Gold rises strongly and bulls restart!The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to cross upward to form a golden cross, and the bulls have begun to exert their strength. After breaking through the 3300 line yesterday, for today's market, the opening of the morning session directly pulled up more than 40 US dollars. The bulls are strong and powerful. Now we are definitely not going to short, just follow the trend. The point of concern below is the low point of 3350. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it is impossible to fall below the 3350 line again, so we are looking for opportunities to go long above 3350 in the morning! The market is changing rapidly. Since the current gold bulls are more powerful, then continue to go long. After all, it is a callback in the bullish upward trend. It will be more repetitive when reflected on the short-term chart. The volatility base is large, and the operation should try to stick to the time point after the European session. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to go long on callbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term resistance of 3415-3420, and the short-term focus on the lower short-term support of 3330-3350.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 5th 💥 May 5 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – "Bulls Bounce, Bears Breathe – Who Takes the Next Shot?" 🎯📉
Gold is caught in a battlefield. After a textbook bounce from 3204, price is pushing into premium zones — but momentum is limping, and ISM Services PMI (4:00pm) could trigger the next major move.
Forget guessing. This is where levels speak louder than noise.
🧭 Market Overview
HTF Bias (D1–H4): Bullish macro trend, but pullback in play after rejection from 3500 ATH
LTF Flow (H1–M15): Bullish relief structure, but losing steam below key supply at 3315+
EMA Confluence (H1): EMA5 climbing above EMA21, but flat near 3260 — indecision zone
Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity rests below 3200. Buy stops are stacking above 3300.
🔥 Monday News Catalyst
🕔 4:00pm ISM Services PMI (USD)
Volatility expected. Strong data = dollar strength = possible Gold drop. Weak data = relief rally toward premium.
🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (With Logic)
🔻 Sell #1 – 3315–3325
📍 H1–H4 OB + FVG + equal highs above
🧠 Ideal for post-ISM spike rejection setup
🔻 Sell #2 – 3345–3355
📍 Final OB before last lower high + clean imbalance
🎯 SL: 3360 | TP1: 3315 | TP2: 3292 | TP3: 3268
🧠 Swing rejection setup if bulls overextend
🟢 Buy #1 – 3210–3220
📍 M15 OB + EQ + May 2 internal HL
🎯 SL: 3190 | TP1: 3244 | TP2: 3265 | TP3: 3290
🧠 Structure-based bounce zone with clean PA reaction
🟢 Buy #2 – 3175–3185
📍 LTF demand + FVG + RSI oversold sweep
🎯 SL: 3155 | TP1: 3210 | TP2: 3240 | TP3: 3268
🧠 Reactive area if NY flushes price before recovery
🗺 Key Levels to Watch
Level Meaning
3268–3275 Internal resistance + imbalance zone
3292–3300 Liquidity magnet pre-sell zone
3315–3325 Major rejection area
3345–3355 HTF supply & final trap
3210–3220 Primary bounce zone
3175–3185 Trap setup + liquidity sweep zone
3050–3075 HTF OB → swing buy only
👁🗨 Eyes On:
Rejection from 3315 = sniper short entry zone
Rejection from 3275 = continuation risk
Break below 3210 → 3175–3185 becomes critical
Weak ISM = gold spike toward 3300+ (fade setup)
💬 Final Thought:
This isn’t “buy now, sell now” nonsense. It’s about structure, timing, and logic.
The cleanest setups come to those who wait — not those who chase.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
XAU/USD: High Volatility is Expected! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price began rising from the $3310 zone yesterday and reached $3330, delivering a 200-pip gain.
After that, selling pressure took over, and gold is now trading around $3277. Given the current market structure and today's important news events, I expect high volatility in both bullish and bearish directions.
One of the key liquidity pools likely to be targeted today lies below $3259, and before any potential drop, we may see the liquidity gap between $3288 and $3303 being filled.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levelsFrom the 4H chart you posted, here's a quick breakdown first:
Trend: We're seeing bearish pressure overall after a strong bullish leg. The price is under important retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, 0.618 Fib retracements).
Key Levels:
Strong resistance zone at 3340-3352 (aligned with Weekly Highs, Daily Highs, and a Supply Zone).
Immediate support around 3290 and 3228 (Weekly Open and previous price clusters).
Volume Delta: -3.72% macro (bearish), showing sellers have the upper hand currently.
Important Price Zones:
Sell zone: 3328-3340
Buy zone: 3228-3206
Scalping Strategy on 15-Minute (assuming London / NY crossover sessions):
Bias: Slightly bearish unless strong bullish reversal signals appear.
Ideal sessions: London Open (7-9 AM GMT) and NY Crossover (12-3 PM GMT).
