Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Consolidation Within UptrendOANDA:XAUUSD market remain trapped in volatile sideways action within a broad consolidation range, following the recent strong rally. Despite the current noisy price behavior, the underlying longer-term bullish momentum remains intact.
Higher timeframe reveals critical technical levels, with gold testing the resistance zone around after breaking above the upward channel. The triangle pattern breakout suggests potential for higher targets, though the market is currently experiencing a corrective pullback near the $3,300 support level. The presence of multiple resistance tests indicates strong institutional interest at these elevated levels.
The 4H chart provides broader context, showing the A-B-C corrective structure from the June highs. The market appears to be forming a potential ascending triangle pattern, with the June high serving as key resistance. The current consolidation between the June high and low suggests accumulation before the next directional move.
Key levels to watch include the $3,300 support zone and the $3,400 resistance area. A decisive break above resistance could trigger another leg higher toward $3,500, while failure to hold support might see a retest of the $3,200 level. The overall structure suggests this consolidation is part of a larger bullish continuation pattern.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement.
The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%.
Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy.
Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high...
Resistance levels: 3347, 3358
Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311
The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
The Unicorn Model: : Guide to ICT’s Best Standalone setup🦄 The ICT Unicorn: The Most Powerful Setup in ICT
Among all the concepts of ICT, the Unicorn setup stands out as the ultimate precision entry model, it’s confluence perfected. Why? Because it merges two of the most potent ideas in ICT theory: Breaker Blocks and Fair Value Gaps into a single zone.
This combination creates the most high-probability, sniper-level setup in the entire ICT playbook.
Why It’s the Best you think?
Most ICT setups (like simple FVGs, order blocks, or liquidity sweeps) offer high-probability trades on their own, but the Unicorn setup stacks the odds in your favor by combining multiple layers of confirmation. This makes it the most disciplined and rewarding entry model for traders who rely on market structure.
Core Concepts Explained
A breaker block is a former order block that gets invalidated when price breaks structure, then acts as support or resistance upon a retest. It’s a sign of a shift in market intent, from bullish to bearish or vice versa.
A fair value gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where a sudden price move creates an imbalance, a "gap" between the wicks of the first and third candle. Price often retraces into that gap before continuing its trend.
When these two concepts overlap, a breaker block and a fair value gap in the same zone, it forms the “unicorn” setup. It suggests a strong level where liquidity has been taken and institutions may re-enter.
How the Setup Work s
First, you identify a market structure shift, like a break in a previous high or low. Then look for the breaker block left behind by that move. Within that block, check if there’s a fair value gap (the imbalance zone). When price retraces back into that confluence zone, wait for a reaction, often a strong reversal or continuation.
Entry is usually taken when price shows rejection within the zone on a lower timeframe. Your stop-loss goes just beyond the breaker block, and your target can be the next high/low or a logical liquidity pool.
Example of a bearish Unicorn Model:
Best Conditions to Use It
This setup works best when used in line with the higher timeframe trend. Many traders analyze structure on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, then drop to 5-minute or 15-minute charts to enter. It’s commonly used in forex and indices but also works well in crypto or commodities.
Avoid using it during news events though. Like all ICT concepts, it requires patience and practice to identify clean setups and avoid forcing trades.
Example spotted on a Gold setup:
ICT Unicorn Model was first introduced in 2022, primarily applied to the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES). What stood out immediately was its precision, the kind of clean structure and consistency you don’t often find in most strategies.
As it was tested further, it was clear this wasn’t just for indices. The model transitioned beautifully into forex, especially on major pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, delivering sharp entries as well.
I also tested it on metals like gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD), as well as the Dollar Index (DXY), and the results spoke for themselves. Even in crypto, where volatility is the norm, the Unicorn setup held its ground.
It’s rare to find a trading model that adapts across markets this well.
Final Thoughts
The ICT Unicorn is all about confluence and precision. You’re not trading every breaker or every FVG, only the ones that align, especially with a clean shift in structure. When used with proper risk management, it can be a high-probability setup in your playbook.
Gold – Is $3430 the Next Target After This Breakout?Gold recently completed a clean sweep of the 4H swing lows, taking out downside liquidity just before breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. This move marked a shift in momentum and structure, suggesting that the bearish leg may have concluded and the market is now transitioning into a more bullish phase.
