GOLD trade ideas
GOLD Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,290.38.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,315.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Intraday H1 Chart Update For 23 June 25 GOLD Intraday Chart show mid term Bearish move for now
For Today keep an eyes on 3368 level Breakout for Buy Scalping for long trade we may wait for dip around 3330-3340 zone SL remains possibly 100 pips
As long as market sustains below 3400 Psychological Level it will remains Bearish and will try to move towards 3200-30 Psychological
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold Bears Part IV - Complete TVC:GOLD buyers got flushed all week 💥
Big Boy sells only.
Sometimes you’ve got to put your balls on the line and call it ahead — no hesitation.
New Ideas next week, Thank you and keep supporting!!
We did just that.
#Trump #DXY #Gold #XAUUSD #Dollar #Metals #CommodityTrading #KeepGoing #SmartMoneyMoves
Choppy Gold Action Hides a Bigger Drop on Weekly Chart?After Monday’s correction, Gold continued lower – but the drop has been extremely choppy, making swing trading nearly impossible in this environment.
🔄 Short-term vs. Weekly Picture
On the 1H chart, price action is messy and directionless. However, the weekly chart tells a clearer story – which is not bullish at this moment.
❗ Let’s not rush into the “new ATH” narrative
Last week, I pointed out around the 3360 zone that we may get a rise above 3400. That move happened – but it seems more driven by Middle East tensions than by any structural strength in Gold itself.
📉 Why I’m leaning bearish on higher timeframes at this moment:
• This week’s price action almost fully negates last week’s strong green candle
• A close near the bottom of the range could form a Dark Cloud Cover pattern – a strong bearish signal
• Unless we see a reversal above 3400, downside remains the higher probability
📌 Next Target?
If the weekly close confirms this bearish setup, a drop to 3150 is not only possible – it’s becoming likely.
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GOLD Made H&S Reversal Pattern , Chance To Sell To Get 200 PipsHere is My 15 Mins Chart On Gold and we have a very good reversal Pattern , Head & Shoulders , we have a 15 mins closure below neckline 3322.00 we can enter a sell trade and targeting at least 100 pips as scalping , we can enter after waiting the price to retest neckline and then enter . and the price can reach 3300.00 to 3296.00 again .
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure.
Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon .
I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) .
Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?!
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
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Diamond Level in Focus 📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 1H Timeframe
This chart outlines key market structure levels with two possible scenarios:
🔹 Ranging Area between 3329 – 3337 is being tested.
🔹 A break above the Diamond Win Line (3368) could lead to a bullish continuation toward the major resistance at 3394.
🔹 On the downside, rejection from this zone may push price back toward the support levels at 3312 and 3295.
🔹 Watch for clean price action confirmation before entering trades.
This setup is based on price structure, clean market zones, and potential breakout/rejection scenarios. Stay patient and trade smart!
XAUUSD D1 Forecast: Gold at Pivotal 325x Support What's Next for the Yellow Metal?
Today, we're zooming out to examine the broader picture for Gold (XAUUSD) on the Daily (D1) timeframe. Our latest analysis indicates that Gold has encountered a very strong, critical support level around the 325x region. This is a pivotal point that could significantly influence Gold's medium to long-term direction!
🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: The Underlying Forces Influencing Gold
While we've observed a degree of USD weakness stemming from speculations around the Federal Reserve (such as the rumours regarding Jerome Powell's replacement) and expectations of interest rate cuts, these factors haven't fully countered Gold's recent decline on the daily chart. Furthermore, the sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues to temper Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Nevertheless, the current price action at the robust 325x support level presents a significant technical signal. The impact of forthcoming US macroeconomic data (particularly the PCE Price Index on Friday) and speeches from FOMC members will be crucial in confirming or negating our projected movements for Gold. Should positive news for Gold align with this support holding, it could act as a potent catalyst.
📊 XAUUSD D1 Technical Analysis: Projecting Gold's Next Move
Given that Gold has reached strong support at 325x, we can anticipate the following scenarios:
Bounce from 325x (Potential Upside Phase):
If the 325x area (which reinforces the 3264.400 support from image_e9d325.png) holds firm, we expect a strong reaction and an upward move for Gold.
The initial target for this bounce would be the 332x region, aligning with resistance levels 3313.737 - 3330.483 from our previous analysis. On a broader timeframe (as illustrated in image_83845c.png), this corresponds to the resistance zone around 3326.022. This 332x area might represent a continuation pattern, suggesting it could be a corrective rally before the resumption of the larger trend.
Resumption of Downtrend (After Reaching 332x):
Once Gold reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and exhibits bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing candle, a pin bar, or a clear top formation), we anticipate a resumption of the downward movement.
The next major target for this decline would be the 317x area, which correlates well with the strong support at 3173.052 on the larger timeframe (as depicted in image_83845c.png).
🎯 XAUUSD D1 Trading Plan: Your Long-Term Strategy Ahead!
Considering the current D1 analysis, here's our actionable plan:
1. BUY PHASE (Bounce from Support):
Entry: Observe price reaction in the 325x - 326x zone (specifically 3264.400). Only consider buying if there are clear bullish confirmations (e.g., a confirmed bullish pattern on the daily or 4-hour candle, a strong bounce from the zone with significant volume).
SL (Stop Loss): Position just below the 325x support zone (e.g., 3245-3240, depending on confirmation).
TP (Take Profit): 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3313.737 - 3320 - 3326.022 (key 332x zone). This will be our primary target for the potential bounce.
2. SELL PHASE (Downtrend Resumption):
Entry: Once the price reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and shows bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing, pin bar, or clear top formation).
SL (Stop Loss): Position slightly above the 332x zone (e.g., 3335-3340).
TP (Take Profit): 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3200 - 3173.052 (final 317x target).
How to Manage Emotions in Trading? One Word: DisciplineHow to deal with emotions?
If you don't feel like reading a long explanation — here's the short answer: Discipline.
There are two typical emotional traps in trading:
1. After a big loss:
You feel the urge to recover quickly. Emotions kick in: despair, paralysis, frustration, snapping at loved ones — the classic downward spiral.
2. After a big win:
You feel like a king. “I’ve figured out the market. I’m unstoppable.” This leads to overconfidence, oversized positions, increased risk, and careless spending of profits — all while forgetting that black swans do exist.
What’s the cure in both cases? Discipline.
That’s your weak spot in both scenarios.
When you lose a lot, you shouldn’t even allow deep drawdowns to begin with.
Set clear exit rules:
1. Hard stop-losses.
2. A maximum loss limit (ideally 5–10% of capital), after which you completely exit all positions and take a minimum one-month break from charts and trading activity.
This protects your capital and — even more importantly — your mental health.
If you can’t follow your own stop-loss or take breaks when needed — then you don’t need emotional advice. You need to work on discipline.
When you feel euphoric from profits, this is trickier, but also manageable.
Reduce your position sizes after a major win or take a 2–3 day break to reset your brain and step back from emotional excitement
Again — the tool that helps here is discipline.
So how do you build that discipline?
Discipline isn’t just about trading. It’s a life skill that touches everything — from health to finance to habits. Here's how to develop it:
Start with physical training
Yes, really.
If you’re new, aim for 30 minutes of exercise, 3 times a week.
Even if you’re tired halfway, just walk in place — finish the 30 minutes. This trains your brain to complete what it starts, no matter how you feel.
The self-discipline from training your body will spill into every other area of your life — including trading.
Build simple habits
Start small:
Get up at the first alarm
Make your bed right after waking up
Put away clothes properly
Clean your shoes after coming home
Pick 2–3 micro-habits, and once they stick, your "discipline muscle" will grow. Over time, it becomes a natural skill.
Don’t expect results in the first week
Give yourself 30 days, and you’ll see real change.
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX)
In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character.
Change of Character relates to market trend analysis.
In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis.
🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market.
They believe that the trend is bullish ,
if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them.
The market trend is considered to be bearish ,
if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them.
Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice.
One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs.
According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs.
🔘Of course, trends do not last forever.
A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading.
Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation.
📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high.
While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish .
However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal,
it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend.
In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern.
Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold.
After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave.
📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish.
A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern.
Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below.
In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level
quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal.
Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know.
First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal.
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6.23 Gold Short-term Technical GuidanceThe current price is in the double-line interval of 3350-3375 on the hourly chart. Please note that the four-hour lifeline 3368 is also the resistance point determined by the last rebound in the Asian session.
The Asian session fell under pressure and returned to the sweeping range. It was treated as a sweep. The European session was able to hold the 3350 mark. Look up to find the 3368 area, followed by 3375 and 3385-3388.
If the European session falls below and closes below 3350, the short-selling forces are dominant. The four-hour lifeline 3368 is used as suppression. Look down to find 3333-3331, followed by 3320-3315
XAUUSD: Buy Now – Break & Retest ConfirmedGold just gave the confirmation off the ascending trendline + PRC zone.
1H rejection + retest = Buy Now signal ✅
Daily trend bullish 📈
Targeting new highs – TP at 3440 🥇
SL below structure (3353 zone) for clean invalidation.
This setup has all the confirmations I need. Let’s run it.
Xauusd market This chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
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🟦 Key Observations:
1. Current Price: $3,274.175 — down by 1.61%, indicating a recent bearish move.
2. Support Zone: Price has entered and reacted from a major demand zone (light blue box near 3,250), suggesting buying interest.
3. Projected Price Path (black dotted lines):
Initial bounce toward the first resistance around 3,320.
A pullback may occur, potentially retesting lower support before resuming upward movement.
Price is expected to climb toward higher supply zones at:
3,360
3,400
3,440
4. Bullish Reaction Icon (⚡️): Marks a potential reversal or liquidity grab before a bullish impulse.
5. News Event Icons (🇺🇸): U.S. economic data releases are anticipated near July 2–4, which could trigger volatility and confirm the direction.
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📈 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Bullish (short to mid-term)
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,250 – 3,270 zone
Targets: 3,320 → 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440
Invalidation: A clean break and close below 3,240 would challenge the bullish outlook.
Let me know if you’d like a breakdown of entry/exit strategies or risk management tips based on this setup.
XAUUSD - Prop firm or your own account? - Trading Psychology"$100K Funded? Or $1K account you own?? Welcome to the Inside Battle of Every Trader"
You want capital, freedom and win big.
But the question is: do you do it with your own money, or someone else’s?
You’ve got the $100K funded dream on one side. Big leverage, strict rules, payout drama.
And on the other side? Your own $1K account. Zero limits, zero support, and a whole lot of emotional damage.
This is a breakdown of what really happens behind both paths — the adrenaline, the self-sabotage, the mind games, and the payouts that sometimes never come.
The Prop Firm Path: Pass, Survive, Then Pray
Phase 1: You trade with hunger.
You’ve got the goal in sight, and every move is calculated. You’re alert, focused, mechanical. The structure helps. The rules feel like a challenge. Everything feels possible.
Phase 2: You trade with fear.
Now you’re tiptoeing. The target’s smaller, but the pressure is suffocating. Hesitation.Overthink. You play defense — and that’s when you lose. You stop executing your edge and start trading to avoid failure.
Funded: The real test begins.
You go live, you trade well, you hit payout… and suddenly the firm has a problem. A new rule is “suddenly” enforced. A clause is reinterpreted. A delay happens. You’re told to wait. Or worse — your account is shut with no warning.
That’s the part no one prepares you for: the waiting, the silence, the mental snap.
Passing isn’t the end. It’s barely the middle.
✅ So, Should You Go Prop? Here's What You Need to Know
Yes — if you’re ready to treat this like a hostile contract.
If you’re trading a prop account, you are trading their rules, their terms, their timing. You are not a partner — you are a performer. And they are very comfortable pulling the plug.
If you do it:
• Be colder than the system.
• Read every rule twice.
• Trade Phase 2 like a surgeon — no ego, no rush.
• And never treat a payout like it's guaranteed — treat it like a fight you have to win more than once.
You don’t just pass. You survive.
And if you’re not ready to survive, stay out.
🚨 Do not forget — It’s Simulated Capital. And That’s the Game.
Let’s not pretend it’s hidden:
You’re NOT TRADING REAL MONEY. You’re executing on a simulated account that mirrors real conditions — nothing more.
When you get paid, it’s not because you “grew” capital. It’s because you performed better than the masses who failed their challenges and fed the payout pool.
This isn’t shady. It’s the model — and it works because most traders lose.
So don’t delude yourself into thinking you’re managing funds.
You’re monetizing discipline inside a challenge-based system.
And if you know how to work that system? You get paid.
If you don’t? You become someone else’s payout.
🔓 Trading Your Own Money: Real Freedom or Emotional Damage?
With your own capital, there’s no one watching — and no one helping.
You set the rules. You decide how aggressive, how cautious, how chaotic.
But the second you click “Buy,” your psychology comes for you like a debt collector.
Because real trading isn’t what’s on the screen — it’s what’s happening between your ears.
You lose your money, you lose your confidence.
You win big, and suddenly you think you’ve figured out the market — until the market slaps you for it.
There’s no one to blame, and that makes it ten times harder.
But here’s the part no one can take away from you: every lesson is yours.
Every win is clean. Every loss hits deep. And if you make it — you really made it.
💡 How to Make Self-Funded Work for You
✅ Start with small capital — but also invest in your trading education.
Join a group that teaches you how to trade, not signal groups that just give you orders when to buy or sell, without explaining why.
✅ Join a real trading community.
Surround yourself with people who post actual breakdowns — who teach, not flex.
Avoid ego chats. Avoid circus chats. Find people who show the why, not just the entry.
(If you’re reading this, you already found the right space.)
✅ Focus on fixing mistakes — not faking wins.
Nobody cares how many pips you caught if you blew 5 trades getting there. Get real about your risk management and lot size.
✅ Learn to stop after a win.
Don’t feed your dopamine. Protect your equity. Walk away while you’re still in control.
✅ Respect your losses. Don’t chase them.
Red days don’t destroy traders. Revenge trading does. Stop. Reset. Come back sharper.
✅ If you’re not paying yourself yet, don’t panic.
Some seasons are for building, not cashing out. Don’t force results just to feel good — let the system earn before it pays.
🔄 The Hybrid Advantage: Rent the rules. Own the skill.
Some traders don’t pick a side.
They use prop firms like a hired weapon — fast, effective, disposable and
Personal accounts like a vault — protected, scalable, sacred.
They switch between them based on market conditions, mental load, and long-term goals.
You don’t need to be loyal to a style just be loyal to your results.
🧠 Final Word:
Trading becomes real, sustainable, and successful only when your mind is at peace with the path you chose.
If you wake up anxious about your account — if you feel pressure before you even open the chart — that’s not discipline, that’s misalignment.
This doesn’t mean trading should feel easy. But it should feel right.
You should wake up curious to read price, not terrified to take a trade.
Whether you trade $100K or $1K, the real account is always in your head.
You should feel like this work belongs to you — not like you’re trying to survive someone else’s idea of success.
Whether you trade with a prop firm or your own account, or both, the goal is the same:
Mental clarity. Emotional control. Strategic confidence. You’ll know you’re on the right path the moment the stress fades — and the obsession becomes patience, structure and joy with success.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
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Gold: waiting the U.S. decisionGold was traded in a relaxed manner during the previous week, as investors are anticipating the final decision of the U.S. Administration, regarding their involvement in the Middle East conflict. On the other hand, the Fed held interest rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week. The price of gold reached its highest weekly level at the start of the week, at $3.446 and for the rest of the week was traded in a modestly negative sentiment, ending the week at $3.368.
The RSI continues to move between levels of 60 and 53. This shows that investors are still not certain which side to trade. The indicator is still holding more close toward the overbought market side. There is still no change with MA 50 and MA 200 lines as they continue to move in parallel with an uptrend. Still, charts are showing that the price of gold found a supporting line with MA50, since April this year.
Analysts are noting that central banks continue to be one of major gold buyers. Considering high geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the price of gold has the potential to go even higher from current levels. However, for the week ahead, charts are showing that some further corrections might be possible, at least till the level of $3,2K. Some stronger corrections should not be expected. The price of gold also has equal opportunities for a move toward the upside, where the level of $3.430 might be tested for one more time. There is also the potential for higher grounds, but it is unclear whether it will occur in the week ahead or probably at a longer time frame.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youRecent geopolitical tensions remain high, particularly in the Middle East where conflicts between Israel and Iran continue to generate new developments. Earlier this week, Iran was hit by an Israeli airstrike, a piece of news that instantly triggered a sharp rally in gold prices, pushing the metal to an intraday high of $3,450 per ounce. However, subsequent news of peace talks eased market risk aversion, causing gold to retreat rapidly. By June 18th, the price had dropped to $3,380 per ounce, with a daily volatility exceeding 2.7%.
Generally, geopolitical conflicts influence gold prices for 3 to 15 days, and when tensions ease, 50% to 70% of the conflict-driven rally tends to retrace. For example, during the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks in October 2024, gold prices fell from $2,789 to $2,650 per ounce, a 5% retracement. Although the geopolitical situation has not further deteriorated, as long as tensions persist, gold remains susceptible to sudden price swings triggered by breaking news.
In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, while the MACD indicator continues to operate below the zero axis in a bearish crossover, with green bars expanding—indicating a clear short-term bearish trend. Notably, the RSI indicator is currently in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for a price rebound. In terms of support and resistance levels, the lower support can be referenced at $3,340 per ounce, while the upper resistance focuses on $3,380 per ounce. A break above $3,380 may trigger a rebound, whereas a drop below $3,340 could lead to further declines.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3370~3380
SL:3390
TP:3360~3350
XAUUSD-Bearish Outlook and Price StructureA bearish outlook for gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bias toward the 3,100 area, targeting the highlighted demand zones.
Price-Movement Structure
We observe a three-wave corrective pattern that appears complete at the 3,494.98 high. Key observations:
- **Wave (A)** : Initial correction from the major low.
- **Wave (B)** : Complex sideways consolidation.
- **Wave (C)** : Extension to new highs, creating liquidity.
The current price action suggests potential institutional distribution at the highs. I am expecting a drop to approximately 3,349.94.
However, fundamentals such as interest rates, dollar strength, and geopolitical risks remain key drivers of bullish optimism.