GOLD Made H&S Reversal Pattern , Chance To Sell To Get 200 PipsHere is My 15 Mins Chart On Gold and we have a very good reversal Pattern , Head & Shoulders , we have a 15 mins closure below neckline 3322.00 we can enter a sell trade and targeting at least 100 pips as scalping , we can enter after waiting the price to retest neckline and then enter . and the price can reach 3300.00 to 3296.00 again .
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD - Prop firm or your own account? - Trading Psychology"$100K Funded? Or $1K account you own?? Welcome to the Inside Battle of Every Trader"
You want capital, freedom and win big.
But the question is: do you do it with your own money, or someone else’s?
You’ve got the $100K funded dream on one side. Big leverage, strict rules, payout drama.
And on the other side? Your own $1K account. Zero limits, zero support, and a whole lot of emotional damage.
This is a breakdown of what really happens behind both paths — the adrenaline, the self-sabotage, the mind games, and the payouts that sometimes never come.
The Prop Firm Path: Pass, Survive, Then Pray
Phase 1: You trade with hunger.
You’ve got the goal in sight, and every move is calculated. You’re alert, focused, mechanical. The structure helps. The rules feel like a challenge. Everything feels possible.
Phase 2: You trade with fear.
Now you’re tiptoeing. The target’s smaller, but the pressure is suffocating. Hesitation.Overthink. You play defense — and that’s when you lose. You stop executing your edge and start trading to avoid failure.
Funded: The real test begins.
You go live, you trade well, you hit payout… and suddenly the firm has a problem. A new rule is “suddenly” enforced. A clause is reinterpreted. A delay happens. You’re told to wait. Or worse — your account is shut with no warning.
That’s the part no one prepares you for: the waiting, the silence, the mental snap.
Passing isn’t the end. It’s barely the middle.
✅ So, Should You Go Prop? Here's What You Need to Know
Yes — if you’re ready to treat this like a hostile contract.
If you’re trading a prop account, you are trading their rules, their terms, their timing. You are not a partner — you are a performer. And they are very comfortable pulling the plug.
If you do it:
• Be colder than the system.
• Read every rule twice.
• Trade Phase 2 like a surgeon — no ego, no rush.
• And never treat a payout like it's guaranteed — treat it like a fight you have to win more than once.
You don’t just pass. You survive.
And if you’re not ready to survive, stay out.
🚨 Do not forget — It’s Simulated Capital. And That’s the Game.
Let’s not pretend it’s hidden:
You’re NOT TRADING REAL MONEY. You’re executing on a simulated account that mirrors real conditions — nothing more.
When you get paid, it’s not because you “grew” capital. It’s because you performed better than the masses who failed their challenges and fed the payout pool.
This isn’t shady. It’s the model — and it works because most traders lose.
So don’t delude yourself into thinking you’re managing funds.
You’re monetizing discipline inside a challenge-based system.
And if you know how to work that system? You get paid.
If you don’t? You become someone else’s payout.
🔓 Trading Your Own Money: Real Freedom or Emotional Damage?
With your own capital, there’s no one watching — and no one helping.
You set the rules. You decide how aggressive, how cautious, how chaotic.
But the second you click “Buy,” your psychology comes for you like a debt collector.
Because real trading isn’t what’s on the screen — it’s what’s happening between your ears.
You lose your money, you lose your confidence.
You win big, and suddenly you think you’ve figured out the market — until the market slaps you for it.
There’s no one to blame, and that makes it ten times harder.
But here’s the part no one can take away from you: every lesson is yours.
Every win is clean. Every loss hits deep. And if you make it — you really made it.
💡 How to Make Self-Funded Work for You
✅ Start with small capital — but also invest in your trading education.
Join a group that teaches you how to trade, not signal groups that just give you orders when to buy or sell, without explaining why.
✅ Join a real trading community.
Surround yourself with people who post actual breakdowns — who teach, not flex.
Avoid ego chats. Avoid circus chats. Find people who show the why, not just the entry.
(If you’re reading this, you already found the right space.)
✅ Focus on fixing mistakes — not faking wins.
Nobody cares how many pips you caught if you blew 5 trades getting there. Get real about your risk management and lot size.
✅ Learn to stop after a win.
Don’t feed your dopamine. Protect your equity. Walk away while you’re still in control.
✅ Respect your losses. Don’t chase them.
Red days don’t destroy traders. Revenge trading does. Stop. Reset. Come back sharper.
✅ If you’re not paying yourself yet, don’t panic.
Some seasons are for building, not cashing out. Don’t force results just to feel good — let the system earn before it pays.
🔄 The Hybrid Advantage: Rent the rules. Own the skill.
Some traders don’t pick a side.
They use prop firms like a hired weapon — fast, effective, disposable and
Personal accounts like a vault — protected, scalable, sacred.
They switch between them based on market conditions, mental load, and long-term goals.
You don’t need to be loyal to a style just be loyal to your results.
🧠 Final Word:
Trading becomes real, sustainable, and successful only when your mind is at peace with the path you chose.
If you wake up anxious about your account — if you feel pressure before you even open the chart — that’s not discipline, that’s misalignment.
This doesn’t mean trading should feel easy. But it should feel right.
You should wake up curious to read price, not terrified to take a trade.
Whether you trade $100K or $1K, the real account is always in your head.
You should feel like this work belongs to you — not like you’re trying to survive someone else’s idea of success.
Whether you trade with a prop firm or your own account, or both, the goal is the same:
Mental clarity. Emotional control. Strategic confidence. You’ll know you’re on the right path the moment the stress fades — and the obsession becomes patience, structure and joy with success.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Gold: waiting the U.S. decisionGold was traded in a relaxed manner during the previous week, as investors are anticipating the final decision of the U.S. Administration, regarding their involvement in the Middle East conflict. On the other hand, the Fed held interest rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week. The price of gold reached its highest weekly level at the start of the week, at $3.446 and for the rest of the week was traded in a modestly negative sentiment, ending the week at $3.368.
The RSI continues to move between levels of 60 and 53. This shows that investors are still not certain which side to trade. The indicator is still holding more close toward the overbought market side. There is still no change with MA 50 and MA 200 lines as they continue to move in parallel with an uptrend. Still, charts are showing that the price of gold found a supporting line with MA50, since April this year.
Analysts are noting that central banks continue to be one of major gold buyers. Considering high geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the price of gold has the potential to go even higher from current levels. However, for the week ahead, charts are showing that some further corrections might be possible, at least till the level of $3,2K. Some stronger corrections should not be expected. The price of gold also has equal opportunities for a move toward the upside, where the level of $3.430 might be tested for one more time. There is also the potential for higher grounds, but it is unclear whether it will occur in the week ahead or probably at a longer time frame.
GOLD On June 18, 2025, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 245,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous 250,000 and in line with forecasts around 246,000.
Interpretation of the Data:
Current Level:
Claims are stabilizing near the highest levels seen in the past eight months but remain historically low overall, indicating the labor market is slowing but still relatively resilient.
Labor Market Momentum:
The slight decline suggests a modest easing in layoffs but also reflects a gradual loss of labor market momentum, consistent with softer hiring trends seen in recent months.
Seasonal and Technical Factors:
Some elevation in claims is attributed to seasonal factors such as summer school breaks allowing non-teaching personnel to claim benefits, and technical adjustments.
Impact on Markets and Fed Policy:
The Fed views stable but slightly elevated claims as a sign that the labor market is cooling but not weakening sharply.
This supports the expectation that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% in the June 18TH meeting while monitoring future data for signs of further labor market weakening or inflation pressures.
The data reduces immediate pressure for aggressive rate cuts but keeps the door open for gradual easing later in the year if the labor market softens further.
Federal Reserve June 2025 FOMC Decision and Market Implications
1. Federal Funds Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% at its June 18, 2025 meeting, marking the fourth consecutive meeting with no change in rates.
2. FOMC Economic Projections
The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), including the "dot plot," was released alongside the rate decision.
Key highlights:
Policymakers continue to project two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, but the timing remains data-dependent and could shift if inflation or labor market conditions change.
The Fed’s economic outlook reflects slower growth, slightly higher unemployment, and persistent inflation risks compared to earlier in the year.
The median forecast for core PCE inflation in 2025 is 2.8%, with GDP growth expected at 1.7%.
The unemployment rate is projected to rise modestly, with the labor market showing signs of gradual cooling.
3. FOMC Statement Highlights
The FOMC statement emphasized a data-dependent approach, noting that while inflation is easing, it remains above the 2% target.
The committee acknowledged mixed economic signals: inflation is moderating, but labor market participation has declined and global uncertainties (tariffs, geopolitical tensions) persist.
The Fed reiterated its commitment to maintaining restrictive policy until there is greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward target.
4. FOMC Press Conference (7:30pm)
Chair Jerome Powell reinforced the Fed’s cautious stance, stating that the committee needs to see more evidence of sustained progress on inflation before considering rate cuts.
Powell highlighted that the timing and pace of future rate cuts will depend on incoming data, particularly regarding inflation and labor market trends.
The press conference also addressed external risks, including the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events on the economic outlook.
5. Market and Economic Implications
Bond Yields and Dollar: The decision to hold rates steady, combined with cautious forward guidance, is likely to keep the 10-year Treasury yield and the U.S. dollar relatively stable in the near term.
Rate Cut Expectations: Markets continue to price in the first rate cut for September 2025, but the Fed’s projections suggest a slower and more data-driven path to easing.
Key Risks: Upside risks to inflation (e.g., from energy prices or tariffs) and downside risks to growth (e.g., from labor market softening) remain central to the Fed’s outlook.
6. Summary Table
Federal Funds Rate 4.25%–4.50% (unchanged) No immediate change in borrowing costs
Rate Cut Projections 2 cuts in 2025 (data-dependent) First cut likely in September
Core PCE Inflation 2.8% (2025 forecast) Above target, supports cautious Fed
GDP Growth 1.7% (2025 forecast) Slower growth outlook
Unemployment Rate Gradual increase expected Labor market cooling
Conclusion
The Fed’s June 2025 decision reflects a steady, cautious approach amid persistent inflation and a gradually cooling labor market. The committee remains data-driven, with future rate cuts contingent on clear evidence of sustained progress toward its inflation and employment goals.
#GOLD # DXY
Gold price short term recovery 3366⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated on Wednesday that the central bank has sufficient time to assess the impact of tariffs on inflation before making any decisions regarding interest rates. His remarks suggest a cautious approach and align with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments from the previous day.
Chair Powell reaffirmed the view that there is no urgency to alter monetary policy, emphasizing a patient, data-driven approach as the Fed monitors economic developments. This less dovish tone from Fed leadership may help cap downside pressure on gold in the near term.
Meanwhile, money markets are fully pricing in two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with a September move seen as more probable than one in July—although expectations for a July cut have slightly increased since last week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered and continued to accumulate, pay attention to the GAP 3366 area at the beginning of the week, selling pressure is still maintained.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3366- 3368 SL 3373
TP1: $3358
TP2: $3345
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303-$3301 SL $3296
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation
Gold is retesting a recently broken trend line of a bullish flag
pattern that I shared with you earlier.
A double bottom pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
provide a strong intraday confirmation.
I think that the price may rise to 3392 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold 15-Min Breakout Zone l Smart Money Trap Exposed –🔥 Gold – 15 Min & 1hr Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
👌Bullish After Break : 3355
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
➕Reasons
— Reversal Pattern on 15 min
— Bounced From Liquidity Zone
— Choch Pattern
— Next Key level Far From Price 100 PIP Away
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains.
Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth.
Support levels: 3408, 3400
Resistance levels: 3446, 3500
A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GDP and price range accumulated above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices held firm during the North American session on Wednesday, climbing over 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data could prompt future action from the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's continued hawkish stance has limited further upside for the precious metal.
At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,334, up 0.34%, as the US Dollar pares earlier gains and Wall Street posts modest advances.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
moving in accumulation range following 2 trend lines, trading above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371
TP1: $3352
TP2: $3345
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302-$3300 SL $3295
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD Channel Up bottomed, giving a strong buy signal.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up since the May 20 low and right now it is consolidating within and just outside the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) zone. At the same time, it has touched the bottom of the Channel Up.
This is exactly the kind of price action the pattern had during its previous bottom formation following a Higher Low (June 9-11). With the 4H RSI having also formed a Higher Low pattern consistent with all previous 3 Lows, we expect the price to start its new Bullish Leg now. Our Target is 3495 (+4.75% from the bottom).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3294 - 3312 area
Support 2: 3231 - 3287 area
Support 3: 3121 - 3176 area
Resistance 1: 3338 - 3368 area
Resistance 2: 3441 - 3451 area
Resistance 3: 3493 - 3500 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hanzo | 30-Min Setup / incoming 300 Pip After Break Out Time Frame: 30 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Break out
🩸Bullish Break : 3338 : 3342.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
➕ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point
why we did chose it ?
Solid Key level
➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗2nd Wick Touch (12 Jun /2025)
➗3rd Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025)
Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point
why we did chose it ?
➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗2nd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗3rd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗4th x2 Wick Touch (20 Jun /2025)
➗5th x2 Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025)
🔖That means we created a Solid Zone (3338 : 3342) of Breakout on the 30-min Chart -
Price must break liquidity with a clear 30-min candle to confirm the move.
Gold Peaked, Deep Analysis: MACD & RSI, Targets: $3,131 & $2,904Gold (XAUUSD) already peaked. The 22 Apr session was a clear top signal. A very strong one at that. The chart is showing a lower (red arrows) and overall distribution channel. Trading volume continues to drop. Bearish volume is predominant.
Gold produced a strong rally, it lasted 159 days. Total growth amounts to +39% from bottom to top, starting November 2024, end April 2025.
It's been 64 days since the all-time high. No new highs, no bullish momentum. Geopolitical factors that would push Gold to new all-time highs, a war, did show up recently, a surprise event and yet Gold's price failed to move higher. This is a warning signal.
The RSI is weak now. Gold is trading very high, a very strong price but with a risk RSI. This is another warning signal, a strong one. Bullish would be the contrary, low price with a strong RSI. A weak RSI at this point can be interpreted as the bullish force being exhausted.
The daily MACD is pretty bad. Trending fully down with no possibility of anything bullish. Here is the chart.
This is a friendly reminder. Switch to Crypto.
You've been warned.
Namaste.
Gold Breakout Done New Short Entry Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on gold at he moment , in 15 mins T.F wr have a fake breakout but 3343.00 forced the price to go down which is a great res for this pair and we have avery good bearish price action and good closure below my res level 3341.00 so it`s my num 1 place to enter a sell trade if the price go back to retest it , and if not , 3383.00 will be my best place to sell it .
Gold on a decline / Fundamentals critically BullishTechnical analysis: The Price-action respected my Resistance zone limit projection as Gold is testing #3,352.80 local Low’s, and #3,377.80 Resistance in extension as a new viable Target for Buyers before aggressively pulling back to possible #3,320’s level (Gold is turning from Bearish to Neutral on the Short-term if market closes above #3,377.80 fractal, very slim chances). Once more Gold is being utilized as a safe-haven as the equity markets suffer significant losses. However as discussed before, I am making use of the DX as my key indicator to suggest the underlying trend of Gold, turned / switch from Bullish Short-term to Bearish as Gold didn’t managed to maintain Higher levels above #3,377.80 / my Resistance for the fractal. DX made an solid Technical Lower High’s Upper zone and didn’t rebounded strongly, which is confirmation of Selling sustainability on Gold (Gold couldn’t stage Bullish reversal until DX lost value and vice-versa). I expect late sessions of the week to maintain this momentum, so that by Friday’s session, Gold can test my #3,327.80 Target extension (posing as an important benchmark).
My position : Besides all Fundamental factors / escalation, Gold isn't soaring as one could expect. Therefore I will continue Scalping #3,352.80 - #3,377.80 Neutral belt and will Trade the break-out. #3,352 towards #3,327.80 or #3,377.80 to the upside however with DX rising, I give more probabilities to the downside.
GOLD Made Double Top Reversal Pattern , Ready For Sell ?Here is My 15 Mins Chart On Gold and we have a very good reversal Pattern , double Top , if we have a 15 mins closure below neckline 3326.00 we can enter a sell trade and targeting at least 100 pips as scalping , we can enter direct if you are aggressive trader or if you not you can wait the price to retest neckline and then enter .
GOLD THE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5%
the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62%
the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$.
Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor .
#gold .
Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC
Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG!
In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided.
I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily.
Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies.
Change of Character in Bearish Trend
In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high.
Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend.
For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT .
One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal.
According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH.
Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend.
CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change.
Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction.
Look what happened with GBPNZD.
Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction.
That's a perfect bullish reversal model.
It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend.
Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements.
Examine a price action on USDJPY.
Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend.
Change of Character in Bullish Trend
In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low.
Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH.
For many traders, that is the signal to open short.
However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there.
According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish
if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH.
Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed .
Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend.
EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling:
not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also
a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action.
Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Next Week Gold Trend Forecast & Trading TipsDuring this round, the price was sold off sharply from the historical high of 3,500 to 3,120 before rebounding. After consecutive rallies, it faced pressure and fell back to 3,452 due to the fading of market risk aversion. On Friday, it rebounded from a low of 3,340. The daily chart recorded a consolidative bearish candle, with the K-line combination leaning bearish, while the 4H chart showed signs of stopping the decline.