Breakout Confirmation and Retest Zone
Following the breakout, price retraced and tapped directly into a confluence area where a fair value gap aligns with the upper boundary of the broken channel. This acted as a high-probability retest zone, and the reaction was strong. The market respected this structure perfectly, adding conviction to the breakout's validity.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
Currently, price is hovering between a nearby support level and a short-term resistance zone above. The support is holding firm after the retest, while the resistance is capping upward momentum for now. This is a healthy consolidation following the breakout, and it provides a clear structure for monitoring continuation.
Imbalance Target and Flow Outlook
Should the market gain enough strength to break through the overhead resistance, there is a large unmitigated imbalance further above that stands as a strong magnet. It represents a clean fair value gap left behind during the previous selloff and could be the next major draw if bullish momentum continues.
Overall Flow and Trade Logic
The sequence is very clean: sweep of liquidity, bullish breakout, efficient retest, and now consolidation above support. As long as price continues to form higher lows and respect the current structure, the probability of further upside remains favorable. Patience around the resistance area will be key for confirmation.
Conclusion
Gold is displaying a textbook reversal setup driven by liquidity and structure. If the current support continues to hold and buyers reclaim control above resistance, the path toward the upper imbalance becomes highly probable. The market is aligned for continuation, with bullish momentum building gradually.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous...
After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy.
Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360.
Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358
Support levels: 3300, 3295
Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 .
BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Lingrid | GOLD Pre-NFP Price Action AnalysisThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD rebounded strongly from the 3244 support area, breaking above the downward trendline and pushing into the mid-resistance band. The price is currently testing 3353 and could pull back slightly before retesting the 3388 key resistance level. A sustained breakout above that red trendline would open the door for a run toward 3450.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3312–3330 (post-breakout retest area)
Sell trigger: break below 3312 and close under trendline
Target: 3388 with potential extension to 3450
Buy trigger: confirmed bullish bounce from 3312 and momentum above 3353
💡 Risks
Resistance at 3388 may cause rejection if volume fades
Downward trendline remains a structural cap unless fully broken
False breakout could return price back to 3244 zone quickly
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
| ICT Unicorn model | The most potent concept spotted on GoldThe Unicorn model is considered by many traders to be one of the most refined and effective concepts within the ICT framework concepts because it brings together several core ideas into one powerful, repeatable setup. But what makes it so highly regarded as one of the best?
It’s the ability to stack multiple high-probability conditions: liquidity grabs, market structure shifts, fair value gaps, and optimal trade entry zones.
Unlike isolated concepts, the Unicorn model doesn’t rely on just one factor. It uses the synergy between time and price → waiting for manipulation first, then entering during the retracement into a fair value gap or order block.
This not only increases accuracy but allows for tight stops and high reward-to-risk ratios. Many traders rely on it exclusively because it’s both structured and versatile, making it easier to apply consistently across various market conditions.
How does this work:
You’ll see the price breaks a swing high, reverses, and creates a Breaker Block (failed order block) with a Fair Value Gap. These overlap to form the “Unicorn zone” → After that, price drops sharply, breaking the previous structure, indicating a shift in market direction → Price retraces, entering the overlapping zone → Traders look for rejections (candlestick patterns, wick spikes) as the entry signal→ With entry near the zone, the stop-loss is placed just beyond the Breaker Block or FVG.
Targets can be the next liquidity levels (e.g., recent lows). Many traders use 2:1 or 3:1 R:R, though targets can be higher.
In other words as a standalone strategy, the Unicorn model is highly effective , if, and only if, you have the correct daily bias. With a clear directional outlook, it becomes a complete and reliable setup.
Which in our case, on Gold it aligns perfectly.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to use Session Profiles for Day TradingHey whats up traders, in reveal cheat code for day trading by using session profiles. It's powerful concept. If correctly applied with HTF trend it will allows you to join running train path the right time.
Dont forget to follow me. I release such articles every Monday.
🧠 What Are Session Profiles?
A session profile describes the typical price structure and narrative during a market session — from open → high/low → close.
In Forex, we focus on:
• Asian Session
• London Session
• New York Session
Each session can act as either a reversal or continuation of the previous session(s).
