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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently trading around 3250, consolidating within a well-defined bullish flag structure after a strong impulsive rally. This flag pattern on the 12-hour chart reflects healthy profit-taking and reaccumulation after a significant upward move. The current price action is respecting the lower boundary of the flag, and with growing volume on bullish candles, the setup suggests a high probability of a breakout to the upside, targeting the 3650 region. From a macroeconomic perspective, gold remains in strong demand due to ongoing global uncertainties and persistent inflation concerns. The US CPI print remains sticky above 3%, keeping real yields under pressure and supporting gold's bullish bias. Furthermore, with the Fed expected to hold interest rates steady for longer, the market is starting to price in fewer rate cuts this year. This continues to undermine the USD and supports gold as a store of value. Additionally, rising central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risk premium are adding further tailwinds. Technically, we are watching for a clean breakout above the upper flag resistance around 3280–3300. A breakout with volume confirmation would open the door toward the psychological 3400 level first, followed by a push toward the 3650 target area. Momentum indicators are turning up, and price is showing signs of basing just above previous support levels, adding confidence to the bullish continuation scenario. Gold remains one of the strongest trending assets in 2025, and this consolidation is likely just a pause before the next leg higher. As global markets digest the impact of persistent inflation and macro volatility, precious metals like gold are likely to outperform. This flag formation provides a textbook continuation setup for traders looking to position with the broader trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Gold gaps down and waits for the gap to be filledGold 4-hour chart forms a step-by-step oscillation and falls back. It is currently approaching the neckline. However, the moving average indicator is in a messy divergence. The short-term will be roundabout and repeated. The overall idea of ​​falling back and adjusting is maintained. The middle track of the Bollinger Band coincides with the rebound high of last Friday, which is the critical point of this week's short position. There is a large gap in the hour, which is not easy to fill in the short term. It will be filled in the process of roundabouts in the market. Today, gold opened at a low of $3259 and started a rebound trend! At present, today's oversold rebound trend will continue! Gold continues to rebound, and the support below is focused on the $3260 line. Today, relying on this support, we can rebound. The top can look at the $3300 and $3320 lines! On the whole, it is recommended to do more on the pullback and short on the rebound in the short-term operation of gold. The upper short-term focus is on the 3320-3330 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3259-3260 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KittyBaldwin
Lingrid | GOLD complex PULLBACK from RESISTANCE zoneOANDA:XAUUSD is maintaining its structure above a key upward trendline after a higher low formed near support. The market remains technically bullish while staying above this level, with the recent pullback looking corrective rather than impulsive. Buyers may step in for a renewed attempt toward the upper resistance area. Watch for a bullish breakout continuation above 3,326 toward 3,380 if buyers hold the current support line. 📌 Key Levels Support zone: 3,305.583 (upward trendline and structure base) Breakout target: 3,380.000 (resistance ceiling of range) Invalidation level: Below 3,304.696 (would negate bullish setup) ⚠️ Risks Breakdown below trendline could trigger deeper correction Price consolidation may reduce momentum short term Rejection near 3,326 could signal fading bullish strength Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
10
Caution: Don’t Get Trapped by This Gold Rally – ATH Is Not Comin🚨 Caution: Don’t Get Trapped by This Gold Rally – ATH Is Not Coming Yet! Hello everyone, I want to share my personal view regarding the current movement in gold. Please be cautious — this short rally could be a classic bull trap. In my opinion, we are still not in the accumulation phase, or if it has started, gold must still revisit the 3168 level before any meaningful upside. What we’re seeing right now appears to be more of an Smart Money play to trap institutional and retail traders like us into premature buying. Based on my analysis, gold still has room to drop, and I expect to see it test the 3100 and possibly 3050 levels. Once again, I personally believe this is a false breakout intended to lure in buyers. Smart money hasn’t truly begun accumulation yet. And if they have, they’ll likely need to break below 3120 to trap institutional shorts before any genuine move to the upside. Gold is not as simple as it seems. Stay sharp.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by ChartsReadingByFahad
1
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse. As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely. Want to support us? Do the following ❤️ -LIKE THE IDEA -COMMENT YOUR VIEW -SHARE IF YOU AGREE Much love ❤️ Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Setupsfx_
1
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,225.12 🔹Timeframe: 15M 📌 Key Supply Zone: 🔴 H4 F++++++ Zone – Strong selling area triggered a sharp drop from the highs; price now retesting lower supply at 3,228–3,231. 📌 Key Demand Zones: 🟢 3187–3192 – Target demand zone; potential bounce area marked by prior accumulation 🟢 3168–3172 – Deeper demand; high-probability reversal zone if price extends lower ⚡️Bearish Play in Progress: Price rejected cleanly from H4 supply and is forming a lower high. If 3,228 fails to break, continuation toward 3190s is likely. 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ Lower timeframe structure shifting bearish ✅ Watch for M15 confirmation below 3,222 for short entries ✅ Monitor price behavior at 3187–3192 zone for reaction/bounce setups #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyDemandZones #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #ScalpingSetups
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXFOREVER_87
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔 1. Newswise 📰 Tariffwar: Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions. Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates: President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉 The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐 In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️ War in Ukraine remains tense: Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨 Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥 India–Pakistan Conflict: Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍 2. Technicalwise 📊 1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern 15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫 Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes: - 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️ - 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️ - 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️ - 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️ - 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️ - 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️ Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐 5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”) → These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️ 1d (55 – “Up”) → On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈 Overall Meaning 🧠 This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄 Possible Strategy Consideration 💡 If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊 My Bias 🤔 Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉 If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
1
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of ​​3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area. Trading strategy: Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold delivering #100-point opportunitiesTechnical analysis: So far so good as my already mentioned multi-Week Sell trend was in extension and final Selling Target was concluded near #3,100.80 benchmark / Weekly Bottom. Oversold Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Buying reversal in form of Bullish candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 as new-old Support zone, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three White Soldiers candle extension which delivered #150-point Intra-day Buying run throughout yesterday's session. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Oversold, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now, expected, no signs of Bearish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's Donchian channel. Market closing is adding credence (in the same time this Week closing) to Buyers if Gold manages to close above #3,200.80 benchmark and if market opens on Monday with Bull spike towards #3,227.80 first Resistance, break of the mentioned former Support now turned in Resistance can aim for another #3,252.80 benchmark / strong Resistance zone. However, if Price-action tests #3,200.80 benchmark and it gives away, extends to Bottom of Support zone and breaks it as well in aggressive manner, I will Sell Gold on spot, pursuing #3,152.80 benchmark / Support zone in extension (I give more probabilities that Gold might continue ranging today so I will Scalp the market). Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next. My position: Scalping the #3,192.80 - #3,227.80 range with strong Volume orders as today Scalpers with have the most returns out of current Price-action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold Eases as Risk Sentiment Improves, but Long-Term Demand IntaMacro theme: - Gold prices retreated from recent highs as improved risk sentiment following the US-China trade deal and a stronger US dollar weighed on safe-haven demand. - Gold ETFs recorded modest outflows in Apr, but the withdrawal slowdown suggests easing profit-taking pressure. - In the near term, trade optimism may keep gold under pressure, though central bank demand and portfolio diversification continue to support the long-term outlook. Technical theme: - XAUUSD pulled back from the swing high near 3430, forming a lower high and moving into a sideways structure between EMAs. - A close below 3230 could trigger further downside toward 3135, - On the contrary, holding above 3230 may prompt a retest of the 3430 level. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by DatTong
1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD)🔍 Chart Structure Overview Downtrend Channel (Bearish Flag/Wedge): The price has been moving within a well-defined descending channel. Multiple touches on both the upper and lower trendlines confirm the structure. Breakout Confirmation: Price has now broken above the upper trendline of the descending channel, indicating a potential bullish breakout. This is often a reversal signal when it comes after a strong downtrend. Key Support Zone: A horizontal support zone is marked where price reversed and pushed up strongly. This suggests a potential accumulation zone and demand area. Retest Expectation: The red arrows suggest that price may retest the broken channel resistance (now turned support). If it holds, it could confirm a bullish continuation. 📈 Projection & Target Levels Immediate Target: Around $3,250–$3,275, just above the breakout zone. Extended Target: Above $3,375, based on the arrow projection and previous swing highs. 🔄 Scenario Path (Based on Drawing): Price has broken out of the channel (bullish signal). A pullback/retest to the channel top or previous resistance is expected. If the retest holds, we expect a strong bullish continuation. ✅ Bullish Confluences: Break of descending structure Reversal from strong demand zone Momentum shown in bullish candles Projection suggests a healthy risk-reward opportunity ⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor: False breakout: If the price returns into the channel, bullish bias weakens. Major resistance at $3,250–$3,275 area. Fundamental events (e.g. FOMC, CPI) that can cause volatility. 📌 Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish reversal setup on Gold, supported by a channel breakout and demand reaction. A successful retest of the breakout zone would confirm potential for upward momentum toward the $3,275–$3,375 levels.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by aziezieam
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for Today, May 12Gold technical analysis 4-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3168 1-hour chart resistance level 3260, support level 3200 30-minute chart resistance level 3248, support level 3216, The decline in gold is due to the joint statement issued by China and the United States at the Geneva economic and trade talks today, and the Sino-US tariff war has been eased. Risk aversion has subsided, and gold has fallen again under pressure. The 4-hour chart MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If the price cannot return to above 3260, the medium- and long-term bearish trend will be difficult to change. The 1-hour chart RSI and ADX indicators show strong bearish momentum. If it falls below 3200, it may accelerate downward and continue to test the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3168. The gold market is suppressed by trade optimism and the strengthening of the US dollar, and the short-term technical side is bearish. Short-term support focuses on 3210~3200, and the upper resistance area of ​​3245~3260 can be sold at highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD). We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now. 🌀 According to the wave count: Wave (3) topped out near $3,500 Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg 💹 Wave (5) Projection: Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750 This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence 📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias: RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls 📍 Key Levels to Watch: $3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest $3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation $3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone $3,747: Wave 5 target ⚠️ Invalidation Zone: If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure. 📌 Conclusion: I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs. Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
Gold Price Recovery Setup: Targeting 3240 Amid Short-Term RebounThis 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart highlights a potential short-term recovery setup, with a target around 3240. After a recent dip to support, the price shows early signs of a bullish reversal, aiming to reclaim key levels. Traders should watch for confirmation of momentum before committing to long positions. The chart shows a potential short-term rebound for gold, targeting 3240 after bouncing off a key support level. If momentum holds, this could be the start of a recovery, but a break below the recent low could invalidate this setup.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EleanorEmilyFx
Gold missing inverse relationship with DXYIn the earlier analysis, the expectation is for DXY to trade slightly lower to the round number level of 100. With Gold's inverse relationship with the US Dollar, anticipating further downside for the DXY should mean that we expect to see some upside on XAUUSD. However, the current price action on Gold is still signalling further downside. The good thing is that the price is approaching the support area where the 3200 price level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level align. Look for a reaction in this area, for a possible rebound to the 3320 price level. Alternatively, if the support area is broken, there could be further downside to the 3000 price level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JinDao_Tai
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited. Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching. 🗞 News Highlights: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Research conference on monetary policy and economy These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert. 📌 Today’s Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076 🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223 🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges: ▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198 ✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategies Today, May 14Technical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167 Four-hour chart resistance 3270/3284, support below 3200 One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3200 Analysis of gold news: On Tuesday (May 13), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April was released, showing that inflationary pressures have eased, providing a complex signal to the market. This mild data that was lower than expected, coupled with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, triggered an immediate market reaction and reshaped the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Although the data tended to be dovish, the market reaction was not completely one-sided, showing a game of caution and optimism. Because bargain hunting occurred after prices hit a one-week low. In the previous trading day, due to the tariff truce agreement reached between China and the United States, market risk appetite increased, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold, and gold prices were therefore under pressure. Yesterday, gold hit a high point before the data was released and then fell sharply, which also showed the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some negative factors have gradually landed, and the Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so gold is still bullish in the medium and long term, but there may be a decline in the short term. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3200 integer support, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour chart resistance 3250 and the four-hour chart resistance 3284. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3284. SELL: 3283near SL: 3288 SELL: 3270near SL: 3275
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