XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥
No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter.
– by GoldFxMinds
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON
Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2).
After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed.
We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet.
Expect:
Fakeouts before confirmation
Traps near equilibrium
Massive liquidity sweeps NY session
🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT
TF Bias Status
D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount.
H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174.
H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone.
M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet.
⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS
Session Bias Notes
Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation.
London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump.
NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift.
Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries.
📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY
🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed)
Zone Price Reason
🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests.
🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed.
3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks.
🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas)
Zone Price Reason
3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed.
🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup.
🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection.
🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER
Type Level Status
Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce.
Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play.
Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term.
Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell.
Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here.
🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS
DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped.
If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110.
If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active.
If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone.
🎯 FINAL NOTES
This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game.
We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle.
So tomorrow:
Track these POIs, not bias.
Let the market show you its cards.
React only to clean CHoCH or BOS.
💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap.
We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update.
No fear. No hope. Just levels.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Bearish SetupGold is trading below key resistance at 3,280 after a sharp drop, now forming a bearish flag around the 3,240 zone. Technicals suggest a potential continuation lower with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Sell entry activated at 3,240, targeting strong support near 3,200 (400+ pips) with a stop loss placed 150 pips above resistance. Fundamentals support bearish bias amid USD strength and shifting sentiment.
Support: If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas!
Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,211.87
Target Level: 3,375.85
Stop Loss: 3,102.01
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold rebound is a good time to shortGold has been in a volatile state since the opening today, opening at 3236 and reaching a high of 3243. It is currently fluctuating in the form of shocks. With the comprehensive ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the peace talks in the Sino-US tariff war, gold will still be in a downward trend. Although it is in a downward trend, we should not chase the short position directly. We can just treat the rebound as shorting. The main trend is still to short on the rebound. After all, the general trend is bearish.
In the 4-hour chart, the weak stage is oscillating downwards, and the resistance of the middle rail has moved down to the 3300 mark. At the same time, there is still a gap to be filled, and it is currently in shock above the neckline. There are two differentiated moves here. One is to go sideways and weakly consolidate and then directly break the neckline of 3200 and go for in-depth adjustments. The other is to rebound above 3200 to correct and build momentum, forming a wave of poised to break low. One is weak consolidation to break low, and the other is poised to break low. Overall, it is optimistic that the market will break through the low of 3200, but it reflects the various changes in the short-term form. The upper 3250-3260 range has gathered intensive trading resistance, forming short-term strong pressure. In short-term operation, first go short on rallies below 3260, and first look at the profit from this wave of correction! Next, we will look at the previous low support of 3200. If the position is broken, we will continue to see the downward continuation. If the position is not broken, we will place long orders on the backhand. At that time, we will choose the opportunity to lay out the long-term plan based on the support of 3200. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3248-3252 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3200-3160 support line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold near 3245-3255, target around 3220-3210. Gold will go long when it pulls back around 3210-3200, with the target around 3230-3250.
H4 frame accumulation 2 trend lines✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/12/2025 - 05/16/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices advanced over 1% on Friday, rebounding as the US Dollar (USD) softened following a two-day winning streak, pressured by declining US Treasury yields. Renewed risk-off sentiment, fueled by persistent geopolitical tensions, bolstered demand for the safe-haven metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading near $3,338.
US equity markets slipped as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of Saturday’s high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese delegations in Switzerland. While hopes for a de-escalation in trade tensions remain elevated, uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment.
Adding to the volatility, US President Donald Trump reignited trade concerns by stating on social media, “80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B.”
🔥 Identify:
Gold prices slow down, starting to accumulate more. Trade negotiations will appear more, putting selling pressure on gold prices in the near future.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3402, $3435
Support : $3282, $3203
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold setting up for another buyHello,
A buy setup is setting up on Gold on the four-hour timeframe and now is a great time to begin looking for the buys. Gold has declined by around 10% due to profit taking by early investors and also the macro-economic events. The US and China have called for a truce in their trade war and conversations about ending the Russia Ukraine are ongoing in Turkey this week.
The bullish flag is forming on this asset and at great buy points from the current levels. There is also a bullish crossover on the MACD indicator confirming that we might be closer to the bottom. While there may be a little pressure on Gold as clueless investors rush to liquidate their positions, we see this as the perfect opportunity to enter.
Target: $3600
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Just a quick update. So as I suspected, we moved up a bit to the $3186 area, and now this is where we watch to see if we move up a bit to rope people into longs only to come back down, or do we keep pushing up?? Let's see how the next few hours play out. It's Friday so don't try to force or rush a trade. Big G gets my thanks. Happy Friday.
DeGRAM | GOLD trend line breakout📊 Technical Analysis
● Price printed successive lower highs (LH) inside the descending channel and has just broken back below the blue corrective trend‑line.
● Fresh acceptance under the 3 260 points to a slide toward the lower rail at 3 200, with scope to probe the March floor near 3 100; bias flips only on a 4 h close back above 3 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A hotter‑than‑expected US CPI (3.5 % y/y) lifted 10‑yr yields to 4.50 %, reviving bets that the Fed may delay cuts, which firmed the USD and spurred ETF outflows from bullion.
✨ Summary
Lower highs + rising US yields favour a short‑term short in XAU/USD: targets 3 200 → 3 100, risk managed above 3 300.
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DeGRAM | GOLD fixed under the supply area📊 Technical Analysis
● Break back below the blue median line turned the $3 ,260 ‑ 3,320 supply into resistance; the rebound stalled there, forming a bearish flag.
● With price sliding underneath the flag’s base, momentum points to the channel floor/ horizontal supports at 3 200 and 3 100; short view void on a close above 3 315.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● May US retail‑sales beat (+0.5 % m/m) and hawkish Fed remarks (“rates may stay high for some time”) lifted 10‑yr yields toward 4.50 %, firming the USD.
● World Gold Council reports the largest weekly ETF outflow since February, signalling softer investment demand.
✨ Summary
Supply‑zone rejection plus firmer USD/yields favour shorts: targets 3 200 → 3 100; exit if price reclaims 3 315.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense.
On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision.
Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy.
Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia.
Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 3439
Support levels: 3369, 3352
However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Best GOLD XAUUSD Psychological Levels Indicator on TradingView
There is one free technical indicator that will show you every significant psychological level on Gold XAUUSD chart.
It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set.
Discover the best psychological support and resistance indicator for Gold trading , its settings and useful tips.
First, let's discuss the significance of psychological levels in GOLD XAUUSD analysis and trading.
The classic way of the search of significant supports and resistance is based on the analysis of a historic price action.
However, while Gold constantly sets new historic highs such a method does not work, because there are no historic resistances to rely on.
In such a situation, the only reliable strategy to find potentially strong resistances is to analyze psychological levels.
Psychological levels are the round numbers based price levels. Because of the common human psychological biases, these levels attract the interest of the market participants and the prices tend to react to them.
A great example of a psychological level in Gold trading is 3000 level.
It served as a resistance first and after a breakout turned into an important support.
And I found a free technical indicator that plots all the significant psychological levels efficiently.
One more thing to note is that I strictly recommend searching for psychological levels on a daily time frame, because it provides the most relevant perspective.
To use this indicator, search "round" in indicators wind ow.
It is called "Round numbers above and below".
Click on that and it will start working immediately.
You can see that the indicator plotted 3 significant psychological resistances above current prices and 3 supports below on Gold chat.
In the settings of the indicator, you can change the number of levels to identify and change the style of the horizontal lines.
Examine the reaction of the price to psychological supports that the indicator shows. These levels may remain significant in futures and applied for pullback/breakout trading.
With a crazy bullish rally that we contemplate on Gold this year, psychological levels will be the most reliable technical analysis tools for the identification of future bearish reversals and corrections.
This free technical indicator on TradingView will help you in search of the strongest ones.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD latest strategy analysisGold has broken out and settled below an important daily horizontal support level.
Prior to breaking out of the support level, the price of gold had been consolidating in a narrow horizontal range.
A bearish breakout of this trading range is a strong signal for further declines.
The pair could continue to fall after retesting the breakout level of 3120.
The long and short gold competition continuesGold on Tuesday was more in line with our analysis ideas. We gave a short position at 3250-60, and the market conditions were also quite favorable for our entry opportunities. We notified the entry and exited with profits as gold fell back. The CPI was bullish and gold rebounded weakly, so our long positions were also safely exited with profits.
Pay attention to the stabilization of the two supports of 3215-3225, and take 3200 as the turning point of the Fengshui Ridge. Hold it to continue to maintain the bottom shock operation or gradually rebound; once it breaks through 3270, the rebound will be strengthened to test the 3300 mark; if it breaks through 3300 and stabilizes, the downward adjustment will end and return to the upward trend; Then as long as 3270-3300 is still not suppressed in the middle, it will repeatedly rise and fall to test the bottom support; if 3200 is accidentally lost, it will point to 3160-3150, and you need to be mentally prepared in advance, hoping that it will not happen; looking at the 4-hour chart of gold: at this time, the 5-day short-term golden cross is expected to cross the 10-day, then above 3240 will become a certain support performance, and the key strong support is the annual moving average moving up to 3200; one resistance is the big Yin high point in front of 3290, which is also the dividing pressure, and the strong pressure is the middle track 3293, or close to the 3300 mark; pay attention to the gains and losses between support and resistance. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3270-3290 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3215-3225 support.
