NVD trade ideas
NVIDIA WEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. SUPPORTED BY EARNINGS GROWTHIF weekly rsi breaks through the trend we will see a big run up, supported by blackwell and the ai revolution. simple and reliable :)
PT: +300
NVDA Descending ChannelThe inverse H&S on NVDA didn't really play out. Never reclaimed $140 for more than a few minutes. Overall semis have been relatively weak this week. Still waiting for the bulls to step in on this thing as they usually do on all drops.
Might not be in the cards this time, but the market conditions support a recovery and if it can manage to breakout of this channel and reclaim $140 it has a lot of potential for another run to ATH. Downside target is still around $131.50 if it can't reclaim $140.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Daily AnalysisNVIDIA (NVDA) Daily Analysis
On the daily time frame, NVIDIA has already broken out of a triangle pattern and is now forming a potential head and shoulders pattern. Here’s the breakdown of the current structure:
Gray support zone: A critical level to monitor. If this level breaks, the next significant support is the purple support zone, which also aligns with the Point of Control (POC) at this level.
If the price retraces to the purple support zone, it could present a potential entry opportunity with proper confirmation.
Based on the projection from the triangle breakout, the green zone remains a key target for later upward momentum.
This is a free idea I’m sharing with the community. If you find value in my analysis, your likes, shares, and follows would be greatly appreciated. I take the time to share my insights, and your support motivates me to keep doing so. 🙏
Thank you!
Trading Journalpost earnings, the sellers volume has increased.
Will revisit in future but right now trying to keep the gains
Looking tired at this point and needs to reset itself
NVDA- Target Achieved: $135 Hit – Post-Analysis & Market DynamicOutcome Recap: A few days ago, I shared my analysis on Nvidia, highlighting a potential target of $135, which has now been successfully hit. This move was aligned with my expectations as Nvidia showed signs of selling pressure within the marked resistance zone while buyers stepped in around the upper part of the green box.
Key Highlights from My Previous Post:
Selling Pressure (Säljare Zone): The $150-$154 resistance area proved to be a significant barrier, with sellers stepping in strongly as predicted.
Buy Zone ($135 Area): Buyers held firm in the $132-$135 range, a level that had previously shown consistent strength during dips. This zone remains a critical area to watch for future rebounds.
Supporting Market Dynamics: I previously mentioned that Nvidia could face challenges due to:
Overstretched valuation compared to competitors like AMD and Intel.
Google emerging as a strong player in AI-training chips, adding competitive pressure.
General market conditions suggesting profit-taking and reduced buyer momentum.
What Happened Next? Interestingly, while Nvidia hit the $135 target, Google surged—an outcome that aligns with my thesis about Google’s growing competition in the AI chip sector. Meanwhile, AMD and Intel continued to struggle, further validating the narrative of shifting market dynamics.
What’s Next?
As the market evolves, I’ll be closely watching the $135 support zone to see if buyers maintain strength or if a broader market weakness pushes prices lower. On the upside, any breakout above the $150-$154 resistance could signal a renewed bullish momentum. Stay tuned for more updates!
Fibonacci Trend Trading Strategy for NVIDIA (NVDA)Objective:
To capitalize on the momentum following a breakout or breakdown from key Fibonacci levels, particularly focusing on the 0.764 level which NVDA has recently broken down from.
Strategy Outline:
Setup:
Timeframe: Daily chart for broader trend analysis.
Indicators: Fibonacci retracement levels (0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.764, 1.0).
Lookback Period: 90 days for calculating Fibonacci levels.
Entry Conditions:
Long Position:
Enter when the price crosses above the 0.236 Fibonacci level after a recent dip below 0.764, indicating a potential reversal or strong bullish momentum.
Short Position:
Enter when the price breaks below the 0.764 level, as seen in your chart, signaling a strong bearish trend or continuation of the downtrend.
Exit Conditions:
Long Exit:
Exit if the price breaks below the 0 level or shows signs of reversing back below the 0.236 level.
Short Exit:
Exit if the price breaks above the 1.0 level or shows signs of reversing back above the 0.764 level.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
For longs, place a stop loss just below the 0.236 level.
For shorts, place a stop loss just above the 0.764 level.
Position Sizing:
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, but typically, risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital per trade.
