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2/24/25 - $tsla - High on watchlist to own...2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA High on watchlist to own... - fundamentally, there's a lot of "if this" priced into the stock, there's no denying it - even round up '26 FCF from 8 bn (current expectation) to 10 bn and you're at a 1% yield. but also acknowledge... here it is again... "if, then" it's also growing at 100% yoy, and likely dirty cheap too - seeing that grok 3 deployment, the DOGE work, rockets, video game, edgelord X... let's get this straight, Elon is 1/ not someone to bet against 2/ continues to deliver surprises across the board 3/ is at and defining the intersection of AI, robots, energy and US-first policy - so while we can look at multiples all day, i think NASDAQ:TSLA remains a bet on what Elon can deliver in a 10Y context with a high discount rate. - if robotaxi, optimus... solar roofs (y'all know my view on solar as % of generation) all come together nicely, there's little doubt in my mind that he's right, NASDAQ:TSLA is probably the largest publicly traded company, and make up a number, $10 tn+. - so if we reduce the probability wave into a duality, "success" and "fail" and nothing in between (for simplicity, albeit an imperfect representation of reality). - if success is $10 tn in 10 years - and fail is a bagel ($0) in 10 years - and we use a LT investment discount rate of 10% ("low enough" to capture the market's current view of stocks at 3-4% for megacap, moat/ validated names but low, but "high enough" to also factor in failure, waiting period etc. etc.)... that $10 tn in today's terms would be 10/(1.1^10) = 3.9 tn. so... 3.9 tn * 10% + 0 tn * 90% = 3.9 tn. market might be saying... how about it's a 20-25% chance of success and nothing in between. or the market could be saying 10% chance of this success but also many scenarios in between that also give us 1 tn, 2 tn etc. of value. and as a result, the "real" valuation today perhaps does sit closer to that $1tn valuation. the conclusion, for me, is that technicals matter more for a name like NASDAQ:TSLA in the short-term (like they do CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) than in the long-term as these fundamental factors are delivered (or not) and cash is generated (or not). the gap fills in the low $200 do catch my eye. those are pretty large gaps. ESPECIALLY the post-election gap, which was more of an "elon benefits from being close to trump" and not necessarily (*necessarily* - though i see it both ways) a speed-up of these above mentioned fundamental factors. I'd be eyeing the mid $200s to get involved again if/when. i do think the stock is a LT buy at today's levels. but i just don't like the R/R given the drawdown potential (based on above logic) compared to other opportunities in my book today, namely NASDAQ:NXT , CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NYSE:UBER , $tsm. but i'll be watching carefully and i'm willing to jump in higher if i need to. that's cool too. just not yet. V
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VROCKSTAR
TSLA TradingI get the point why TSLA became bullish in the past few days. RSI reset and people's expectation on AI and FSD technology. However, Tesla also needs to convince investors with growing revenue and earnings. With its sales tanking globally and its brand name becoming trashy due to Elon's strong far-right political position, I really don't see any upside for this stock in the next few months. I believe its uptrend is temporary, which was mainly caused by the need of RSI reset. Its long term potential is too far to see. I strongly doubt Robotaxi will be successful at this time, when FSD technology is far from being safe and reliable. Many Tesla car crashes have been reported that were caused by FSD. Check out the four lower highs it has made since December. And two lower lows that formed on January 2 and February 12. I think these LHs and LLs have confirmed the midterm trend of this stock. I highly doubt the current uptrend will make a HH. In other words, I doubt it will go above 420. I believe it will make another LL in March, around 275, before its next disappointing earnings report. With the current uptrend, 390 is at an area of confluence and a good LH to 420. Thanks for reading and I would love to hear your feedback. 2
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TrendSurfer25
TESLA SWING LONG IDEA - TSLA We had a great run on Tesla after Trump's election, which boosted the idea of Robotaxi and green earnings over time. If you follow me on X, you would know that I have been buying Tesla since the $204 level (August 5th crash). We had a great run from there to $490. Currently, we have seen a 33% retracement from the top. The price hit the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection there (forming a weekly dragonfly doji). I have started to build a swing position from this level to ride Tesla to new all-time highs. The first challenge will be the bearish trendline that has been driving the bearish trend since December 18th. Breaking that trendline should lead to new highs, in my opinion. If the price breaks and closes below $300 on the daily chart, it will invalidate my setup, and I will look to exit the position.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by UA_CAPITAL
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days. - Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs. - Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025. - Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins - Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft - Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026 I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ChessCrypto
WHERE IS TESLA GOING???Tesla latest earnings report sent shockwaves to investors with earnings per share and revenue missing Wall Street expectations. The stock initially dropped in after hours trading but managed to rebound a little as the market digested the report . With mixed sentimental surrounding the automotive giants near term prospects, lets take a look at the stock technical positioning. Tesla reported Q4 2024 earnings per share of $0.73, missing the concuss estimate of $0.76. Revenue came in at $25.71 billion falling short of the expected $27.26 billion. From technical perspective Tesla is trading around $375 if this neckline break it shall test the support around 340- $257.Thats the area where buyers previously stepped in during November 2024.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ForxTay
9