In the short term, it is expected to consolidate below 3,400 next week. For the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the Federal Reserve's July interest rate decision. A breakthrough node will be ushered in after confirming the resistance above 3,400.
On the short-term 4-hour chart, the support below is focused around 3,340-45, and the short-term resistance above is around 3,380-85. The key focus is on the suppression at the 3,400-05 level. The overall strategy of going long on pullbacks within this range remains unchanged. For medium-term positions, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines, avoid chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels.
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
XAUUSD Trading Signals: Buy Dips at 3335-3345 Amid Bear Trap💡 Trading Framework In-Depth Analysis:
The Fed's policy statement failed to stir volatility (markets had fully priced in dovish expectations 💨);
Weekly market pattern: Asian sessions consistently saw rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in subsequent sessions 📉;
Tactical entry logic: Use intraday highs in Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
📊 Technical Validation & Risk Anchors
⚠️ Key Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals ignored → classic "bear trap" characteristics (bear trap 🚫);
⏳ Timing Strategy: Asian session highs form ideal resistance levels—recommend entering on pullbacks to the 38.2% Fibonacci support level 🎯.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD Precision Trading Signals ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Long Entry Range: 3335-3345 (stop loss can be set below 3325)
🚀 Take-Profit Target Range: 3360-3370 (partial profit-taking at first target 3360 recommended)
📢 Service Value-Added Notes
✅ Core trading signals updated daily in the morning (validated across 4-hour/daily double-timeframes);
✅ Refer to signal logic at any time during trading for sudden situations 🧭 (with historical win-rate statistics attached);
🌟 Wishing you smooth trading Next week — seize pullback opportunities to position 👇
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 23 - Jun 27]This week, after opening at $3,369/oz, OANDA:XAUUSD prices fluctuated within a fairly narrow range, from only $3,340-$3,374/oz, and closed at $3,368/oz. The fact that gold prices closed this week close to the opening price shows that investors are hesitant in the current context.
The reason why gold prices are still fluctuating within a narrow range this week is because US President Donald Trump gave Iran a 2-week deadline to consider negotiating an end to the conflict with Israel, even though the Israel-Iran conflict is still raging.
In addition, on June 12, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%, while adjusting its forecast for US GDP growth lower and raising its estimate for near-term inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tariffs would push up prices and weigh on economic activity. Although two rate cuts are expected before the end of the year, Powell said the Fed may wait for more clarity before cutting rates.
Next week, the Fed Chairman will hold two semiannual monetary policy hearings before the US House and Senate committees on Tuesday and Wednesday. If Fed Chairman Powell hints at a rate cut in September 2025, the USD could fall against other major currencies, causing gold prices to rise next week. Conversely, if the Fed Chairman emphasizes that they will continue to prioritize controlling inflation and is in no hurry to cut interest rates, the USD will rise, thereby pushing gold prices down next week.
📌Technically, the gold price on the H4 and D1 charts is stuck between the range of 3295-3450, which is an important support level around 3295, and the resistance level at 3450.
The current price is moving sideways and accumulating in smaller time frames, and the trend has not been clearly defined when it has not broken through the above two resistance levels.
There are two scenarios for gold.
In the long-term framework, if it breaks through the 3450 zone and breaks the trend at the same time, it is expected that the gold price will set a new high.
In the case that the gold price trades below the 3300 round resistance, and at the same time the 3295 support zone is broken, it is easy to form a head and shoulders pattern on the H4 chart.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,350 – 3,320 – 3,300USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 – 3,500USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
DeGRAM | GOLD descending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is compressing in a descending wedge at the channel floor (3 343-3 350). Repeated long-tailed rejections hint at seller exhaustion while RSI makes higher lows, flagging hidden strength.
● A 30 min close above the wedge roof (≈ 3 357) should trigger a measured move to the intra-channel resistance band at 3 371, then the prior pivot at 3 383.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Thursday’s softer US Philly Fed index and a slip in 2-yr real yields cooled the dollar, reviving bullion bids; meanwhile Chinese customs data show May gold imports up 18 % m/m, underscoring physical demand.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 345-3 355; wedge breakout >3 357 targets 3 371 ➜ 3 383. Long view void on a 30 min close below 3 335.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!