📈 Why They Work
Markets are engineered to:
• Run stops (above highs or below lows)
• Fill inefficiencies (fair value gaps or imbalances)
CLS prefer to move price during specific times — the active hours around session opens. This is where liquidity is high and slippage is minimal, making it ideal for executing large orders.
So, session profiles help us map out when and where these manipulations are most likely to happen.
✅ Why You Should Use Them
Session profiles help you:
• Avoid low-probability trades in dead sessions
• Focus on high-probability narratives
• Anchor your execution models to context
But remember: they are not an entry model. You still need:
• A higher timeframe bias
• A mechanical entry model
• A system for risk and trade management
🔁 How to Use Session Profiles
Use the previous session(s) to anticipate the next one.
• For London session → analyze the Asian session
• For New York session → analyze Asian + London sessions
You’re looking for:
1. Manipulations into key levels
2. Displacement (price moves away strongly)
3. Change in order flow (e.g. OB,on M5 ,15 or H1)
4. Remaining liquidity targets (draw on liquidity)
📊 Session Profile Types with Chart Logic
1. 🔄 London Continuation Profile
Conditions:
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open
Example:
• H1: Asia runs stops above H1 high into a fair value gap (key level)
• Displacement confirms intent
• At London open, price retraces into M15 premium (PD array) and continues in the same direction
Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session
Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
2. 🔁 London Reversal Profile
Conditions:
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Displacement + M15 BOS after manipulation
Example:
• H1: Asia consolidates under daily FVG
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that FVG
• M15 breaks down → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
Invalidation: the London session high (manipulation point)
Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
3. 🔄 New York Continuation Profile
Conditions:
• Asia + London already created a clear manipulation and displacement
• London has not reached the final draw on liquidity
• London is not overextended (e.g., <70 pips move)
• New York opens with structure intact for continuation
Example:
• H1: London makes a reversal from a key level and displaces lower
• Draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low) still untouched
• NY opens and continues the sell-off, retracing briefly into M15 imbalance before expanding lower
Invalidation: manipulation level from London
Narrative: London set the direction → NY finishes the move.
4. 🔁 New York Reversal Profile
Conditions:
• No clear London profile (no key level touched, no strong CHoCH)
• NY opens and manipulates into a key level (e.g., daily OB, FVG)
• Clear M15 or H1 CHoCH or BOS confirming reversal
• Asia + London lows still intact (liquidity available below)
Example:
• H1: No strong setup in London
• NY opens, price spikes into daily OB and takes out London highs
• M15 structure shifts → sell targeting London + Asia lows
Invalidation: NY session manipulation high
Narrative: London was noise → NY takes control and reverses.
🔁 Visual Structure Flow
Before applying any session profile, confirm:
1. High-probability trading conditions (e.g., key level proximity, market open, liquidity available, Red News)
2. Bias in place (HTF (D1 and Weekly direction must be known)
Then:
→ Check for valid session narrative
→ Select the correct session profile
→ Wait for the stop run of H1 / H4
→ Is there enough room for the move to key level
→ If we are still in first half of session you can enter. If its close the end of session skip it.
→ Apply your entry and risk model.
→ Dont be greedy look for 2:1 RR trade and get out.
🔁 How to enter ?
if bearish - You always want enter above H1 I H4 candle after LTF CIOD
If bullish - You always want to enter bellow H1/ H4 after LTF CIOD.
Use Order block to enter the market here is how to identify it correctly
Remember:
Never sell low / Never buy High... wait for stop run / Liquidity sweeps. If you dont know where is the liquidity - you will be liquidity.
Hope this brings clarity to your trading.
Done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3358 and a gap below at 3330. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Shorting Opportunity at Confluence ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching the key resistance near 3360 after rebounding from the 3245 support level and breaking out of the downward channel. Price is now testing the upward trendline from below, intersecting with the red descending trendline and horizontal resistance. If this confluence zone rejects the rally, a return toward 3305 or lower is likely, forming a potential bearish retest.
📉 Key Levels
Sell zone: 3350–3360
Buy trigger: breakout above 3360 with close above 3375
Target: 3305
Sell trigger: rejection from 3360 and break of 3340
⚠️ Risks
Break and retest of 3360 may invalidate short setup
Volatility around red trendline could trigger fakeouts
Demand near 3305 may cause sharp bounces if sellers stall
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Trading Signal for (XAU/USD) sell below $3,359 (21 SMA-7/8 MurraEarly in the European session, gold is trading around 3,341, below the 7/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA and the 200 EMA, with a bullish bias.
