Retracement Back To The 50'sI kept this trade on the DL. I just wanted to say Elliott wave works for any of you doubters out there. Do not over analyses just back test until you find the strategy that works for you.
PP1 trade ideas
PAPA Johns is going down on bearish structurePAPA is in a structurally long term down trend and has a confirmed broken support and will go down very strong.
$KHC To $50 With earnings coming up and the overall expectation is positive. I can see based on the chart that we can possibly regain the $50 region.
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) is a prominent player in the consumer staples sector, known for its extensive portfolio of well-established brands such as Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, and Philadelphia. These brands have secured a significant presence in households globally, contributing to the company's stable revenue streams.
In 2023, KHC reported revenues of $26.64 billion, marking a slight increase from the previous year. Earnings also saw a notable rise, reaching $2.86 billion, which represents a 20.82% growth.
Analysts currently maintain a "Hold" consensus on KHC stock, with a 12-month average price target of $34.07, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 16.24% from its current trading price.
However, it's important to note that the consumer goods industry is experiencing a strategic shift. Companies like Unilever are increasingly focusing on beauty and wellness products, which are exhibiting higher growth rates compared to traditional food items. This trend reflects a broader industry movement towards sectors with more robust growth prospects.
Investors should also be aware of Kraft Heinz's significant intangible assets, including goodwill, which may be subject to future write-downs. Such adjustments could impact the company's financial statements and stock valuation.
In summary, while Kraft Heinz boasts a strong brand portfolio and has demonstrated recent financial improvements, potential investors should consider industry trends and the company's financial structure when evaluating its investment potential.
Papa Johns Pizza | PZZA | Long at $37.00Warren Buffett goes for Dominos ( NASDAQ:DPZ ), but I'm here for Pappa Johns $NASDAQ:PZZA.
Pros:
Earnings are forecast to grow 10.92% per year
Revenue grew from $1.8 billion in 2020 to $2.1 billion through Q3 of 2024 - expected to continue to rise through 2027
Free cash flow expected to improve
5.1% dividend
A lot of options awarded to insiders in 2024 and limited selling
Technological advancements in AI/ordering/processing may reduce long-term costs
Technical analysis shows stock may be coming out of a downtrend in low $30's (but exercise caution - very early)
Cons:
Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow
Dividend is not well covered by free cash flows
May have some near-term struggles due to weakening economy
Technical analysis shows possible drop to the $20's if bad earnings/outlook are revealed (another personal buying opportunity)
While there may be some near-term economic headwinds, I like the stock and the future of companies like NASDAQ:DPZ and NASDAQ:PZZA as AI is integrated to reduce costs. Thus, at $37.00, NASDAQ:PZZA is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$45.00
$50.00
$60.00
$100.00+ (very long-term outlook to close the existing price gaps on the daily chart)
$PZZA Papa John's International, Inc.Channel Breakout
Major Yearly Candle Support tested
D50sma on alert
Better Ingredients, Better Pizza, Better ProfitsPapa John's blows Dominos out of the water, and it is about time the market realizes that.
PZZA a Compelling Long Term Buy? Value/Contrarian PlayPZZA starting to look attractive at current levels. Looking to go long once it breaches the long-term support range highlighted in green.
This is not financial advice. Good luck!
Ideal TGTS =Covid's low @ $28.55/ 2012 Major Trend line @$36.92Two major targets here for PZZA as illustrated on the chart all else absolute !
Major trend line starting from 2012's low and the second one is Covid's low!
Both are legitimate technical reversal points !!!
PZZA'S Divers on the weekly chart still on going @ 22 weeks !Since the IPO we have had many weekly divers as such on the chart, as of
this week we stand at 22 weeks Our MAX weekly divers was 56 Zoon in
and go back to see data on the chart !!
Hurst's 4.5 Year cycles is in "Time wise"=Trough is close or notHurst's Cyclic Theory:
The basic tenant behind this theory is that markets achieve significant lows (or troughs) at the beginning (or end) of a cycle. Cycles have varying degrees based on wave length (in time) and are harmonized with the higher level cycles.
- Blue is 4.5 starting the day of the IPO !!!
Current ratio, cash ratio and Debit ratio!! Should be consideredNot an expert on this, but these ratios seems to be talked about allot by
financial experts when analyzing companies. In general they mean the
ability of PZZA'S ability to pay its short/long term debits
PZZA Cash & Equivalents very low = Fundamentally bad Yes/No ?According to different figures on line interest payments on debt for PZZA in 2024 will be above FWB:40M !!! Q4 could be $10M !!! $7M will be left on hand !!!
