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NVD trade ideas

3/20/25 - $nvda - Patient, but path to $10 tn (LONGER READ sry!)3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA Patient, but path to $10 tn - as we reflect on this crack tape, i'd like to share a few thoughts here, hopefully keeping it a bit punchy and we can duke it out/ debate in the comments. - objectively, the level of HPC/ AI compute is accelerating up the S curve. - nvidia's customers are the most price inelastic buyers you could want in a recession. microsoft. tesla. amazon. nation states *cough*. these aren't BNPL customers ordering burritos and a side of GPU chips thru doordash. - NVIDIA's platform won. such that they don't screw the pooch and their 35k engineers all focused on a singular issue don't decide to go solve some unrelated market (/sarc bc we know Jensen's style), effectively there's no "rebuilding" NVIDIA. ASICs will eventually come, but they won't dominate. In the chip business, there's a reason each vertical tends toward 70... 80... 90% market share players. - the real issue here, when i run the math (and i've built out my own model tn to wrap my head around this all), is really *where* we are on this S-curve. the mkt is concerned about a few things, and actually, the macro/ risk assets and long-duration i.e. discount rate seem to be more important than fundamentals. that's a good thing, BUT, in the short-term it can really dislocate price. and price tells a story. and that story can distract. it can avert your attention. it can make you nervous (on the converse, fomo). so it's good to have a clear idea of what's going on here, which is why i underwent this exercise. - all-else equal, as beats, communication and sector dominance remain (and they don't need to be massive beats, just not misses that portend lower growth in the terminal), my estimates put NVDA's mkt cap close to 10 tn. - but at shy of $3 tn today, that 3x LIKELY will take 2-3 years to play out and will largely be driven by the short term climb of the S-curve, and more immediately driven by, again, terminal rates. - fair value today ex-beats but with lower terminal rates likely takes the stock toward $5 tn (and i'd expect this to be a reasonably year-end target) or a stock of $200. let's call that move 2/3 "macro" and 1/3 "fundamental" - and the remainder of the move toward doubling likely happens over the following 2 years because more data will need to be collected by the market to assess this dominance, cash generation etc. etc. - okay this isn't a punchy write up... at this pt. excuse me! - so what's the downside? again, there's a lot we can and should duke out in comments to shorten the conclusion here, but i'd suggest something closer to $2 tn for a variety of reasons. that's nearly 30% downside or a stock in the $80s. do we get there? no clue. but in this environment, we've seen how deepseek headlines, blackwell overheating rumors (which btw remain), asic announcements, chinese "competition" etc. etc. all affect the bid. and i'd suggest that a 30% downside for a potential 70% upside into year-end remains a great risk-reward here at $120 today. - my guess would be that long-term buyers accumulate at these levels and we probably get taken closer to the $130s... even $140s before this becomes more of a complicated equation. - that being said, it's a clear buy, IMO, at this price, in a YE context and especially in a multi-year context given downside to upside potential and the work i've put in here. truly a one-of-a-kind asset that has actually held it's own against BTC in the last 10 years (THE ONLY of any real market cap) TL;DR - still a great buy at $120 - downside below $100 and it's obvious. buying that fear, possibly on leverage in the $80s. - not using leverage ST in this environment - YE target of $200 - unfortunately more of a macro punching bag ST but fundamentals remain the meat of the 2-3 year move and so far, don't see any flaws. lmk what u think. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
NVidia Long Lurking. 93% Win Rate.This morning I finished back testing NVidia from 1999. I used 25k as the start up capital but that is besides the point. The Point is that indicators are pointing out that the next long around is "around the corner". Similar to TESLA but NVidia has bigger. When can we expect this to happen? So on average from when the indicators start whispering that a long position might be coming up is an average of 60 days. But following simply this methodology is risky on its own as some signals are produced 15 days and some at 160 days. There is also another approach that intrigues me. A handful of the signals are almost back to back which is great for multiple entries when you measure just these the average is about 240 days. This coincides with Crypto's ETH which has given its heads up signal, which is an average 241.5 days. This all