Additional Confirmation:
Use RSI (Relative Strength Index) for confirmation:
For longs, ensure RSI is not in the overbought territory (>70).
For shorts, ensure RSI is not in the oversold territory (<30).
Trade Execution:
Long:
Execute buy order when the price closes above the 0.236 level with a confirmed upward trend.
Short:
Execute sell order when the price closes below the 0.764 level, confirming the bearish trend.
Monitoring:
Regularly monitor the positions for any unexpected news or volume spikes which could affect the stock's movement outside of the technical setup.
Strategy Rationale:
The Fibonacci levels provide clear support and resistance zones which are crucial for trend analysis.
Breaking below a significant level like 0.764 often indicates a strong bearish sentiment, while bouncing back from such levels could signal a bullish reversal.
Using RSI helps in avoiding false breakouts or breakdowns by ensuring the market isn't already overbought or oversold.
This strategy leverages both technical analysis and risk management to trade NVIDIA based on its recent price action against Fibonacci levels, aiming for high probability setups with defined risk parameters.
NVDA to $170K EOYWith the Magic Linear Regression Channel by @mwrightinc, we built a channel on the daily chart that shows that NVDA looks like it may be beginning a bounce from the channel baseline. Using the Multi-VWAP indicator by @mwrightinc, we can also see that today, NVDA reclaimed the 5 Day anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP). We can also see that after we lose the bearish data from 5 days ago that we will have a rising 5-Day AVWAP, which, according to Brian Shannon of AlphaTrends, is a MUST before entering into any long positions. NVDA also reclaimed the 50 Day AVWAP. Another very bullish sign.
With a second Magic Linear Regression Channel, or by just drawing a trendline from the pivot high close from June 18th, 2023, we can see that $135.58 was broken as support, but yesterday's large bottom wick and today's continued upward momentum suggest that the level may be reclaimed in the very near future.
I see two potential scenarios playing out. A bullish one, where NVDA not only reclaims the 135.58 support, but heads back up to the top of the 1 1/2 year-old channel that has been respected at multiple levels. And, a bearish one, where NVDA continues to fall that is indicated by its recent break of a neckline from a double-top.
I believe the bullish scenario is more likely, because NVDA has already had a big move down from its earnings, and it actually beat estimates all around. NVDA is a beast, and I'm guessing that it has the potential to reach $170 by the end of the year, if the bullish scenario plays out.
NVDAI Defy to find those who are weird enough to hit levels that explain about 80% of price movement...well I'm not the one...but check these pretty print.
no levels, just scan the chart and find what you want...colors are a bit much
Will not release why these lines work and hit where they do...You cant fit what the chart says, so make it up ;}
NVDA: A Deep Dive into Critical Gamma for Tomorrow's actionGamma Exposure (GEX) Levels and Price Action:
1. Key Levels Identified:
* Highest Positive NETGEX (Call Resistance): $150
* A significant resistance zone that aligns with market makers' hedging activities to balance their gamma exposure.
* 2nd Call Wall: $145
* Intermediate resistance with a moderate gamma buildup, representing a potential pause in upward momentum.
* 3rd Call Wall: $142
* A key pivot point where price may either consolidate or face selling pressure if approached too quickly.
* HVL (Hedging Volatility Level): $139
* A dynamic level where market makers manage their gamma risk. This could act as a magnet for the price in the short term.
* PUT Walls:
* 2nd PUT Wall: $135
* Strong near-term support that aligns with a large hedging zone for puts.
* 3rd PUT Wall: $130
* A significant defense level, likely to hold unless broader bearish sentiment dominates.
2. Price Action:
* NVDA is currently trading around $135.30, sitting at the 2nd PUT Wall. A bounce from this level could lead to a retest of $139, while a breakdown might see it gravitate toward $130.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
1. MACD:
* The MACD line is in bearish territory but shows signs of potential convergence. Watch for a crossover near support levels for confirmation of a reversal.
2. Stochastic RSI:
* Currently oversold, suggesting that a short-term bounce may be imminent. However, caution is warranted if broader market sentiment remains negative.
3. Trendlines:
* Downward-sloping resistance aligns with $139, reinforcing its significance as a potential pivot zone.
Options Strategy Plan:
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If NVDA bounces above $139:
* Call Option Entry: Strike price at $145, expiration within 1-2 weeks.
