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GOLD trade ideas

Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Investment Opportunities Amid Geopolitical Risks and Recession Expectations I. Fundamental Support: Persistent Geopolitical Risks and Escalating Recession Expectations Middle East Situation: Potential Risks Not Fully Priced Although Iran's threat to block the Strait of Hormuz has not yet translated into actual action, its strategic value as an "ultimate deterrent" has been partially recognized by the market. Historical data shows that during Iran's two blockade threats in 2011 and 2018, gold rose by an average of 8.7%. However, the current price range of $3,380-$3,400 only reflects the direct impact of the Israeli airstrikes on the 14th, and has not fully incorporated the risk premium for potential retaliatory actions by Iran. Once "quasi-actions" such as tanker seizures or partial strait blockades occur, gold prices may quickly break through $3,450. Fed Policy: Dual Drivers of Rate Cut Expectations and Economic Weakness Although the Fed kept rates unchanged at its June meeting, the dot plot showed that 7 out of 19 committee members expected "zero rate cuts" for the whole year, conflicting with the market's 61.7% probability of a rate cut in September. The essence of this divergence is the game between "high tariff inflation pressures" and "economic slowdown"—when the median GDP forecast is revised down from 1.7% to 1.4%, and the Atlanta Fed model predicts that Q1 growth may turn negative, the long-term trend of declining real interest rates remains unchanged, and gold's "recession-resistant" attribute will gradually emerge. Correlation Effect Between Crude Oil and Gold Currently, WTI crude oil maintains a 3.7% gain, and Brent crude fluctuates around $76/barrel. Tensions in the energy market provide indirect support for gold. Historical data shows that when crude oil rises by more than 5% in a week, gold has a 72% probability of rising simultaneously, as both share the logic of "geopolitical risk premium". If Iran takes subsequent actions against oil tankers, the two assets may experience a resonant rally. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD buy@3365~3375 SL:3350 TP：3385~3395
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Analysis & Important Pattern to Watch For some known reason, Gold remains bearish this entire week. The market is currently correcting within a falling channel - a bullish flag on a 4H time frame. Ahead, I see a bunch of strong intraday supports. From one of these structures, a bullish rally may resume. A trigger that you should look for is a bullish breakout of a resistance line of the flag and a 4H candle close above that. A bullish continuation will be expected then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
8
Excellent Scalp opportunities As discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.” I have engaged firstly #3,328.80 aggressive Scalp Sell order and closed it on #3,316.80. As I expected DX to touch #52-Week Low’s, I Bought Gold multiple times first from #3,314.80 twice towards #3,319.80 and #3,321.80, also had Swing order (Lower Volume order) on #3,312.80 which was closed on #3,324.80 as I was confident that Gold will stage relief rally due DX taking strong hits. Another excellent session. Technical analysis: The Price-action is basically consolidating again on Hourly 1 chart back within well known range of #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 - #3,342.80 giving Scalpers excellent opportunities for Intra-day Profit as Scalpers are getting most of the returns of current Price-action. Hourly 1 chart is an healthy Ascending Channel already and as weekend break is approaching I may be getting a break-out (the pattern usually breaks to the upside). I am currently on the sidelines, earlier simply holding whatever I have Bought Lower and Sold Higher. I need to state for the record (again) that when I mention pull backs on my analysis I am not suggesting Traders to Short right away, always await my confirmation. We are on a overall Bull market and I have stated since the start of the Year that my strategy is to be Buying (and accumulating) on pull-backs. Those who've been following me for Years are well aware that there was a time for Shorting back when Gold was below #2,000.80 benchmark. Keep in mind that I anticipated that DX could test #52-Week Low’s (currently delivered) and that’s why I have aggressively Bought Gold yesterday. My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold: Resistance Validated, Short at 3340-3350 Tomorrow📈 Gold Trading Recap & Tomorrow's Strategy: Resistance Holds, Short Opportunities Persist 💎 Today's newly updated live short strategy hit the TP target successfully! As mentioned earlier, when gold failed to break the support level, we anticipated it to range around 3330—today's trades were precisely centered on this logic. The 3350 resistance was also validated firmly during the session. 💎 Expect further upside in tomorrow's Asian session—recommend continuing short positions within the 3340-3350 range 🚀 🚀 Sell@3350 - 3345 🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
#3,300.80 tested as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test." I have announced #3,300.80 test throughout yesterday's session commentary with engaging excellent Selling orders (mostly aggressive Scalps) until #3,300.80 benchmark isn't achieved. Technical analysis: Strong rejection from late yesterday's session local High’s on increased Volume indicating that Sellers are strongly positioned at that mark, which is Technically the Support fractal on the neckline of former Bullish structure / pattern over Neutral High’s / Low’s. However a strong Support presence is seen at current #3,292.80 - #3,302.80 levels where Gold rebounded on an Hourly 4 chart’s Doji Star Bullish reversal candle many times in near past. This decline is temporarily confusing the patterns but with a new Higher Low’s and as long as the Lower Low’s Upper zone stays intact, I will regardless remain Bearish awaiting retracement to test #3,300.80 psychological benchmark once again. One must be fast to adapt on market changes which are the case lately in order not to hold worthless positions. Bond Yields however climbed to fresh Annual High’s above (# +4.5%) while DX is following the sequence on parabolic downtrend delivering #3-session Selling spree on Gold. Price-action remains contained near Hourly 1 chart's #3,327.80 as my main point of interest. My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