speculation at the end of the day and the signal will come when it does. So why post this if it could be that far ahead? I thought I would let people know that indicators are whispering. Here are some other indicators to take note of: The higher timeframes are a bit more clearer at the moment. The snapshot as of now indicates some sort of move downwards. This could be 96-98 region in the shorter term especially if we are expecting 60 days before a buy signal is produced. The back testing did also reveal that no signal was produced from 2011 to about 2018. It did catch the massive moves up but the exit signal did cut the party short in a few trades. The last signal was in October 2022 which was the Covid Rally. So it could indicate something big is coming globally but let me put my tinfoil hat down. Stay adaptable and Open minded.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Thundercat131
4
$NVDA and Elliott Wave.My reasoning; Wave 2 of the Wave was a Zigzag from the weekly time frame, and as per the rules, Zigzags must be followed by Flats in any correction-- meaning our Wave 4 must be a Flat. Indeed, Wave 4 is a Flat, seen clearly in the daily time frame and it begins after Wave 3(in Black), with a three wave move that is not deep enough to be a correction. This is normal for Wave A in any Flat and is labelled in Dark Blue. After Wave A was completed, we would expect a Wave B and as per the rules, Wave B must go beyond Wave 3's ending. This can be clearly seen in both the daily and weekly time frames. Back to the daily time frame and we can take a closer look at Wave B that is still unfolding. Elliott rules dictate that B must be a three Wave move with two impulses and one corrective wave. The first impulse was formed and the second(corrective) was a Flat which is a corrective structure. Now all that is left is the third wave which will be the second impulse that will complete the Wave B(Dark Blue). Upon completion of this Wave B we could expect a Wave 4 to the downside. All these Waves have been measured by the Fibonacci Retracement tool.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by machariavictor017
BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events. NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical. The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”: > an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins) > overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders > AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs > soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive > OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+ I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run! This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by sholi_software
5
Nvdia has a new Aggressor.The boxes you are observing are the Larger scale supply and demand zones. These areas map out the current large liquidity. This includes the newest Player (collective players). This new player has been aggressively on the 17th and 18th. Why does identifying a new aggressor matter? New aggressors shape the way we view previous areas of supply and demand. Some look at the price getting to their target, without giving any thought to HOW it gets there. In this instance: Previous supply and demand have been established (we do not know how big they are or who is stronger). Some clues we do have is how it approaches these areas, and new aggressors can give us the clues we need... Will it bounce off demand? or fulfill it and continue lower? New aggressors can put more pressure on these Demand or supply zones simply because they are becoming more aggressive closer to these areas. Prediction Scenario 1 Rolling over, and touching the 106 demand zone. Get's bought up, and new aggressors presents themself (bringing more demand). Price Target = 123. If there is continued demand through this area, a case can be made for a 138 target before a correction/ reversal. Scenario 2 New demand chews up this new aggressor. We should then have a bullish run to 131. 131 would present itself as a great short-term options (short). Scenario 3 Rolling over with NEW (short) aggressors. This will put tons of pressure on the 106 players, and hopefully the 96's hang on (not charted). Please feel free to share you input, thank you for taking the time. Happy Trading!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by thecafetrader
