GOLD trade ideas
Could the price bounce from here?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,260.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,213.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.89% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,344.27
Why we like it:
There is as pullback resistance level.
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GOLD BUY OPPORTUNITYFirstly price is giving us signs of fatigue from a downward trend and also there's a support level that is being observed there. This are not clear indications of a change of trend but there is a small triangle that is just enticing and hoping to get a few pips up before we can expect further down trend.
GOLD GOLD ,the ema+sma +market structure strategy has given us a buy confirmation on 4hrs close ,i will monitor the current break of 3300 level for another 400pips drop ,but should that demand floor at 3289-3300 hold firmly, they could challenge the supply roof on demand and supply impulse strength, if they break asian session supply roof then london into newyork will look for buy opportunity in other to challenge the long descending trendline connect 3500,3457 and 3365 for a long swing into 3445 zone or more.
the dxy is doing exactly what we want to see,if dollar reclaims 100$ this time around ,they will rally on demand to correct oversold market which will cause Gold price to drop on probability.
Continue to maintain stability above 3300, next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/02/2025 - 06/06/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices declined on Friday, pressured by a rebound in the US Dollar, even as US Treasury yields dipped in response to a robust inflation report. Despite the yield pullback, expectations remain firm that the Federal Reserve could begin easing policy in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.83%, trading around $3,289.
Market sentiment turned more risk-averse after US President Donald Trump sharply criticized China, accusing Beijing of breaching the trade agreement reached during talks in Switzerland. In a post, Trump wrote, “China, perhaps not surprisingly to some, HAS TOTALLY VIOLATED ITS AGREEMENT WITH US. So much for being Mr. NICE GUY!”—a statement that reignited geopolitical tensions and added to market uncertainty.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is in great competition between buyers and sellers around the price range of 3200 - 3300. Tariff policies are coming back, the trump administration is putting pressure to get favorable tariffs.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3332, $3365
Support: $3244, $3204
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty.
Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar.
As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% .
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates.
Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000.
According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned
A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling.
The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling.
Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week.
Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum.
A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below.
Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3334
↨
→Take Profit 2 3328
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/28/2025Gold acted as predicted yesterday. Since the trendline was broken, it did rejected from 3350 and broke 3322. Currently it is above 3300. I am looking to sell from either 3305 or 3322 resistance.
If selling from 3305, 1st target is 3287.
If selling from 3322, 1st target is 3305.
My ultimate target for today is 3267.
Bear in mind that weekly and monthly gold is still bullish. It can reverse from 3287 and regain bullish power. If 3327 is broken, the setup above is invalidated.
XAU/USD Buy Setup Explanation (Using Fibonacci Levels)This chart presents a bullish trading setup on gold (XAU/USD) based on a Fibonacci retracement strategy. It suggests a buy opportunity after a pullback.
✅ Fibonacci Levels:
> 0.0% (Top): $3,331 – recent swing high (used as reference)
> 23.6%: $3,312 – minor resistance zone
> 38.2%: $3,297 – initial pullback area
> 50.0%: $3,290 – psychological mid-level
> 61.8% (Golden Ratio): $3,280 – key Fibonacci support
> 78.6%: $3,266 – deeper retracement support
> 100% (Bottom): $3,249 – recent swing low
🟪 Buy Zone (Between 50% and 61.8%):
The marked BUY ZONE is between $3,290 and $3,280, aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket.
This is a high-probability reversal area, as it combines:
Strong Fibonacci confluence (50%–61.8%)
Prior price reaction zones (structure-based support)
: TP1: $3,320 – aligns with previous structure zone and 23.6% retracement.
: Final Target: $3,350 – a retest of the major resistance and previous high.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic Fibonacci retracement long setup:
Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) in the buy zone.
As long as the price holds above $3,266, the bullish structure remains valid.
Ideal for swing traders looking to catch a bounce off the golden ratio support.
GOLD → Consolidation amid a bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is trading in consolidation. As expected, the retest of the 3290 support level will end with a strengthening. The price is heading towards the resistance of the range.
The dollar is falling, which is supporting gold. The local trend is set by the fundamental background. The price of gold is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the trading range, with the zone of interest being the liquidity located above 3346. The fundamental background is on the buyers' side, but since today is Friday, there is no strong news and the market is unlikely to seek a breakout from consolidation due to the lack of a driver. Thus, we can expect a correction from resistance before growth resumes, which may form next week.
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360
Support levels: 3308, 3290, 3282
Consolidation after the break of the local downtrend amid a falling dollar means that bulls are building up potential before a possible continuation of growth. But at the moment, an intraday trading strategy can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Liquidity Heatmap – May 27, 2025 (Tuesday)
Liquidity Heatmap – May 27, 2025 (Tuesday)
Session-by-session liquidity pressure zones – Cairo time
time to drop the Liquidity Heatmap for tomorrow, based on your chart + market structure context (post-holiday + kill zones + golden zones)
⸻
1. Asia (2 AM – 9 AM Cairo)
• Initial Sweep Zone:
Target: 3,326 – 3,323 (Golden Zone Friday)
Expect smart money to dip below today’s NY low and sweep stops around VWAP
• Liquidity Trigger:
If price bounces from 3,324 and reclaims VWAP 3,337,
Expect a pre-London reversal setup
⸻
2. London (9 AM – 12 PM Cairo)
• Build-Up Zone:
Key Price Cluster: 3,339 – 3,349 (Monday VWAP to Tokyo High)
London usually expands price out of Asia’s fakeout.
• Liquidity Trap Watch:
• Spike above 3,351 = liquidity bait
• Fails to break 3,358 = shorts pile in
⸻
3. NY Pre-Market (1 PM – 3:30 PM Cairo)
• High-Risk Zone:
• Price expected to hover between 3,349–3,358
• Could set up a final trap high at 3,358–3,365 before reversal
⸻
4. NY Main Session (3:30 PM – 6 PM Cairo)
• Kill Candle Zone Reaction:
Range: 3,365 – 3,349
If NY drives up here, expect sharp rejection or full break → continuation
• Liquidity Flush Zone (if bearish):
If NY nukes it down → target 3,312.00 (low of Friday’s golden zone)
⸻
Visual Heatmap Layers (in price terms):
Zone Range Description
Trap Buy Zone 3,323 – 3,326 Stop sweep zone in Asia
Liquidity Reclaim 3,337 – 3,342 VWAP reclaim base for long bias
Expansion Zone 3,343 – 3,351 London price expansion zone
Kill Candle Pressure 3,358 – 3,365 High-risk reversal trap
Liquidity Dump Target 3,312 – 3,318 Max downside target (only if NY goes full bearish)
⸻
Xaumo Notes:
• Volume confirmation key: No volume = no conviction
• Kill Candle from Friday still rules: No clear close above = bear trap zone
• Expect one fake move between Asia and London — smart money style
⸻
– ICHIMOKUontheNILE | Your liquidity map dealer
Tariff policy reversed again? Be careful on Friday.Yesterday, Trump and the US Trade Court ruled that the US International Trade Court had stopped the tariff policy. Gold once fell to a low of 3245, while the US dollar rushed all the way to a high of 100.5. Then it reversed, and gold began to rectify and rise. As of now, it has once touched a high of 3330, close to a rebound of $85.
Today, it reversed again. The US Court of Appeals allowed Trump's tariff policy to continue to take effect temporarily. And impose tariffs on most areas of the global economy, including allowing tariffs of up to 15% within 150 days to address trade imbalances with other countries. Compared with the tariff policy that was deemed illegal this week, this step is more legally defensible.
Looking at the current gold, it is likely that gold will fall sharply today. After gold fell yesterday, everyone wanted to short gold, but gold rebounded all the way.
So, today, Friday, is an opportunity for short-selling strategies. The short positions have been eliminated, so gold has every reason to fall, and it will fall sharply.
Once it falls below 3280 in the downward trend, it will test the low point of yesterday near 3250. If it breaks through 3250 again, it will go directly to the low point near 3200. The current short-selling strategy has little to do with technical analysis, it is completely a test of human nature.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThis chart displays a bullish (buy) trading setup for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it shows:
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🧠 Technical Analysis Overview:
1. Support Zone (Highlighted Yellow Area):
Price has pulled back to a support zone, which aligns with a previous breakout area.
This zone is acting as a potential buy-entry point, suggesting a bounce is anticipated.
2. Break and Retest Strategy:
A pink trendline shows previous resistance, now acting as support.
The price appears to have broken above it and is now coming back to retest (a classic confirmation setup).
3. Target TP (Take Profit):
A large purple arrow points to the target zone labeled “TARGET TP”, located around the 3,343–3,344 price level.
This level likely corresponds to a previous structure or supply area.
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📈 Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: Near 3,310–3,312 (current price range and support).
Target TP: Around 3,343–3,344.
Bullish Bias: Based on break-retest confirmation and price structure.
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⚠️ Considerations:
Watch for strong bullish candle formations from the support zone to confirm entry.
Manage risk with a stop-loss below the support zone (possibly under 3,308 or 3,305).
Use volume or other confluence (RSI, MACD) if available, to strengthen entry conviction.
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Let me know if you'd like a trading plan written out for this setup or a script in TradingView Pine Script for alerts or automation.
Gold hourly chart bears dominateFrom the gold 1-hour K-line chart, the current price continues to be suppressed by the key resistance level of 3325. This Friday, the Asian and European trading sessions showed a clear downward trend, reaching a low of 3271. The rapid rebound on Thursday easily induces investors to chase the rise, but the decline on Friday once again shows that there is a major market wash-out behavior. Given that the overall weak consolidation pattern on Friday is expected to face new downward pressure at the beginning of next week. At present, the gold 1-hour moving average system has turned to a short arrangement, and a golden cross signal has not yet been formed, indicating that the short momentum is continuing to accumulate. Therefore, I suggest adopting a rebound short trading strategy. If the price fails to break through the 3310 resistance level after the rebound, you can consider establishing a short position near this position next week to seize the opportunity to continue the short trend. Operational suggestions: Consider the layout of short orders after the price rebounds to the 3308-3312 range. This key area needs to be paid special attention.
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,292.92 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,284.27 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Trade Plan 26/05/2025Dear Traders,
Today, given the bank holidays and the absence of major news, the price will likely fluctuate between the 3200–3240 range. The key demand zone for the continuation of the bullish trend is 3300. If the 3300 zone is lost, gold will enter a bearish trend. However, if the price settles above 3300, there is a possibility of breaking the downward channel.
f you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold analysis layout!This wave of gold decline has returned to the channel, and the price has broken the upward trend line support. Has the trend turned bearish? No, according to our analysis, after the price broke the 3322-3324 support line, it will be sideways around the 3370-3380 support line, and the market will turn to shock, waiting to accumulate momentum for another upward attack. Gold is moving according to our expected analysis, and the market is also expected to move here, so we still maintain this view. There is a high probability that the direction of the European session will continue, so the European session has fallen and weakened, and the rebound continues to be bearish and sees a second decline. Focus on the 3320 pressure line, the watershed 3328, and the support below is 3270-3280. If it touches, consider buying more at a low price and see a rebound.