* Target: $145 (next resistance level).
* Stop-Loss: $133.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If NVDA breaks below $135:
* Put Option Entry: Strike price at $130, expiration within 1-2 weeks.
* Target: $130 (major support zone).
* Stop-Loss: $137.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* If NVDA consolidates between $135 and $139:
* Iron Condor Strategy:
* Sell a call at $145 and a put at $130.
* Buy a call at $150 and a put at $125 to limit risk.
Recommendation for Expiration Date:
* Short-Term Expiry (1-2 weeks): Ideal for directional trades based on gamma positioning.
* Longer Expiry (2-3 weeks): Allows time for price to test broader levels while mitigating time decay risks.
Summary of Gamma Insights:
* The $135 level is critical for NVDA, acting as a near-term support zone.
* A move above $139 aligns with positive gamma momentum, making $145 a plausible target.
* The $130 level is the ultimate defense point, with significant PUT walls indicating strong buyer interest.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risks accordingly.
NVDA Supply Concerns are Overrated Increased military activities by China around Taiwan raise concerns over potential disruptions to semiconductor supply chains, especially since Taiwan hosts TSMC, Nvidia's (NVDA) primary chip manufacturer. While no immediate direct impact on Nvidia's stock price or operations is reported today, the risk of supply chain interruptions could lead to stock volatility, investor caution, and potential long-term strategic adjustments by Nvidia regarding manufacturing diversification.
NVDA - head and shouldershi traders,
NVDA is not looking good here.
The head and shoulders pattern has formed and the price may be ready to break down.
Enter short position once the breakdown occurs.
The technical target is at 116-114 area shown on the chart.
Goodluck
NVIDIA BREAKS BELOW!! Signs of Impending DropWe have seen the price close the day under the daily trendline trailing the lows of the uptrend for over two years. We have a view in mind to expect this decline and this only adds solidity on to that scenario.
Further and way more interesting is that in the current point we stand in the price, it seems as if we are about to see a third wave move down which should be accompanied by an increase in volume and acceleration of the price. Now this is not a foregone conclusion as the price structure could still diverge into other more complex scenarios but it is fair to say the third wave down is among the most likely, if not outright the most.
If we end up indeed amid a third wave, the 147 high should hold strongly until the rest of this current impulse wave is finished.
Happy trading :)
NVIDIA Bulls Are About To Return AgainAfter NVIDIA reached the magic mark of 150 dollars, a strong pullback set in. The end of the success story? Probably not!
As has been the case for several years, it looks more like the bulls are taking a deep breath to storm back up to 150 dollars and establish this mark as a floor.
After the sell-off, NVIDIA has now stabilized at an attractive entry level, so the chances of a successful long trade are good.
NVIDIA’s Next Move: Are We Headed to $160 or Dropping to $118?Good morning, trading family.
NVIDIA just hit a big level, and now we’re seeing it pull back. Here’s what I’m watching:
1️⃣ First stop looks like $134.75.
2️⃣ From there, it could go one of two ways:
We get a bounce, and NVIDIA pushes back up to the $160s.
Or, it keeps sliding to $128-$130.
If those levels don’t hold, we could see it drop even further to $118.
This is one of those times where it’s all about watching the levels and letting the chart tell us the next move. Trade what you see.
What do you think—are we bouncing or dropping lower? Let me know your take below, and hit like and follow if this breakdown helps.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
$NVDA $135Short term puts here. $135 target first then break down and retest $130 zone supports I have trend lined. Short term puts.
Mirroring pattern but break down. Looking for a pop to $143-$144 to enter short term puts. Check the Elliot Wave. Scarier bear.
WSL
NVDA LONG SET UPTitle: NVDA Stock BUY
Asset: STOCK
Symbol: NVDA
Order Type: MARKET BUY
Time Frame: 1D
Platform:Robinhood/webull/mt4
Entry Price 1: $137.50
Entry Price 2: $133.50
Stop Loss: $130.50
Take Profit 1: $142.50
Take Profit 2: $147.50
Take Profit 3: $154.50
Status: ACTIVE
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in ChinaNvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in China
On 21 November, our analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock price revealed:
→ The continuation of a long-term upward channel (illustrated in blue).
→ The significance of resistance at the psychological level of $150.
