XAUUSD DAILY ANALYSISOANDA:XAUUSD
H : Bearish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bullish + BOS + OB + IMB
EXPECTION : Here I have 4 scenarios in mind
1: 15 minute zone is valid with 3 minute confirmation with low risk to 1 hour zone
2: After breaking 15 minute zone and 15 minute zone turns down, we wait for price to retest to formed down zone
3: Price goes up and hits 1 hour zone and with 5 minute confirmation we enter sell trade
4: Price breaks 1 hour zone
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GOLD trade ideas
GOLD - At CUT N REVERSE area? holds or not??#GOLD... perfect bounced from bottom and market constant showing buying scenarios.
Buy now market at his one of the most important n expensive area that is 3237
Keep close 3237
We will go for cut n reverse below that on confirmation.
Don't holds buying below 3237
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD: Awaiting clarification of the European session trend.After a significant rebound yesterday, the market showed a cyclical decline in early trading today, with no clear tradable pattern emerging yet. The current price is in a stalemate zone between bulls and bears, and two-way operations carry high risks. It is recommended to closely monitor the trend in the European session. Wait until the European session clarifies whether the market will continue the downward trend or rebound further, and then follow the trend during the US session.
From a technical analysis perspective, yesterday's upward movement is more inclined to be a washing-out phase rather than a signal indicating the start of a gold bull market. Please be patient and wait for the market to clear up, and do not trade aggressively during this period. Always maintain a cautious attitude.
We will continue to monitor the market and keep updating trading strategies.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
High-level strong pressure rebound continues to shortSince the opening gap at 3275, gold rebounded to 3292 and then started to fall. So far, gold has hit 3216 and then fluctuated upward. The bulls are temporarily suppressed. We still focus on rebounding and shorting. After all, the general trend is bearish. The upper 32775-3281 is the main short-term suppression level. If the rebound does not break, you can continue to short. The short position may continue to reach a new low. Pay attention to the support of 3200.
Judging from the current gold trend, the support at 3206-3215 is the focus below, and the short-term resistance at 3275-81 is the focus above. The strong resistance is near 3290-3300. This position is also the watershed between long and short positions. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold at 3275-83 when it rebounds, short at 3290-95 when it rebounds, stop loss at 3303, target at 3206-3215, continue to hold if it breaks
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3203.1
Stop Loss - 3212.0
Take Profit - 3181.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 12 - May 16]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 3,210 USD/oz to 3,434 USD/oz, but immediately after that, the gold price dropped sharply to 3,274 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,325 USD/oz.
The reason why the gold price was sold off at the end of the week was because the FED said it would not rush to cut interest rates, because inflation is potentially at risk of increasing due to the impact of tariffs from the Trump administration, while the US economy, especially the labor market, is also at risk of decline. This risks pushing the US economy into a state of stagflation.
In addition, after the US and UK reached a trade agreement, the US side said that there will be more trade agreements with major economies in the near future. Notably, this weekend, the US and China also entered the first round of trade negotiations under President Trump in his second term in Switzerland. This has made many investors concerned that the cooling of the trade war will reduce the role of gold as a safe haven.
Factors affecting gold prices next week:
Federal Reserve (Fed) policy: The Fed currently keeps interest rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, and the market is waiting for new economic data (such as May CPI and employment report). If inflation continues to decline or there are signs that the Fed will cut interest rates in the near future, gold prices may be strongly supported. On the contrary, if the Fed maintains a "hawkish" stance (keeping interest rates high), gold prices may be under downward pressure.
US-China trade negotiations: Optimism about the possibility of a trade agreement between the US and China (expected to be negotiated in Switzerland) is reducing the demand for safe haven gold. If there is positive news (forecast: tax reduction from 145% to 80%), gold prices may adjust down. On the contrary, if negotiations fail or tensions escalate, gold will increase sharply.
Global instability: Geopolitical risks (such as Middle East conflicts, Russia-Ukraine tensions, India-Pakistan tensions) are still the driving force supporting gold prices. If there are unexpected developments, gold demand will increase.