I HAVE A NEW STRATEGY! Watch it work for me. SAYS SELL🚨 Exclusive Trading Opportunity – Limited Time Only! 🚨 I've developed an amazing new trading strategy that’s completely unique and never seen before! It’s called the Skyline Scalping Strategy, and it’s designed to pinpoint market direction with extreme accuracy—something that can easily be back-tested by reviewing my previous predictions. For a limited time, I’ll be posting daily trade signals based on this strategy, allowing you to see exactly where I anticipate the market will move next. Whether you're an amateur trader or a seasoned professional, this is your chance to witness something game-changing in action. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I’m not providing financial advice—just sharing the direction I am planning to make money. The Skyline Scalping Strategy works exclusively on the daily chart, so stay tuned and watch as the predictions unfold! FOLLOW NOW and don’t miss out on these powerful insights! 📊🔥 Vertical lines are colored and placed to indicate the expected direction of the price. Just my thoughts.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by terencej
1
NVDA at a decision point, same area as September 2024Price as of my analysis: $113.76 NVDA is sitting at a major horizontal support zone around $113.50. This level acted as strong support in June 2024 and again in September 2024, where it launched a 34% rally toward the $152 range. Price is now testing that same level again — this is a key decision point. If this support breaks, my first downside target is $104.70, followed by $100.96. The $100 level is also psychological support and could attract buyers if tested. At the same time, NVDA is also pressing against a downtrend line that began in mid-February 2025, starting from the ~$143 level. Price rejected off this trendline again on Monday, confirming sellers are defending it. The 10 EMA and 20 EMA on the daily chart sit around $119. For any upside to unfold, NVDA must reclaim these levels. Above that, we’re looking at resistance between $125–130, which is a confluence zone: Downward-sloping 50 SMA Flat 200 SMA The prior uptrend line from May 2023, now acting as potential resistance If the bounce begins here at $113.50, reclaiming the EMAs would be the first bullish signal. Clearing the $125–130 area could open the path back to $141, which was the breakdown candle from February. On the weekly chart, the same $113.50 level shows as significant. The weekly EMAs are starting to turn down, and this week’s candle is showing signs of indecision — suggesting a potential reversal or further breakdown is brewing. Watching how this week closes will be key. Summary: Holding $113.50 = potential bounce toward $119 → $125–130 → $141 Losing $113.50 = likely flush to $104.70 → $100.96 $100 = psychological support and probable strong demand zone Currently at the intersection of major support and downtrend resistance = high-stakes decision zone
NASDAQ:NVDA
by emanuelaelias
NVDA) Approaching Critical Resistance – Breakout or Rejection?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook 📌 Current Price: $118.79
 📌 Trend: Reversal in Progress with Key Resistance Ahead
 📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour Price Action & Market Structure 1. Bullish Reversal Underway – NVDA bounced strongly from the $115 demand zone, forming a higher low structure. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed – Buyers took control, pushing above recent resistance. 3. Change of Character (ChoCh) Detected – Indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. 4. Key Trendline Test – NVDA is now pressing against the upper trendline resistance, a crucial level for either breakout or rejection. 5. MACD & Stoch RSI – Showing bullish momentum, but approaching overbought conditions, signaling possible short-term consolidation. Key Reversal Detection & Trendline Details to Watch * Reversal Zone Detection – The red box indicates the prior liquidity grab area, where sellers were exhausted, leading to the current reversal. * Trendline Resistance – The current uptrend is testing the diagonal resistance level. If NVDA clears $120–$122, it may lead to an acceleration toward $125–$130. * Trendline Support – If rejected at $120, expect support retests at $115, followed by $110 PUT Wall support if selling pressure returns. Key Levels to Watch 📍 Immediate Resistance:
 🔹 $120 – $122 (Trendline & Minor Resistance)
 🔹 $125 – $130 (CALL Resistance Zone)
 🔹 $135 – Major Gamma Target Level 📍 Immediate Support:
 🔻 $115 – 2nd PUT Wall Support
 🔻 $110 – Highest PUT Support & Major Reversal Zone
 🔻 $104.77 – Critical Downside Risk Level Options Flow & GEX Sentiment * IVR: 24.5 (Low Implied Volatility, favoring directional moves) * IVx: 50.5 (-6.71%) (Declining volatility) * GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bearish Bias, but improving * CALL Walls: $125 & $130 (Potential take-profit zones) * PUT Walls: $115 & $110 (High liquidity zones where buyers may step in) 📌 Options Insight: * Above $120, NVDA could see a momentum breakout toward $125+, forcing dealers to hedge by buying shares. * Below $115, risk increases for a test of $110 PUT Wall, where liquidity is concentrated. My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation 🚀 Bullish Case: A breakout above $120 could accelerate NVDA into $125–$130 due to CALL gamma buildup.