Since then, NVDA’s stock price has failed to surpass the highlighted resistance level, despite stock indices reaching record highs, indicating Nvidia's relative underperformance compared to the broader market. It seems the AI-driven rally may be losing steam.
Investor concerns were heightened yesterday by news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Nvidia, suspecting the company of violating the country’s competition laws. In response, Nvidia stated that it complies with its obligations wherever it operates and is ready to cooperate with regulators.
Following this announcement, NVDA’s stock price experienced a modest decline, further reinforcing a bearish outlook.
Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that if the price fluctuations since September are viewed as forming a channel with curved lines (drawn in black), it becomes evident (as marked by an arrow) that the lower line has shifted its role from support to resistance — a bearish signal.
In this context, the situation appears balanced, with buyers and sellers consolidating NVDA's price within a range of $132 to $150. The eventual breakout from this range could result in a significant swing—but in which direction?
According to TipRanks, analysts remain optimistic:
→ 37 out of 40 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for NVDA is $176.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Don't Miss the Second Wave of AI Opportunities!Are you still regretting missing out on NVIDIA's 10x growth? This time, you may not need to worry. The second wave of AI is forming, and this time, the opportunities are not limited to hardware, but are fully penetrating enterprise-level applications. For investors, this is an unparalleled new window of opportunity.
A Look into the Future: The Development Patterns of AI
Reviewing history, from the power revolution a century ago to the internet revolution in the 1990s, we see similar development patterns. Each revolutionary technology wave will go through three key stages. Let's take the internet revolution as an example:
Infrastructure Construction Stage
In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the internet was just emerging, and its applications were still very limited. The companies that benefited most were those in the foundation layer, such as Cisco and Intel.
The first stage of AI development was similar, with chip giants like NVIDIA driving the construction of AI infrastructure.
2. B2B Application Rise Stage
In the mid-1990s, the internet gradually entered the enterprise-level application field, with CRM and supply chain management software emerging, improving corporate production efficiency.
AI is currently entering this stage, with companies optimizing operational processes using AI technology to achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement.
3. C2C Consumer-Level Application Popularization Stage
In the late 1990s, various C2C killer applications began to emerge, such as Amazon, PayPal, and Yahoo!, which became familiar companies.
Now that the first wave has stabilized, the question is: when will the second wave arrive in B2B applications?
Many ordinary people have a feeling that AI applications are limited to chatbots like ChatGPT, and that true killer applications have not yet arrived or will take a long time to develop.
As a result, some people believe that AI investment is still too early, and that what's being blown up now is just a bubble.
Indeed, we can see that C2C applications are still in development and will take a long time to mature. However, in B2B applications, AI has already been widely deployed and has shown significant effects in certain specific fields. It's just that ordinary people haven't yet felt it.
As investors, we must be more sensitive than ordinary people because corporate changes will be critical to the second wave of AI.
The Second Wave of AI: The Golden Era of Enterprise-Level Applications
The following graph is a summary of the top-ranked industries in which AI-driven companies are most likely to benefit.
As for software companies like ETFIGV, we can see from their financial reports that AI is driving significant improvements in corporate operating efficiency.
The following graphs show the gross margin and EBITDA margin of three typical software companies: Shopify, Salesforce, and ServiceNow.
Explaination:
Gross margin reflects the main product profit of software companies, while EBITDA margin reflects the company's operating profit after deducting depreciation and interest.
In other words, it represents a company's ability to generate profits from limited resources.
We can see that these three companies have seen significant improvements in their EBITDA margins over the past two quarters while maintaining stable gross margins.
Data does not lie; this may indicate that AI is already seeing effects in enterprise-level applications.
• Shopify: By optimizing internal processes using AI, it maintained stable gross margins while improving EBITDA margins and directly driving stock price growth by 30% after reporting earnings.
• Salesforce: It launched its "INS Instant" AI tool to automate 370,000 tasks, saving 50,000 hours of labor time and significantly improving employee efficiency.
• ServiceNow: Its AI accelerated data extraction speed by 53%, work flow efficiency by 27 times, and RPO growth by 26%, providing more powerful workflow optimization services for enterprises.
These data clearly show that AI is not just a buzzword but brings actual efficiency and profitability improvements to enterprises.
Snowflake: A Breakthrough in Enterprise Data Analysis
Snowflake's case is more representative. This data analysis platform focuses on providing intelligent operational support to enterprises using AI technology.