📌Technically, gold prices next week are likely to fluctuate within the range of 3,200 - 3,400 USD/ounce, with the base scenario being sideways or slightly increasing. If gold breaks the trendline and surpasses the resistance level of 3435, the next level is that gold can conquer the old peak or create a new high. Meanwhile, if the support level of 3200 is broken, gold prices are at risk of falling deeply below the threshold of 3,100 USD/oz. However, factors such as US economic data, Fed policy, and developments in US-China negotiations will be the key to determining the trend. Investors need to closely monitor these events and apply flexible trading strategies.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,267USD
Resistance: 3,351 – 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3402 - 3400⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3406
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3215 - 3217⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3211
Gold: weaker on stronger US DollarThe FOMC meeting was held during the previous week, where the Fed held interest rates on hold for one more time. Still, addressing the topic of potential negative effects of trade tariffs on the US economy, Fed Chair Powell assured the public that the Fed will react immediately, in case of higher deterioration of the jobs market and stronger increase in inflation. This improved investors sentiment in which sense, the US equity market gained, as well as US Dollar. At the same time, the price of gold dropped during the week from the level of $3.430 down to $3.324 as of the end of the trading week.
The RSI is still moving relatively high, closing the week at the level of 55. It seems that the market is still not ready to take the clear path toward the oversold market side. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move without any change, as two parallel lines with an uptrend. There is no any kind of indication that the potential cross might come anytime soon.
As per current charts, the price of gold still has some space for a move toward the downside, at least till the level of $3.250. At this level, the latest move will be exhausted. A move toward the lower grounds currently is not indicated. On the opposite side, the reversal to the upside is also possible. Considering current market sensitivity to news related to trade tariffs, the volatility might continue also in the future period, especially taking into account that US-China talks are expected to start soon.
Bears are active at the beginning of the week, prices are down⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The United States and China announced “substantial progress” following two days of trade negotiations in Switzerland, marking a potential turning point in efforts to ease tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng characterized the discussions as “an important first step” toward stabilizing bilateral trade, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed the sentiment, noting meaningful advancements were made. The US is expected to release more details about the outcome of the talks on Monday.
While signs of progress may dampen demand for safe-haven assets like gold, lingering uncertainty around the specifics of any deal could still lend some support to the precious metal. “Ongoing ambiguity surrounding tariffs remains one of the most influential factors sustaining gold,” noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The short-term downtrend is maintained, gold price accumulates around 3300 and continues to go down to lower support zones.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3315- 3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● OANDA:XAUUSD tagged the purple support line at $3 300 inside the green demand zone, then printed a bullish engulfing candle.
● Price is climbing within the rising‑channel mid‑band; reclaiming the black support level $3 360 should propel gold to the upper resistance level near $3 500. Long view void on a close below $3 200.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fed Vice‑Chair Jefferson signalled rates are “sufficiently restrictive” amid cooling CPI base effects, pressuring real yields and the USD.
✨ Summary
Channel‑base rebound plus strong Asian demand and a dovish Fed backdrop support a short‑term long: targets $3 360 → $3 500; invalidate under $3 200.
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Cumulative recovery above 3190, maintain⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) fails to build on Thursday’s sharp rebound from the $3,120 area — its lowest level since April 10 — and comes under renewed selling pressure during Friday’s Asian session. The 90-day trade truce between the US and China has alleviated some of the strain on global financial markets, weighing on demand for the safe-haven metal.
Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and a weaker US Dollar continue to offer underlying support, limiting the downside. Additionally, growing market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may deter traders from adopting strong bearish positions on gold in the near term.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recover, buyers are determined to keep prices stable around the 3200 mark in May. Waiting for new bullish momentum after tariff negotiations end
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3287- 3290 SL 3294
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3173 - $3175 SL $3168
TP1: $3188
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3218
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD is a buy nowI expected earlier gold to tap into weekly demand zone but price moved back up before reaching it. Now for half day atleast, XAUUSD is expected to record buy. I am confident with the direction while sharing nearest entry point. You can make use of this direction and enter at your calculated level if my entry point is violated. I share one entry point refined to minimum stoploss in a H2 zone btw. If this gets broken i look for next entry level. TPs highlighted. I will keep updating if needed.
Gold, false decline, real wash
📊Comment analysis
The recent surge and plunge of gold has also led to many different opinions on the market trend. If it rises, look at the ceiling, and if it falls, look at the floor. Most of them are such remarks, and the misleading nature of such remarks can be imagined. The first time I chased more at 3500, it was okay. After the beginning of the month, I soon got the opportunity to get out of the trap. But those who chased higher at 3400 twice last week were not so lucky. Opportunities cannot always be there, and not every time you can survive.