 ⚠️ Bearish Case: If NVDA fails at $120 and loses $115, expect a retest of $110, which aligns with major PUT support. Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes) 📌 Bullish Play:
 🔹 Entry: Above $120 Breakout
 🔹 Target: $125–$130
 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $115 📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea):
 🔻 Entry: Rejection at $120
 🔻 Target: $115 – $110
 🔻 Stop Loss: Above $122 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly. Final Thoughts NVDA is in a critical breakout zone. A strong move above $120 could lead to a sharp rally, while failure could send it back toward $115–$110 for a potential retest. Stay patient and watch for confirmation before entering a position.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Nvidia Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving CarsNVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving Cars. Also in another news, IBM Taps NVIDIA AI Data Platform Technologies to Accelerate AI at Scale. Apparently, shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is undeterred by all this news presently down 3.43% trading with a weak RSI of 44. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point is acting as support point for shares of NVidia a break below that pivot could lead to a dip to the 1-month axis. Similarly, a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point could catalyse a bullish renaissance for $NVDA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
4
Nvidia - That's Officially The Brutal End!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is breaking all structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Following previous cycles, Nvidia has been rallying for more than 2 years, creating an overall pump of approximately +1.000%. But now, everything is literally pointing to a significant towards the downside and with a potential drop of -30%, bears are totally taking over Nvidia now. Levels to watch: $70 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
57
Going Long on NVDA !NVIDIA (NVDA) has been a powerhouse stock, riding the wave of AI, gaming, and data center demand. Recently, the stock experienced a correction, which might have caused some investors to hesitate. However, from an Elliott Wave 2.0 perspective, this pullback was nothing more than a natural ABC correction following a classic 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave—a textbook setup for long-term bulls. Understanding the ABC Correction in NVDA In Elliott Wave theory, after a strong five-wave rally, the market typically experiences a three-wave pullback (ABC correction) before continuing its long-term uptrend. This correction serves to shake out weak hands, reset overbought conditions, and set the stage for the next bullish impulse. The A-wave is the initial drop as profit-taking kicks in. The B-wave is the temporary bounce, often mistaken for a continuation. The C-wave completes the correction, offering smart investors an ideal entry point. NVDA’s recent pullback aligns perfectly with this structure, meaning the next leg up could be just around the corner. Why NVDA Remains a Strong Long-Term Bet AI Dominance – NVIDIA is at the center of the AI revolution, with its GPUs leading the industry. Data Center Growth – Demand for high-performance computing continues to surge. Technical Reset – The stock has worked off overbought conditions and is finding new support levels. The Opportunity: A Strategic Long Entry Now that the ABC correction has played out, NVDA presents an excellent long entry for those looking to ride the next bullish wave. With strong fundamentals and a technical reset, the stock is primed for another 1-2-3-4-5 impulse move, potentially leading to new all-time highs. For traders who understand market structure, this is a golden opportunity to go long before the next explosive rally begins. 🚀
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SabahEquityResearch
2
NVIDIA’s crushing it as the undisputed king of AI chipsNVIDIA’s crushing it as the undisputed king of AI chips, owning a jaw-dropping 70-95% market share. Their GPUs are the beating heart of data centers worldwide, powering the AI revolution with unstoppable momentum. Last four quarters? A cool $80B in revenue—growth that’s pure rocket fuel. Net margins at +56% scream profitability, while a forward P/E of 23.3 (cheaper than Starbucks!) makes it a steal for this kind of dominance. EPS projected to soar +29% annually over the next five years? That’s long-term winning vibes. Their Blackwell Ultra chip, set to drop at GTC today, is about to flex even more muscle, and the Vera Rubin superchip’s got tech heads buzzing. Zero debt worries, industry-leading margins, and a massive addressable market—NVIDIA’s fundamentals are a fortress. Sure, trade war noise and a 10% YTD dip spook some, but this oversold gem (RSI 34) is primed to rally hard. Jensen Huang’s a visionary steering this beast, and with AI demand exploding, NVDA’s not just hot—it’s molten. Time to ride this wave, Freund!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by imcnf5c4ff
3
I HAVE A NEW STRATEGY! Watch it work for me. SAYS BUY🚨 Exclusive Trading Opportunity – Limited Time Only! 🚨 I've developed an amazing new trading strategy that’s completely unique and never seen before! It’s called the Skyline Scalping Strategy, and it’s designed to pinpoint market direction with extreme accuracy—something that can easily be back-tested by reviewing my previous predictions. For a limited time, I’ll be posting daily trade signals based on this strategy, allowing you to see exactly where I anticipate the market will move next. Whether you're an amateur trader or a seasoned professional, this is your chance to witness something game-changing in action. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I’m not providing financial advice—just sharing the direction I am planning to make money. The Skyline Scalping Strategy works exclusively on the daily chart, so stay tuned and watch as the predictions unfold! FOLLOW NOW and don’t miss out on these powerful insights! 📊🔥 Vertical lines are colored and placed to indicate the expected direction of the price. Just my thoughts.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by terencej
2