Possible Scalping Setups
1. Sell Setup:
Trigger: If price retraces back up to 3328-3337 zone during London open or NY crossover and shows rejection (pin bars, engulfing patterns on 15M).
Entry: Short at around 3330-3335.
SL: Above 3345.
TP1: 3308 (Sell level on chart).
TP2: 3290.
Bonus TP: 3270 if momentum strong.
2. Buy Setup:
Trigger: If price dips into 3228-3206 (near Weekly Open) and shows bullish reaction (hammer, bullish engulfing).
Entry: Long between 3220-3230.
SL: Below 3200.
TP1: 3254.
TP2: 3270.
Bonus TP: 3290 if NY session volume kicks in.
Will the price of gold rise or fall?From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and it is possible to rise or fall now. In the short cycle, first pay attention to the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it is not broken, you can continue to be bullish, with the upper target at 3400, and then look at 3430 if the strength is strong.
Gold - All eyes on Wednesday 08 May - FED🟡 Gold Traders: Nothing Matters Until Wednesday! ⏳💤
Hey traders! 👋
This week, all eyes are on Wednesday... and everything before that? Mostly noise.
Let me break it down for you. 👇
📊 Technical Outlook
Gold is chilling above a key resistance level right now.
Trendlines suggest we won’t see any major moves before Wednesday unless big news drops. 📰
🕐 Asian session is kicking things off above resistance.
If bulls show up there, we could break Trendline 1 (Image below) and head towards the $3300 🎯 target.
📉 RSI across multiple timeframes? Pretty neutral.
If Asia trades flat or slightly bearish, gold might range between $3210–$3250.
Break below $3201, and things could get shaky... but the European session might push us back above that support.
U.S. session on Monday? Likely a sideways snoozefest 😴 (unless surprise news hits).
🎯 Trade Setup (Mon–Wed)
I’m looking to play the range between:
$3261 (Trendline 2) 🔼 and $3169 (Trendline 4) 🔽
That’s a comfy $90 window I’m aiming to trade before Wednesday's fireworks. 🚀
🔮 After Wednesday – The FED Factor 💣
Here’s the real catalyst:
Wednesday, May 7 at 2:00 PM EST – FOMC Rate Decision
If the FED cuts rates (not likely, but possible under pressure), gold could tank hard. 💥
I’m talking a potential drop to $3150 or lower 🕳️📉
That’d be a -$90+ move easy.
FED has been holding the line 💪, resisting pressure (especially from Trump back in the day), but if the economy flashes red, that rate cut might come sooner than expected.
🧠 Final Thoughts
FED paused hikes, but left the door open for 3 rate cuts this year.
Until we get more clarity, no strong bullish signals on gold.
My bias stays: Bearish unless proven otherwise. 🐻💬
Stay sharp out there, and watch those sessions. Wednesday’s the real deal! 💼📉
And last but not least, look at this and let us know what you think about please:
Some would say its impossible but as we know, gold can do everything!
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Eyes Recovery as Price Targets $3,260 ResistanceGold is showing signs of a potential rebound on the 15-minute chart. After finding support around the $3215–$3225 zone, price action is starting to climb again. If this upward momentum continues, we could see gold make a push toward the $3260 resistance level. Keep an eye on price behavior near support—any strong bounce could be a signal for further upside.
Gold price plummets, gold analysis and layout!Focus on two positions: the first position is the upper 3360 line of pressure, the low point breaks the support and turns into pressure, and the top and bottom conversion position rebounds and touches it, so it is still bearish. The second position is 3305, which is the second starting point of the strong rise in the previous two days. According to the drop of 100 US dollars from 3415, it is at 3315. The drop exceeds 100 US dollars, and there is basically no problem in rebounding. Therefore, we can expect a rebound around the 3305-3310 area below. The probability of falling below 3300 is not high, and it is easy to come up even if it goes down.
Gold fluctuates and tests new high again!Gold surged and then fell back, and the pattern needs to be sorted out; the stochastic indicator crosses at a high level, and runs downward, the indicator and the pattern resonate and adjust; the top and bottom conversion below, the support point of the sideways rise is in the range of 3380-3370; if it falls back and keeps going down, then the main trend is to pierce the trend and fall back to the range of 3390-3200; the range span is relatively large! In terms of short-term operation ideas, according to the suppression near 3440, the short-term correction is expected; the support position below is near 3290 and 3205; there are many short-term cards; deal with it according to the range;
Gold’s Got Its Groove Back: Morning Star Lights the Way to $3500Gold delivered a powerful signal pointing to a resumption of the bullish trend, completing a morning star pattern that saw it break out of the falling wedge it had been trading over the past fortnight. It would have been nice to catch the initial move, but all is not lost after the price broke above $3367 on Tuesday.