This quarter's RPO increased from $52 billion to $57 billion, reflecting enterprise trust in its AI capabilities. CEO's "All-in-AI" strategy not only drives data mining efficiency but also drove its stock price up by 30% after reporting earnings.
Insurance Industry Digital Transformation: AIFU and BGM's Strategic Cooperation
The insurance industry is an important target area for AI transformation due to its information-intensive nature. It is at the forefront of digital transformation, especially with AI technology driving it forward.
AIFU's smart future has already achieved insurance industry transformation through its core product "Duxiao" platform.
"Duxiao" is an AI-driven insurance platform developed jointly by AIFU and Baidu. By combining big data and AI technology, it can provide personalized insurance solutions for customers.
The platform analyzes customer health insurance needs, education planning, and wealth management needs in depth and generates highly customized insurance configuration plans. This has significantly improved agent productivity and accuracy while reducing operating costs.
As of December 2023, AIFU's revenue reached $31.98 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.98%. Net profit was $2.89 billion with a year-on-year growth rate of 237.25%.
AIFU's PE ratio (TTM) is only 3.5 times. In comparison to industry giants such as Prudential (PUK) and AXA (AXAHY), which have PE ratios above 12 times or even higher than AIFU.
AIFU's strategic acquisition of two subsidiaries by BGM on Friday includes core technology assets such as "Duxiao" platform. BGM is a global pharmaceutical and chemical company that has actively promoted its AI strategy in recent years.
By integrating AI with data analysis, BGM is reshaping its business model towards a more intelligent future.
How to Seize Opportunities in the Second Wave of AI?
What kind of companies will ultimately succeed? I can share with you my thoughts on what kind of companies need to possess these characteristics:
Strong Competitive Moat: Companies that can continuously strengthen their competitive barriers through AI.
Data Monopoly Advantage: Companies that build models using high-quality private data rather than public data.
Flexible Business Model: SaaS platforms with pay-as-you-go pricing models have more scalability and profitability potential.
Strong Execution Ability: Agile and decisive management teams that can quickly deploy technology.
Conclusion:
The future belongs to those who dare to layout!
NVDA Elliott Wave Analysis: Potential Bullish Reversal ZonesThis post analyzes NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) using Elliott Wave principles on the 4-hour chart.
Key highlights include:
1. A corrective ABC pattern nearing completion, with Wave (4) projected in the blue target zone between $117.21 (1.382 Fib extension) and $125.36 (Wave 1 level).
2. Potential bullish reversal expected within this zone, aligning with a confluence of trendline support.
3. Upside targets for the next impulsive wave: $146.81 and $167.27, marking Fibonacci resistance levels.
4. Stop-loss level strategically set at $112.67 to manage risk effectively.
This setup anticipates a continuation of the bullish trend upon confirmation of the reversal. Trade cautiously and follow your strategy!
Thinks againCould it be that this stock will drop further? Today, a report came out stating that China has launched an antitrust investigation. However, it's clear that this is a positive step to maintain the technological leadership that the U.S. requires from its manufacturers. Therefore, this news is not a catalyst for a decline. What we can observe is a well-formed symmetrical triangle(B) at the apex of a megaphone pattern(A), similar to the one Bitcoin created a few months ago to reach 100K.
SHORT NVIDIA!!🔴 SHORT NVIDIA!!
Well yes, you got me... this is such a clickbait title, isn't it?
But NASDAQ:NVDA has shown, for the first time in several months, a short opportunity that bears should not ignore.
The bull trend that we have since September has been broken and we are not retesting the trend.
It's a great moment to sell with:
🔴 50% short with:
-> stop loss at just 2% over the blue trendline.
-> 3% take profits over the red dotted trendline.
This first 50% should give you in a few days a 3% return.
🔴 The other 50% short with:
-> stop loss at just 2% over the blue trendline.
-> 10% take profits over the red dotted trendline.
This combination allows you to risk just a 2% while giving you the chance to lock in a risk-free trade very soon and maintaining the other 50% for a longer term short.
🟢 What if I'm a NVILIVER?
If you believe in NASDAQ:NVDA you could buy more stock over the red line, hopping that the support works and new highs are reached, but right now it's better to stay neutral if you are bullish in my opinion.