Not a financial advisor/analyst but this thing is so low !!!
Technically is bottoming Vs Fundamentally ( I do not know)
Papa Johns $PZZA 🚨 Stock Update: Papa John’s Pizza NASDAQ:PZZA 🍕📈
NASDAQ:PZZA has closed above the black horizontal resistance line – a bullish signal! ✅ Now, patience is key as we watch for consolidation. A steady base could pave the way for the next big move upwards! 🚀
Keep an eye on this one! 👀 #Stocks #Trading #BullishMomentum #PapaJohns
Quarterly support for PZZA since 2014 = $28-$38History will repeat it self ?
A. Yes
B. No
On the other hand: "Berkshire Hathaway, added two new stocks to its equity portfolio: Pool Corporation and Domino's Pizza." Not Papa Johns !!!
Correlation Coefficient btw SP500 and PZZA - The relation between SPX and PZZA is at one of the lowest since the IPO !!!
- Yes we could go lower
- RSI and MACD suggest the is it $30ish is our trough land
*** Or this is irrelevant and we crash to 20ish !!!
Levels not seen since IPO, trough lands unless 1929 crashNothing to say here exept that these levels of RSI has not been seen since IPO of PZZA back in the day. This is troug lands or not and we go sub $30 hitting lower trend line !!!
PZZA, unless we are having 1929 Recession then W R trough landsDay of the IPO is day number one !
3 different Hurst's cycles in alreay !
- The big question have we bottomed yet or we go high 20ish !!!
Papa Johns ShortPapa John's has approximately 292 locations in Florida. These restaurants are spread across various cities, including Orlando, Tampa, and Boca Raton, among others.
It occurs to me who is going to be buying Pizza in florida at these locations when all their houses are flooded? what is happening to the Pizza restaraunts? are they going to be flooded?
Puts at 9d strike price, give enough time for ppl to realise they are not going to be eating much pizza considering the scale of the Hurricane Crisis.
Share your comments below
Heavily Oversold, Uptrend soon :)Pzza have reached extreme OVERSOLD territory. Everytime when this happened. Pzza rebounded strongly. Pzza also reached trendline and i believe it will rebound soon. on the 4H timefrime we can see BULISH DIVERGENCE. I bought shares of Pzza. PAY ATTENTION: No leverage.
Uptrend can be between 14%/23% Withing 1/2 month time period. So this is POSITION TRADE :).
NASDAQ:PZZA GETTEX:PP1
Papa John's International PZZATHE stock to watch in the next few Days/weeks/months or so.!
-Major support area starts @ $42.87
-Last line of defense is @ $28.55
-Range $42-$28
-Ever probable, applicable & all else absolute
A good opportunity to buy PizzaPapa John's seems to be very undervalued and there seems to be a good buy opportunity in the upcoming week
Papa John's ($PZZA) Q4 Earnings Review: Is Now the Time to Buy?Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA ), the renowned pizza delivery and carryout chain, recently released its Q4 FY2023 earnings report, revealing a mixed bag of results that have left investors contemplating their next move. Despite beating analyst expectations on certain fronts, the company fell short in terms of revenue, raising questions about its growth trajectory and investment potential.
Q4 Financial Performance:
In Q4 FY2023, Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA ) reported revenue of $571.3 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.6%. However, this figure fell short of analysts' estimates by 1.2%. On the bright side, the company exceeded expectations in terms of non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), posting $0.91 compared to the projected $0.72, marking a substantial beat of 26.6%. Additionally, Papa John's witnessed a notable surge in free cash flow, climbing 137% from the previous quarter to $40.4 million. Despite the revenue miss, the company managed to achieve a gross margin of 30.4%, up from 29.9% in the same quarter last year.
Operational Highlights:
Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA ) ended the quarter with 5,906 store locations, marking a net increase of 200 over the past 12 months. Furthermore, the company recorded a marginal uptick of 0.1% in same-store sales year on year, indicating stable performance in its established locations. Notably, this marks the fourth consecutive year of positive North America comparable restaurant sales, according to Papa John's President and CEO, Rob Lynch.