We can see that gold reached the 7/8 Murray level on the H4 chart. This has become strong resistance, so we believe a technical correction could occur below this level in the coming hours.
On Monday, we observed gold reaching a low of 3,238, where it found a technical rebound,, as this coincided with the bottom of the downtrend channel.
Gold has a bullish bias, having reached oversold levels since June 26. It is likely that after a technical correction, it could resume its bullish cycle and reach the 8/8 Murray level at 3,437.
If gold falls below 3,359 in the coming hours, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 3,321. This area will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying, as a bullish trend is emerging.
The RSI indicator is showing a positive signal, so we could take advantage of a technical rebound around 3,320 or 3,305. Both levels could provide gold with good support and a buying opportunity.
XAU/USD 3H CHART PATTERNOn this XAUUSD 3-hour chart, price has broken out of the descending channel and is retesting near the 3304 area, aligning with a bullish change of character (CHOCH) zone for a potential buy setup. The chart shows a clear upward projection after the retest, targeting a move towards the upper resistance zone around 3440. This setup aligns with market structure respecting previous support zones and aiming for higher highs after a successful breakout. Monitoring the retest area is crucial for confirmation, allowing a low-risk entry for a continuation towards the targets while maintaining clear structure. Price action should be observed for bullish momentum before continuation to the higher resistance levels indicated on the chart for a clean execution.
Entry: 3304
First Target: 3381
Second Target: 3440
Stop Loss: 3390/335
Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions
due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously
expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an
overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month
until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best
to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead.
Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August:
| Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % |
| ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: |
| 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% |
| 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% |
| 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% |
| 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% |
| 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% |
| Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % |
| ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: |
| 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% |
| 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% |
| 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% |
| 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% |
| 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% |
| 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% |
| 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% |
| 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% |
| 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% |
| 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% |
🔍 Summary Highlights
June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years.
July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10.
August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
GOLD → Correction for confirmation before growthFX:XAUUSD is recovering due to increased demand as a safe-haven asset. After breaking through local trend resistance, an upward channel is beginning to form on the chart.
On Monday, gold tested the 3295-3300 zone (liquidity zone) and, against the backdrop of incoming economic data, is buying back the decline, forming a rather interesting pattern that could lead to continued growth, but there is a but!
Investors are reacting to President Trump's threats to impose tariffs on imports from a dozen countries starting August 1. In addition, the main question is the Fed's interest rate decision. The regulator is likely to leave the rate unchanged due to inflation risks.
Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is supporting interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. The market is awaiting further news and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3357, 3396
Support levels: 3320, 3311, 3295
A correction to support is forming. If the bulls hold their ground within the upward channel and above the key areas of interest, the focus will shift to 3345, a resistance level that could hold the market back from a possible rise. A breakout of this zone would trigger a rise to 3357-3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would ideally be looking for price to attempt lower and reject at the red box giving us the opportunity to long back up into the key levels following the red box and Excalibur targets. We did open with a huge spike down, into the 2nd region we wanted and managed to the move we giving us a great start to the week. As you can see on last week’s chart we broke above the red box which meant shorting was not on the cards, and a continuation into the next level would be a preferable trade, also working well. The NFP bias was bearish below the red box, again, tap and bounce from Excalibur giving the move downside, but not completing at the level we initially wanted.
Not a bad week at all in Camelot.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we would expect cleaner price action but there isn’t a lot of news so we may see some ranging and sudden burst of volume which will be needed to drive price out of the range.
We have support at the 3330 level and the extension level which is around 3210, which if spiked and held, should give us a move into the higher red box level and resistance 3345-50. There is another extension level above, 3360-65, which, if there was a bias this week would be the bearish below level. This level, if approached needs to be watched carefully for a potential RIP and needs to be broken for us to see higher pricing in gold.
Volume indicators are suggesting a potential pull back on the open, so let’s see if we can find that support and as long as we don’t break below 3310-6 we may just see a more range play between 3365 resistance and 3310 support.