The price has run hard, so I’m reluctant to chase the move. But if we see a pullback and bounce from $3367, it would generate a bullish setup where longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. The obvious trade target would be the record high of $3500 set in April.
If the price were to reverse below $3367 and stay there, the setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
GOLD recovers to initial target, confirmation point continuesOANDA:XAUUSD surged in the first half of trading on Monday (May 5), briefly surpassing the $3,270/ounce mark and marking a daily gain of more than $30. as uncertainty over U.S. tariffs spurred safe-haven flows, supporting gold prices. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in June is also boosting the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Bloomberg reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films, which is not a huge deal, but it does escalate the trade war. "I am authorizing the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately begin proceedings to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films imported into the United States," Trump wrote on his Truth Social social media platform. "We want our movies made in the USA again!"
Gold prices have risen nearly 25% this year, hitting a record high above $3,500 an ounce in April, but have retreated in recent weeks. Bloomberg notes that factors driving gold’s recent rally include safe-haven buying fueled by Trump’s destructive trade and geopolitical policies, as well as speculative demand from China and buying by global central banks.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on May 5: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3.2%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 63.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 35.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 1.1%.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still bullish as the price action remains above the important support EMA21. At the same time, the price channel that is noted as the main long-term trend channel remains stable.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of weakness as it falls to approach the 50 level, which is noted as the closest support in terms of momentum.
Going forward, if gold rebounds above $3,245, it could rebound to the short-term target of $3,267, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, and then the full price point of $3,300.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, its long-term trend remains bullish, but the risk of a deeper correction is when the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level is broken below, once this level is broken below gold is at risk of further selling to $3,163 in the short term. This also means that technically gold is in an ideal support area for bullish expectations, long positions should be protected below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In the coming period, gold has technical conditions that favor a bullish recovery, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,245 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,267 – 3,270 – 3,292USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3302⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3310
→Take Profit 1 3296
↨
→Take Profit 2 3290
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3173 - 3175⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3169
→Take Profit 1 3181
↨
→Take Profit 2 3187
Trend Analysis and Trading Tips for the Gold MarketThe market is deeply trapped in the tariff issue. US stocks and the US dollar are in urgent need of economic data to boost their performance. If the April NFP data is poor, it will trigger a selling spree in the market, and the risk of economic recession in the United States will increase. On the contrary, the significance of good NFP data far exceeds the data itself.
From a technical perspective, when the data is bearish, the upward pressure on the gold price doubles. Overall, it is highly likely that the April NFP data will be bearish for the gold price and drive it down. The fact that the gold price hit a low of nearly 3,220 yesterday also confirms this expectation. In addition, good data reduces the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Since an interest rate cut by the Fed is bullish for the gold price, and vice versa.
The tariff issue is likely to cool down soon. Although it doesn't mean the end, it will still suppress the gold price. Recently, we have accurately grasped the gold market, attaching equal importance to fundamental and technical analysis. In the following period, the market will still fluctuate around fundamental news such as the tariff issue. If the NFP data exceeds expectations and the tariff issue takes a turn for the better, the risk aversion sentiment will fade away, and the gold price is highly likely to retrace. It is recommended not to rush to buy at a higher price next week.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The exclusive bearish view on gold is in line with expectations!Gold's 1-hour moving average high also began to turn around, and the bulls were hit. If the rebound pressure is 3350, it is short. At present, gold has fallen below yesterday's 3350 rising platform, so it will fall back and pay attention to the vicinity of 3303! There is nothing to hesitate. The rebound of 3350 is an opportunity to increase positions and short, and the target is near 3305! Since the bullish volume of the gold market has been released, the bulls need to be repaired in the short term to rise further. Gold will go short in the afternoon. On the whole, it is recommended to rebound and short as the main operation strategy for gold in the short term, and to go long as the callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3350-3360 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3305 support.
XAU/USD: Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations and does not go beyond the scope of the widespread market anticipation before.
In terms of gold, the price of $3,350 serves as a crucial dividing line at present. If the gold price can successfully stop falling and stabilize near this price level, forming an effective support, it indicates that the bullish forces still dominate, and the upward market trend in the future is expected to continue. Conversely, once this price level is broken, the bearish sentiment in the market will rapidly heat up, and the price is likely to further decline, seeking a new support level below $3,320.
The geopolitical situation continues to deteriorate. The most intense military conflict in nearly a decade has broken out between India and Pakistan, and the civil war in Sudan is also escalating. These conflicts not only pose a serious threat to the regional and global peace and stability but will also have a significant impact on the commodity market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the safe-haven attribute of gold will be further stimulated, and its price is expected to receive strong support. At the same time, the war may lead to uncertainties in energy supply, thus driving up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3390-3400
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min 3315 – Next is bearish Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Reversal at 3317
We are watching this zone closely. Expecting Reversal
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3265
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3318
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3325 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3272 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 3325 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3328 – Equal highs
Fed interest rate suspense and tariff shockGiven the current heightened uncertainty, the implementation of tariff policies, rising inflation expectations, and declining household and business confidence, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep its policy interest rate unchanged this week. Fed Chairman Powell may hint that he is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, and mentioned that tariffs will push up inflation and drag down economic growth. With the implementation of tariffs, inflation will rise significantly in the coming months, and the US economy may fall into a mild recession in the second half of the year, with economic activity and employment likely to shrink in the third and fourth quarters.
In terms of gold, yesterday the lowest fell to 3305 and began to stabilize and rise. It closed at 3334. The daily line closed with a big positive column. Gold opened slightly with a slight correction of 3323 and began to stabilize and rise. Asian gold once again made a strong effort to rise to the highest position of 3386. The current lowest is 3353. It is currently at noon. It is hovering at 3365, and the overall trend is strong, but the excessive rise seems to reserve rhythm space for the next European and American trading. Be careful with short covering. The current upper resistance is at 3372-3377, and the lower support is at 3324-3317. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound and short.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short on the rebound at 3372-3377, stop loss at 3382, and the target is 3350-3325.
Gold falls under pressureAlthough gold surged in the morning, it continued to fall in the afternoon and fell to 3320. Currently, gold rebounded moderately, but it is still under pressure after the sharp drop. The adjusted golden section line position, the 0.5 position of this wave of decline is the 3320-3318 area. The price bounced when it was touched for the first time. Going down, we need to pay attention to the 0.618 position 3288 area, which is close to the four-hour lower track 3284 area. The two together become the support area. The excess range is the double-line lower track 3270 on the hourly chart. Tonight, it is still a rebound to short, and pay attention to the 3370-74 line resistance situation above.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
XAUUSD 6/5/25We remain bearish on gold, as we called in the middle of last week. However, until we see a clear reaction that confirms a move lower, we believe price could still push higher.
Fundamentally, we are bullish on gold, but our current bias is bearish. Of course, our bias can be wrong. When price pulls back within our bias—essentially moving against what we expect—it doesn’t mean we blindly jump in just because we believe in a certain direction. Instead, we wait for a clear reaction in line with our bias before entering, so we can follow the trend with confirmation.
Remember the principles we always emphasize: our bias is the direction we believe price is heading. But if we’re welcomed into the market during a pullback—even if it’s against our bias—we will trade it accordingly. Right now, we are not being welcomed. Price is rallying against our bias, so we remain on the sidelines until a suitable entry is provided.
As mentioned before, Orion has indicated that price action could be bearish. However, gold is heavily driven by fundamentals, which means we may not get an entry here at all. If the market shifts and our bias needs to change, we’ll adapt as always. But we stick to our rules, manage our risk, and let price show us where it wants to go.
At the current point, if we don’t see a bearish move from here, we could be on track to see a new all-time high. For now, we’re not seeing an entry setup, which means our bias is not being fulfilled for a trade. As far as I'm concerned, this is the last potential reversal zone for gold.
Keep this in mind if price continues to push higher as today's session begins. Trade safe, stick to your plan, and let Orion lead the way.
Gold awaits NFP after serious decline I expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: Gold is being kept below the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone of #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 despite the rejection on DX and continuous rise on equities, Gold didn’t manage to prepare the terrain for further the uptrend, according to my Technical estimations. Besides the High Selling Volume and evident Price-action showcasing of Bearish trend switch, #3,262.80 Support I mentioned which was about to be tested was invalidated and naturally Gold is on a decline (as I expected it throughout my recent remarks) and is Technicals what's keeping Gold Lower, relative to circumstances. Regardless of that, the Daily chart’s Support (Medium-term) is Trading just few points below, at #3,200.80, if broken it can open doors for #3,127.80 extension and Support mark test and is alone a positive development for Sellers ahead of the end of the Trading week."
Technical analysis: Daily chart remains isolated within solid Descending Channel and being Bearish indicates a Short-term Selling opportunity towards #3,200.80 psychological mark if Support gets invalidated and NFP delivers upside surprise (what I indeed expect). Keep an eye on the DX especially when the U.S. session opens (Bullish Gap fill) throughout today’s session in order to get more information and pointers of the Intra-day direction. Gold got rejected at #3,200.80 - #3,227.80 Medium-term Support zone (many rejections on current pressure point) and since the pullback wasn’t Bought back above the Hourly 1 chart’s Buying accumulation zone, current Price-action points that the Selling sentiment remains unchanged as this is just one of early Trading weeks in May. That keeps the Hourly 4 chart’s Descending Channel valid (already converted to a Bearish Flag / messenger of Selling continuation ahead), with #3,262.80 configuration currently representing it’s local Lower High’s Upper zone).