Tesla (TSLA) Scalping & Mid-Term AnalysisMarket Overview Trend: Strong Bearish 📉 Resistance: $309.30 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling Support: $296.00 → Local demand zone Indicators: MACD: Bearish, no reversal confirmation RSI: Oversold (17.96 on 30m) – potential for short-term bounce VWAP: Below average – sellers control momentum 🩸 Risk: High probability of a short squeeze if volume spikes 🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage) 🩸 Momentum Scalping: Buy: Near $297–$299, targeting $305 Sell: Near $305–$309, targeting $298 Stop-loss: Below $295 🩸 Breakout Scalping: Above $310: Long to $318 Below $296: Short to $290 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) If $310 holds, potential retest of $320 If $296 breaks, freefall to $285 🔥 News & Market Context 🩸 Tesla planning major initiatives in early 2025, including Model Y Juniper launch & self-driving advancements → Bullish Long-Term 🩸 However, short-term market reaction is bearish due to macro pressures 🔥 Decision: 🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $297, sell at $305+ 🩸 Mid-term: Avoid heavy long positions until $310 breaks 🩸 Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter longs only above $310 👑 Final Verdict: "Survival isn’t about guessing—it’s about acting before the rest wake up." – LucanInvestor
NASDAQ:TSLA
by LucanInvestor
TSLA is targeting 295 & 330 & 430Hello Traders, I'm sharing a long position on TSLA, and I'll explain my reasoning below. Entry Price: 223 Stop-Loss: 172 1st Target: 295 2nd Target: 380 Reason 1: The price has rebounded from the lower deviation of the uptrend channel (grey), not the lower deviation of the downtrend channel (blue). It is now targeting the upper deviation resistance line of the uptrend channel (grey) at 295. Reason 2: A cup & handle pattern is progressing and will likely be confirmed if the price closes a weekly bar above 253 and the target will be around 330,380 and maybe 430 as shown below NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Eymen-GUVEN
TSLA at a Pivotal Zone! Key Trade Setups for Tomorrow Feb. 20Technical Analysis (TA) Overview TSLA is currently consolidating near 360-363, following a strong breakout from a descending wedge pattern. The price is now testing a key volume profile resistance zone, indicating that the next move will depend on whether buyers can maintain strength or if sellers step in. 📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels: * Resistance: 363.81 (Volume Profile High), 367-370 (major resistance and call wall) * Support: 360, 352.50, 350 (major put support) 📌 Indicators: * MACD: Momentum is slightly bullish, but histogram shows signs of weakness. * Stoch RSI: Near mid-levels, indicating room for both upside and downside—not overbought yet. * Volume Profile: High trading activity around 360-363, suggesting price could stall or reject here before another move. Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment 🔹 Call Walls (Resistance): * 370: First major resistance level. * 380: Strong call resistance, likely a tough breakout without significant volume. 🔹 Put Walls (Support): * 350: Heavy put support—this level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. * 340-330: If 350 breaks, bears could push lower toward these levels. 🔹 Options Sentiment: * IVR: 35.3 (moderate volatility—could see larger moves). * Call Open Interest: 47.7% – Mixed sentiment, but slightly leaning bearish. Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow ✅ Bullish Setup: * If TSLA breaks above 364 and holds, we could see a move toward 367-370. * Ideal entry: Above 364, stop-loss below 360. * Profit targets: 367, 370, 380 (extension if momentum continues). ❌ Bearish Setup: * If TSLA fails to hold 360, sellers could push it down toward 352.50-350. * Ideal entry: Below 360, stop-loss above 363. * Profit targets: 355, 352.50, 350 (major support level). Probability Estimate for TSLA’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 364 (Targets 367-370) Scenario Probability (%): 50% Reasoning: TSLA broke out of a descending wedge, signaling bullish intent. • Needs sustained volume to clear 363-364 resistance zone. * If buyers push above 364, expect a move toward 367-370. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 360-364) | 30% | - Volume profile shows heavy activity in this zone, meaning TSLA could stall here. * MACD is showing weak momentum, suggesting consolidation could occur. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 360 (Targets 355-350) | 20% | - If TSLA loses 360, sellers could quickly test 355-352.50. * 350 is a strong put wall, so bears need significant momentum to push lower. | Final Thoughts * TSLA needs to break 364-365 for further upside. If it does, 370 is the key breakout target. * Failure to hold 360 could bring selling pressure, targeting 355-350. * Overall, I lean slightly bullish (50%) but expect some consolidation unless a strong catalyst appears. 🔹 Best Trading Plan: * Bullish Play: Watch for a breakout above 364 → target 367-370. * Bearish Play: Look for rejection near 363-364 or a break below 360 → target 355-350. 🚨 TSLA is at a critical resistance zone, so expect either a strong breakout or a rejection back to support. * Would you like a more detailed intraday game plan for trade execution? ✅🚀
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TSLA in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) near oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band Price at or near Fibonacci level Entry at $100 Target is upper channel around $340 the last time this condition was met, NASDAQ:TSLA went up 10%, so let's see what happens.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by chancethepug
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $. But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains. But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RabishankarBiswal
$TSLA poised for an EASY rise to $400 and beyond.BUY NASDAQ:TSLA NOW A falling wedge is a chart pattern suggesting a probable rise in a stock's price. This bullish pattern emerges during a downtrend, as the price range tightens and the trend lines converge. RSI: 35.02 as of 02/10/2025 NASDAQ:TSLA 's price began 2025 at $403.84. As of today, it stands at $350.73, reflecting a -13% decrease since the start of the year. By the end of 2025, it's projected to reach $692 , a year-to-year increase of +71%. This marks a +97% rise from today’s price. Mid-2025 predictions place Tesla at $477 . In the first half of 2026, the price is expected to climb to $805, and by year-end, add another $163 to close at $968, which is +176% from the current price. -Month Low $350.51 Low $350.51 Pivot Point 1st Support Point $346.59 Pivot Point 2nd Support Point $342.46 Price 1 Standard Deviation Support $334.84 Pivot Point 3rd Support Point $334.40 Thank you
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by sej4974