Gold price rises into the countdownThe US inflation data for April released key signals: the annual rate of core CPI fell to 2.8%, and the monthly rate of 0.2% was also lower than expected, indicating that inflation continued to fall. After the data was released, the US dollar index weakened rapidly, and the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut this year increased, and gold once surged. However, affected by the uncertainty of the global tariff situation, some funds chose to take profits, causing the gold price to fall under pressure in the short term. The gold price fluctuated and converged above the key support level of $3,200. The daily Bollinger Bands closed, and the upper pressure was at 3275-3300. If it breaks through 3275, it is expected to test the gap pressure; the lower 3220 forms multiple defense lines. If the 10-day moving average is stable at the 4-hour level, the rebound target can be seen in the 3275-3280 range. In the medium term, maintain the idea of buying on dips, focusing on policy trends and gap filling.
Gold recommendation: Buy on the 3230-3235 range, stop loss 7 points, target 3270
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025Short-Term Bias: Bullish retracement toward premium zones
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → forming potential bullish leg inside retracement
🔍 Recent Price Action (H4 Insight):
Clear CHoCH on H4 above 3292 → short-term structure flipped bullish.
Last impulsive leg pushed price into the 3330–3345 zone before rejecting slightly — signs of near-term resistance.
EMA5 and EMA21 are crossing upward, with price trying to retest EMA21 for a bounce.
Next H4 candle closure is critical — either holds 3290 for continuation or re-tests deeper zone.
📌 Key H4 Zones
Zone / Level Description
3380–3395 🔺 H4 FVG + OB zone – major near-term premium resistance (also Daily level)
3340–3345 🔁 H4 internal resistance – Friday top, low-volume gap area
3314–3318 🔁 Micro H4 imbalance – intraday fill zone
3284–3292 ✅ H4 CHoCH + OB – current bullish base, critical to hold
3250–3265 🔵 Deep demand – final intraday bounce zone before HTF demand
These levels will be your H4 battle zones — where price is likely to bounce, reverse, or accelerate depending on confirmation.
🔁 Potential Flow on Monday:
Bullish scenario:
If price holds 3284–3292 → intraday targets = 3318 → 3340 → 3380.
Clean structure = higher low + EMA support confluence.
Bearish scenario:
If price loses 3284 → could test 3250–3265. Only below this would invalidate current H4 bullish flow.
⚠️ Confluence Check:
EMAs: EMA5 crossing up through EMA21 → short-term bullish momentum building
Liquidity: Buy-side above 3345 → price may attempt sweep if supported
FVGs: Still unfilled gaps between 3314 and 3380 → magnet zones for bullish flow
CHoCH: Valid on 3284 → first HL attempt happening now
🧠 H4 Summary (for May 12):
Type Zone Reaction Potential
Resistance 3380–3395 Strong rejection possible
3340–3345 May slow price if volume weak
Support 3284–3292 Critical bullish structure zone
3250–3265 Breaker block zone (last bounce before HTF demand)
💬 Final Word to the Community:
Gold may have paused its moon mission at 3500, but the engines are refueling. Monday’s battle will be all about 3284 — hold it, and bulls might just take flight toward 3380. Lose it, and we buckle in for a deeper dip.
🟡 Whether you’re team buy-the-dip or wait-for-the-fade… stay sharp, stay patient, and always follow structure.
Like what you see? Drop a comment, tag a gold friend, and follow GoldFxMinds to never miss the real flow. 🧠⚡
Will gold fall further after its rebound correction?The short-term market is still affected by geopolitical factors, the easing of the Russian-Ukrainian war, and the consensus reached between Trump and China on the tariff war. These factors are all bearish for gold. Gold has fallen rapidly in the short term and continued to fall last night. Yesterday's decline was more than one hundred US dollars, which has changed the short-term upward trend. It will still be the main market for shorts in the future. For our intraday operations, the direction is very clear. Rebound is short. The short-term pressure level focuses on the high point of 3265 as the watershed between strength and weakness. Gold has not been able to stand on 3265 in the short term, which means that the market is still in the rhythm of short-selling. Our intraday layout is also based on 3265. When the rebound reaches the pressure level and the top pattern appears, we boldly short! In view of the release of CPI data in the US market, the current volatility of gold prices has slowed down. On the whole, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3265-3270 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3200-3160.
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3189.8
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 3179.7
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3207.3
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
7 month bearish trend with 3 retrace upwhile trying to figure out the retrace up (to 3294 - 3305)
I search for a bottom signal
1st red candle on the monthly
The start of the weekly bearish
and powerful support on daily make gold retrace up to 3294-3305 (or higher)
1. MACD and RSI are just bottom indicators, won't show the retracement up signal
2. Stochastic is the key here, however, stochastic is going down while price is going up
3. I expect a 3340 retest because of the anomaly while technically watching 3294-3305
4. while I write 3 retrace up, I wont predict all 3 the retrace up, just keep watching the bottom signal
this just speculation while anticipating the retrace up