It’s a bit conflicting on the charts this week which is why we’ll say let’s play it day by day and we’ll update every one as we go through the week.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3360, 3362, 3365, 3374, 3388 and 3396 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3331, 3324, 3321, 3310, 3306 and 3293 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Attempt to consolidate above 3350 for growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD , after retesting resistance at 3347, is breaking through the key level, while bulls are trying to hold their ground above support. There is potential for growth to 3400.
Gold retreated from its weekly high of $3366 ahead of key US employment data (NFP), which could set a new direction for the movement. But technically, this looks like a correction to consolidate above the level before continuing to rise. After three days of growth, the price faced selling amid a recovery in the dollar and profit-taking. Weak employment data (especially below 100,000) could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut as early as July and support gold. Conversely, a strong report will strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The market is bracing for high volatility
Resistance levels: 3363, 3393, 3400
Support levels: 3347, 3336, 3311
The price has entered a new range of 3345-3400. Consolidation is forming above the support level before a possible rise. I do not rule out another retest of 3345-3336 (liquidity zone) before realization and a rally to 3400.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation after a trend break...FX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of a downtrend, is consolidating, which may continue for some time due to Thursday's news and low liquidity on Friday.
Gold stabilized after a correction, but volatility risks remain. After falling from a weekly high of $3,366, gold prices found demand again in Asia on Friday. Strong US employment data cooled expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut, which supported the dollar and limited gold's gains. Additional pressure is coming from the hawkish shift in Fed expectations, but US budget risks and weak liquidity due to the holidays could increase price volatility in the coming days.
Technically, the focus is on the boundaries of the current consolidation at 3311 and 3357. In addition, within the range there is an important level of 3325, which divides the market into bearish and bullish zones...
Resistance levels: 3350, 3357, 3393
Support levels: 3325, 3311
It is important to understand the situation: due to the holiday in the US, liquidity is lower, making it easier to move the price. The rest of the world, interested in gold, can easily push the price up. The trigger will be the zone 3350 - 3350. There is a chance that the market will try to break through the resistance without a pullback and continue to rise to 3393.
However, the most likely scenario is that after yesterday's volatility, gold will remain within 3325 - 3357 before rising next week
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD CHART PATTERN 2\HTrade Setup (Buy Position):
Entry Point: 3330
Target 1: 3380
Target 2: 3420
Stop Loss: 3290
Strategy Insight
You’re targeting a +50 pip move to Target 1 and +90 pip move to Target 2.
Risk is -40 pips from the entry (3330 → 3290).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
To Target 1: 1.25 : 1
To Target 2: 2.25 : 1
This is a moderately aggressive setup with a good reward potential.
Setupsfx_ | XAUUSD(Gold):07/07/2025 Update | Gold dropped nicely when the market opened last night, dropping around 600 pips. However, it couldn’t hold on to the gains and came right back to the selling zone. There are two entry points and two potential targets.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4H Chart route map, also playing out perfectly with our levels being respected, as analysed.
We have our bearish target hit at 3295 and currently testing for support and bounce. Ema5 cross and lock below this level will open the swing range and failure to lock will see price reject and head up for the Bullish target. The 1h chart route map from yesterdays update also has the swing range open, which we need to keep in mind when planning to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3295 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3295 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold’s Trap Above QML: Bearish Play UnfoldingHello Guys!
Gold appears to be forming a textbook Quasimodo reversal setup after printing a lower high into a key supply zone. Price aggressively tapped into the QML area (around 3,350–3,360), where sellers previously stepped in, and we’re now seeing signs of rejection.
The engulf zone marked earlier confirms bearish intent. It broke structure and flipped momentum. Price is currently retesting below that engulf level, likely as a last attempt to grab liquidity before heading down.
The projected move suggests a drop toward the next significant demand zone around 3,295–3,285, where the price previously found a strong bullish reaction.
Bias: Bearish below QML
Target: 3,295 zone
Invalidation: Above 3,368 (high of supply zone)
XAU/USD : Gold is falling , When it Stops? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, in line with our latest analysis, the bearish momentum has continued—and even more strongly than expected. Gold has broken below the key $3300 level and is currently trading around $3294.
Given the strong momentum, further downside is likely. The next bearish targets are $3289, $3276, $3262, and $3254.
All key supply and demand zones are clearly marked on the chart.
(And if you're looking for more precise trading levels, just drop a comment and I'll guide you.)
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx!