PLTR Just Had a Rug Pull – Here’s What I’m Watching👀
So PLTR had a solid ru lately — we broke out of that long downtrend in April, started building higher lows, and ripped all the way to the $125 zone. But yesterday? Oof. Big red candle straight off resistance. That move flushed through the trendline and parked price right around $108 — a level we really need to hold or it starts to look weak.
🧠 My Thought Process:
* Daily Chart shows we’re still in an overall uptrend since March, but this latest pullback is sharp. MACD is starting to roll over, and Stoch RSI already crossed down. I don’t like that combination when we’re at resistance.
* 1H Chart confirms the break of the rising trendline. We dropped fast on volume, found a floor around $107–108, and now we’re just consolidating. Could be a base forming — or a bear flag.
🧲 GEX and Options Insight:
* Gamma ma shows $121–125 as the heavy call resistance zone. That’s our ceiling for now.
* On the downside, $100 is massive PUT support, and there’s a wall sitting at $98.72, which I think could be a magnet if bulls don’t step up.
* GEX is super bearish right now — three red circles, and CALL$ is up at 26.7%, meaning there’s a good amount of overhead pressure. IV rank is also high, so premiums are inflated.
⚔️ Trade Ideas I’m Considering:
1. Bearish short-term:
If we break below $107, I might go for a Put debit spread targeting $100–98. That setup keeps risk-defined and aligns with the GEX magnet zone.
2. Neutral bounce play:
If we reclaim $110+ and start seeing strength with volume, maybe a short-dated Call scalp up to $115, but I’d be quick to cut it. That GEX wall at $121 is brutal resistance.
🔁 Summary:
Right now, PLTR is at a decision zone. The bulls lost momentum, and the options flow is leaning bearish. If we get a bounce, ’m not chasing unless we clear $111–113 with strength. Otherwise, I’ll be watching for a grind lower toward $100–98.
This week might be chop, so I’ll stay nimble.
Disclaimer: This is just my view and how I’m planning. Do your own DD and manage your risk.
PTX trade ideas
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put together by: @currencynerd
courtesy of: @TradingView
Palantir has a 7 peg ratio, it was cheap at 2. now what?palantir stock is trading at 7x its growth rate in pe, over 200 pe.
Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch would hate this valuation, even though the business is great.
Id be a buyer at 33, roughly where the 200 week or 1000 day moving average is, but thats because I want bargain prices and growth stocks.
PALANTIR Channel Up intact. Eyeing $185 on this rally.Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up and is currently on its most recent Bullish Leg following the approach f the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Having also rebounded on its long-term RSI Support Zone, the buying pressure is the strongest we've seen inside this pattern, having recovered all loses in just 4 weeks.
Given that the most usual rally was +183.03%, we expect this Leg to reach at least $185.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation | (May 2025)PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation + Hype Exhaustion Risk | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Palantir has been riding the AI hype wave, but valuations are extremely stretched. Despite strong growth, price action shows signs of slowing — making this a "watch closely" rather than "chase blindly" setup.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Watching for short setup — not entering yet
Entry Zone: If price retests $19–20 and stalls again
Stop Loss: Above $121.50 (breakout continuation risk)
TP1 (potential short): $117.00 — minor structure support
TP2: $15.50 — deeper pullback zone
TP3 (optional): $113.90 — if broader correction plays out
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Fundamentals at a Glance:
Revenue: $2.87B | Net Income: ~$460M
Market Cap: $291B (!) — over 10x revenue, signals extreme overvaluation
P/S Ratio: 19x
Price to Cash Flow: 272x — typical range for healthy companies is 20–40
EPS and Book Value: Weak vs market cap (Tangible BV: $2.13)
Beta: 2.45 — very volatile
✅ Business Model:
Palantir builds AI-driven software for government and commercial use. Notably, government revenue and commercial segments both grew ~40% YoY — great performance, but possibly priced in already.
❌ Current Market Behavior:
Everyone's talking about PLTR — hype levels are extremely high
Price currently sitting near previous all-time highs
Technicals show signs of exhaustion — money is slightly flowing out on 30min charts
Daily chart still bullish, but 4H shows price stalling — a correction seems likely
A dip to ~$19 or lower (4–5% pullback) would be normal, even healthy
❌ Short Setup Caution:
Although the chart leans bearish short term, this is a hype-driven stock. Fighting it blindly with a short could be risky. If a correction does set in, it's more likely to be a measured move rather than a full trend reversal — for now.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be watching for a short opportunity if rejection confirms near $20–21. No position for now — observing price behavior closely as hype may still carry it higher in the short term.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Down to 70$ ?The quarterly report just above expectations
P/E ratio over 600
The double top on the chart
The spending cuts by the US government, which is the main client
All the ingredients are there for a significant decline that could go down to the blue support where the 200-day SMA (blue line) will be located, around $70.
Pltr $151 🧠 Palantir Bull Thesis: $136–$150 Short-Term Target (Post-Earnings)
Price Target Range:
Base Target: $136
Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align)
Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout
Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry.
Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility.
Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified.
Catalyst 2:
Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks
Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation
RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition
Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week
📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150.
Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup
Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150
Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew)
If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential
Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention
Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok
Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1
High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names
Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum
AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies
Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise”
CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised
Risk-Reward Snapshot
Case Price Range Probability
Base Bull Case $136 55%
Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30%
Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15%
Risk Factors:
Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise)
AI rotation cools off
EPS beats but guidance disappoints
IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently
If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning.
Want a matching chart or visual post for this thesis?
as always safe Trades
Good PalantirianNoticed recently there is very few NASDAQ:PLTR stock for sale on the market. As a good and kind trader I decide to borrow ad sell couple of NASDAQ:PLTR like a good move to provide liquidity to the market and help other traders to obtain so passionately desired Palantir stock.
Dear Palatirians pls don't get me wrong. I'm not betraying our faith, just need to step back for a while
$PLTR Update: New Long Entry at $82 in a Strong Uptrend!Palantir Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) continues its “Strong Uptrend” on a 1-week chart. 📈 We bought at $21.84 and sold at $121.81 previously. Now at $114.65, we’ve entered a new long position at $82. The Trend Score is 8/8, but a short-term projected price of $123.2 ( -9.1% ) and bearish MACD suggest a potential pullback.
How to Trade This Setup:
• Monitor the Trend: The uptrend is strong with high volume, but bearish signals indicate caution—watch for momentum shifts.
• Set Targets: Resistance 1 at $137.66 is a target; Support 1 at $75.65 is key if a pullback happens.
• Adjust Risk: With bearish MACD, consider tightening stops or taking partial profits from $82.
What’s your next move on NASDAQ:PLTR ? Let’s discuss in the comments! 💡 #Trading #PLTR #Analysis
PalantirPalantir has continued to push higher, but if you look at MACD, it is running into resistance. Also, it is within the white target box for an impulsive wave, and has officially hit the yellow 1.0 if it is to be an abc pattern for the (a) of minor B. Due to the impulsive looking structure it seems to be turning into, and the duration/level of this move higher, I am officially making the bullish count my primary. That being said, the yellow count can still play out, but given the current price action and time duration, I find the white count most plausible.
We're due for a consolidation lower regardless of what count comes to fruition. Both patterns point to an abc move next to the $80 area if it is to be standard. The part that comes after that is what will answer the question of which count is correct. Once we get that move lower, if it is in the form of an abc, I will try to enter into a long position around the 0.618 retracement fib. That will be the least risky place to enter.
If the white count is what is playing out, then a minor wave 3 will come after the consolidation lower. If the yellow count is to play out, then it will be a minor C wave that takes us to the $120's. Either way you look at it, I am forecasting price to move significantly higher after our next move lower.
Let me know if any questions linger. I have added an orange label above the white box to signify we can still very easily get another high for minor wave 1. Once we do have a top in, I will add some retracement fibs to track the move lower.
Potential Breakout in PalantirPalantir Technologies has been consolidating as the broader market struggled, and some traders may look for its uptrend to continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February 24 high of $99.01. PLTR peaked near that level in late March and again last week. However the stock cleared the resistance yesterday, which may signal a breakout.
Second, prices consolidated at the 50-day simple moving average but have now escaped from it. Is the intermediate-term trend getting more bullish?
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those patterns may reflect bullish short-term momentum.
Finally, the software company is a highly active underlier in the options market, averaging more than 700,000 contracts per session in the last month. (It ranks in the top five of the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows:
Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25
Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86
Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
$PLTR 50%+ decline ahead, $39-56 targetNASDAQ:PLTR looks like it's topping here and that it has a long road to the bottom.
If we continue to reject at this resistance, then it's likely that we'll at least see the $56 target on the downside, but I think the $44 target is the most likely area to see a bounce.
Bulls should enjoy a 50%+ drop from here. You've been warned.