GOLD REVERSAL POINT [Bearish Bias]According to this analysis, today I'm expecting a sell opportunity. So here we're analyze 1H time frame, Price is currently moving near a strong order flow area, and has also SIBI is pending. If price faces clear rejection from this key levels, So there is a high probability that the market may decline from this level. Wait with patient and maintain discipline, confirmation is key. Now let's see how our sell zone plays out. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #GOLD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
Will the 3300 support hold today?Due to the sudden ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel today, the gold market quickly flipped from bullish to bearish — when gold tested the 3300 support level just now, it rebounded near 3315 📈. It may challenge the 3290-3300 support range again later: if it effectively breaks below, the next target is the strong support at 3265, and it may eventually dip to 3200 before starting a rebound 🔄. If the breakout fails, it may consolidate near 3330, waiting for further market guidance 📊 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320 🚀 TP 3310 - 3305
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis: The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday. Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable. Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255. As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals. 🔹 Breakout key level: 3296 🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255 🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD Bullish OutlookThis chart captures a highly strategic bullish setup on XAUUSD, rooted in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and institutional trading principles. The market has performed a major liquidity sweep, dipping below previous lows to collect resting sell-side liquidity before reacting sharply from a key demand zone. Why Bullish? The Confluences: Liquidity Sweep: Price manipulated below a significant structural low to trap late sellers and activate institutional orders. This move into deeper liquidity suggests the smart money is building long positions. Extreme P.O.I. + Demand Zone: The blue zone marks a high probability reversal area where demand outweighs supply. This zone is validated by historical reactions and refined to align with an Order Block (OB) a clear footprint of institutional accumulation. Bullish Structure Anticipation: After the reaction, price is expected to form a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish market structure. Multiple resistance levels are in sight, each one representing an objective for price to reach in its journey upward. Entry Point: $3,343 – $3,330 Located inside the OB and demand zone, this is where price is likely to build a base for upward continuation. Stop Loss: Below $3,324 TP1: $3,363 (first internal structure break) TP2: $3,375 (mid range target) TP3: $3,383 (structural high retest) TP Final: $3,405 (liquidity target above EQH) Remember confirmation is key before execution. #GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
Gold prices are consolidating at a low level!International spot gold continued to fluctuate and fall. Looking back at the market performance on Thursday, gold prices maintained a narrow range of consolidation. Investors focused on the upcoming US inflation data to judge the direction of interest rate policy, while paying close attention to signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The current gold market is facing the influence of multiple factors: in the short term, PCE inflation data will become a key variable in determining the trend of gold prices. If the data is lower than expected, the market will strengthen the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold prices; on the contrary, if the inflation data exceeds expectations, it may delay the Fed's pace of rate cuts, resulting in pressure on gold prices. From a medium- and long-term perspective, the low interest rate environment, continued geopolitical risks and the potential weakening trend of the US dollar jointly provide structural support for gold prices. In addition, it is necessary to focus on the capital diversion effect that may be caused by the rising heat of the platinum and palladium markets. It is recommended to closely track the changes in capital flows in the precious metals sector. From the analysis of the gold 4-hour level chart, today's gold price showed a downward trend at the opening, and the lowest fell to around US$3289.25 and then temporarily stabilized at US$3298. Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, the MACD indicator dead cross continues, the gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel shows a narrowing trend, and the short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern. In view of the fact that the weekly line is about to close this week and the volatility of the end-of-month market is intensifying, it is necessary to focus on preventing the risk of a second bottoming out of the price. Comprehensively judged, the current gold trend is bearish, and the operation strategy is recommended to focus on rebound shorting. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold in the rebound area of ​​3311-3316, with a stop loss at 3324 and a target of 3300-3290
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by VitoCamilla
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Tuesday. I got up in the middle of the night and as I take a look at gold's progress with the overnight sessions, I have marked my current area of interest for potential scalp trades in either direction. I will be waiting for Pre NY volume to come in to see if we correct any moves made during the Asian and London sessions. Big G gets all my thanks. Let's see how the next current 2 hour and 4 hour candle's close. Be well and trade the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term. Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade