is key — if lost, opens 130 fast. * 🟣 Momentum + RSI screaming overbought → likely a lower high if it bounces to 138 area. 📈 Swing Setup: * Short bias while under 137.5. * Entry: rejection near 136–137 * Target: 133.2, then 130.4 * Bull case only resumes if we reclaim 138 clean → invalidates the breakdown. 📊 Intraday Playbook: * Short bounce into 136.25–137.5 (previous BOS zone). * Long scalp bounce off 133.25, but only for short-term risk-controlled play. Bias = Bearish unless 137.5 is reclaimed. Don’t fight the momentum. 🧠 Final Thoughts NVDA has shifted from leader to potential drag — at least near term. The structure is broken, and GEX is aligning with downside momentum. IV is cheap, making this a great week for defined-risk option plays, whether you’re looking to fade pops or scalp breakdowns. ⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance. Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection) Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50 — Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed — $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support — EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal — Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative. The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TotoshkaTrades
3
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup. 📉 Technical Breakdown Current Price: $135.13 False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49) Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12) Probable Retest Zones: 0.618 Fib: $124.98 0.5 Fib: $121.25 Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone) 🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook ⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside. 📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace. 💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption. 🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025) AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays. SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback. Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key. 🧠 Institutional View This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play. 🧭 Trade Setup Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12) Target: $119.25 Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone) Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation 📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow. #NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Nvidia Maintains Bearish Bias After EarningsNvidia released its quarterly earnings yesterday, and since then, market confidence triggered a significant bullish gap that pushed the stock price up by nearly 5%. However, in recent hours, a new bearish bias has started to emerge, steadily closing the gap as the market digests the company’s latest report. Nvidia reported $44 billion in revenue, slightly above the $43 billion expected, while earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.77, below the $0.87 forecast. Nevertheless, the most notable aspect of the report was the announcement of an estimated $8 billion revenue loss due to U.S. export restrictions. In response, CEO Jensen Huang strongly criticized these measures, warning that they could negatively impact the company’s performance in the coming months. Uptrend Channel Remains Intact Since early April, Nvidia has maintained a steady upward channel. Although a slight bearish bias has emerged recently, it is not yet strong enough to pose a threat to the broader bullish trend seen in recent months. Therefore, this technical structure remains the most important pattern for the upcoming sessions. Technical Indicators: RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show signs of a possible bearish divergence, as lower highs on the RSI contrast with higher highs in the stock price. This mismatch could signal short-term corrective movements. MACD: The MACD, meanwhile, continues to oscillate around the zero line, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure. As long as the histogram remains near this level, it suggests neutral momentum in price direction. Key Levels to Watch: $140 USD: Current resistance level where short-term selling pressure may emerge. $150 USD: Distant resistance around January highs. A breakout toward this level could support a stronger bullish channel. $125 USD: Important support that coincides with the 200-period moving average. A bearish move toward this level could break the current bullish formation. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREXcom
NVDA: Ascending triangle break, bull flag on S/R retestHey traders! I'm back and once again, I've spent almost the whole evening (lol) trying to figure out the odd, strange price action we've seen from NASDAQ:NVDA over the past few weeks, and especially today! As we all know (I assume), Nvidia failed to disappoint on earnings once again, and we saw a HUGE gap up overnight, as far as up to the $143 mark. However, we soon began to see a dip. That's fair, as traders will likely sell and take profit. However, the dip became a larger dip, and Nvidia finished the day basically at 3.2%. But it seems that the pullback may been pretty healthy. Because as you can see from the chart, Nvidia has been forming an ascending triangle ever since the 14th May. That was after the sweet run it had prior to that. It has tested the £136-137 area as a major resistance line ever since until finally, a strong earnings report sent Nvidia above the line. After the gap up, throughout the day, the stock went into a controlled, composed downward channel which what we like to call, a bull flag. This is taking into consideration market hours, not extended hours. This bull flag is bullish in its own way, but it is also a sign of a retest of the $136-137 resistance zone. This is officially a support zone now. A successful retest from this support zone will cause a bounce, especially from the support trendline, and likely send the stock towards $140+, possibly extending its reach to $150 if broader market strength (Nasdaq) continues. On the contrary, a dip below the support line and a crash below the red support trendline, would likely send the stock lower to $133 as next support. As long as Nvidia maintains $136-137, the bulls are in control. Note: Not financial advice. Please do your DD.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by michaeldobski
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25) Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Mixed technical signals—bullish on daily, bearish on 5-minute; neutral overall; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish; recommends buying the $128 put at ~$3.60 for a 50–100% profit target; confidence 72%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish but views premium/risk as unfavorable for buying; instead suggests selling the $130 put; confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Strong intraday bearish technicals and negative sentiment; recommends buying the $120 put at ~$1.24 as a day trade; confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Moderately bearish but sees premiums >$1 as too rich; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: • Overall moderately bearish bias for NVDA into weekly expiry. • Rising VIX, max-pain near $126, and negative news support downside. Disagreement: • Trade/no-trade: Grok and DeepSeek pass, Claude, Gemini and Llama propose trades. • Strike selection: Claude prefers $128 put; Gemini $120 put; Llama sells $130 put. • Strategy type: All bearish ideas are buy puts except Llama, which suggests naked put selling. Conclusion Overall Market Direction: Moderately Bearish for the week ending 2025-05-30. Recommended Trade: Buy a weekly put to capture the expected pull toward the $126 max-pain level. • Instrument: NVDA 2025-05-30 $128 Put • Entry Timing: At market open • Entry Price: $3.65 (ask) • Profit Target: $5.48 (≈50% gain ⇒ midpoint sell or scale) • Stop Loss: $2.56 (≈30% loss) • Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • Intraday oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce. • Theta decay accelerates late in the week—need timely exit. • Holiday-shortened week may damp momentum. • Liquidity is good at the $128 strike but bid-ask spread and slippage can impact execution. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 128.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 5.48, "stop_loss": 2.56, "size": 1, "entry_price": 3.65, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 10:57:51 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: NVDA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 128.00 💵 Entry Price: 3.65 🎯 Profit Target: 5.48 🛑 Stop Loss: 2.56 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 10:58:05 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by quantsignals
NVDA When the Dome is Pierced but the Crowd Doesn’t Cheer.NVDA pierced the dome. But the market didn’t roar—just whispered. You’d expect prices to leap on headlines like “hyperscalers buying hundreds of thousands of H100s and B200s.” But instead, we’ve seen price hesitations… rejection wicks… and a quiet fade into the resistance box. That’s the tell. The “bull case” is loud—CoreWeave, Meta, and Microsoft are all investing capex in datacenter growth. Headlines scream demand. Analysts raise price targets. AI buildout is the macro story. And yet… NVDA can’t sustain above 137. Technically, this is what I'm seeing: A clear inverted dome pattern—price pierced through, but volume didn’t confirm. Rejection within the gray box: 134–137 remains a trap zone. Rising wedge structure beneath, with weakening RSI momentum. Key levels to watch: 137.50: Failure here confirms the fakeout. 134.28: break below, and the dome reasserts control. 130.64: losing this brings 119.59 into play—fast. Fundamentally, the risk is timing: Much of the demand for NVDA’s next-gen chips is already pre-booked. Margins on the newer nodes may face pressure. The buyer base is concentrated: a few hyperscalers dictate 80% of the flow. If AI expectations plateau—even temporarily—valuation multiple compression is severe. And then there’s the macro: 10Y and 30Y yields are pushing higher after a soft CPI print. Moody’s downgrade lingers in the background. Japan’s bond market is wobbling. The bond lords are watching—and if they whisper “not at these yields”, risk assets will reprice. This isn’t about fear. It’s about understanding silence. When the loudest news doesn’t move price, something else is pulling strings. Positioning note: I hold puts. 5 contracts. Small size, but high conviction setup. This isn’t just about charts—it’s about recognizing when perception has outpaced inflow, and when liquidity begins to vote. The dome was pierced. But without volume, it’s just vapor. And when vapor meets gravity, price falls—silently.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by gumoca
10
$140 NVDA to the downside?I am seeing a previous ORD Block to be tested at $139/140 after that I might expect some sort of "news" to break and start a selling to fill both Gaps on the downside before it continues. It might happen or not, but my experience shows me manipulation is quite real. And we got to account for that guy that saw the market collapse before anyone you know that famous housing problem that even made a movie about it? He is shorting NVDA as well. I do not believe in any of them, but I would be careful. Unless NVDA doesn't break strongly above $140 and retest without problems. I would bet going down eventually too. For now going up.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by soymundo21
NVIDIA Pre-Earnings – Why is it rising already?First of all — thank you all for the support on the previous analysis: over 900 views and 36 boosts! 🙏 A common question came up: "Why is NVDA rising if earnings haven’t been released yet?" Simple: the market is anticipating. There’s strong expectation that NVIDIA will once again outperform when it reports on May 28. That alone has brought in early buying pressure — both institutional and retail — and we’re seeing that reflected in the current price action. 🧠 This is what we often call "buy the rumor". NVDA is also benefiting from: Renewed strength in the tech sector High demand for AI infrastructure Clear leadership in its industry I entered the position ahead of the move, based on fundamentals and a strict risk management plan. If earnings deliver, the CALL option should accelerate significantly. If not, I already have a defined stop-loss strategy in place. This is not about guessing — it’s about staying disciplined. Let’s see how the next 48 hours unfold. 🚀📈
NASDAQ:NVDA
by perezliz37
What to Watch in Nvidia Earnings and Key Technical LevelsStock markets around the globe are turning their focus to one key earnings report: Nvidia. AI has been the primary driver of the U.S. stock market over the past few years, and Nvidia’s earnings are widely viewed as the best indicator of growth in the AI sector. The correlation between Nvidia and broader U.S. stock performance as well as its influence on global equities, crypto, and FX is strong enough for the world to fixate on this report. Nvidia is expected to report $0.88 EPS for the first quarter of FY2026, representing a 43.36% year-over-year increase, but a slight decline quarter-over-quarter. The company previously guided revenue between $42.14 billion and $43.86 billion, with market consensus currently at $43.317 billion, in line with that range. The key revenue stream, Data Center, is expected to generate $39.357 billion, reflecting 74.44% growth. Some analysts are forecasting as high as $42.051 billion for this segment alone. At a forward P/E ratio of 27.6x, Nvidia is trading well below its 1-year (32.1x), 2-year (33.7x), and 5-year (40.1x) historical averages. This more favorable valuation, coupled with strong AI tailwinds, could present a solid medium- to long-term buying opportunity if earnings and guidance support the growth narrative. After breaking out of the downtrend, NVDA approached the 140 resistance level but failed to break through. Following the upcoming earnings release, if Nvidia pulls back to either 118 or 110, those levels could present buying opportunities, assuming the report isn’t significantly negative. It’s worth noting that sometimes real market expectations run much higher than the analyst consensus, which can lead to a selloff even after a strong earnings report. The 154 level remains the key resistance for now, and in our view, a breakout this week carries a relatively low probability. If the report tomorrow exceeds expectations, 154 could still act as a barrier and trigger some profit-taking by Nvidia bulls.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ftdsystem