Assessing Growth Potential:
Despite its solid operational performance, concerns linger regarding Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA )growth strategy, particularly in light of its declining same-store sales over the past eight quarters. While the company benefits from economies of scale due to its size, it must address consumer perceptions about the healthiness and quality of its offerings in an increasingly health-conscious market. Moreover, the deceleration in projected sales growth over the next 12 months raises questions about the sustainability of Papa John's expansion efforts.
Investment Considerations:
For investors evaluating Papa John's as a potential investment, several factors warrant consideration. While the company's robust gross margin and earnings beat demonstrate operational efficiency and profitability, the revenue miss and stagnant same-store sales growth underscore challenges in driving top-line growth. Additionally, the absence of guidance in the earnings release leaves investors in the dark regarding management's outlook for future performance. At its current stock price of $69.8 per share, Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA ) valuation must be carefully weighed against its business qualities and recent financial results before making an investment decision.
Conclusion:
Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA ) Q4 earnings report presents a mixed picture of the company's financial performance and growth prospects. While surpassing analyst expectations in EPS and gross margin, the revenue miss and ongoing concerns regarding same-store sales growth warrant caution for prospective investors. As Papa John's navigates evolving consumer preferences and market dynamics, investors should closely monitor developments and assess whether the current valuation aligns with the company's long-term potential.
Papa John's ($PZZA) Announces Strategic Growth InitiativesA Deep Dive into the Pizza Giant's Path to Success"
Papa John's ( NASDAQ:PZZA ), a renowned player in the pizza industry, recently unveiled its Back to Better 2.0 initiative along with compelling strategic growth initiatives as part of its roadmap for the future. The announcement, made ahead of the 26th Annual ICR Conference, shed light on the company's plans to drive comparable sales growth and enhance operational efficiency. This article explores the key highlights of Papa John's recent developments and analyzes the potential impact on the stock's future value.
Back to Better 2.0: A Comprehensive Strategy for Growth
Papa John's CEO, CFO, and VP of Investor Relations provided a sneak peek into the company's long-term strategic initiatives during an analyst-led fireside chat at the ICR Conference. The focus is on driving comparable sales growth and increasing average unit volumes (AUVs) through targeted investments in North America marketing, operational improvements, and international effectiveness.
Noteworthy Achievements in 2023:
The preliminary results for fiscal year 2023 indicate a global system-wide sales increase of approximately 5%, driven by 210 net new units, including 57 in North America. North America experienced a 1% increase in comparable sales, marking the fourth consecutive year of positive growth. The company attributes this success to sustained sales growth during the pandemic and foundational improvements in restaurant operations, digital solutions, and marketing platforms.
Strategic Growth Initiatives in North America:
Papa John's North America operations have been a focal point for the company, and the CEO, Lynch, expressed confidence in the future trajectory. The corporate and franchise teams have not only delivered positive comparable sales but also made foundational improvements in various aspects of the business.
1. Enhanced National Marketing Investment and Effectiveness:
- In 2024, Papa John's plans to activate a new marketing strategy based on a comprehensive review conducted in 2023.
- The company aims to improve audience selection, offer differentiated category solutions, enhance marketing return on ad spend (ROAS), sustain loyalty, and create cultural buzz.
- Franchisees have voted to increase the contribution rate to the National Marketing Fund by 20%, providing more fuel to accelerate comparable sales growth.
2. Accelerate North America Development:
- Papa John's is eyeing untapped and underserved markets in North America, aiming to accelerate development in 2024 and beyond.
- A development incentive has been designed to deliver higher restaurant-level EBITDA margins during the first five years of operations, enticing growth-driven franchisees.
Price Momentum and Investor Sentiment:
Currently trading in the middle of its 52-week range and near its 200-day simple moving average, NASDAQ:PZZA seems to be in a phase of evaluation. This neutral sign suggests that investors are still assessing the stock's potential, and it is generating momentum gaining about 3.90% as at the time of writing.
Conclusion:
Papa John's Back to Better 2.0 and the outlined strategic growth initiatives paint a positive picture for the company's future. With a focus on driving sales, enhancing marketing effectiveness, and accelerating development in key markets, PZZA seems poised for sustained success. Investors keen on a player in the pizza industry with a solid track record and a forward-looking approach may find Papa John's an attractive prospect amidst its ongoing transformation.
As always, investors are advised to conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions. The upcoming discussions at the ICR Conference are anticipated to provide further insights into Papa John's strategic vision and potential catalysts for future growth.