Once you have the idea of standing guard or holding on, it means you will lose. In the face of huge fluctuations in prices, short-term card points, and few positions can be grasped. You can't just rely on a rumor on the Internet to chase shorts and look at bear markets when prices fall, and chase longs and look at bull markets when prices rise. Investing and trading are two different things. Investment is a direction, focusing on large cycles, large directions, long-term, and profiting by time. Trading, on the other hand, makes money by rhythm and fluctuations, which are completely two concepts.
I have always said that the general direction is bullish and the rhythm is to get on board after every retracement. The transaction is divided into short, medium and long. The short-term is limited to intraday. Whether it is right or wrong, it is settled on the same day. The medium-term wave band, after each large retracement, insist on getting on board in batches, and leave after a phased rise. For the long-term, after each large retracement, build positions in batches and hold for a long time. First, make the logic clear, and then talk about the operation. We can't achieve the lowest or highest, but as long as we achieve a relatively low or high position, it will be fine.
The core of investment is the cycle, and the core of trading is the rhythm. If the rhythm is right, everything is right.
In the face of the sharp rise and fall of gold, first, don't hold a heavy position, and second, as long as it is not a relatively high or relatively low chasing order, there is no need to panic. First, if you hold a heavy position, first of all, you can't withstand the fluctuations, you can only bet on the win or loss of one order, and there will be no next chance. Secondly, as long as you chase long at high positions and short at low positions, even if you have a light position, you will not have a chance to get out of the trap, and you can only make up for the loss through new transactions. There is no other way, but to achieve unity of knowledge and action, and don't think about it. Heavy positions, plus chasing back and forth, plus the world lock, will only die faster and will not get out of the trap. Take care of yourself.
Let's talk about the market. First of all, the bull is still there. Secondly, the sharp drop and surge are wash-outs and adjustments, not the peak, but the base is large and the amplitude is large, so you have to reduce your position. At present, it is a large-scale range shock wash-out adjustment at the daily level, and a weekly level retracement, not the peak. It will be very clear if you look at the big cycle, and you must not listen to the rumors flying all over the sky. If it rises, chase high to see new highs, and if it falls, chase short to see new lows. It is not advisable. Again, remember one thing, grasp the relative highs and lows, let the wind and waves rise, and sit on the fishing boat steadily.
After the U.S. market plummeted, it directly reversed and surged. This kind of market will not continue. Don't chase it. Don't see the plummet and then the surge, and then shout that the bottom has been reached. The plummet means the peak, and the surge means the bottom has been reached. Isn't it a life-and-death situation every day?
The U.S. market directly talked about the next area. After the sell-off, gold rebounded sharply yesterday, which gave the trapped orders an opportunity to escape, not a direct reversal. Next, gold will enter a large range of shocks and washes with 3260 as resistance and 3150-3120 as support. After the shock, it will finally experience a wave of sell-offs and break the new low, and then it will bottom out. The bottoming logic is the same as the May Day period. Before May Day, gold continued to maintain above 3260 for washing. After May Day, it directly broke below 3260 and touched 3200 and then rose. Next, it will be the same. After a period of washing and shock, it will fall below the low of 3120 again, hit a new low and bottom out, and start to rise. The rhythm is like this, it depends entirely on courage, patience and technology, chasing ups and downs is not advisable. The rhythm is like this, watch more and do less, hold tight, and fasten your seat belts.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD:You can make profits by shorting during the rebound.At present, the gold market is fluctuating downward, presenting many trading opportunities. You can make profits by shorting during the rebound.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
(XAU/USD) Bearish Breakdown Toward Key Support ZoneGold has broken below the key support level at $3,261, which is now acting as a strong resistance. This breakdown indicates a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
Currently trading around $3,202, if the price fails to reclaim the broken support, it may head toward the next major support zones at $3,120 and $3,018. The main target lies between $2,911 and $2,907, a significant demand area where buyers may step in.
Key Points:
Price has broken a significant support zone on higher timeframes
Lower highs suggest continued bearish momentum
A rejection from $3,261 would confirm the sell setup
Trade Idea (for educational purposes only):
Sell Zone: $3,200 – $3,220
Target 1: $3,120
Target 2: $3,018
Target 3: $2,911
Stop Loss: Above $3,270
Use proper risk management based on your trading plan.
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,183.66 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,208.13 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️